Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Penn def. Columbia 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Penn 96.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 3:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Penn beat visiting Columbia 3-1 (23-25, 25-22, 25-19, 26-24) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Penn's Jenna Garner led with 16 kills, and Addison Pollock added 33 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set1234Sets
COLUMB252219241
PENN232525263

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Addison Pollock dug 33 balls to keep Penn alive against Columbia.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Penn's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave Penn 96% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Columbia 12–16 Penn

    7 straight Columbia points turned a 12–16 deficit into a 19–16 lead.

    Penn 90% → 69%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Columbia 21–18 Penn

    Penn had 5 straight kills to turn an 18–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead.

    Penn 66% → 88%

Penn above 50Columbia belowMax swing 5.7%

ColumbiaPenn

Sideout %
Columbia 49.0·Penn 53.8
Break %
Columbia 46.2·Penn 51.0
Hitting
Columbia .136·Penn .159
Longest run
Columbia 7·Penn 8

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Penn above 50 · Columbia below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.7% COLUMBrally 189 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.7% to Columbia — set 2, COLUMB 21-18 PENN. Kill by Elena Maynulet (set by Claire Mo). PENN win probability 72% → 66%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COLUMB 9.1%90.9% PENN

Columbia wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.7%
3-2
5.2%

Penn wins

3-0
46.1%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.4%
COLUMB break %
38.2% vs this opp
PENN break %
48.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Elena Maynulet (set by Claire Mo)

    Set 2 · COLUMB 21-18 PENN · COLUMB 28% → 34%

  2. 02
    Ellie SiskinKill+5.4%

    Kill by Ellie Siskin (set by Jenna Garner)

    Set 2 · COLUMB 21-21 PENN · PENN 74% → 79%

  3. 03
    Adell MurrayKill+5.2%

    Kill by Adell Murray (set by Haley Kerstetter)

    Set 2 · COLUMB 21-22 PENN · PENN 79% → 84%

  4. 04
    Charlotte GravleeAttack error+4.9%

    Attack error by Charlotte Gravlee

    Set 2 · COLUMB 19-16 PENN · COLUMB 26% → 31%

  5. 05

    Kill by Charlotte Gravlee (set by Claire Mo)

    Set 1 · COLUMB 25-23 PENN · COLUMB 10% → 14%

  6. 06
    PennAce+4.9%

    Penn ace

    Set 4 · COLUMB 23-24 PENN · PENN 92% → 96%

  7. 07
    Zada SangerKill+4.8%

    Kill by Zada Sanger (set by Jenna Garner)

    Set 2 · COLUMB 21-20 PENN · PENN 69% → 74%

  8. 08

    Kill by Charlotte Gravlee (set by Claire Mo)

    Set 2 · COLUMB 18-16 PENN · COLUMB 22% → 26%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415528.35700050031.516.5
410220.4000025112212
410544.1142017100010
45119.21100030031.56.5
4106.16718101400002
4004.000425720002
45723-.087000000005
44719-.158000200215
4004.00016221000002
4002.0007122400001
1000–000000000
Team totals5027169.13647612776110690
Pennhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416439.308310102031.518.5
415539.2560000002116
46419.10502180010.58.5
44118.167000000426
40016.0002321600002
4049-.44410110010.50.5
45417.05910010031.56.5
4000–110900001
4001.0002023320000
3000–900200000
24111.273100300215
2001.000600200000
Team totals5023170.1594765756016899

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Columbia vs Penn

Season series · Penn leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 COLUMB · PENN 8

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 7 COLUMBPENN 8

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 7 COLUMBPENN 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 5 COLUMBPENN 7

Set 4

24-26

Longest run 7 COLUMBPENN 4

Bars above the line = Penn leads, below = Columbia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Columbia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
67%12/18
2
50%7/14
38%5/13
3
43%6/14
13%1/8
4
60%6/10
14%1/7
5
36%5/14
54%7/13
6
50%5/10
29%2/7
All
49%37/75
42%28/66

Penn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%8/11
50%7/14
2
70%7/10
53%8/15
3
100%6/6
40%4/10
4
60%6/10
57%8/14
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
26%5/19
62%8/13
All
58%38/66
51%38/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#COLUMB-PENNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+0.3
20-2PENNPENNAttack errAvery Jones+0.4
31-2PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+0.3
4–52-3COLUMB · PENN
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
63-3COLUMBCOLUMB×3Attack errHaley Kerstetter+0.5
74-3COLUMBCOLUMB×3Attack errHaley Kerstetter+0.6
84-4COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+0.4
95-4PENNCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+0.5
106-4COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errJenna Garner+0.8
116-5COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+0.5
12–138-5COLUMB 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
148-6COLUMBPENN×8KillJenna Garnerset Reese Stringer+0.6
158-7PENNPENN×8AcePennaced Elena Maynulet+0.8
168-8PENNPENN×8Serve errPenn+0.7
178-9PENNPENN×8Attack errCharlotte Gravlee+0.6
188-10PENNPENN×8Serve errPenn+0.5
198-11PENN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.4
208-12PENNPENN×8Serve errPenn+0.3
21–229-13COLUMB · PENN
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
239-14COLUMBPENNAttack errCharlotte Gravlee+0.2
2410-14PENNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Claire Mo+0.2
2511-14COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errZada Sanger+0.3
2611-15COLUMBPENN×3Serve errColumbia+0.3
2711-16PENNPENN×3Attack errElena Maynulet+0.3
2811-17PENNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+0.2
2912-17PENNCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+0.1
3012-18COLUMBPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+0.1
3112-19PENNPENNAcePennaced Evie Naumann+0.1
3213-19PENNCOLUMB×7KillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo·
3314-19COLUMBCOLUMB×7KillElena Maynuletset Delaney Seaman+0.1
3415-19COLUMBCOLUMB×7AceColumbiaaced Jenna Garner+0.2
3516-19COLUMBCOLUMB×7Attack errHaley Kerstetter+0.4
3617-19COLUMBCOLUMB×7Attack errZada Sanger+0.6
3718-19COLUMBCOLUMB×7KillDahlia Roberts+0.9
3819-19COLUMBCOLUMB×7AceColumbiaaced Addison Pollock+1.3
3919-20COLUMBPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Reese Stringer+1.0
4019-21PENNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Reese Stringer+1.1
4120-21PENNCOLUMBBad setReese Stringer+0.8
4220-22COLUMBPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Reese Stringer+0.9
4321-22PENNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+0.8
4421-23COLUMBPENNBlockedElise Hiemstrablk Skylar Greene+1.0
4522-23PENNCOLUMB×4Serve errPenn+0.8
4623-23COLUMBCOLUMB×4Attack errEllie Siskin+2.1
4724-23COLUMBCOLUMB×4KillAvery Jonesset Delaney Seaman+3.6
4825-23COLUMBCOLUMB×4KillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+4.9
Set 2
11-0PENNCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+1.3
21-1COLUMBPENNBlockedAvery Jonesblk Haley Kerstetter+1.1
32-1PENNCOLUMBBad setZada Sanger+1.4
42-2COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+1.2
53-2PENNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+1.4
63-3COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+1.2
73-4PENNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Clara Yu+1.5
84-4PENNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+1.3
94-5COLUMBPENNAttack errJenna Garner+1.1
104-6PENNPENNAttack errCharlotte Gravlee+1.3
115-6PENNCOLUMBAttack errSkylar Greene+1.1
125-7COLUMBPENNKillJenna Garnerset Reese Stringer+1.0
135-8PENNPENNAttack errEmery Moore+1.1
146-8PENNCOLUMBKillClaire Moset Evie Naumann+0.9
156-9COLUMBPENNKillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+0.9
166-10PENNPENNBad setClaire Mo+0.9
177-10PENNCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+0.7
187-11COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+0.7
198-11PENNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo+0.7
208-12COLUMBPENNAttack errElena Maynulet+0.7
218-13PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+0.7
229-13PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+0.5
239-14COLUMBPENNAttack errElise Hiemstra+0.5
2410-14PENNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+0.5
2511-14COLUMBCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Addison Pollock+1.0
2611-15COLUMBPENNKillJenna Garnerset Reese Stringer+0.8
2712-15PENNCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Clara Yu+0.8
2812-16COLUMBPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Reese Stringer+0.8
2913-16PENNCOLUMB×7Bad setEllie Siskin+0.8
3014-16COLUMBCOLUMB×7AceColumbiaaced Addison Pollock+1.5
3115-16COLUMBCOLUMB×7Attack errEllie Siskin+2.2
3216-16COLUMBCOLUMB×7KillCharlotte Gravleeset Evie Naumann+3.0
3317-16COLUMBCOLUMB×7AceColumbiaaced Jenna Garner+3.8
3418-16COLUMBCOLUMB×7KillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+4.5
3519-16COLUMBCOLUMB×7Attack errCharlotte Gravlee+4.9
3619-17COLUMBPENNKillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+2.7
3719-18PENNPENNAttack errElena Maynulet+4.1
3820-18PENNCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Ellie Siskin+4.2
3921-18COLUMBCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+5.7
4021-19COLUMBPENN×5KillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+2.9
4121-20PENNPENN×5KillZada Sangerset Jenna Garner+4.8
4221-21PENNPENN×5KillEllie Siskinset Jenna Garner+5.4
4321-22PENNPENN×5KillAdell Murrayset Haley Kerstetter+5.2
4421-23PENNPENN×5KillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+4.2
4522-23PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+2.4
4622-24COLUMBPENNKillEllie Siskin+3.5
4722-25PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Addison Pollock+2.2
Set 3
10-1COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+0.8
21-1PENNCOLUMB×3KillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+0.9
32-1COLUMBCOLUMB×3Attack errAdell Murray+1.5
43-1COLUMBCOLUMB×3AceColumbia+1.7
53-2COLUMBPENNAttack errDanica Nordlicht+1.1
64-2PENNCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+1.4
74-3COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Skylar Greene+1.2
85-3PENNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Delaney Seaman+1.5
95-4COLUMBPENNKillJenna Garnerset Reese Stringer+1.2
106-4PENNCOLUMB×5KillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+1.6
117-4COLUMBCOLUMB×5Attack errHaley Kerstetter+2.3
128-4COLUMBCOLUMB×5KillCharlotte Gravleeset Clara Yu+2.5
139-4COLUMBCOLUMB×5KillDahlia Robertsset Elena Maynulet+2.6
1410-4COLUMBCOLUMB×5Attack errJenna Garner+2.7
1510-5COLUMBPENN×7BlockedDahlia Robertsblk Jenna Garner+1.5
1610-6PENNPENN×7AcePenn+2.2
1710-7PENNPENN×7BlockedDahlia Robertsblk Jenna Garner, Lauryn Lewis+2.2
1810-8PENNPENN×7KillLauryn Lewisset Emery Moore+2.2
1910-9PENNPENN×7Attack errElise Hiemstra+2.1
2010-10PENNPENN×7KillJenna Garnerset Elsa McDermott+2.0
2110-11PENNPENN×7KillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+1.8
2211-11PENNCOLUMB×3KillCharlotte Gravleeset Clara Yu+1.5
2312-11COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillElise Hiemstraset Delaney Seaman+2.4
2413-11COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillAvery Jonesset Delaney Seaman+2.8
2513-12COLUMBPENN×4KillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+1.8
2613-13PENNPENN×4Attack errCharlotte Gravlee+2.3
2713-14PENNPENN×4Attack errElise Hiemstra+2.1
2813-15PENNPENN×4Bad setClaire Mo+1.8
2914-15PENNCOLUMBAttack errZada Sanger+1.4
3014-16COLUMBPENNKillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+1.4
3114-17PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.5
3215-17PENNCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+1.1
3315-18COLUMBPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+1.1
3416-18PENNCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Delaney Seaman+1.1
3516-19COLUMBPENN×5KillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.2
3616-20PENNPENN×5Attack errDanica Nordlicht+1.1
3716-21PENNPENN×5KillAdell Murrayset Nathalie Tsai+0.7
3816-22PENNPENN×5KillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+0.3
3916-23PENNPENN×5Attack errElena Maynulet+0.1
4017-23PENNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Elena Maynulet·
4118-23COLUMBCOLUMBBlockedJenna Garnerblk Dahlia Roberts, Danica Nordlicht+0.1
4218-24COLUMBPENNBad setElise Hiemstra+0.1
4319-24PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn·
4419-25COLUMBPENNKillSkylar Greeneset Nathalie Tsai+0.1
Set 4
11-0PENNCOLUMB×3KillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+0.8
22-0COLUMBCOLUMB×3Attack errEllie Siskin+1.2
33-0COLUMBCOLUMB×3BlockedLauryn Lewisblk Danica Nordlicht+1.3
43-1COLUMBPENNKillEllie Siskinset Emery Moore+0.9
53-2PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.1
64-2PENNCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Claire Mo+1.0
74-3COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+0.8
84-4PENNPENNAttack errElena Maynulet+1.0
95-4PENNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+0.9
105-5COLUMBPENN×4KillAdell Murrayset Emery Moore+0.8
115-6PENNPENN×4Attack errDahlia Roberts+1.0
125-7PENNPENN×4AcePennaced Danica Nordlicht+0.8
135-8PENNPENN×4KillAdell Murrayset Nathalie Tsai+0.7
146-8PENNCOLUMB×3KillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+0.5
157-8COLUMBCOLUMB×3Attack errSkylar Greene+0.9
168-8COLUMBCOLUMB×3Attack errSkylar Greene+1.1
178-9COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+0.8
188-10PENNPENNKillElise Hiemstraset Alexia Cornea+0.9
199-10PENNCOLUMBAcePenn+0.8
209-11COLUMBPENNKillLauryn Lewisset Nathalie Tsai+0.7
2110-11PENNCOLUMB×7KillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+0.8
2211-11COLUMBCOLUMB×7KillCharlotte Gravleeset Evie Naumann+1.3
2312-11COLUMBCOLUMB×7BlockedEllie Siskinblk Avery Jones, Charlotte Gravlee+1.6
2413-11COLUMBCOLUMB×7BlockedJenna Garnerblk Avery Jones, Charlotte Gravlee+2.0
2514-11COLUMBCOLUMB×7Bad setEllie Siskin+2.2
2615-11COLUMBCOLUMB×7Bad setAddison Pollock+2.3
2716-11COLUMBCOLUMB×7KillElena Maynuletset Delaney Seaman+2.3
2816-12COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+1.2
2916-13PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.8
3017-13PENNCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+2.0
3117-14COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+1.4
3217-15PENNPENNKillAdell Murrayset Lauryn Lewis+2.1
3318-15PENNCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+2.2
3419-15COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errZada Sanger+2.7
3519-16COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+1.4
3619-17PENNPENNAcePennaced Evie Naumann+2.2
3720-17PENNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+2.5
3820-18COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Jenna Garner+1.7
3921-18PENNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+2.7
4021-19COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+1.7
4121-20PENNPENNBlockedElise Hiemstrablk Skylar Greene, Lauryn Lewis+2.9
4222-20PENNCOLUMBAttack errJenna Garner+3.2
4322-21COLUMBPENNKillLauryn Lewisset Nathalie Tsai+2.3
4422-22PENNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Emery Moore+3.7
4523-22PENNCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Evie Naumann+3.8
4623-23COLUMBPENNServe errColumbia+3.3
4723-24PENNPENNAcePenn+4.9
4824-24PENNCOLUMBBlockedZada Sangerblk Avery Jones, Charlotte Gravlee+3.5
4924-25COLUMBPENNKillLauryn Lewisset Emery Moore+3.5
5024-26PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Emery Moore+3.5

Score shown after each rally, Columbia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).