Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Penn def. Columbia 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Penn 86.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Penn won at Columbia 3-1 (19-25, 25-18, 25-19, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Penn's Zada Sanger led with 16 kills.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
PENN192525253
COLUMB251819151

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Penn won it on serve.

The biggest single-rally swing was 3.6 points, and Columbia's high was 32% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Penn at 86%.

PennColumbia
  • Break %+12.0 pts
    44.132.1

    41 of 93 on serve vs 25 of 78, so Columbia's sideout was 55.9%.

  • Hitting+.133
    .309.176

    Kills and errors: 50–16 vs 42–21.

Columbia above 50Penn belowMax swing 3.6%

PennColumbia

Aces
Penn 6·Columbia 4
Serve err
Penn 11·Columbia 12
Blocks
Penn 7·Columbia 84 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Penn 53·Columbia 39

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Columbia above 50 · Penn below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+3.6% COLUMBrally 171 · set 4

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Columbia — set 1, PENN 19-22 COLUMB. Ace by Delaney Seaman on Elsa McDermott. COLUMB win probability 23% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PENN 83.1%16.9% COLUMB

Penn wins

3-0
34.8%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.3%

Columbia wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
8.8%
PENN break %
46.9% vs this opp
COLUMB break %
39.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Delaney Seaman on Elsa McDermott

    Set 1 · PENN 19-22 COLUMB · COLUMB 23% → 27%

  2. 02

    Ellie Siskin stuffed by Danica Nordlicht

    Set 1 · PENN 18-20 COLUMB · COLUMB 19% → 22%

  3. 03

    Ace by Elise Hiemstra on Jenna Garner

    Set 1 · PENN 18-19 COLUMB · COLUMB 16% → 19%

  4. 04
    Elsa McDermottBad set+3.1%

    Bad set by Elsa McDermott

    Set 1 · PENN 19-21 COLUMB · COLUMB 20% → 23%

  5. 05

    Kill by Elena Maynulet (set by Claire Mo)

    Set 1 · PENN 19-23 COLUMB · COLUMB 27% → 30%

  6. 06
    Claire MoAce+2.4%

    Ace by Claire Mo on Zada Sanger

    Set 1 · PENN 17-17 COLUMB · COLUMB 13% → 16%

  7. 07
    Avery JonesKill+2.4%

    Kill by Avery Jones (set by Nathalie Tsai)

    Set 1 · PENN 12-14 COLUMB · COLUMB 17% → 19%

  8. 08
    Haley KerstetterAttack error+2.3%

    Attack error by Haley Kerstetter

    Set 3 · PENN 15-13 COLUMB · COLUMB 13% → 16%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Pennaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416331.41900042010.516.5
412432.25010011100012
47011.63600000212.59.5
4419.333111402238
41011.0001733300004
41410-.30000000010.51.5
46412.16710010010.56.5
42021.0002103900002
4000–6221100002
4102.5000021010001
Team totals5016110.3094761153446794
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410835.0570121202112
410221.38100010031.511.5
47518.111202101010.57.5
44213.15400010153.57.5
43211.09100000111.54.5
4103.3331703300001
45215.200000000005
41011.0001110600002
4000–7121500001
4000–012100001
1102.500000100001
1000–000000000
1000–001010000
Team totals4221119.17637412396212877

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Penn vs Columbia

Season series · Penn leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 PENN · COLUMB 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 PENNCOLUMB 5

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 3 PENNCOLUMB 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 PENNCOLUMB 4

Set 4

25-15

Longest run 3 PENNCOLUMB 2

Bars above the line = Columbia leads, below = Penn leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Penn

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
40%6/15
2
63%10/16
50%10/20
3
82%9/11
44%7/16
4
69%9/13
31%4/13
5
58%7/12
50%8/16
6
88%7/8
46%6/13
All
68%53/78
44%41/93

Columbia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
25%3/12
2
63%10/16
44%8/18
3
56%9/16
29%4/14
4
53%8/15
10%1/10
5
73%8/11
33%4/12
6
54%7/13
42%5/12
All
56%52/93
32%25/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

171 rallies

#PENN-COLUMBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1PENNCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Clara Yu+1.1
20-2COLUMBCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Delaney Seaman+1.6
31-2COLUMBPENNServe errElena Maynulet+1.1
42-2PENNPENNAttack errElise Hiemstra+1.4
52-3PENNCOLUMB×3KillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+1.2
62-4COLUMBCOLUMB×3Bad setNathalie Tsai+1.7
72-5COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillElena Maynuletset Nathalie Tsai+1.8
83-5COLUMBPENNBlockedDanica Nordlichtblk Haley Kerstetter+1.2
93-6PENNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Delaney Seaman+1.5
104-6COLUMBPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Reese Stringer+1.2
114-7PENNCOLUMB×3Serve errPenn+1.5
124-8COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+1.9
134-9COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillDahlia Robertsset Claire Mo+1.9
145-9COLUMBPENN×3KillEllie Siskinset Reese Stringer+1.2
156-9PENNPENN×3Bad setClaire Mo+1.7
167-9PENNPENN×3KillEllie Siskinset Reese Stringer+1.8
177-10PENNCOLUMBAttack errJenna Garner+1.7
187-11COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errEllie Siskin+2.1
198-11COLUMBPENN×3Serve errDelaney Seaman+1.3
209-11PENNPENN×3AceNathalie Tsaiaced Elena Maynulet+1.9
2110-11PENNPENN×3BlockedElena Maynuletblk Adell Murray, Pilar Kelley+1.9
2210-12PENNCOLUMBServe errNathalie Tsai+1.8
2311-12COLUMBPENNKillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+1.5
2412-12PENNPENNBlockedCharlotte Gravleeblk Adell Murray+2.0
2512-13PENNCOLUMBAttack errPilar Kelley+1.7
2612-14COLUMBCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Nathalie Tsai+2.4
2713-14COLUMBPENNServe errElena Maynulet+1.7
2814-14PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Nathalie Tsai+2.2
2914-15PENNCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+1.9
3015-15COLUMBPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Nathalie Tsai+1.8
3116-15PENNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+2.2
3217-15PENNPENN×3Attack errElise Hiemstra+2.0
3317-16PENNCOLUMBKillClara Yu+1.5
3417-17COLUMBCOLUMBAceClaire Moaced Zada Sanger+2.4
3518-17COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+1.9
3618-18PENNCOLUMB×3Serve errPenn+2.1
3718-19COLUMBCOLUMB×3AceElise Hiemstraaced Jenna Garner+3.2
3818-20COLUMBCOLUMB×3BlockedEllie Siskinblk Danica Nordlicht+3.5
3919-20COLUMBPENNBlockedElise Hiemstrablk Haley Kerstetter+2.2
4019-21PENNCOLUMB×5Bad setElsa McDermott+3.1
4119-22COLUMBCOLUMB×5AceDelaney Seamanaced Elsa McDermott+3.6
4219-23COLUMBCOLUMB×5KillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+2.8
4319-24COLUMBCOLUMB×5KillElena Maynuletset Delaney Seaman+1.5
4419-25COLUMBCOLUMB×5Attack errJenna Garner+0.4
Set 2
11-0COLUMBPENNKillAdell Murrayset Reese Stringer+1.7
22-0PENNPENNKillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+2.0
32-1PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+1.6
43-1COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+1.6
53-2PENNCOLUMBBlockedEllie Siskinblk Charlotte Gravlee, Elise Hiemstra+1.7
64-2COLUMBPENNServe errMadison Hsieh+1.6
75-2PENNPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Nathalie Tsai+1.9
85-3PENNCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+1.5
96-3COLUMBPENNKillElsa McDermottset Ellie Siskin+1.5
106-4PENNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo+1.5
117-4COLUMBPENNAttack errElena Maynulet+1.5
128-4PENNPENNKillAdell Murrayset Reese Stringer+1.7
138-5PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+1.2
149-5COLUMBPENNBad setElena Maynulet+1.3
159-6PENNCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+1.3
1610-6COLUMBPENNServe errClara Yu+1.3
1710-7PENNCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+1.3
1811-7COLUMBPENNBlockedAvery Jonesblk Zada Sanger, Haley Kerstetter+1.4
1912-7PENNPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Nathalie Tsai+1.4
2012-8PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+1.0
2113-8COLUMBPENNKillEllie Siskinset Nathalie Tsai+1.1
2213-9PENNCOLUMBBlockedEllie Siskinblk Elise Hiemstra, Danica Nordlicht+1.0
2314-9COLUMBPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+1.1
2415-9PENNPENN×3Attack errElise Hiemstra+1.1
2516-9PENNPENN×3Attack errDahlia Roberts+0.7
2616-10PENNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo+0.4
2717-10COLUMBPENNServe errElise Hiemstra+0.5
2817-11PENNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Claire Mo+0.4
2918-11COLUMBPENNKillReese Stringer+0.5
3018-12PENNCOLUMBAttack errPilar Kelley+0.4
3118-13COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errZada Sanger+0.7
3219-13COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Lauren Van Wie+0.8
3319-14PENNCOLUMB×3KillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+0.5
3419-15COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+1.1
3519-16COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+1.7
3620-16COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+1.7
3721-16PENNPENNBlockedElise Hiemstrablk Haley Kerstetter, Ellie Siskin+1.4
3821-17PENNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Delaney Seaman+0.7
3922-17COLUMBPENNKillHaley Kerstetterset Nathalie Tsai+1.0
4022-18PENNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Elena Maynulet+0.6
4123-18COLUMBPENN×3Serve errEvie Naumann+0.9
4224-18PENNPENN×3Attack errElena Maynulet+0.4
4325-18PENNPENN×3AceHaley Kerstetteraced Evie Naumann+0.1
Set 3
11-0PENNPENN×3Attack errElena Maynulet+2.1
22-0PENNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+1.9
33-0PENNPENN×3Bad setElena Maynulet+1.7
43-1PENNCOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+1.3
54-1COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Lauren Van Wie+1.3
64-2PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+1.3
75-2COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Lauren Van Wie+1.3
85-3PENNCOLUMBAttack errZada Sanger+1.4
96-3COLUMBPENNKillNathalie Tsaiset Haley Kerstetter+1.4
107-3PENNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+1.5
117-4PENNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Delaney Seaman+1.2
128-4COLUMBPENNKillJenna Garnerset Lauren Van Wie+1.2
138-5PENNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Claire Mo+1.2
149-5COLUMBPENN×4KillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+1.2
1510-5PENNPENN×4Attack errElena Maynulet+1.3
1611-5PENNPENN×4KillJenna Garnerset Reese Stringer+1.0
1712-5PENNPENN×4KillJenna Garnerset Reese Stringer+0.7
1812-6PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+0.5
1912-7COLUMBCOLUMBBlockedJenna Garnerblk Danica Nordlicht, Avery Jones+0.8
2013-7COLUMBPENNServe errClara Yu+0.8
2114-7PENNPENNAttack errDanica Nordlicht+0.7
2214-8PENNCOLUMB×4KillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+0.4
2314-9COLUMBCOLUMB×4KillDanica Nordlicht+0.8
2414-10COLUMBCOLUMB×4BlockedZada Sangerblk Danica Nordlicht, Avery Jones+1.2
2514-11COLUMBCOLUMB×4KillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+1.6
2615-11COLUMBPENNKillPilar Kelleyset Reese Stringer+1.4
2715-12PENNCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+1.3
2815-13COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errHaley Kerstetter+2.3
2916-13COLUMBPENNKillAvery Jonesset Reese Stringer+1.9
3017-13PENNPENNBad setDelaney Seaman+2.0
3117-14PENNCOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Clara Yu+1.3
3218-14COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Nathalie Tsai+1.6
3318-15PENNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Claire Mo+1.3
3419-15COLUMBPENNKillEllie Siskinset Nathalie Tsai+1.6
3519-16PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+1.3
3620-16COLUMBPENNServe errDelaney Seaman+1.6
3720-17PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+1.3
3821-17COLUMBPENNKillAdell Murrayset Reese Stringer+1.7
3921-18PENNCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Elena Maynulet+1.2
4022-18COLUMBPENNAttack errElise Hiemstra+1.6
4123-18PENNPENNBad setClara Yu+1.1
4223-19PENNCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+0.4
4324-19COLUMBPENNKillAdell Murray+0.7
4425-19PENNPENNAceNathalie Tsai+0.2
Set 4
11-0COLUMBPENN×3Serve errClara Yu+1.2
22-0PENNPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Lauren Van Wie+1.4
33-0PENNPENN×3Attack errAvery Jones+1.3
43-1PENNCOLUMBBlockedPilar Kelleyblk Avery Jones, Danica Nordlicht+1.0
53-2COLUMBCOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Delaney Seaman+1.5
64-2COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+1.2
75-2PENNPENNAceNathalie Tsai+1.3
85-3PENNCOLUMBServe errNathalie Tsai+1.1
96-3COLUMBPENNServe errMadison Hsieh+1.1
107-3PENNPENNAttack errElise Hiemstra+1.2
117-4PENNCOLUMBServe errPenn+0.9
128-4COLUMBPENN×3KillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+0.9
139-4PENNPENN×3Attack errCharlotte Gravlee+1.0
1410-4PENNPENN×3KillEllie Siskin+0.8
1510-5PENNCOLUMBKillClaire Mo+0.5
1611-5COLUMBPENNServe errElise Hiemstra+0.6
1711-6PENNCOLUMBAttack errJenna Garner+0.5
1812-6COLUMBPENNKillAdell Murrayset Reese Stringer+0.6
1912-7PENNCOLUMBBad setZada Sanger+0.5
2013-7COLUMBPENN×3KillAdell Murrayset Reese Stringer+0.6
2114-7PENNPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Lauren Van Wie+0.5
2215-7PENNPENN×3Attack errElise Hiemstra+0.4
2315-8PENNCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+0.2
2416-8COLUMBPENNKillReese Stringerset Jenna Garner+0.3
2516-9PENNCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+0.2
2616-10COLUMBCOLUMBAceMadison Hsiehaced Zada Sanger+0.4
2717-10COLUMBPENNKillZada Sangerset Nathalie Tsai+0.4
2818-10PENNPENNKillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+0.3
2918-11PENNCOLUMBKillAvery Jonesset Clara Yu+0.2
3019-11COLUMBPENNKillJenna Garnerset Nathalie Tsai+0.2
3119-12PENNCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+0.1
3220-12COLUMBPENNKillEllie Siskinset Nathalie Tsai+0.2
3320-13PENNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Claire Mo+0.1
3421-13COLUMBPENNKillAdell Murrayset Reese Stringer+0.2
3522-13PENNPENNBlockedDahlia Robertsblk Adell Murray+0.1
3622-14PENNCOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Delaney Seaman·
3722-15COLUMBCOLUMBBlockedPilar Kelleyblk Elena Maynulet, Danica Nordlicht+0.1
3823-15COLUMBPENN×3KillZada Sangerset Reese Stringer+0.1
3924-15PENNPENN×3AceLauren Van Wieaced Elise Hiemstra·
4025-15PENNPENN×3AceLauren Van Wieaced Elise Hiemstra·

Score shown after each rally, Penn first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).