Mercer vs Samford Volleyball: Samford Wins 3-1 (Oct 6, 2026)

Final · 4 setsTue, Oct 6, 2026ESPN+

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Samford 73.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 6, 6:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Samford beat visiting Mercer 3-1 (20-25, 25-15, 25-23, 25-15) on Tue, Oct 6, 2026. Samford's Ally Cordes led with 14 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 9:45 PM CT · final Oct 6

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
MERCER	25	15	23	15	1
SAMFRD	20	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.414 on 29 swings: Ally Cordes and Samford edged Mercer.

The match turned twice; each line shows Samford's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Samford at 73%.

Turning point 1: Set 3 · Mercer 12–15 Samford
Down 12–15, Mercer scored 4 straight to lead 16–15.
Samford 77% → 61%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · Mercer 20–23 Samford
Mercer scored 3 straight to erase a 20–23 deficit and tie it at 23.
Samford 82% → 66%

Samford above 50Mercer belowMax swing 10.7%

MercerSamford

Sideout %: Mercer 56.4·Samford 68.4
Break %: Mercer 31.6·Samford 43.6
Hitting: Mercer .180·Samford .288
Longest run: Mercer 5·Samford 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Samford above 50 · Mercer below

Biggest swing: 10.7% to Samford — set 3, MERCER 23-25 SAMFRD. Kill by Hazel Slusher (set by Alison Ohlinger). SAMFRD win probability 75% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MERCER 32.0%68.0% SAMFRD

Mercer wins

3-0

6.3%

3-1

11.3%

3-2

14.4%

Samford wins

3-0

21.9%

3-1

26.1%

3-2

20.0%

MERCER break %: 41.4% vs this opp
SAMFRD break %: 45.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Hazel SlusherKill+10.7%
Kill by Hazel Slusher (set by Alison Ohlinger)
Set 3 · MERCER 23-25 SAMFRD · SAMFRD 75% → 85%
02
Bella PonsKill+9.1%
Kill by Bella Pons (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 3 · MERCER 23-23 SAMFRD · MERCER 25% → 34%
03
Maggie KaliszKill+9.1%
Kill by Maggie Kalisz (set by Alison Ohlinger)
Set 3 · MERCER 23-24 SAMFRD · SAMFRD 66% → 75%
04
Hazel SlusherAttack error+5.3%
Attack error by Hazel Slusher
Set 3 · MERCER 22-23 SAMFRD · MERCER 20% → 25%
05
MercerAce+5.1%
Mercer ace
Set 3 · MERCER 16-15 SAMFRD · MERCER 34% → 39%
06
Lara MattaAttack error+5.0%
Attack error by Lara Matta
Set 3 · MERCER 16-17 SAMFRD · SAMFRD 65% → 70%
07
Taylor TimkoAttack error+4.9%
Attack error by Taylor Timko
Set 3 · MERCER 17-19 SAMFRD · SAMFRD 70% → 75%
08
Bella PonsKill+4.5%
Kill by Bella Pons (set by Sammi Bergjans)
Set 3 · MERCER 15-15 SAMFRD · MERCER 29% → 34%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Merceraway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Joselynn SanjurjoMB	4	13	7	31	.194	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	13.5
20Lara MattaOH	4	12	7	38	.132	1	0	0	5	5	1	0.5	12.5
19Taylor TimkoOH	4	12	4	27	.296	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	12
12Bella PonsMB	4	10	3	23	.304	1	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	10.5
8Sammi BergjansS	4	6	0	15	.400	42	1	2	7	0	0	0	7
15Brooklyn PalmerOH	3	3	4	14	-.071	1	1	1	5	0	0	0	4
21Sarah FragerL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	17	1	0	0	1
9Aubri MartinL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	6	0	2	22	2	0	0	0
11Emily MatiasOH	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
14Jasmine CaltonMB	2	1	3	12	-.167	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
6Brooke KaouiL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
4Tracey HemelingsS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		57	28	161	.180	52	3	5	68	8	4	2	78

Samfordhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Ally CordesOH	4	14	2	29	.414	1	1	2	19	1	2	1	2.5	17.5
18Maggie KaliszOH	4	12	0	29	.414	0	3	2	8	0	0	2	1	16
4Hazel SlusherMB	4	12	3	27	.333	0	0	1	1	0	1	6	4	16
3Brianna HamiltonOH	4	7	3	38	.105	0	0	0	11	0	2	5	4.5	11.5
16Janie StinchcombMB	4	6	3	14	.214	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	8
10Alison OhlingerS	4	0	0	2	.000	45	2	2	8	0	0	2	1	3
7Brooklyn DrumwrightOH	4	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	12	0	0	0	0	2
1Carly MinatelL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
8Katelyn StooksburyL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		51	11	139	.288	48	8	7	68	3	5	20	15	95

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Mercer vs Samford

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Tue, Oct 6, 2026Mercer at Samford · Samford won 3-1This match
Tue, Oct 27, 2026Samford at Mercer · Mercer won 3-2Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 MERCER · SAMFRD 7

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 3 MERCERSAMFRD 3

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 MERCERSAMFRD 7

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 MERCERSAMFRD 4

Set 4

15-25

Longest run 2 MERCERSAMFRD 4

Bars above the line = Samford leads, below = Mercer leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mercer

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	61%11/18	50%9/18
2	56%9/16	31%5/16
3	41%9/22	36%5/14
4	64%9/14	25%3/12
5	57%8/14	27%3/11
6	70%7/10	0%0/8
All	56%53/94	32%25/79

Samford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%11/16	40%6/15
2	67%10/15	44%8/18
3	60%9/15	53%10/19
4	75%9/12	36%5/14
5	80%8/10	44%7/16
6	64%7/11	42%5/12
All	68%54/79	44%41/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#	MERCER-SAMFRD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Brianna Hamilton	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.5
2	1-1	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Bella Pons	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.6
3	1-2	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.5
4	2-2	SAMFRD	MERCER×3	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.6
5	3-2	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
6	4-2	MERCER	MERCER×3	Ace	Mercer	aced Katelyn Stooksbury	+2.3
7	4-3	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.7
8	5-3	SAMFRD	MERCER×3	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
9	6-3	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Ally Cordes		+2.5
10	7-3	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Hazel Slusher		+2.4
11	7-4	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.6
12	8-4	SAMFRD	MERCER×3	Serve err	Samford		+1.9
13	9-4	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.3
14	10-4	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.1
15	10-5	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Janie Stinchcomb	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.3
16	11-5	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Bella Pons	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.6
17	11-6	MERCER	SAMFRD	Serve err	Mercer		+1.3
18	12-6	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.6
19	12-7	MERCER	SAMFRD	Blocked	Bella Pons	blk Brianna Hamilton, Janie Stinchcomb	+1.2
20	12-8	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+2.0
21	13-8	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Lara Matta	+1.9
22	14-8	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Brianna Hamilton		+2.1
23	14-9	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.2
24	15-9	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Brooklyn Palmer	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.6
25	15-10	MERCER	SAMFRD	Blocked	Joselynn Sanjurjo	blk Brianna Hamilton, Hazel Slusher	+1.2
26	16-10	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.6
27	16-11	MERCER	SAMFRD×3	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.1
28	16-12	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Blocked	Joselynn Sanjurjo	blk Ally Cordes	+1.9
29	16-13	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Blocked	Joselynn Sanjurjo	blk Ally Cordes	+2.4
30	17-13	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.4
31	17-14	MERCER	SAMFRD	Serve err	Mercer		+1.8
32	18-14	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Sammi Bergjans		+2.4
33	18-15	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.8
34	19-15	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Bella Pons	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.5
35	20-15	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Aubri Martin	+2.5
36	20-16	MERCER	SAMFRD	Attack err	Lara Matta		+1.2
37	21-16	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
38	22-16	MERCER	MERCER	Attack err	Hazel Slusher		+1.5
39	22-17	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Alison Ohlinger	+0.5
40	23-17	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.0
41	23-18	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+0.3
42	23-19	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Attack err	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+0.8
43	24-19	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Sammi Bergjans		+1.3
44	24-20	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+0.3
45	25-20	SAMFRD	MERCER	Blocked	Janie Stinchcomb	blk Lara Matta, Joselynn Sanjurjo	+0.8
Set 2
1	1-0	SAMFRD	MERCER	Serve err	Samford		+2.2
2	1-1	MERCER	SAMFRD×3	Kill	Janie Stinchcomb	set Alison Ohlinger	+2.1
3	1-2	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Ace	Samford	aced Lara Matta	+2.7
4	1-3	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+2.5
5	2-3	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Aubri Martin	+1.9
6	2-4	MERCER	SAMFRD×7	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.9
7	2-5	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×7	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.4
8	2-6	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×7	Blocked	Joselynn Sanjurjo	blk Brianna Hamilton	+2.1
9	2-7	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×7	Blocked	Brooklyn Palmer	blk Hazel Slusher, Brianna Hamilton	+1.8
10	2-8	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×7	Blocked	Taylor Timko	blk Hazel Slusher, Alison Ohlinger	+1.5
11	2-9	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×7	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.2
12	2-10	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×7	Ace	Samford	aced Lara Matta	+0.9
13	3-10	SAMFRD	MERCER	Serve err	Samford		+0.5
14	3-11	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Brianna Hamilton	set Brooklyn Drumwright	+0.6
15	4-11	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.5
16	5-11	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Bella Pons	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.9
17	5-12	MERCER	SAMFRD	Serve err	Mercer		+0.9
18	6-12	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.7
19	6-13	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+0.8
20	7-13	SAMFRD	MERCER×3	Serve err	Samford		+0.7
21	8-13	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.2
22	9-13	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Janie Stinchcomb		+1.6
23	9-14	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.5
24	10-14	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Sammi Bergjans		+1.2
25	10-15	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Janie Stinchcomb	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.5
26	10-16	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Blocked	Brooklyn Palmer	blk Brianna Hamilton, Hazel Slusher	+1.5
27	11-16	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.8
28	11-17	MERCER	SAMFRD×3	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.1
29	11-18	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Ace	Samford	aced Lara Matta	+0.9
30	11-19	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Attack err	Brooklyn Palmer		+0.6
31	12-19	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.2
32	13-19	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.5
33	13-20	MERCER	SAMFRD	Blocked	Joselynn Sanjurjo	blk Brianna Hamilton, Hazel Slusher	+0.6
34	14-20	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.3
35	14-21	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+0.5
36	14-22	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Attack err	Bella Pons		+0.3
37	15-22	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Bella Pons		+0.1
38	15-23	MERCER	SAMFRD×3	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+0.2
39	15-24	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Kill	Brianna Hamilton	set Ally Cordes	+0.1
40	15-25	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Attack err	Lara Matta		·
Set 3
1	0-1	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Janie Stinchcomb	set Alison Ohlinger	+2.1
2	1-1	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
3	2-1	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Sammi Bergjans	set Aubri Martin	+3.1
4	2-2	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+2.3
5	3-2	SAMFRD	MERCER	Serve err	Samford		+2.5
6	3-3	MERCER	SAMFRD×3	Attack err	Jasmine Calton		+2.3
7	3-4	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Attack err	Lara Matta		+3.0
8	3-5	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Attack err	Jasmine Calton		+2.8
9	4-5	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Jasmine Calton	set Bella Pons	+2.2
10	4-6	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+2.2
11	5-6	SAMFRD	MERCER	Attack err	Janie Stinchcomb		+2.2
12	5-7	MERCER	SAMFRD×4	Kill	Janie Stinchcomb	set Alison Ohlinger	+2.3
13	5-8	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×4	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Brooklyn Drumwright	+2.7
14	5-9	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×4	Ace	Samford	aced Aubri Martin	+2.4
15	5-10	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×4	Ace	Samford	aced Lara Matta	+2.0
16	6-10	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.3
17	6-11	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.5
18	6-12	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Blocked	Joselynn Sanjurjo	blk Brianna Hamilton	+1.6
19	7-12	SAMFRD	MERCER×5	Serve err	Samford		+1.0
20	8-12	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.7
21	9-12	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Lara Matta	set Aubri Martin	+2.2
22	10-12	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo		+2.8
23	11-12	MERCER	MERCER×5	Kill	Sammi Bergjans	set Brooke Kaoui	+3.4
24	11-13	MERCER	SAMFRD	Bad set	Sammi Bergjans		+2.8
25	11-14	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+3.2
26	12-14	SAMFRD	MERCER	Attack err	Brianna Hamilton		+2.3
27	12-15	MERCER	SAMFRD	Blocked	Lara Matta	blk Hazel Slusher, Maggie Kalisz	+2.5
28	13-15	SAMFRD	MERCER×4	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.3
29	14-15	MERCER	MERCER×4	Blocked	Brianna Hamilton	blk Jasmine Calton, Bella Pons	+3.8
30	15-15	MERCER	MERCER×4	Kill	Bella Pons	set Sammi Bergjans	+4.5
31	16-15	MERCER	MERCER×4	Ace	Mercer		+5.1
32	16-16	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Brianna Hamilton	set Alison Ohlinger	+3.7
33	16-17	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Attack err	Lara Matta		+5.0
34	17-17	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+3.9
35	17-18	MERCER	SAMFRD×3	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+4.0
36	17-19	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Attack err	Taylor Timko		+4.9
37	17-20	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+4.1
38	18-20	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.6
39	18-21	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+3.3
40	19-21	SAMFRD	MERCER	Serve err	Samford		+2.5
41	19-22	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+3.5
42	20-22	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.4
43	20-23	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Brianna Hamilton	set Alison Ohlinger	+3.6
44	21-23	SAMFRD	MERCER×3	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+2.2
45	22-23	MERCER	MERCER×3	Attack err	Hazel Slusher		+5.3
46	23-23	MERCER	MERCER×3	Kill	Bella Pons	set Sammi Bergjans	+9.1
47	23-24	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Alison Ohlinger	+9.1
48	23-25	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+10.7
Set 4
1	0-1	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Bad set	Sammi Bergjans		+2.3
2	1-1	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.9
3	1-2	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Brianna Hamilton	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.8
4	1-3	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Attack err	Lara Matta		+2.2
5	2-3	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.7
6	2-4	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.7
7	2-5	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Ace	Samford	aced Lara Matta	+2.1
8	3-5	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Bella Pons	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.6
9	3-6	MERCER	SAMFRD	Attack err	Taylor Timko		+1.6
10	3-7	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Blocked	Bella Pons	blk Hazel Slusher	+1.9
11	4-7	SAMFRD	MERCER	Attack err	Ally Cordes		+1.4
12	4-8	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.5
13	4-9	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Blocked	Taylor Timko	blk Janie Stinchcomb, Alison Ohlinger	+1.6
14	5-9	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	+1.1
15	5-10	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Janie Stinchcomb	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.3
16	6-10	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Aubri Martin	+1.1
17	7-10	MERCER	MERCER	Ace	Mercer	aced Ally Cordes	+1.8
18	7-11	MERCER	SAMFRD×4	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.6
19	7-12	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×4	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.7
20	7-13	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×4	Attack err	Brooklyn Palmer		+1.3
21	7-14	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×4	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Alison Ohlinger	+1.0
22	8-14	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Sammi Bergjans	set Brooklyn Palmer	+0.6
23	8-15	MERCER	SAMFRD×3	Serve err	Mercer		+0.7
24	8-16	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Attack err	Lara Matta		+0.6
25	8-17	SAMFRD	SAMFRD×3	Ace	Samford	aced Sarah Frager	+0.4
26	9-17	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Bella Pons	set Aubri Martin	+0.2
27	9-18	MERCER	SAMFRD	Serve err	Mercer		+0.3
28	10-18	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Bella Pons	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.2
29	10-19	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Brianna Hamilton	set Alison Ohlinger	+0.2
30	11-19	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.1
31	11-20	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Hazel Slusher	set Alison Ohlinger	+0.2
32	11-21	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Blocked	Jasmine Calton	blk Ally Cordes, Janie Stinchcomb	+0.1
33	12-21	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	·
34	12-22	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Ally Cordes	set Alison Ohlinger	+0.1
35	13-22	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Taylor Timko	set Sammi Bergjans	·
36	14-22	MERCER	MERCER	Kill	Lara Matta	set Sammi Bergjans	+0.1
37	14-23	MERCER	SAMFRD	Kill	Maggie Kalisz	set Alison Ohlinger	+0.1
38	14-24	SAMFRD	SAMFRD	Ace	Samford	aced Aubri Martin	·
39	15-24	SAMFRD	MERCER	Kill	Joselynn Sanjurjo	set Sammi Bergjans	·
40	15-25	MERCER	SAMFRD	Blocked	Lara Matta	blk Maggie Kalisz, Janie Stinchcomb	·

Score shown after each rally, Mercer first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Samford def. Mercer 3–1

.414 on 29 swings: Ally Cordes and Samford edged Mercer.