Final · 4 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UNC Greensboro def. Samford 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UNC Greensboro 71.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UNC Greensboro beat visiting Samford 3-1 (19-25, 25-19, 25-19, 25-23) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. UNC Greensboro's Allie Sweet and Hailey Clifton led with 20 kills each, and Chloe Nussbaum added 28 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set1234Sets
SAMFRD251919231
UNC G192525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Izora Gragg set 50 assists as UNC Greensboro outlasted Samford.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are UNC Greensboro's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, RallyIQ had UNC Greensboro at 72%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Samford 18–19 UNC Greensboro

    3 straight Samford points turned an 18–19 deficit into a 21–19 lead.

    UNC Greensboro 87% → 72%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Samford 21–19 UNC Greensboro

    UNC Greensboro scored 3 straight to turn a 19–21 deficit into a 22–21 lead.

    UNC Greensboro 72% → 88%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Samford 22–22 UNC Greensboro

    UNC Greensboro closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and win the match 3–1.

    UNC Greensboro 83% → >99%

UNC Greensboro above 50Samford belowMax swing 9.2%

SamfordUNC Greensboro

Sideout %
Samford 55.9·UNC Greensboro 60.9
Break %
Samford 39.1·UNC Greensboro 44.1
Hitting
Samford .207·UNC Greensboro .259
Longest run
Samford 5·UNC Greensboro 5

Allie Sweet
20 kills on .244, 25 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNC Greensboro above 50 · Samford below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.2% UNC Grally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.2% to UNC Greensboro — set 4, SAMFRD 23-25 UNC G. Kill by Hailey Clifton (set by Izora Gragg). UNC G win probability 91% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SAMFRD 27.9%72.1% UNC G

Samford wins

3-0
5.1%
3-1
9.7%
3-2
13.0%

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0
24.8%
3-1
27.7%
3-2
19.7%
SAMFRD break %
40.1% vs this opp
UNC G break %
44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Hailey Clifton (set by Izora Gragg)

    Set 4 · SAMFRD 23-25 UNC G · UNC G 91% → 100%

  2. 02
    Allie SweetKill+7.4%

    Kill by Allie Sweet (set by Izora Gragg)

    Set 4 · SAMFRD 23-24 UNC G · UNC G 83% → 91%

  3. 03

    Maggie Kalisz stuffed by Allie Sweet & Siena Smiejek

    Set 4 · SAMFRD 21-22 UNC G · UNC G 81% → 88%

  4. 04

    Maggie Kalisz stuffed by Allie Sweet & Siena Smiejek

    Set 4 · SAMFRD 21-21 UNC G · UNC G 75% → 81%

  5. 05
    Allie SweetAttack error+6.1%

    Attack error by Allie Sweet

    Set 4 · SAMFRD 21-19 UNC G · SAMFRD 22% → 28%

  6. 06
    Allie SweetKill+5.9%

    Kill by Allie Sweet (set by Izora Gragg)

    Set 4 · SAMFRD 22-23 UNC G · UNC G 83% → 89%

  7. 07

    Kill by Brianna Hamilton (set by Emma Sorensen)

    Set 4 · SAMFRD 20-19 UNC G · SAMFRD 17% → 22%

  8. 08

    Kill by Brianna Hamilton (set by Emma Sorensen)

    Set 4 · SAMFRD 23-23 UNC G · SAMFRD 11% → 17%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417340.3500109412220
417340.350111111010.518.5
48924-.0425032006311
44012.33300010153.57.5
42217.000001200424
3003.0002820300002
4000–340910004
4024-.500000000000
4000–1100500000
4000–000510000
Team totals4819140.20748854772181186
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420945.24403119304225
49631.09711072052.512.5
47213.3850012008411
44415.00000100052.56.5
41011.000502060010.53.5
4000–310120001
420434.4710001004222
4000–4012810000
2000–001100000
Team totals6125139.259587565802713.594

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Samford vs UNC Greensboro

Season series · UNC Greensboro leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SAMFRD · UNC G 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 5 SAMFRDUNC G 5

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 3 SAMFRDUNC G 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 3 SAMFRDUNC G 5

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 3 SAMFRDUNC G 4

Bars above the line = UNC Greensboro leads, below = Samford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Samford

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
50%9/18
2
56%9/16
52%12/23
3
43%9/21
31%4/13
4
57%8/14
25%3/12
5
67%8/12
20%2/10
6
100%7/7
36%4/11
All
56%52/93
39%34/87

UNC Greensboro

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
31%4/13
2
48%10/21
57%13/23
3
100%9/9
44%7/16
4
62%8/13
62%13/21
5
100%8/8
20%2/10
6
50%7/14
20%2/10
All
61%53/87
44%41/93

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

180 rallies

#SAMFRD-UNC GSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SAMFRDSAMFRD×3AceAlly Cordesaced Kendall Lanclos+2.2
22-0SAMFRDSAMFRD×3Attack errAllie Sweet+2.3
33-0SAMFRDSAMFRD×3KillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+2.4
43-1SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.6
54-1UNC GSAMFRD×3KillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+1.8
65-1SAMFRDSAMFRD×3Attack errAllie Sweet+2.4
76-1SAMFRDSAMFRD×3BlockedAllie Sweetblk Peytyn Pyle, Maggie Kalisz+2.3
86-2SAMFRDUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+1.4
97-2UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+1.7
107-3SAMFRDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.4
118-3UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Brooklyn Drumwright+1.7
128-4SAMFRDUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+1.4
139-4UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.8
149-5SAMFRDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.4
159-6UNC GUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+2.2
1610-6UNC GSAMFRD×3KillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+2.0
1711-6SAMFRDSAMFRD×3Attack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+2.4
1812-6SAMFRDSAMFRD×3AceAlison Ohlingeraced Allie Sweet+2.1
1912-7SAMFRDUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.2
2013-7UNC GSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+1.6
2114-7SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errAllie Sweet+1.7
2214-8SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.9
2315-8UNC GSAMFRD×5BlockedSiena Smiejekblk Janie Stinchcomb+1.3
2416-8SAMFRDSAMFRD×5AceBrooklyn Drumwrightaced Mia Nicklas+1.2
2517-8SAMFRDSAMFRD×5AceBrooklyn Drumwrightaced Allie Sweet+0.8
2618-8SAMFRDSAMFRD×5BlockedAllie Sweetblk Peytyn Pyle, Maggie Kalisz+0.5
2719-8SAMFRDSAMFRD×5AceBrooklyn Drumwrightaced Kendall Lanclos+0.3
2819-9SAMFRDUNC G×3Attack errBrianna Hamilton+0.1
2919-10UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.2
3019-11UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.3
3120-11UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+0.4
3220-12SAMFRDUNC G×5Serve errMaggie Kalisz+0.2
3320-13UNC GUNC G×5Attack errPeytyn Pyle+0.4
3420-14UNC GUNC G×5KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.6
3520-15UNC GUNC G×5BlockedBrianna Hamiltonblk Siena Smiejek, Hailey Clifton+1.0
3620-16UNC GUNC G×5KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.5
3721-16UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+1.8
3821-17SAMFRDUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.0
3922-17UNC GSAMFRDServe errUNC Greensboro+1.7
4022-18SAMFRDUNC GServe errPeytyn Pyle+0.8
4122-19UNC GUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.8
4223-19UNC GSAMFRD×3KillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+2.4
4324-19SAMFRDSAMFRD×3BlockedConnore' Siler-Nixonblk Ally Cordes, Janie Stinchcomb+1.6
4425-19SAMFRDSAMFRD×3Attack errKendall Lanclos+0.4
Set 2
11-0UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Brooklyn Drumwright+2.1
22-0SAMFRDSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Emma Sorensen+3.0
32-1SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.1
43-1UNC GSAMFRD×3KillMaggie Kaliszset Alison Ohlinger+2.3
54-1SAMFRDSAMFRD×3Attack errSiena Smiejek+3.2
65-1SAMFRDSAMFRD×3AceBrooklyn Drumwrightaced Allie Sweet+3.1
75-2SAMFRDUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.0
85-3UNC GUNC G×3BlockedMaggie Kaliszblk Kendall Lanclos, Connore' Siler-Nixon+3.0
95-4UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+3.1
106-4UNC GSAMFRDKillPeytyn Pyleset Alison Ohlinger+2.5
116-5SAMFRDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Kendall Lanclos+2.3
126-6UNC GUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+3.2
137-6UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+2.5
147-7SAMFRDUNC GKillIzora Graggset Chloe Nussbaum+2.4
157-8UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+3.2
168-8UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+2.4
178-9SAMFRDUNC GBlockedAlly Cordesblk Izora Gragg, Connore' Siler-Nixon+2.4
189-9UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+2.5
1910-9SAMFRDSAMFRDAceAlison Ohlingeraced Mia Nicklas+3.7
2010-10SAMFRDUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+2.6
2110-11UNC GUNC G×5Bad setAlison Ohlinger+3.6
2210-12UNC GUNC G×5AceIzora Graggaced Brianna Hamilton+3.3
2310-13UNC GUNC G×5BlockedMaggie Kaliszblk Allie Sweet, Siena Smiejek, Hailey Clifton+3.0
2410-14UNC GUNC G×5Attack errAlly Cordes+2.5
2511-14UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.6
2611-15SAMFRDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.9
2712-15UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+1.6
2813-15SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errKendall Lanclos+2.8
2913-16SAMFRDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.4
3014-16UNC GSAMFRDBlockedHailey Cliftonblk Brianna Hamilton, Peytyn Pyle+2.2
3114-17SAMFRDUNC GServe errMaggie Kalisz+2.5
3214-18UNC GUNC GBlockedPeytyn Pyleblk Kendall Lanclos, Connore' Siler-Nixon+2.7
3315-18UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+1.6
3416-18SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errKendall Lanclos+3.0
3516-19SAMFRDUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+2.7
3616-20UNC GUNC GAceKendall Lanclosaced Katelyn Stooksbury+2.8
3717-20UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.5
3817-21SAMFRDUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.0
3918-21UNC GSAMFRDServe errUNC Greensboro+1.4
4018-22SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.0
4119-22UNC GSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Ally Cordes+1.2
4219-23SAMFRDUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.9
4319-24UNC GUNC G×3Attack errMaggie Kalisz+1.2
4419-25UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.3
Set 3
11-0SAMFRDSAMFRDBlockedAllie Sweetblk Janie Stinchcomb, Maggie Kalisz+3.1
21-1SAMFRDUNC GBlockedBrianna Hamiltonblk Siena Smiejek, Hailey Clifton+2.2
32-1UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+2.4
42-2SAMFRDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.3
53-2UNC GSAMFRDServe errUNC Greensboro+2.4
63-3SAMFRDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.3
73-4UNC GUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Mia Nicklas+3.1
84-4UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+2.4
95-4SAMFRDSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+3.5
105-5SAMFRDUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+2.4
116-5UNC GSAMFRDAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+2.6
126-6SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.5
137-6UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+2.7
147-7SAMFRDUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+2.6
158-7UNC GSAMFRDKillJanie Stinchcombset Alison Ohlinger+2.8
168-8SAMFRDUNC G×5KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+2.7
178-9UNC GUNC G×5BlockedMaggie Kaliszblk Siena Smiejek, Kendall Lanclos+3.6
188-10UNC GUNC G×5AceAllie Sweetaced Brooklyn Drumwright+3.4
198-11UNC GUNC G×5Attack errMaggie Kalisz+3.1
208-12UNC GUNC G×5BlockedMaggie Kaliszblk Siena Smiejek, Kendall Lanclos+2.6
219-12UNC GSAMFRDBlockedHailey Cliftonblk Brianna Hamilton, Janie Stinchcomb+1.7
229-13SAMFRDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.9
2310-13UNC GSAMFRDBlockedKendall Lanclosblk Peytyn Pyle, Maggie Kalisz+1.7
2410-14SAMFRDUNC G×3Serve errMaggie Kalisz+2.0
2510-15UNC GUNC G×3AceMia Nicklasaced Ally Cordes+2.2
2610-16UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.6
2711-16UNC GSAMFRD×3KillBrianna Hamiltonset Alison Ohlinger+0.9
2812-16SAMFRDSAMFRD×3KillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.7
2913-16SAMFRDSAMFRD×3AceBrianna Hamiltonaced Chloe Nussbaum+2.3
3013-17SAMFRDUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+2.1
3114-17UNC GSAMFRDKillPeytyn Pyleset Alison Ohlinger+1.7
3214-18SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Mia Nicklas+2.2
3315-18UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Alison Ohlinger+1.7
3415-19SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.2
3516-19UNC GSAMFRDKillJanie Stinchcombset Alison Ohlinger+1.7
3617-19SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errHailey Clifton+3.3
3717-20SAMFRDUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+3.1
3817-21UNC GUNC G×5KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+3.1
3917-22UNC GUNC G×5KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.9
4017-23UNC GUNC G×5KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.9
4117-24UNC GUNC G×5AceAllie Sweetaced Brianna Hamilton+0.3
4218-24UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Maggie Kalisz·
4319-24SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errHailey Clifton+0.1
4419-25SAMFRDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.2
Set 4
11-0UNC GSAMFRDBlockedAllie Sweetblk Janie Stinchcomb, Maggie Kalisz+2.0
22-0SAMFRDSAMFRDKillJanie Stinchcombset Emma Sorensen+2.8
32-1SAMFRDUNC GBad setEmma Sorensen+1.9
43-1UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Emma Sorensen+2.1
54-1SAMFRDSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Emma Sorensen+2.9
64-2SAMFRDUNC G×4KillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+1.9
74-3UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweet+2.7
84-4UNC GUNC G×4AceIzora Graggaced Brianna Hamilton+2.8
94-5UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.7
105-5UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Emma Sorensen+2.0
115-6SAMFRDUNC GBlockedAmyra Burchikblk Allie Sweet, Siena Smiejek+2.0
125-7UNC GUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+2.6
136-7UNC GSAMFRDServe errUNC Greensboro+1.9
146-8SAMFRDUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.9
157-8UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Maggie Kalisz+1.9
167-9SAMFRDUNC GBlockedAlly Cordesblk Hailey Clifton, Connore' Siler-Nixon+2.0
178-9UNC GSAMFRDAttack errKendall Lanclos+2.0
189-9SAMFRDSAMFRDAttack errKendall Lanclos+3.1
199-10SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.3
2010-10UNC GSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Emma Sorensen+2.4
2111-10SAMFRDSAMFRDBlockedConnore' Siler-Nixonblk Brianna Hamilton+3.5
2211-11SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.5
2311-12UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Mia Nicklas+3.4
2412-12UNC GSAMFRDBlockedAllie Sweetblk Janie Stinchcomb, Maggie Kalisz+2.5
2512-13SAMFRDUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+2.5
2613-13UNC GSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Emma Sorensen+2.6
2713-14SAMFRDUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+2.6
2813-15UNC GUNC G×3AceAllie Sweetaced Brianna Hamilton+3.4
2913-16UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+3.0
3014-16UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Maggie Kalisz+2.0
3115-16SAMFRDSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Maggie Kalisz+3.4
3215-17SAMFRDUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+2.7
3316-17UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Brooklyn Drumwright+2.6
3416-18SAMFRDUNC GBlockedAmyra Burchikblk Kendall Lanclos, Connore' Siler-Nixon+2.9
3517-18UNC GSAMFRDKillAlly Cordesset Maggie Kalisz+2.7
3618-18SAMFRDSAMFRDKillMaggie Kaliszset Emma Sorensen+4.6
3718-19SAMFRDUNC GAttack errMaggie Kalisz+3.6
3819-19UNC GSAMFRD×3KillJanie Stinchcombset Emma Sorensen+3.7
3920-19SAMFRDSAMFRD×3KillBrianna Hamiltonset Emma Sorensen+5.8
4021-19SAMFRDSAMFRD×3Attack errAllie Sweet+6.1
4121-20SAMFRDUNC G×3Serve errAlly Cordes+3.6
4221-21UNC GUNC G×3BlockedMaggie Kaliszblk Allie Sweet, Siena Smiejek+6.2
4321-22UNC GUNC G×3BlockedMaggie Kaliszblk Allie Sweet, Siena Smiejek+6.8
4422-22UNC GSAMFRDServe errUNC Greensboro+5.0
4522-23SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+5.9
4623-23UNC GSAMFRDKillBrianna Hamiltonset Emma Sorensen+5.8
4723-24SAMFRDUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+7.4
4823-25UNC GUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+9.2

Score shown after each rally, Samford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).