Indiana State vs Belmont Volleyball: Belmont Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Belmont 86.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Belmont beat visiting Indiana St. 3-0 (25-17, 25-14, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Lucy Kay led Belmont with 10 kills.

Data through Nov 3, 4:05 PM CT · final Oct 2

Set	1	2	3	Sets
IND ST	17	14	20	0
BELMNT	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.476 and 10 kills for Lucy Kay as Belmont rolled past Indiana St.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.7 points, and Indiana St.'s high was 16% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Belmont at 86%.

Indiana St.Belmont

Break %+21.9 pts
30.252.1
38 of 73 on serve vs 16 of 53, so Indiana St.'s sideout was 47.9%.
Hitting+.173
.121.294
37 kills, 5 errors vs 38 kills, 24 errors.
Longest run+1
56
Belmont scored 6 straight in the second set to open the set 6–0. That set ended 25–14.

Belmont above 50Indiana St. belowMax swing 1.7%

Indiana St.Belmont

Aces: Indiana St. 3·Belmont 3
Serve err: Indiana St. 10·Belmont 4
Blocks: Indiana St. 0·Belmont 70 BS · 0 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs: Indiana St. 58·Belmont 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Belmont above 50 · Indiana St. below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Indiana St. — set 1, IND ST 4-3 BELMNT. Kill by Sydney King (set by Avery Hales). BELMNT win probability 86% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

IND ST 9.1%90.9% BELMNT

Indiana St. wins

3-0

1.2%

3-1

2.8%

3-2

5.2%

Belmont wins

3-0

46.0%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

13.4%

IND ST break %: 36.7% vs this opp
BELMNT break %: 46.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Sydney KingKill+1.7%
Kill by Sydney King (set by Avery Hales)
Set 1 · IND ST 4-3 BELMNT · IND ST 14% → 16%
02
Kira HollandAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Kira Holland
Set 1 · IND ST 4-5 BELMNT · BELMNT 85% → 87%
03
Jordan CzajkowskiBad set+1.5%
Bad set by Jordan Czajkowski
Set 1 · IND ST 3-3 BELMNT · IND ST 13% → 14%
04
Corinne KnappAttack error+1.5%
Attack error by Corinne Knapp
Set 1 · IND ST 6-8 BELMNT · BELMNT 87% → 88%
05
Kira HollandAttack error+1.3%
Attack error by Kira Holland
Set 1 · IND ST 8-11 BELMNT · BELMNT 88% → 89%
06
Sydnee NelsonAce+1.2%
Ace by Sydnee Nelson on Chloe Gilley
Set 1 · IND ST 0-2 BELMNT · BELMNT 87% → 88%
07
BelmontService error+1.1%
Belmont service error
Set 1 · IND ST 6-6 BELMNT · IND ST 13% → 15%
08
Sydney KingAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Sydney King
Set 1 · IND ST 10-14 BELMNT · BELMNT 89% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Indiana St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	PTS
14Curry KendallOH	3	11	7	31	.129	1	1	4	8	0	12
18Kira HollandOH	3	11	8	38	.079	1	0	0	14	1	11
4Ella ScottMB	3	2	2	7	.000	0	0	1	1	0	2
19Avery HalesS	3	2	1	3	.333	31	0	2	6	0	2
2Chloe GilleyL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	2	0
3Sydney KingMB	2	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	0	0	3
12Corinne KnappOH	3	8	3	23	.217	0	0	1	1	0	8
16Macy LengacherL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	2	2	22	0	2
11Emmy SherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Lily MuellerMB	1	1	1	4	.000	1	0	0	0	0	1
8Hadley HardersenS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0
1Sydni WeberL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	0	0
Team totals		38	24	116	.121	36	3	10	58	3	51

Belmonthome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Erin McMullenMB	3	9	0	19	.474	1	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	12
15Lucy KayMB	3	10	0	21	.476	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	11
10Sydnee NelsonOH	3	7	1	16	.375	0	3	2	8	2	0	1	0.5	10.5
3Brenna KauffeldOH	3	6	0	14	.429	0	0	0	5	0	0	2	1	7
2Jordan CzajkowskiS	3	0	0	1	.000	19	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
9Emily WarmenhovenOH	2	3	4	22	-.045	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
7Alivia KeeganS	3	1	0	3	.333	9	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
0Lauren EvansDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
4Madison LansdownL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
12Mya BoltonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
1Connie KofoedOH	2	1	0	13	.077	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1
Team totals		37	5	109	.294	30	3	4	41	3	2	10	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 IND ST · BELMNT 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 IND STBELMNT 3

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 5 IND STBELMNT 6

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 5 IND STBELMNT 4

Bars above the line = Belmont leads, below = Indiana St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Indiana St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	32%8/25	0%0/7
2	44%7/16	11%1/9
3	42%5/12	42%5/12
4	63%5/8	50%5/10
5	83%5/6	50%5/10
6	83%5/6	0%0/5
All	48%35/73	30%16/53

Belmont

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%8/8	60%9/15
2	64%7/11	68%15/22
3	78%7/9	46%6/13
4	36%5/14	50%5/10
5	83%5/6	29%2/7
6	100%5/5	17%1/6
All	70%37/53	52%38/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#	IND ST-BELMNT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	IND ST	BELMNT	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.9
2	0-2	BELMNT	BELMNT	Ace	Sydnee Nelson	aced Chloe Gilley	+1.2
3	1-2	BELMNT	IND ST	Serve err	Sydnee Nelson		+0.9
4	1-3	IND ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Indiana St.		+0.8
5	2-3	BELMNT	IND ST×3	Kill	Sydney King	set Avery Hales	+0.9
6	3-3	IND ST	IND ST×3	Bad set	Jordan Czajkowski		+1.5
7	4-3	IND ST	IND ST×3	Kill	Sydney King	set Avery Hales	+1.7
8	4-4	IND ST	BELMNT	Attack err	Corinne Knapp		+1.1
9	4-5	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Kira Holland		+1.5
10	5-5	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Avery Hales	+1.1
11	5-6	IND ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Indiana St.		+1.0
12	6-6	BELMNT	IND ST	Serve err	Belmont		+1.1
13	6-7	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+1.1
14	6-8	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Corinne Knapp		+1.5
15	7-8	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Avery Hales	+1.0
16	7-9	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Alivia Keegan	+1.0
17	8-9	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+1.0
18	8-10	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.0
19	8-11	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Kira Holland		+1.3
20	9-11	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Avery Hales	+0.9
21	9-12	IND ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Indiana St.		+0.9
22	10-12	BELMNT	IND ST	Attack err	Emily Warmenhoven		+0.9
23	10-13	IND ST	BELMNT×3	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.9
24	10-14	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Attack err	Sydney King		+1.1
25	10-15	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Alivia Keegan		+0.8
26	11-15	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.5
27	11-16	IND ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Indiana St.		+0.6
28	11-17	BELMNT	BELMNT	Attack err	Ella Scott		+0.6
29	12-17	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Avery Hales	+0.3
30	12-18	IND ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Indiana St.		+0.4
31	13-18	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Ella Scott	set Avery Hales	+0.2
32	13-19	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Alivia Keegan	+0.3
33	13-20	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson		+0.3
34	14-20	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Avery Hales	+0.1
35	14-21	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.2
36	14-22	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven	set Mya Bolton	+0.1
37	15-22	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Avery Hales	·
38	16-22	IND ST	IND ST	Ace	Indiana St.	aced Sydnee Nelson	+0.1
39	16-23	IND ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Indiana St.		+0.1
40	16-24	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Emily Warmenhoven		·
41	17-24	BELMNT	IND ST	Attack err	Emily Warmenhoven		·
42	17-25	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	·
Set 2
1	0-1	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Jordan Czajkowski	+1.0
2	0-2	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.9
3	0-3	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Attack err	Curry Kendall		+0.7
4	0-4	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Blocked	Ella Scott	blk Erin McMullen	+0.6
5	0-5	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Attack err	Curry Kendall		+0.5
6	0-6	BELMNT	BELMNT×6	Attack err	Curry Kendall		+0.4
7	1-6	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Avery Hales	+0.2
8	1-7	IND ST	BELMNT×3	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.3
9	1-8	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.3
10	1-9	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Blocked	Curry Kendall	blk Emily Warmenhoven, Brenna Kauffeld	+0.2
11	2-9	BELMNT	IND ST×4	Kill	Sydney King	set Avery Hales	+0.1
12	3-9	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.2
13	4-9	IND ST	IND ST×4	Attack err	Emily Warmenhoven		+0.3
14	5-9	IND ST	IND ST×4	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.5
15	5-10	IND ST	BELMNT×4	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.4
16	5-11	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.4
17	5-12	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.3
18	5-13	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Attack err	Sydney King		+0.2
19	6-13	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.1
20	6-14	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.1
21	6-15	BELMNT	BELMNT	Blocked	Avery Hales	blk Emily Warmenhoven, Lucy Kay	+0.1
22	7-15	BELMNT	IND ST×5	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Avery Hales	·
23	8-15	IND ST	IND ST×5	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Avery Hales	+0.1
24	9-15	IND ST	IND ST×5	Attack err	Emily Warmenhoven		+0.2
25	10-15	IND ST	IND ST×5	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Avery Hales	+0.3
26	11-15	IND ST	IND ST×5	Kill	Avery Hales	set Macy Lengacher	+0.5
27	11-16	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+0.4
28	12-16	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Ella Scott	set Avery Hales	+0.3
29	12-17	IND ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Indiana St.		+0.4
30	13-17	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Avery Hales	+0.3
31	13-18	IND ST	BELMNT×3	Serve err	Indiana St.		+0.4
32	13-19	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Bad set	Avery Hales		+0.4
33	13-20	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Avery Hales	+0.2
34	14-20	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Hadley Hardersen	+0.1
35	14-21	IND ST	BELMNT×5	Serve err	Indiana St.		+0.1
36	14-22	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Ace	Sydnee Nelson	aced Chloe Gilley	+0.1
37	14-23	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	·
38	14-24	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Blocked	Curry Kendall	blk Erin McMullen	·
39	14-25	BELMNT	BELMNT×5	Kill	Erin McMullen		·
Set 3
1	0-1	IND ST	BELMNT×3	Blocked	Curry Kendall	blk Sydnee Nelson, Erin McMullen	+0.3
2	0-2	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.4
3	0-3	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.4
4	1-3	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Lily Mueller	+0.3
5	1-4	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.3
6	2-4	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.3
7	2-5	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.3
8	3-5	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Alivia Keegan	+0.3
9	4-5	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Avery Hales	set Curry Kendall	+0.5
10	4-6	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Avery Hales	+0.3
11	5-6	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Avery Hales	+0.3
12	6-6	IND ST	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Avery Hales	+0.6
13	6-7	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+0.4
14	7-7	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Avery Hales	+0.4
15	7-8	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Erin McMullen	set Alivia Keegan	+0.4
16	8-8	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Avery Hales	+0.4
17	8-9	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.4
18	8-10	BELMNT	BELMNT	Ace	Sydnee Nelson	aced Kira Holland	+0.6
19	9-10	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.4
20	9-11	IND ST	BELMNT×3	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.4
21	9-12	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.5
22	9-13	BELMNT	BELMNT×3	Attack err	Lily Mueller		+0.4
23	10-13	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.2
24	10-14	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Connie Kofoed	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.3
25	11-14	BELMNT	IND ST×5	Kill	Lily Mueller	set Avery Hales	+0.2
26	12-14	IND ST	IND ST×5	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.5
27	13-14	IND ST	IND ST×5	Ace	Indiana St.	aced Connie Kofoed	+0.6
28	14-14	IND ST	IND ST×5	Ace	Indiana St.	aced Sydnee Nelson	+0.8
29	15-14	IND ST	IND ST×5	Kill	Corinne Knapp	set Kira Holland	+0.9
30	15-15	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+0.6
31	15-16	BELMNT	BELMNT	Blocked	Corinne Knapp	blk Lucy Kay, Alivia Keegan	+0.9
32	16-16	BELMNT	IND ST	Serve err	Belmont		+0.6
33	16-17	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Alivia Keegan	+0.6
34	17-17	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Curry Kendall	set Avery Hales	+0.7
35	17-18	IND ST	BELMNT	Attack err	Kira Holland		+0.7
36	18-18	BELMNT	IND ST	Attack err	Sydnee Nelson		+0.7
37	18-19	IND ST	BELMNT×4	Kill	Sydnee Nelson	set Erin McMullen	+0.7
38	18-20	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Attack err	Curry Kendall		+0.9
39	18-21	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Kill	Brenna Kauffeld	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.7
40	18-22	BELMNT	BELMNT×4	Blocked	Kira Holland	blk Erin McMullen, Brenna Kauffeld	+0.4
41	19-22	BELMNT	IND ST	Serve err	Belmont		+0.2
42	19-23	IND ST	BELMNT	Serve err	Indiana St.		+0.3
43	20-23	BELMNT	IND ST	Kill	Kira Holland	set Avery Hales	+0.1
44	20-24	IND ST	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Jordan Czajkowski	+0.2
45	20-25	BELMNT	BELMNT	Kill	Lucy Kay	set Alivia Keegan	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Indiana St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Belmont def. Indiana St. 3–0

.476 and 10 kills for Lucy Kay as Belmont rolled past Indiana St.