Sacramento St. def. Saint Mary's (CA) 3–2
Sacramento St. beat visiting Saint Mary's (CA) 3-2 (25-21, 24-26, 24-26, 25-14, 15-11) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Sacramento St.'s Victoria Marthaler led with 20 kills, and Reese Ampi added 20 digs.
Data through · final Sep 5
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STMARY | 21 | 26 | 26 | 14 | 11 | 2 |
| SAC ST | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 15 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 19.0% to Saint Mary's (CA) — set 2, STMARY 25-24 SAC ST. Victoria Marthaler stuffed by Layne Dent & Maddie Way. SAC ST win probability 74% → 55%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Saint Mary's (CA) wins
Sacramento St. wins
- STMARY break %
- 42.2% vs this opp
- SAC ST break %
- 43.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Layne Dent&Maddie WayBlock+19.0%
Victoria Marthaler stuffed by Layne Dent & Maddie Way
Set 2 · STMARY 25-24 SAC ST · STMARY 26% → 45%
- 02Makenzie JacksonKill+13.8%
Kill by Makenzie Jackson (set by Alayna Pearson)
Set 3 · STMARY 26-24 SAC ST · STMARY 57% → 71%
- 03Saint Mary's (CA)Ace+13.4%
Saint Mary's (CA) ace
Set 3 · STMARY 25-24 SAC ST · STMARY 44% → 57%
- 04
- 05Sacramento St.Ace+10.0%
Sacramento St. ace on Antonie Kelnárová
Set 5 · STMARY 7-10 SAC ST · SAC ST 74% → 84%
- 06Antonie KelnárováKill+10.0%
Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Sadie White)
Set 5 · STMARY 5-5 SAC ST · STMARY 36% → 46%
- 07Victoria MarthalerAttack error+9.9%
Attack error by Victoria Marthaler
Set 3 · STMARY 23-23 SAC ST · STMARY 34% → 44%
- 08Nikola Gamlin&Victoria MarthalerBlock+9.8%
Makenzie Jackson stuffed by Nikola Gamlin & Victoria Marthaler
Set 3 · STMARY 23-24 SAC ST · SAC ST 56% → 66%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 49 | .184 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | |
| 5 | 11 | 8 | 28 | .107 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 5 | 4 | 8 | 29 | -.138 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 0 | 10 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 10 | |
| 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -.143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 13 | 4 | 31 | .290 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 16 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 11 | .091 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 18 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 51 | 30 | 169 | .124 | 46 | 11 | 9 | 63 | 10 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 98 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 20 | 6 | 44 | .318 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 24.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 1 | 18 | .389 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 25 | .280 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 5 | 9 | 2 | 18 | .389 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 11.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | .000 | 40 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 5.5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 5 | 21 | -.095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 5 | 11 | 4 | 26 | .269 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 62 | 22 | 161 | .248 | 55 | 10 | 13 | 71 | 11 | 4 | 26 | 17 | 113 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Saint Mary's (CA) vs Sacramento St.
Season series · Sacramento St. leads 2-0
- Sat, Sep 5, 2026Saint Mary's (CA) at Sacramento St. · Sacramento St. won 3-2This match
- Sat, Sep 12, 2026Saint Mary's (CA) at Sacramento St. · Sacramento St. won 3-1Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
21-25
Set 2
26-24
Set 3
26-24
Set 4
14-25
Set 5
11-15
Bars above the line = Sacramento St. leads, below = Saint Mary's (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Saint Mary's (CA)
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42%5/12 | 29%2/7 |
| 2 | 71%5/7 | 17%1/6 |
| 3 | 27%4/15 | 17%1/6 |
| 4 | 100%4/4 | 33%2/6 |
| 5 | 80%4/5 | 33%2/6 |
| 6 | 67%4/6 | 20%1/5 |
| All | 53%26/49 | 25%9/36 |
Sacramento St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 86%6/7 | 55%6/11 |
| 2 | 83%5/6 | 50%5/10 |
| 3 | 80%4/5 | 50%4/8 |
| 4 | 67%4/6 | 64%7/11 |
| 5 | 67%4/6 | 20%1/5 |
| 6 | 67%4/6 | 0%0/4 |
| All | 75%27/36 | 47%23/49 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
210 rallies
| # | STMARY-SAC ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +1.9 |
| 2 | 2-0 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Reese Ampi | +2.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +1.9 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | SAC ST | STMARY | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | set Skyler Gartin | +2.0 |
| 7 | 5-2 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Nikola Gamlin | +2.6 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.8 |
| 9 | 6-3 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caroline Formankova | +2.0 |
| 10 | 7-3 | STMARY | STMARY | Blocked | Victoria Marthaler | blk Anaya Thrower, Caroline Formankova | +2.5 |
| 11 | 7-4 | STMARY | SAC ST | Attack err | Caroline Formankova | set Sadie White | +1.6 |
| 12 | 8-4 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +1.9 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.7 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +1.9 |
| 15 | 10-5 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +2.3 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | STMARY | SAC ST×4 | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.4 | |
| 17 | 10-7 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin | +2.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +2.6 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Blocked | Ava Galvan | blk Skyler Gartin | +2.9 |
| 20 | 11-9 | SAC ST | STMARY | Blocked | Charlee Lepp | blk Makenzie Jackson, Ava Galvan | +2.4 |
| 21 | 11-10 | STMARY | SAC ST | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caroline Formankova | +2.2 |
| 22 | 12-10 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.4 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caroline Formankova | +3.1 |
| 24 | 13-11 | STMARY | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.1 |
| 25 | 13-12 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.1 |
| 26 | 13-13 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Eleanor Weeks | +3.4 | |
| 27 | 14-13 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.7 |
| 28 | 14-14 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | +2.7 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.9 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Keonahi'ilani Solaita | +2.8 |
| 31 | 15-16 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Blocked | Caroline Formankova | blk Makenna Wiepert | +3.9 |
| 32 | 16-16 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +2.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | STMARY | STMARY | Blocked | Charlee Lepp | blk Caroline Formankova, Ava Galvan | +4.2 |
| 34 | 17-17 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.1 |
| 35 | 18-17 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +3.4 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | +4.5 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.0 |
| 38 | 19-19 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Blocked | Caroline Formankova | blk Charlee Lepp, Skyler Gartin | +4.7 |
| 39 | 20-19 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Caroline Formankova | set Caitlin Prior | +4.0 |
| 40 | 20-20 | STMARY | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.9 |
| 41 | 20-21 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin | +5.7 |
| 42 | 20-22 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Blocked | Ava Galvan | blk Victoria Marthaler, Skyler Gartin | +5.5 |
| 43 | 21-22 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Caitlin Prior | +3.3 |
| 44 | 21-23 | STMARY | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +4.6 |
| 45 | 21-24 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | +4.3 | |
| 46 | 21-25 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +1.7 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caroline Formankova | +2.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Charlee Lepp | +1.7 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Blocked | Ava Galvan | blk Skyler Gartin | +2.3 |
| 4 | 2-2 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.7 |
| 5 | 2-3 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | STMARY | STMARY | Blocked | Mia Molnar | blk Layne Dent, Anaya Thrower | +2.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.8 |
| 9 | 5-4 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Caroline Formankova | set Sadie White | +1.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.9 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +1.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Keonahi'ilani Solaita | +1.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Alayna Pearson | +2.6 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +2.0 |
| 15 | 8-7 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Amy Ito | +2.7 |
| 16 | 9-7 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +2.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | STMARY | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Caroline Formankova | set Caitlin Prior | +2.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Skyler Gartin, Makenna Wiepert | +2.8 |
| 19 | 9-10 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +2.8 | |
| 20 | 9-11 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Charlee Lepp, Skyler Gartin | +2.8 |
| 21 | 10-11 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.0 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +2.9 |
| 23 | 12-11 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +3.1 |
| 24 | 12-12 | STMARY | SAC ST×3 | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.3 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +3.2 |
| 26 | 12-14 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Victoria Marthaler | +3.1 |
| 27 | 13-14 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.2 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Charlee Lepp | blk Maddie Way, Layne Dent | +3.3 |
| 29 | 15-14 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | +3.5 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Charlee Lepp | +2.6 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Alayna Pearson | +3.6 |
| 32 | 16-16 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +2.7 |
| 33 | 16-17 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.9 |
| 34 | 16-18 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | +3.7 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Caroline Formankova | set Antonie Kelnárová | +2.6 |
| 36 | 17-19 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +3.0 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +2.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.2 |
| 39 | 19-20 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.8 |
| 40 | 20-20 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Maddie Way | set Caitlin Prior | +4.8 |
| 41 | 21-20 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Charlee Lepp | +5.5 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Victoria Marthaler | +4.0 |
| 43 | 22-21 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Maddie Way | set Caitlin Prior | +4.7 |
| 44 | 22-22 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +4.5 |
| 45 | 22-23 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Layne Dent | +7.2 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +5.2 | |
| 47–48 | 24-24 | STMARY · SAC ST | NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | · | |||
| 49 | 25-24 | STMARY | STMARY | Blocked | Victoria Marthaler | blk Layne Dent, Maddie Way | +19.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +3.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.4 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | blk Layne Dent, Maddie Way | +3.4 |
| 4 | 3-1 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +3.4 |
| 5 | 3-2 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.5 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Sadie White | +2.6 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.7 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | STMARY | STMARY | Blocked | Nikola Gamlin | blk Anaya Thrower | +3.7 |
| 11 | 6-5 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Reese Ampi | +2.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | SAC ST | STMARY×6 | Kill | Caitlin Prior | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Amy Ito | +3.7 |
| 14 | 9-5 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Alayna Pearson | +3.4 |
| 15 | 10-5 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Caitlin Prior | +3.1 |
| 16 | 11-5 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Attack err | Charlee Lepp | +2.6 | |
| 17 | 12-5 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Keonahi'ilani Solaita | +2.1 |
| 18 | 12-6 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Kaylee Piepho | +1.2 |
| 19 | 13-6 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +1.6 | |
| 20 | 13-7 | STMARY | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Kaylee Piepho | +1.2 |
| 21 | 13-8 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Kaylee Piepho | +2.0 |
| 22 | 13-9 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Kaylee Piepho | +2.6 |
| 23 | 14-9 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +2.4 |
| 24 | 14-10 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Kaylee Piepho | +1.9 |
| 25 | 15-10 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.4 | |
| 26 | 15-11 | STMARY | SAC ST×7 | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.9 |
| 27 | 15-12 | SAC ST | SAC ST×7 | Blocked | Maddie Way | blk Victoria Marthaler | +3.2 |
| 28 | 15-13 | SAC ST | SAC ST×7 | Blocked | Caroline Formankova | blk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin | +3.9 |
| 29 | 15-14 | SAC ST | SAC ST×7 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Reese Ampi | +4.5 |
| 30 | 15-15 | SAC ST | SAC ST×7 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Skyler Gartin | +5.0 |
| 31 | 15-16 | SAC ST | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +5.2 | |||
| 32 | 15-17 | SAC ST | SAC ST×7 | Blocked | Caroline Formankova | blk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin | +5.1 |
| 33 | 16-17 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +3.5 |
| 34 | 16-18 | STMARY | SAC ST×5 | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +4.0 |
| 35 | 16-19 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | +4.8 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.8 |
| 37 | 16-21 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +2.6 |
| 38 | 16-22 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Nikola Gamlin, Victoria Marthaler | +1.5 |
| 39 | 17-22 | SAC ST | STMARY×4 | Blocked | Nikola Gamlin | blk Anaya Thrower, Caroline Formankova | +0.5 |
| 40 | 18-22 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.2 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Blocked | Victoria Marthaler | blk Makenzie Jackson, Anaya Thrower | +2.2 |
| 42 | 20-22 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Blocked | Mia Molnar | blk Anaya Thrower, Caroline Formankova | +3.7 |
| 43 | 20-23 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +4.3 |
| 44 | 21-23 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Nikola Gamlin | set Kaylee Piepho | +2.5 |
| 45 | 22-23 | STMARY | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +6.0 | |||
| 46 | 23-23 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +9.9 | |
| 47 | 23-24 | STMARY | SAC ST | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Nikola Gamlin, Victoria Marthaler | +9.8 |
| 48 | 24-24 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Caitlin Prior | +9.8 |
| 49 | 25-24 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | +13.4 | |
| 50 | 26-24 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Alayna Pearson | +13.8 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | STMARY | SAC ST×4 | Blocked | Caroline Formankova | blk Makenna Wiepert, Skyler Gartin | +2.6 |
| 2 | 0-2 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Ace | Sacramento St. | +3.4 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Caroline Formankova | +3.2 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +3.0 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Caitlin Prior | +2.1 |
| 6 | 1-5 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.3 |
| 7 | 2-5 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | +2.1 | |
| 8 | 2-6 | STMARY | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.3 |
| 9 | 2-7 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +2.7 | |
| 10 | 2-8 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.3 |
| 11 | 2-9 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.9 |
| 12 | 3-9 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Alayna Pearson | +1.1 |
| 13 | 3-10 | STMARY | SAC ST | Attack err | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.4 |
| 14 | 4-10 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.1 |
| 15 | 4-11 | STMARY | SAC ST | Bad set | Sadie White | +1.4 | |
| 16 | 5-11 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Caroline Formankova | +1.1 | |
| 17 | 5-12 | STMARY | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Reese Ampi | +1.4 |
| 18 | 5-13 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +1.4 |
| 19 | 5-14 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.0 |
| 20 | 6-14 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +0.5 |
| 21 | 6-15 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +0.7 |
| 22 | 7-15 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +0.4 |
| 23 | 7-16 | STMARY | SAC ST | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Mia Molnar, Skyler Gartin | +0.6 |
| 24 | 8-16 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | +0.4 | |
| 25 | 8-17 | STMARY | SAC ST×5 | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +0.6 |
| 26 | 8-18 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +0.4 |
| 27 | 8-19 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +0.2 |
| 28 | 8-20 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +0.1 |
| 29 | 8-21 | SAC ST | SAC ST×5 | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Caroline Formankova | · |
| 30 | 9-21 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | · |
| 31 | 10-21 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | · |
| 32 | 10-22 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | · |
| 33 | 11-22 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Antonie Kelnárová | · |
| 34 | 12-22 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Keonahi'ilani Solaita | · |
| 35 | 12-23 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | · |
| 36 | 13-23 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Alayna Pearson | · |
| 37 | 13-24 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | · |
| 38 | 14-24 | SAC ST | STMARY | Blocked | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | blk Anaya Thrower, Layne Dent | · |
| 39 | 14-25 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.1 | |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | STMARY | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +6.3 |
| 2 | 0-2 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Skyler Gartin | +8.3 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +7.7 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | SAC ST | STMARY | Blocked | Skyler Gartin | blk Anaya Thrower | +5.2 |
| 5 | 1-4 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | +5.9 | |
| 6 | 1-5 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Caroline Formankova | +6.9 |
| 7 | 2-5 | SAC ST | STMARY×4 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +4.3 |
| 8 | 3-5 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +7.2 |
| 9 | 4-5 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +8.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +10.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +7.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +7.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Reese Ampi | +8.3 |
| 14 | 6-8 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Layne Dent | +10.8 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +7.4 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | STMARY | SAC ST×4 | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +8.6 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +10.0 |
| 18 | 7-11 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +7.6 |
| 19 | 7-12 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +4.8 |
| 20 | 8-12 | SAC ST | STMARY | Blocked | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | blk Anaya Thrower, Layne Dent | +1.9 |
| 21 | 8-13 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.2 |
| 22 | 8-14 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Skyler Gartin, Makenna Wiepert | +1.7 |
| 23 | 9-14 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | blk Anaya Thrower, Caroline Formankova | +0.3 |
| 24 | 10-14 | STMARY | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.8 | |||
| 25 | 11-14 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Alayna Pearson | +2.0 |
| 26 | 11-15 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.4 |
Score shown after each rally, Saint Mary's (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).