Sacramento St. def. Saint Mary's (CA) 3–1
Sacramento St. beat Saint Mary's (CA) 3-1 (21-25, 25-23, 25-23, 25-19) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026 at a neutral site. Victoria Marthaler led Sacramento St. with 23 kills; Saint Mary's (CA)'s Layne Dent had a match-high 24.
Data through · final Sep 12
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STMARY | 25 | 23 | 23 | 19 | 1 |
| SAC ST | 21 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 13.4% to Sacramento St. — set 3, STMARY 23-25 SAC ST. Attack error by Antonie Kelnárová. SAC ST win probability 62% → 75%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Saint Mary's (CA) wins
Sacramento St. wins
- STMARY break %
- 43.0% vs this opp
- SAC ST break %
- 42.8% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Antonie KelnárováAttack error+13.4%
Attack error by Antonie Kelnárová
Set 3 · STMARY 23-25 SAC ST · SAC ST 62% → 75%
- 02Antonie KelnárováKill+10.1%
Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Caitlin Prior)
Set 3 · STMARY 23-23 SAC ST · STMARY 38% → 48%
- 03Mikayla HanerAttack error+10.0%
Attack error by Mikayla Haner
Set 3 · STMARY 23-24 SAC ST · SAC ST 52% → 62%
- 04Victoria MarthalerKill+10.0%
Kill by Victoria Marthaler (set by Keonahi'ilani Solaita)
Set 2 · STMARY 23-25 SAC ST · SAC ST 40% → 49%
- 05Saint Mary's (CA)Ace+7.5%
Saint Mary's (CA) ace on Victoria Marthaler
Set 2 · STMARY 23-23 SAC ST · STMARY 60% → 68%
- 06Makenzie JacksonAttack error+7.5%
Attack error by Makenzie Jackson
Set 2 · STMARY 23-24 SAC ST · SAC ST 32% → 40%
- 07Keonahi'ilani SolaitaKill+6.5%
Kill by Keonahi'ilani Solaita (set by Makenna Wiepert)
Set 3 · STMARY 21-23 SAC ST · SAC ST 60% → 66%
- 08
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 19 | 12 | 56 | .125 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 19 | .053 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -.250 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 52 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -.125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | |
| 4 | 24 | 10 | 51 | .275 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 24.5 | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | .833 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 4 | 0 | 17 | .235 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 60 | 32 | 167 | .168 | 59 | 6 | 13 | 73 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 90 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 23 | 7 | 62 | .258 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | |
| 4 | 3 | 3 | 9 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | .091 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 39 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | |
| 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -.167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 12 | 2 | 40 | .250 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 44 | 15 | 143 | .203 | 42 | 4 | 9 | 61 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 96 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Saint Mary's (CA) vs Sacramento St.
Season series · Sacramento St. leads 2-0
- Sat, Sep 5, 2026Saint Mary's (CA) at Sacramento St. · Sacramento St. won 3-2Result →
- Sat, Sep 12, 2026Saint Mary's (CA) at Sacramento St. · Sacramento St. won 3-1This match
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-21
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
23-25
Set 4
19-25
Bars above the line = Sacramento St. leads, below = Saint Mary's (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Saint Mary's (CA)
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 56%9/16 | 42%5/12 |
| 2 | 60%9/15 | 25%3/12 |
| 3 | 58%7/12 | 38%5/13 |
| 4 | 78%7/9 | 30%3/10 |
| 5 | 70%7/10 | 30%3/10 |
| 6 | 67%6/9 | 30%3/10 |
| All | 63%45/71 | 33%22/67 |
Sacramento St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75%9/12 | 47%7/15 |
| 2 | 62%8/13 | 31%4/13 |
| 3 | 73%8/11 | 33%4/12 |
| 4 | 70%7/10 | 42%5/12 |
| 5 | 64%7/11 | 36%4/11 |
| 6 | 60%6/10 | 25%2/8 |
| All | 67%45/67 | 37%26/71 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
186 rallies
| # | STMARY-SAC ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +1.9 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.9 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +1.9 |
| 4 | 3-1 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +2.5 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Caitlin Prior | +1.9 |
| 7 | 4-3 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.9 |
| 8 | 5-3 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.0 |
| 9 | 6-3 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +2.5 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | STMARY | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Bad set | Caitlin Prior | +2.6 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Bad set | Caitlin Prior | +2.8 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Makenna Wiepert, Nikola Gamlin | +2.9 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.1 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Nikola Gamlin | +2.9 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Charlee Lepp | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.2 |
| 17 | 9-8 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.3 |
| 18 | 10-8 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Skyler Gartin | +3.0 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Skyler Gartin | blk Antonie Kelnárová, Anaya Thrower | +2.8 |
| 20 | 11-9 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.9 |
| 21 | 11-10 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Anaya Thrower | +2.9 | |
| 22 | 12-10 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.3 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.5 |
| 25 | 14-11 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Makenzie Jackson | +3.1 |
| 26 | 15-11 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Mia Molnar | +2.7 | |
| 27 | 15-12 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.7 |
| 28 | 16-12 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +2.1 |
| 29 | 17-12 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +2.3 | |
| 30 | 17-13 | STMARY | SAC ST | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Nikola Gamlin | +1.3 |
| 31 | 17-14 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +2.3 |
| 32 | 18-14 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.2 |
| 33 | 18-15 | STMARY | SAC ST | Attack err | Ava Galvan | +1.7 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.2 |
| 35 | 19-16 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.6 | |
| 36 | 20-16 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Caitlin Prior | +2.3 |
| 37 | 21-16 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +2.1 |
| 38 | 22-16 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Skyler Gartin | blk Anaya Thrower, Antonie Kelnárová | +1.2 |
| 39 | 22-17 | STMARY | SAC ST×3 | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +0.4 | |
| 40 | 22-18 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +1.0 |
| 41 | 22-19 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Skyler Gartin, Mia Molnar | +1.7 |
| 42 | 23-19 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.2 | |
| 43 | 24-19 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +1.4 |
| 44 | 24-20 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.3 | |
| 45 | 24-21 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Blocked | Anaya Thrower | blk Skyler Gartin | +0.8 |
| 46 | 25-21 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +1.4 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.8 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +2.5 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Mia Molnar | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | SAC ST | STMARY | Blocked | Mia Molnar | blk Maddie Way, Layne Dent | +1.9 |
| 7 | 3-4 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.0 |
| 8 | 3-5 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Layne Dent | +2.6 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | SAC ST | STMARY×3 | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +1.9 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +2.7 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Antonie Kelnárová | +2.8 |
| 12 | 6-6 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.8 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.1 |
| 15 | 7-8 | STMARY | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +2.9 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Ava Galvan | +2.8 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +2.5 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +1.7 |
| 20 | 9-11 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Amy Ito | +2.6 |
| 21 | 9-12 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.2 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.6 |
| 23 | 10-13 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Alayna Pearson | +1.7 |
| 24 | 11-13 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | +2.7 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.3 |
| 26 | 12-14 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +2.1 |
| 27 | 12-15 | STMARY | SAC ST | Attack err | Layne Dent | +2.4 | |
| 28 | 13-15 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.1 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.5 |
| 30 | 13-17 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Nikola Gamlin, Addy Scheitlin | +2.9 |
| 31 | 14-17 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +1.7 |
| 32 | 14-18 | STMARY | SAC ST | Attack err | Layne Dent | +2.2 | |
| 33 | 15-18 | SAC ST | STMARY×5 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +1.7 |
| 34 | 16-18 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Amy Ito | +3.0 |
| 35 | 17-18 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +3.7 |
| 36 | 18-18 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Reese Ampi | +4.4 |
| 37 | 19-18 | STMARY | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +4.8 | |||
| 38 | 19-19 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.6 |
| 39 | 20-19 | SAC ST | STMARY | Attack err | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | +3.9 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.9 |
| 41 | 20-21 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Skyler Gartin, Makenna Wiepert | +5.8 |
| 42 | 21-21 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +4.3 |
| 43 | 21-22 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +5.0 |
| 44 | 21-23 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | +6.4 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Maddie Way | set Caitlin Prior | +3.5 |
| 46 | 23-23 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Victoria Marthaler | +7.5 |
| 47 | 23-24 | STMARY | SAC ST | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +7.5 | |
| 48 | 23-25 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Keonahi'ilani Solaita | +10.0 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.5 |
| 2 | 2-0 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +3.3 |
| 3 | 2-1 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.4 | |
| 4 | 3-1 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Maddie Way | set Caitlin Prior | +2.5 |
| 5 | 4-1 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | +3.2 | |
| 6 | 4-2 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +3.3 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.7 |
| 11 | 6-5 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.8 |
| 13 | 7-6 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Nikola Gamlin | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.7 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.8 |
| 15 | 8-7 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.9 |
| 16 | 8-8 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Skyler Gartin | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.9 |
| 17 | 8-9 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Addy Scheitlin, Skyler Gartin | +4.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Maddie Way | set Caitlin Prior | +3.0 |
| 19 | 9-10 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Alayna Pearson | +4.1 |
| 21 | 10-11 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +3.0 |
| 22 | 10-12 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.2 |
| 23 | 11-12 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +3.0 |
| 24 | 11-13 | STMARY | SAC ST | Attack err | Layne Dent | +3.3 | |
| 25 | 12-13 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Lainey Day | set Caitlin Prior | +3.1 |
| 26 | 13-13 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Lainey Day | set Caitlin Prior* | +4.6 |
| 27 | 13-14 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.6 |
| 28 | 14-14 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +3.6 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +5.1 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.8 |
| 31 | 16-15 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +4.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | STMARY | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +4.0 |
| 33 | 16-17 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +5.6 | |
| 34 | 16-18 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Skyler Gartin | +5.6 |
| 35 | 17-18 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +3.8 |
| 36 | 17-19 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +4.5 | |
| 37 | 17-20 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Layne Dent | +5.3 | |
| 38 | 18-20 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +3.1 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Addy Scheitlin | set Reese Ampi | +4.2 |
| 40 | 19-21 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +3.0 |
| 41 | 20-21 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | +5.8 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +5.7 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +4.6 | |
| 44 | 21-23 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +6.5 |
| 45 | 22-23 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Lainey Day | set Caitlin Prior | +4.7 |
| 46 | 23-23 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +10.1 |
| 47 | 23-24 | STMARY | SAC ST | Attack err | Mikayla Haner | +10.0 | |
| 48 | 23-25 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +13.4 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Caitlin Prior | +3.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | STMARY | SAC ST×3 | Kill | Addy Scheitlin | set Reese Ampi | +2.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Attack err | Layne Dent | +3.5 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | SAC ST | SAC ST×3 | Ace | Sacramento St. | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +3.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.7 |
| 9 | 3-6 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Layne Dent | +3.4 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.4 |
| 11 | 4-7 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.6 |
| 12 | 5-7 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Lainey Day | set Caitlin Prior | +2.4 |
| 13 | 6-7 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Natalie Peete | +3.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.9 |
| 15 | 7-8 | SAC ST | STMARY | Serve err | Sacramento St. | +2.7 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.9 |
| 17 | 7-10 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Makenna Wiepert, Skyler Gartin | +3.8 |
| 18 | 8-10 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Maddie Way | set Caitlin Prior | +2.6 |
| 19 | 8-11 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +2.9 |
| 20 | 8-12 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.5 |
| 21 | 9-12 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.3 |
| 22 | 9-13 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.7 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Lainey Day | set Caitlin Prior | +2.3 |
| 24 | 10-14 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.7 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | SAC ST | STMARY | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +2.3 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Victoria Marthaler | +3.7 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.3 |
| 28 | 12-16 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +3.8 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Lainey Day | +2.3 |
| 30 | 13-17 | STMARY | SAC ST | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Makenna Wiepert, Nikola Gamlin | +2.9 |
| 31 | 14-17 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.3 |
| 32 | 14-18 | STMARY | SAC ST | Kill | Keonahi'ilani Solaita | set Makenna Wiepert | +3.0 |
| 33 | 15-18 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Caitlin Prior | +2.3 |
| 34 | 15-19 | STMARY | SAC ST | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +3.0 | |
| 35 | 16-19 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +2.2 |
| 36 | 17-19 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Caitlin Prior | +4.1 |
| 37 | 17-20 | STMARY | SAC ST | Bad set | Maddie Way | +4.0 | |
| 38 | 17-21 | SAC ST | SAC ST | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Addy Scheitlin | +4.1 |
| 39 | 18-21 | SAC ST | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Layne Dent | +2.0 |
| 40 | 19-21 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Natalie Peete | +4.1 |
| 41 | 19-22 | STMARY | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +4.4 |
| 42 | 19-23 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | +3.9 | |
| 43 | 19-24 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Kill | Victoria Marthaler | set Makenna Wiepert | +1.9 |
| 44 | 19-25 | SAC ST | SAC ST×4 | Attack err | Layne Dent | +0.5 | |
Score shown after each rally, Saint Mary's (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).