Final · 5 setsThu, Sep 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Saint Mary's (CA) def. San Diego 3–2

Saint Mary's (CA) won at San Diego 3-2 (10-25, 25-19, 12-25, 25-20, 16-14) on Thu, Sep 24, 2026. Antonie Kelnárová and Layne Dent led Saint Mary's (CA) with 15 kills each; San Diego's Kierstyn Barton had a match-high 16.

Data through · final Sep 24

Set12345Sets
STMARY10251225163
USD25192520142

Win probability

San Diego above 50 · Saint Mary's (CA) below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+36.9% STMARYrally 191 · set 5

Biggest swing: 36.9% to Saint Mary's (CA) — set 5, STMARY 16-14 USD. Attack error by Emma Brewer. USD win probability 37% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STMARY 6.1%93.9% USD

Saint Mary's (CA) wins

3-0
0.7%
3-1
1.8%
3-2
3.6%

San Diego wins

3-0
52.5%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
11.0%
STMARY break %
38.5% vs this opp
USD break %
50.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emma BrewerAttack error+36.9%

    Attack error by Emma Brewer

    Set 5 · STMARY 16-14 USD · STMARY 63% → 100%

  2. 02
    Layne DentKill+28.2%

    Kill by Layne Dent (set by Sadie White)

    Set 5 · STMARY 15-14 USD · STMARY 35% → 63%

  3. 03
    Kylie MundayAttack error+21.5%

    Attack error by Kylie Munday

    Set 5 · STMARY 14-14 USD · STMARY 13% → 35%

  4. 04
    Sadie WhiteKill+8.6%

    Kill by Sadie White (set by Antonie Kelnárová)

    Set 5 · STMARY 10-11 USD · STMARY 12% → 20%

  5. 05
    Emma BrewerAttack error+8.3%

    Attack error by Emma Brewer

    Set 5 · STMARY 13-14 USD · STMARY 5% → 13%

  6. 06

    Layne Dent stuffed by Kierstyn Barton & Meghan Scholz

    Set 5 · STMARY 10-12 USD · USD 80% → 88%

  7. 07
    Saint Mary's (CA)Ace+7.4%

    Saint Mary's (CA) ace on Emma Brewer

    Set 5 · STMARY 1-0 USD · STMARY 24% → 32%

  8. 08
    San DiegoAce+7.3%

    San Diego ace on Alayna Pearson

    Set 5 · STMARY 10-13 USD · USD 88% → 95%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5151051.098212200010.516.5
515637.24300043010.515.5
58021.38110000132.510.5
57718.00000010010.57.5
54112.2504012110010.55.5
44621-.095000200004
5107.143013520002
5000–4101710001
5000–211800001
4229.00001110010.53.5
Team totals5632176.136496969818588
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516432.37505170073.524.5
512647.128212133052.515.5
513543.18600391010.513.5
5508.62500010195.510.5
56112.41700000073.59.5
5116.0004312160031.53.5
5000–3001420000
4000–111200001
Team totals5317148.243498962613217103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Saint Mary's (CA) vs San Diego

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 STMARY · USD 5

Set 1

10-25

Longest run 2 STMARYUSD 5

Set 2

25-19

Longest run 6 STMARYUSD 3

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 STMARYUSD 5

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 6 STMARYUSD 5

Set 5

16-14

Longest run 6 STMARYUSD 3

Bars above the line = San Diego leads, below = Saint Mary's (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Saint Mary's (CA)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%10/23
27%3/11
2
48%10/21
29%4/14
3
63%10/16
50%10/20
4
44%8/18
47%8/17
5
47%7/15
42%5/12
6
60%6/10
50%7/14
All
50%51/103
42%37/88

San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
77%10/13
47%7/15
2
71%10/14
64%18/28
3
48%10/21
23%3/13
4
50%8/16
55%11/20
5
64%7/11
47%7/15
6
46%6/13
50%6/12
All
58%51/88
50%52/103

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

191 rallies

#STMARY-USDSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1USDUSD×4BlockedLayne Dentblk Kylie Munday, BayLea Sparks+0.6
20-2USDUSD×4KillKierstyn Barton+0.6
30-3USDUSD×4Attack errMakenzie Jackson+0.5
40-4USDUSD×4AceSan Diegoaced Layne Dent+0.4
51-4USDSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+0.3
61-5STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.3
71-6USDUSDBlockedMakenzie Jacksonblk Emma Brewer, BayLea Sparks+0.3
82-6USDSTMARYServe errSan Diego+0.3
92-7STMARYUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.3
102-8USDUSD×3Bad setSadie White+0.3
112-9USDUSD×3BlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz+0.2
123-9USDSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+0.1
133-10STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.1
144-10USDSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+0.1
155-10STMARYSTMARYAceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Lauren Lynch+0.2
165-11STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.2
175-12USDUSDAttack errAva Galvan+0.2
186-12USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+0.1
196-13STMARYUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.1
207-13USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+0.1
217-14STMARYUSDKillNemo Beachset Lauren Lynch+0.1
228-14USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+0.1
238-15STMARYUSD×5KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.1
248-16USDUSD×5KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.1
258-17USDUSD×5Attack errAntonie Kelnárová+0.1
268-18USDUSD×5Attack errAntonie Kelnárová·
278-19USDUSD×5BlockedMakenzie Jacksonblk Emma Brewer, BayLea Sparks·
289-19USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White·
299-20STMARYUSDAttack errMakenzie Jackson·
3010-20USDSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White·
3110-21STMARYUSD×5KillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday·
3210-22USDUSD×5BlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz·
3310-23USDUSD×5KillMeghan Scholz·
3410-24USDUSD×5AceSan Diegoaced Mikayla Haner·
3510-25USDUSD×5AceSan Diegoaced Mikayla Haner·
Set 2
11-0STMARYSTMARYAttack errNemo Beach+0.5
21-1STMARYUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.4
31-2USDUSD×3BlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks+0.4
41-3USDUSD×3KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.4
52-3USDSTMARYBlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Antonie Kelnárová, Ava Galvan+0.3
62-4STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.3
73-4USDSTMARY×6KillAva Galvanset Sadie White+0.3
84-4STMARYSTMARY×6BlockedEmma Brewerblk Anaya Thrower, Sadie White+0.5
95-4STMARYSTMARY×6KillLayne Dent+0.6
106-4STMARYSTMARY×6KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+0.7
117-4STMARYSTMARY×6AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Lauren Lynch+0.8
128-4STMARYSTMARY×6KillLayne Dent+0.8
138-5STMARYUSDAttack errLayne Dent+0.5
149-5USDSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+0.7
1510-5STMARYSTMARYKillLayne Dent+0.9
1610-6STMARYUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.5
1710-7USDUSD×3Attack errMakenzie Jackson+0.7
1810-8USDUSD×3AceSan Diegoaced Layne Dent+0.7
1911-8USDSTMARY×3Serve errSan Diego+0.7
2012-8STMARYSTMARY×3Attack errMeghan Scholz+1.0
2113-8STMARYSTMARY×3BlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Anaya Thrower+1.0
2213-9STMARYUSD×3Serve errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.6
2313-10USDUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Reese Bates+0.8
2413-11USDUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.8
2514-11USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+0.9
2614-12STMARYUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.7
2714-13USDUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.9
2814-14USDUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.9
2915-14USDSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+0.8
3015-15STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.7
3115-16USDUSDAttack errAva Galvan+0.8
3216-16USDSTMARYKillMikayla Hanerset Sadie White+0.7
3317-16STMARYSTMARYAttack errEmma Brewer+1.1
3417-17STMARYUSDBlockedAva Galvanblk Emma Brewer, BayLea Sparks+0.8
3518-17USDSTMARY×5Attack errKierstyn Barton+1.0
3619-17STMARYSTMARY×5KillAnaya Thrower+1.4
3720-17STMARYSTMARY×5BlockedKierstyn Bartonblk Layne Dent, Anaya Thrower+1.5
3821-17STMARYSTMARY×5KillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.3
3922-17STMARYSTMARY×5KillSadie Whiteset Natalie Peete+1.0
4022-18STMARYUSDBlockedLayne Dentblk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz+0.4
4123-18USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Natalie Peete+0.8
4223-19STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.3
4324-19USDSTMARYAttack errNemo Beach+0.7
4425-19STMARYSTMARYKillCaroline Formankovaset Sadie White+0.2
Set 3
10-1USDUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.4
21-1USDSTMARYKillSadie Whiteset Alayna Pearson+1.2
31-2STMARYUSD×5Attack errLayne Dent+1.1
41-3USDUSD×5BlockedSadie Whiteblk Nemo Beach+1.2
51-4USDUSD×5KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+1.1
61-5USDUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.9
71-6USDUSD×5KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.7
82-6USDSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+0.5
92-7STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.6
103-7USDSTMARYServe errSan Diego+0.6
113-8STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.6
123-9USDUSDKillEmma Brewer+0.6
134-9USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Alayna Pearson+0.4
144-10STMARYUSD×3BlockedAva Galvanblk BayLea Sparks+0.4
154-11USDUSD×3Attack errCaroline Formankova+0.4
164-12USDUSD×3BlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz+0.3
175-12USDSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+0.2
185-13STMARYUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.2
195-14USDUSDAceSan Diego+0.2
206-14USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+0.1
216-15STMARYUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.1
227-15USDSTMARYServe errSan Diego+0.1
237-16STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.1
247-17USDUSDAttack errAntonie Kelnárová+0.1
258-17USDSTMARYServe errSan Diego·
268-18STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.1
279-18USDSTMARYKillCaroline Formankovaset Alayna Pearson·
2810-18STMARYSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset BayLea Sparks+0.1
2910-19STMARYUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.1
3010-20USDUSD×3Attack errAntonie Kelnárová+0.1
3110-21USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday·
3211-21USDSTMARYBlockedEmma Brewerblk Caroline Formankova, Anaya Thrower·
3311-22STMARYUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday·
3411-23USDUSDBlockedCaroline Formankovablk Meghan Scholz, Emma Brewer·
3512-23USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Alayna Pearson·
3612-24STMARYUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday·
3712-25USDUSDAttack errAva Galvan·
Set 4
10-1STMARYUSDBlockedAva Galvanblk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks+0.8
21-1USDSTMARYServe errSan Diego+0.9
31-2STMARYUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.8
42-2USDSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+0.9
52-3STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.8
62-4USDUSDBlockedLayne Dentblk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz+0.9
73-4USDSTMARYServe errSan Diego+0.8
83-5STMARYUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.7
94-5USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+0.8
105-5STMARYSTMARYAceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Emma Brewer+1.2
115-6STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.9
126-6USDSTMARY×3KillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.1
137-6STMARYSTMARY×3KillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.5
148-6STMARYSTMARY×3Attack errNemo Beach+1.8
158-7STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.2
169-7USDSTMARYServe errSan Diego+1.5
179-8STMARYUSD×5KillNemo Beachset Emma Brewer+1.3
189-9USDUSD×5Attack errAntonie Kelnárová+1.6
199-10USDUSD×5BlockedAva Galvanblk BayLea Sparks+1.4
209-11USDUSD×5KillKierstyn Bartonset Lauren Lynch+1.2
219-12USDUSD×5KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.0
2210-12USDSTMARY×4Serve errSan Diego+0.8
2311-12STMARYSTMARY×4Attack errEmma Brewer+1.3
2412-12STMARYSTMARY×4KillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+1.7
2513-12STMARYSTMARY×4AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Emma Brewer+2.0
2613-13STMARYUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+1.5
2713-14USDUSDAttack errAntonie Kelnárová+1.7
2814-14USDSTMARYKillSadie Whiteset Antonie Kelnárová+1.5
2914-15STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.4
3015-15USDSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+1.6
3116-15STMARYSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+2.5
3216-16STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.8
3316-17USDUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+2.1
3417-17USDSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.9
3517-18STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.8
3617-19USDUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+2.0
3718-19USDSTMARY×6KillMakenzie Jacksonset Anaya Thrower+1.6
3819-19STMARYSTMARY×6KillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+2.7
3920-19STMARYSTMARY×6Attack errNemo Beach+3.4
4021-19STMARYSTMARY×6KillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+4.0
4122-19STMARYSTMARY×6AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Nemo Beach+4.0
4223-19STMARYSTMARY×6KillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+3.2
4323-20STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.2
4424-20USDSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+2.5
4525-20STMARYSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+0.5
Set 5
11-0STMARYSTMARYAceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Emma Brewer+7.4
21-1STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+5.3
31-2USDUSDAttack errMakenzie Jackson+6.3
42-2USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Alayna Pearson+5.6
52-3STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+5.1
63-3USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+5.9
73-4STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+5.4
83-5USDUSDKillEmma Brewerset Lauren Lynch+6.1
94-5USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+5.0
104-6STMARYUSDKillKylie Mundayset Emma Brewer+5.0
115-6USDSTMARYAttack errNemo Beach+5.3
125-7STMARYUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+5.3
135-8USDUSDAceSan Diegoaced Layne Dent+5.5
146-8USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+4.1
156-9STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+4.5
167-9USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+4.2
177-10STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+4.8
188-10USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+4.3
198-11STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+5.1
209-11USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+4.3
2110-11STMARYSTMARYKillSadie Whiteset Antonie Kelnárová+8.6
2210-12STMARYUSD×3BlockedLayne Dentblk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz+8.2
2310-13USDUSD×3AceSan Diegoaced Alayna Pearson+7.3
2410-14USDUSD×3AceSan Diego+3.6
2511-14USDSTMARY×6KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.0
2612-14STMARYSTMARY×6KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+3.2
2713-14STMARYSTMARY×6Attack errEmma Brewer+8.3
2814-14STMARYSTMARY×6Attack errKylie Munday+21.5
2915-14STMARYSTMARY×6KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+28.2
3016-14STMARYSTMARY×6Attack errEmma Brewer+36.9

Score shown after each rally, Saint Mary's (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).