Saint Mary's (CA) def. San Diego 3–2
Saint Mary's (CA) won at San Diego 3-2 (10-25, 25-19, 12-25, 25-20, 16-14) on Thu, Sep 24, 2026. Antonie Kelnárová and Layne Dent led Saint Mary's (CA) with 15 kills each; San Diego's Kierstyn Barton had a match-high 16.
Data through · final Sep 24
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STMARY | 10 | 25 | 12 | 25 | 16 | 3 |
| USD | 25 | 19 | 25 | 20 | 14 | 2 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 36.9% to Saint Mary's (CA) — set 5, STMARY 16-14 USD. Attack error by Emma Brewer. USD win probability 37% → 0%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Saint Mary's (CA) wins
San Diego wins
- STMARY break %
- 38.5% vs this opp
- USD break %
- 50.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Emma BrewerAttack error+36.9%
Attack error by Emma Brewer
Set 5 · STMARY 16-14 USD · STMARY 63% → 100%
- 02Layne DentKill+28.2%
Kill by Layne Dent (set by Sadie White)
Set 5 · STMARY 15-14 USD · STMARY 35% → 63%
- 03Kylie MundayAttack error+21.5%
Attack error by Kylie Munday
Set 5 · STMARY 14-14 USD · STMARY 13% → 35%
- 04Sadie WhiteKill+8.6%
Kill by Sadie White (set by Antonie Kelnárová)
Set 5 · STMARY 10-11 USD · STMARY 12% → 20%
- 05
- 06Kierstyn Barton&Meghan ScholzBlock+8.2%
Layne Dent stuffed by Kierstyn Barton & Meghan Scholz
Set 5 · STMARY 10-12 USD · USD 80% → 88%
- 07Saint Mary's (CA)Ace+7.4%
Saint Mary's (CA) ace on Emma Brewer
Set 5 · STMARY 1-0 USD · STMARY 24% → 32%
- 08San DiegoAce+7.3%
San Diego ace on Alayna Pearson
Set 5 · STMARY 10-13 USD · USD 88% → 95%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 15 | 10 | 51 | .098 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 16.5 | |
| 5 | 15 | 6 | 37 | .243 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 8 | 0 | 21 | .381 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 7 | 18 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 12 | .250 | 40 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | -.095 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | .143 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| Team totals | 56 | 32 | 176 | .136 | 49 | 6 | 9 | 69 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 88 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 16 | 4 | 32 | .375 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 24.5 | |
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 47 | .128 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 15.5 | |
| 5 | 13 | 5 | 43 | .186 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 | .625 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 6 | 1 | 12 | .417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | .000 | 43 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Team totals | 53 | 17 | 148 | .243 | 49 | 8 | 9 | 62 | 6 | 1 | 32 | 17 | 103 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Saint Mary's (CA) vs San Diego
Season series · Series tied 1-1
- Thu, Sep 24, 2026Saint Mary's (CA) at San Diego · Saint Mary's (CA) won 3-2This match
- Sat, Oct 24, 2026San Diego at Saint Mary's (CA) · San Diego won 3-0Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
10-25
Set 2
25-19
Set 3
12-25
Set 4
25-20
Set 5
16-14
Bars above the line = San Diego leads, below = Saint Mary's (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Saint Mary's (CA)
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 43%10/23 | 27%3/11 |
| 2 | 48%10/21 | 29%4/14 |
| 3 | 63%10/16 | 50%10/20 |
| 4 | 44%8/18 | 47%8/17 |
| 5 | 47%7/15 | 42%5/12 |
| 6 | 60%6/10 | 50%7/14 |
| All | 50%51/103 | 42%37/88 |
San Diego
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 77%10/13 | 47%7/15 |
| 2 | 71%10/14 | 64%18/28 |
| 3 | 48%10/21 | 23%3/13 |
| 4 | 50%8/16 | 55%11/20 |
| 5 | 64%7/11 | 47%7/15 |
| 6 | 46%6/13 | 50%6/12 |
| All | 58%51/88 | 50%52/103 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
191 rallies
| # | STMARY-USD | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | USD | USD×4 | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Kylie Munday, BayLea Sparks | +0.6 |
| 2 | 0-2 | USD | USD×4 | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | +0.6 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | USD | USD×4 | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +0.5 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | USD | USD×4 | Ace | San Diego | aced Layne Dent | +0.4 |
| 5 | 1-4 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +0.3 |
| 6 | 1-5 | STMARY | USD | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 1-6 | USD | USD | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Emma Brewer, BayLea Sparks | +0.3 |
| 8 | 2-6 | USD | STMARY | Serve err | San Diego | +0.3 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | STMARY | USD×3 | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +0.3 |
| 10 | 2-8 | USD | USD×3 | Bad set | Sadie White | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 2-9 | USD | USD×3 | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz | +0.2 |
| 12 | 3-9 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +0.1 |
| 13 | 3-10 | STMARY | USD | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.1 | |
| 14 | 4-10 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +0.1 |
| 15 | 5-10 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Lauren Lynch | +0.2 |
| 16 | 5-11 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +0.2 |
| 17 | 5-12 | USD | USD | Attack err | Ava Galvan | +0.2 | |
| 18 | 6-12 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +0.1 |
| 19 | 6-13 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +0.1 |
| 20 | 7-13 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +0.1 |
| 21 | 7-14 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Lauren Lynch | +0.1 |
| 22 | 8-14 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +0.1 |
| 23 | 8-15 | STMARY | USD×5 | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.1 |
| 24 | 8-16 | USD | USD×5 | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.1 |
| 25 | 8-17 | USD | USD×5 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +0.1 | |
| 26 | 8-18 | USD | USD×5 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | · | |
| 27 | 8-19 | USD | USD×5 | Blocked | Makenzie Jackson | blk Emma Brewer, BayLea Sparks | · |
| 28 | 9-19 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | · |
| 29 | 9-20 | STMARY | USD | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | · | |
| 30 | 10-20 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | · |
| 31 | 10-21 | STMARY | USD×5 | Kill | Meghan Scholz | set Kylie Munday | · |
| 32 | 10-22 | USD | USD×5 | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz | · |
| 33 | 10-23 | USD | USD×5 | Kill | Meghan Scholz | · | |
| 34 | 10-24 | USD | USD×5 | Ace | San Diego | aced Mikayla Haner | · |
| 35 | 10-25 | USD | USD×5 | Ace | San Diego | aced Mikayla Haner | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Nemo Beach | +0.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | STMARY | USD×3 | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +0.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | USD | USD×3 | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks | +0.4 |
| 4 | 1-3 | USD | USD×3 | Kill | BayLea Sparks | set Kylie Munday | +0.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | USD | STMARY | Blocked | Kierstyn Barton | blk Antonie Kelnárová, Ava Galvan | +0.3 |
| 6 | 2-4 | STMARY | USD | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.3 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | USD | STMARY×6 | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +0.3 |
| 8 | 4-4 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Blocked | Emma Brewer | blk Anaya Thrower, Sadie White | +0.5 |
| 9 | 5-4 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Layne Dent | +0.6 | |
| 10 | 6-4 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +0.7 |
| 11 | 7-4 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Lauren Lynch | +0.8 |
| 12 | 8-4 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Layne Dent | +0.8 | |
| 13 | 8-5 | STMARY | USD | Attack err | Layne Dent | +0.5 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +0.7 |
| 15 | 10-5 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | +0.9 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | STMARY | USD×3 | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.5 |
| 17 | 10-7 | USD | USD×3 | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +0.7 | |
| 18 | 10-8 | USD | USD×3 | Ace | San Diego | aced Layne Dent | +0.7 |
| 19 | 11-8 | USD | STMARY×3 | Serve err | San Diego | +0.7 | |
| 20 | 12-8 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Meghan Scholz | +1.0 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Kierstyn Barton | blk Anaya Thrower | +1.0 |
| 22 | 13-9 | STMARY | USD×3 | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.6 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | USD | USD×3 | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Reese Bates | +0.8 |
| 24 | 13-11 | USD | USD×3 | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.8 |
| 25 | 14-11 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +0.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | STMARY | USD×3 | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +0.7 |
| 27 | 14-13 | USD | USD×3 | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +0.9 |
| 28 | 14-14 | USD | USD×3 | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +0.9 |
| 29 | 15-14 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +0.8 |
| 30 | 15-15 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.7 |
| 31 | 15-16 | USD | USD | Attack err | Ava Galvan | +0.8 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Mikayla Haner | set Sadie White | +0.7 |
| 33 | 17-16 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Emma Brewer | +1.1 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | STMARY | USD | Blocked | Ava Galvan | blk Emma Brewer, BayLea Sparks | +0.8 |
| 35 | 18-17 | USD | STMARY×5 | Attack err | Kierstyn Barton | +1.0 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | +1.4 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Blocked | Kierstyn Barton | blk Layne Dent, Anaya Thrower | +1.5 |
| 38 | 21-17 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +1.3 |
| 39 | 22-17 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Kill | Sadie White | set Natalie Peete | +1.0 |
| 40 | 22-18 | STMARY | USD | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz | +0.4 |
| 41 | 23-18 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Natalie Peete | +0.8 |
| 42 | 23-19 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +0.3 |
| 43 | 24-19 | USD | STMARY | Attack err | Nemo Beach | +0.7 | |
| 44 | 25-19 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Caroline Formankova | set Sadie White | +0.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | USD | USD | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +1.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Sadie White | set Alayna Pearson | +1.2 |
| 3 | 1-2 | STMARY | USD×5 | Attack err | Layne Dent | +1.1 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | USD | USD×5 | Blocked | Sadie White | blk Nemo Beach | +1.2 |
| 5 | 1-4 | USD | USD×5 | Kill | BayLea Sparks | set Kylie Munday | +1.1 |
| 6 | 1-5 | USD | USD×5 | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +0.9 |
| 7 | 1-6 | USD | USD×5 | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.7 |
| 8 | 2-6 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +0.5 |
| 9 | 2-7 | STMARY | USD | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.6 | |
| 10 | 3-7 | USD | STMARY | Serve err | San Diego | +0.6 | |
| 11 | 3-8 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.6 |
| 12 | 3-9 | USD | USD | Kill | Emma Brewer | +0.6 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Alayna Pearson | +0.4 |
| 14 | 4-10 | STMARY | USD×3 | Blocked | Ava Galvan | blk BayLea Sparks | +0.4 |
| 15 | 4-11 | USD | USD×3 | Attack err | Caroline Formankova | +0.4 | |
| 16 | 4-12 | USD | USD×3 | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz | +0.3 |
| 17 | 5-12 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +0.2 |
| 18 | 5-13 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Meghan Scholz | set Kylie Munday | +0.2 |
| 19 | 5-14 | USD | USD | Ace | San Diego | +0.2 | |
| 20 | 6-14 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +0.1 |
| 21 | 6-15 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Meghan Scholz | set Kylie Munday | +0.1 |
| 22 | 7-15 | USD | STMARY | Serve err | San Diego | +0.1 | |
| 23 | 7-16 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.1 |
| 24 | 7-17 | USD | USD | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +0.1 | |
| 25 | 8-17 | USD | STMARY | Serve err | San Diego | · | |
| 26 | 8-18 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.1 |
| 27 | 9-18 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Caroline Formankova | set Alayna Pearson | · |
| 28 | 10-18 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set BayLea Sparks | +0.1 |
| 29 | 10-19 | STMARY | USD×3 | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +0.1 |
| 30 | 10-20 | USD | USD×3 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 10-21 | USD | USD×3 | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | · |
| 32 | 11-21 | USD | STMARY | Blocked | Emma Brewer | blk Caroline Formankova, Anaya Thrower | · |
| 33 | 11-22 | STMARY | USD | Kill | BayLea Sparks | set Kylie Munday | · |
| 34 | 11-23 | USD | USD | Blocked | Caroline Formankova | blk Meghan Scholz, Emma Brewer | · |
| 35 | 12-23 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Alayna Pearson | · |
| 36 | 12-24 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Meghan Scholz | set Kylie Munday | · |
| 37 | 12-25 | USD | USD | Attack err | Ava Galvan | · | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | STMARY | USD | Blocked | Ava Galvan | blk Kierstyn Barton, BayLea Sparks | +0.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | USD | STMARY | Serve err | San Diego | +0.9 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | STMARY | USD | Kill | BayLea Sparks | set Kylie Munday | +0.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +0.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +0.8 |
| 6 | 2-4 | USD | USD | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Kylie Munday, Meghan Scholz | +0.9 |
| 7 | 3-4 | USD | STMARY | Serve err | San Diego | +0.8 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +0.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +0.8 |
| 10 | 5-5 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Emma Brewer | +1.2 |
| 11 | 5-6 | STMARY | USD | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.9 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | USD | STMARY×3 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +1.1 |
| 13 | 7-6 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +1.5 |
| 14 | 8-6 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Nemo Beach | +1.8 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +1.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | USD | STMARY | Serve err | San Diego | +1.5 | |
| 17 | 9-8 | STMARY | USD×5 | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Emma Brewer | +1.3 |
| 18 | 9-9 | USD | USD×5 | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +1.6 | |
| 19 | 9-10 | USD | USD×5 | Blocked | Ava Galvan | blk BayLea Sparks | +1.4 |
| 20 | 9-11 | USD | USD×5 | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Lauren Lynch | +1.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | USD | USD×5 | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +1.0 |
| 22 | 10-12 | USD | STMARY×4 | Serve err | San Diego | +0.8 | |
| 23 | 11-12 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Attack err | Emma Brewer | +1.3 | |
| 24 | 12-12 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +1.7 |
| 25 | 13-12 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Emma Brewer | +2.0 |
| 26 | 13-13 | STMARY | USD | Kill | BayLea Sparks | set Kylie Munday | +1.5 |
| 27 | 13-14 | USD | USD | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +1.7 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Sadie White | set Antonie Kelnárová | +1.5 |
| 29 | 14-15 | STMARY | USD | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.4 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +1.6 |
| 31 | 16-15 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +2.5 |
| 32 | 16-16 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +1.8 |
| 33 | 16-17 | USD | USD | Kill | Meghan Scholz | set Kylie Munday | +2.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +1.9 |
| 35 | 17-18 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +1.8 |
| 36 | 17-19 | USD | USD | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +2.0 |
| 37 | 18-19 | USD | STMARY×6 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Anaya Thrower | +1.6 |
| 38 | 19-19 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +2.7 |
| 39 | 20-19 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Attack err | Nemo Beach | +3.4 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +4.0 |
| 41 | 22-19 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Nemo Beach | +4.0 |
| 42 | 23-19 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +3.2 |
| 43 | 23-20 | STMARY | USD | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.2 | |
| 44 | 24-20 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +2.5 |
| 45 | 25-20 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +0.5 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STMARY | STMARY | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Emma Brewer | +7.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +5.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | USD | USD | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +6.3 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Alayna Pearson | +5.6 |
| 5 | 2-3 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +5.1 |
| 6 | 3-3 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +5.9 |
| 7 | 3-4 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +5.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | USD | USD | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Lauren Lynch | +6.1 |
| 9 | 4-5 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +5.0 |
| 10 | 4-6 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Kylie Munday | set Emma Brewer | +5.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | USD | STMARY | Attack err | Nemo Beach | +5.3 | |
| 12 | 5-7 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Nemo Beach | set Kylie Munday | +5.3 |
| 13 | 5-8 | USD | USD | Ace | San Diego | aced Layne Dent | +5.5 |
| 14 | 6-8 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +4.1 |
| 15 | 6-9 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Kierstyn Barton | set Kylie Munday | +4.5 |
| 16 | 7-9 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +4.2 |
| 17 | 7-10 | STMARY | USD | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +4.8 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +4.3 |
| 19 | 8-11 | STMARY | USD | Kill | Emma Brewer | set Kylie Munday | +5.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | USD | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +4.3 |
| 21 | 10-11 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Sadie White | set Antonie Kelnárová | +8.6 |
| 22 | 10-12 | STMARY | USD×3 | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Kierstyn Barton, Meghan Scholz | +8.2 |
| 23 | 10-13 | USD | USD×3 | Ace | San Diego | aced Alayna Pearson | +7.3 |
| 24 | 10-14 | USD | USD×3 | Ace | San Diego | +3.6 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | USD | STMARY×6 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.0 |
| 26 | 12-14 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +3.2 |
| 27 | 13-14 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Attack err | Emma Brewer | +8.3 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Attack err | Kylie Munday | +21.5 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +28.2 |
| 30 | 16-14 | STMARY | STMARY×6 | Attack err | Emma Brewer | +36.9 | |
Score shown after each rally, Saint Mary's (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).