CollegeVolleyball
FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+
San Diego logo

AwayWCC

USD
3:0
Saint Mary's (CA) logo

HomeWCC

STMARY

San Diego def. Saint Mary's (CA) 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: San Diego 86.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

San Diego won at Saint Mary's (CA) 3-0 (25-21, 25-13, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. San Diego's Emma Brewer led with 15 kills, and Lauren Lynch added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set123Sets
USD2525253
STMARY2113170

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.414 and 15 kills for Emma Brewer as San Diego rolled past Saint Mary's (CA).

Win probability never moved more than 3.0 points on one rally; Saint Mary's (CA) topped out at 16% in Set 1. San Diego went in as RallyIQ's 87% pick.

San DiegoSaint Mary's (CA)
  • Break %+23.6 pts
    48.625.0

    On serve: 36/74 against 13/52 (Saint Mary's (CA) sideout 51.4%).

  • Hitting+.267
    .444.177

    48 K / 8 E against 34 K / 17 E.

Saint Mary's (CA) above 50San Diego belowMax swing 3.0%

San DiegoSaint Mary's (CA)

Aces
San Diego 5·Saint Mary's (CA) 1
Serve err
San Diego 7·Saint Mary's (CA) 5
Blocks
San Diego 8·Saint Mary's (CA) 06 BS · 4 BA vs 0 BS · 0 BA
Digs
San Diego 38·Saint Mary's (CA) 26

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Saint Mary's (CA) above 50 · San Diego below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.0% STMARYrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.0% to Saint Mary's (CA) — set 1, USD 20-20 STMARY. Attack error by Nemo Beach. STMARY win probability 13% → 16%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

USD 87.9%12.1% STMARY

San Diego wins

3-0
41.1%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
15.2%

Saint Mary's (CA) wins

3-0
1.7%
3-1
3.8%
3-2
6.6%
USD break %
48.9% vs this opp
STMARY break %
39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nemo BeachAttack error+3.0%

    Attack error by Nemo Beach

    Set 1 · USD 20-20 STMARY · STMARY 13% → 16%

  2. 02
    Kierstyn BartonKill+2.8%

    Kill by Kierstyn Barton (set by Kylie Munday)

    Set 1 · USD 22-20 STMARY · USD 87% → 90%

  3. 03
    Kierstyn BartonKill+2.6%

    Kill by Kierstyn Barton (set by Kylie Munday)

    Set 1 · USD 21-20 STMARY · USD 84% → 87%

  4. 04
    Layne DentKill+2.2%

    Kill by Layne Dent (set by Antonie Kelnárová)

    Set 1 · USD 20-19 STMARY · STMARY 10% → 13%

  5. 05
    Layne DentAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Layne Dent

    Set 1 · USD 23-20 STMARY · USD 90% → 92%

  6. 06
    Meghan ScholzAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Meghan Scholz

    Set 1 · USD 18-17 STMARY · STMARY 11% → 13%

  7. 07
    Nemo BeachKill+1.8%

    Kill by Nemo Beach (set by Kylie Munday)

    Set 1 · USD 20-17 STMARY · USD 89% → 91%

  8. 08
    Saint Mary's (CA)Service error+1.7%

    Saint Mary's (CA) service error

    Set 1 · USD 19-17 STMARY · USD 87% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

San Diegoaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
7Kierstyn BartonOH
311222.40900010020213
1Nemo BeachOH
310221.38101140111.512.5
18BayLea SparksMB
3608.750000002239
15Meghan ScholzMB
3418.375011000005
12Kylie MundayS
32021.000421150010.53.5
4Reese BatesDS
3000–001000000
13Emma BrewerOH
315329.4141000010116
2Lauren LynchL/DS
3000–2121600001
9Tatum LaneS
3000–111000001
5Kalli LipoL/DS
3000–000310000
Team totals48890.444465738164875
Saint Mary's (CA)home
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
2Antonie KelnárováOH
311531.1942015000011
9Layne DentOH
39521.190100110009
11Anaya ThrowerMB
36012.500001000006
4Makenzie JacksonOPP
34213.154000000004
10Ava GalvanMB
33510-.200000000003
21Sadie WhiteS
3104.2502500510001
24Alayna PearsonL/DS
3000–310710001
6Mikayla HanerOH
3003.000100510000
7Caroline FormankovaOPP
3002.000003000000
12Natalie PeeteL/DS
3000–200300000
Team totals341796.177341526500051

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

San Diego vs Saint Mary's (CA)

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 USD · STMARY 4

Set 1

25-21

Longest run 3 USDSTMARY 4

Set 2

25-13

Longest run 4 USDSTMARY 2

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 USDSTMARY 3

Bars above the line = Saint Mary's (CA) leads, below = San Diego leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

San Diego

SlotSideout %Break %
1
90%9/10
47%7/15
2
86%6/7
63%10/16
3
55%6/11
50%6/12
4
100%6/6
45%5/11
5
86%6/7
33%3/9
6
55%6/11
45%5/11
All
75%39/52
49%36/74

Saint Mary's (CA)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%8/18
42%5/12
2
50%6/12
11%1/9
3
43%6/14
25%2/8
4
55%6/11
40%4/10
5
60%6/10
0%0/6
6
67%6/9
14%1/7
All
51%38/74
25%13/52

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#USD-STMARYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0USDUSDAceKylie Mundayaced Alayna Pearson+1.2
21-1USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Antonie Kelnárová+1.0
31-2STMARYSTMARYBad setKylie Munday+1.4
42-2STMARYUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.1
53-2USDUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.2
63-3USDSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+1.1
74-3STMARYUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Emma Brewer+1.0
85-3USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.2
96-3USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Sadie White+1.0
106-4USDSTMARY×4KillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+0.8
116-5STMARYSTMARY×4KillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+1.2
126-6STMARYSTMARY×4KillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+1.4
136-7STMARYSTMARY×4KillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+1.6
147-7STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.2
157-8USDSTMARYAttack errEmma Brewer+1.4
168-8STMARYUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+1.3
178-9USDSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.5
189-9STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.3
199-10USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.5
2010-10STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.4
2111-10USDUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+1.6
2211-11USDSTMARYServe errSan Diego+1.4
2312-11STMARYUSD×3KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+1.4
2413-11USDUSD×3Attack errAva Galvan+1.5
2514-11USDUSD×3AceNemo Beachaced Sadie White+1.3
2614-12USDSTMARYServe errNemo Beach+1.0
2714-13STMARYSTMARYAceAlayna Pearsonaced Kalli Lipo+1.6
2815-13STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Lauren Lynch+1.4
2916-13USDUSDBlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Kierstyn Barton+1.4
3016-14USDSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.1
3117-14STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+1.2
3217-15USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+1.1
3318-15STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.3
3418-16USDSTMARYServe errSan Diego+1.2
3518-17STMARYSTMARYAttack errMeghan Scholz+1.9
3619-17STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.7
3720-17USDUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+1.8
3820-18USDSTMARY×3KillLayne Dentset Alayna Pearson+1.2
3920-19STMARYSTMARY×3KillLayne Dentset Antonie Kelnárová+2.2
4020-20STMARYSTMARY×3Attack errNemo Beach+3.0
4121-20STMARYUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+2.6
4222-20USDUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+2.8
4323-20USDUSD×3Attack errLayne Dent+2.1
4423-21USDSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+1.1
4524-21STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+1.7
4625-21USDUSDAttack errAva Galvan+0.8
Set 2
11-0STMARYUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.7
22-0USDUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.8
32-1USDSTMARYServe errLauren Lynch+0.6
43-1STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.6
53-2USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+0.7
63-3STMARYSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Natalie Peete+0.9
74-3STMARYUSD×3KillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.7
85-3USDUSD×3Attack errAntonie Kelnárová+0.8
96-3USDUSD×3Attack errAntonie Kelnárová+0.7
106-4USDSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+0.6
117-4STMARYUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.6
128-4USDUSDAceMeghan Scholzaced Layne Dent+0.6
138-5USDSTMARYKillSadie Whiteset Layne Dent+0.5
149-5STMARYUSD×4KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.5
1510-5USDUSD×4Attack errLayne Dent+0.5
1611-5USDUSD×4KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.4
1712-5USDUSD×4KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.3
1812-6USDSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+0.2
1913-6STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.2
2014-6USDUSDAttack errMakenzie Jackson+0.2
2114-7USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+0.1
2215-7STMARYUSD×4KillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday+0.2
2316-7USDUSD×4BlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Kierstyn Barton+0.1
2417-7USDUSD×4KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.1
2518-7USDUSD×4AceLauren Lynchaced Mikayla Haner·
2618-8USDSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White·
2719-8STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday·
2819-9USDSTMARYAttack errEmma Brewer·
2920-9STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday·
3020-10USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Alayna Pearson·
3121-10STMARYUSDKillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday·
3222-10USDUSDAceTatum Lane·
3322-11USDSTMARYServe errTatum Lane·
3423-11STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)·
3523-12USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Natalie Peete·
3624-12STMARYUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday·
3724-13USDSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White·
3825-13STMARYUSDAttack errAntonie Kelnárová·
Set 3
10-1USDSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+0.4
21-1STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.4
32-1USDUSDKillKylie Mundayset Kylie Munday+0.4
42-2USDSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+0.4
53-2STMARYUSDServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.3
64-2USDUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.4
74-3USDSTMARYServe errMeghan Scholz+0.3
85-3STMARYUSDBlockedLayne Dentblk BayLea Sparks, Nemo Beach+0.3
95-4USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+0.3
106-4STMARYUSDKillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.3
117-4USDUSDAttack errAva Galvan+0.4
127-5USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+0.3
138-5STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.3
149-5USDUSDBlockedMakenzie Jacksonblk Emma Brewer+0.3
159-6USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+0.2
169-7STMARYSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Alayna Pearson+0.4
1710-7STMARYUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.3
1811-7USDUSD×3KillKierstyn Bartonset Kylie Munday+0.3
1912-7USDUSD×3KillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.3
2012-8USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+0.2
2113-8STMARYUSDKillMeghan Scholzset Kylie Munday+0.2
2213-9USDSTMARYAttack errNemo Beach+0.2
2314-9STMARYUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Kylie Munday+0.2
2415-9USDUSD×3KillNemo Beachset Tatum Lane+0.2
2516-9USDUSD×3BlockedLayne Dentblk BayLea Sparks, Kylie Munday+0.1
2616-10USDSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+0.1
2716-11STMARYSTMARYAttack errKierstyn Barton+0.2
2817-11STMARYUSD×4Serve errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.2
2918-11USDUSD×4BlockedAva Galvanblk BayLea Sparks+0.1
3019-11USDUSD×4BlockedAva Galvanblk Nemo Beach+0.1
3120-11USDUSD×4BlockedLayne Dentblk BayLea Sparks·
3220-12USDSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White·
3321-12STMARYUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday·
3421-13USDSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White·
3522-13STMARYUSDKillBayLea Sparksset Kylie Munday·
3622-14USDSTMARY×3Serve errLauren Lynch·
3722-15STMARYSTMARY×3Attack errEmma Brewer·
3822-16STMARYSTMARY×3Attack errKierstyn Barton·
3923-16STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday+0.1
4023-17USDSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Mikayla Haner·
4124-17STMARYUSDKillEmma Brewerset Kylie Munday·
4225-17USDUSDKillKylie Mundayset Lauren Lynch·

Score shown after each rally, San Diego first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).