Final · 4 setsSat, Sep 26, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Saint Mary's (CA) def. Denver 3–1

Saint Mary's (CA) won at Denver 3-1 (25-23, 25-18, 24-26, 28-26) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Saint Mary's (CA)'s Layne Dent led with 23 kills, and Antonie Kelnárová added 17 digs.

Data through · final Sep 26

Set1234Sets
STMARY252524283
DENVER231826261

Win probability

Denver above 50 · Saint Mary's (CA) below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.1% DENVERrally 195 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.1% to Denver — set 4, STMARY 23-24 DENVER. Layne Dent stuffed by Katelyn Landis & Hailey Goebel. DENVER win probability 22% → 35%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STMARY 53.5%46.5% DENVER

Saint Mary's (CA) wins

3-0
14.0%
3-1
20.2%
3-2
19.3%

Denver wins

3-0
11.1%
3-1
17.3%
3-2
18.1%
STMARY break %
42.3% vs this opp
DENVER break %
41.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Layne Dent stuffed by Katelyn Landis & Hailey Goebel

    Set 4 · STMARY 23-24 DENVER · DENVER 22% → 35%

  2. 02
    Sadie WhiteKill+12.9%

    Kill by Sadie White (set by Natalie Peete)

    Set 4 · STMARY 25-24 DENVER · STMARY 74% → 87%

  3. 03
    Hailey GoebelAttack error+12.7%

    Attack error by Hailey Goebel

    Set 4 · STMARY 28-26 DENVER · STMARY 87% → 100%

  4. 04
    Anaya ThrowerKill+10.3%

    Kill by Anaya Thrower (set by Sadie White)

    Set 4 · STMARY 23-22 DENVER · STMARY 75% → 85%

  5. 05
    Anaya ThrowerKill+9.5%

    Kill by Anaya Thrower (set by Sadie White)

    Set 4 · STMARY 24-24 DENVER · STMARY 65% → 74%

  6. 06
    Hailey GoebelKill+9.3%

    Kill by Hailey Goebel (set by Ilayda Eren)

    Set 4 · STMARY 25-25 DENVER · DENVER 13% → 22%

  7. 07
    Anaya ThrowerKill+9.3%

    Kill by Anaya Thrower (set by Sadie White)

    Set 4 · STMARY 26-25 DENVER · STMARY 78% → 87%

  8. 08
    Saint Mary's (CA)Service error+9.3%

    Saint Mary's (CA) service error

    Set 4 · STMARY 26-26 DENVER · DENVER 13% → 22%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
423648.35400073031.524.5
411220.45000300031.512.5
411422.31800040010.511.5
48419.21100000233.511.5
47335.114324173010.59.5
4406.6674602140010.54.5
4000–4121520001
4000–013100001
4023-.667101000000
4000–3021000000
Team totals6421153.281574176892128102
Denverhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414442.23800092010.514.5
49320.30014120010.513.5
47329.13803242111.511.5
49425.20000010010.59.5
4000–2511900001
2126-.167000000001
45525.000000300005
4000–1513200001
4000–3011800000
3115.000000001223
2000–000300000
Team totals4622152.158449851426593

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Saint Mary's (CA) vs Denver

Season series · Saint Mary's (CA) leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 STMARY · DENVER 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 STMARYDENVER 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 STMARYDENVER 3

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 STMARYDENVER 4

Set 4

28-26

Longest run 3 STMARYDENVER 3

Bars above the line = Denver leads, below = Saint Mary's (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Saint Mary's (CA)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%12/23
47%9/19
2
61%11/18
50%12/24
3
67%10/15
50%10/20
4
64%9/14
25%3/12
5
82%9/11
36%5/14
6
62%8/13
33%4/12
All
63%59/94
43%43/101

Denver

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
33%5/15
2
46%12/26
48%11/23
3
60%9/15
42%8/19
4
56%9/16
10%1/10
5
89%8/9
40%6/15
6
47%8/17
33%4/12
All
57%58/101
37%35/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

195 rallies

#STMARY-DENVERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STMARYSTMARYBad setLily Van Hal+2.5
21-1STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.8
32-1DENVERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.8
42-2STMARYDENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+1.8
52-3DENVERDENVER×3Attack errLayne Dent+2.6
62-4DENVERDENVER×3AceDenveraced Layne Dent+2.6
73-4DENVERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.8
83-5STMARYDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+2.0
94-5DENVERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.9
105-5STMARYSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Natalie Peete+2.7
115-6STMARYDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Ilayda Eren+2.1
126-6DENVERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+2.0
136-7STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+2.1
146-8DENVERDENVERAttack errAva Galvan+2.9
157-8DENVERSTMARY×3KillSadie Whiteset Antonie Kelnárová+2.0
168-8STMARYSTMARY×3BlockedJamia Johnsonblk Ava Galvan, Antonie Kelnárová+3.0
179-8STMARYSTMARY×3KillMakenzie Jackson+3.0
189-9STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+2.2
1910-9DENVERSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+2.3
2010-10STMARYDENVER×3Serve errSaint Mary's (CA)+2.3
2110-11DENVERDENVER×3AceDenveraced Layne Dent+3.3
2210-12DENVERDENVER×3AceDenveraced Alayna Pearson+3.3
2311-12DENVERSTMARYBlockedElise Hartblk Ava Galvan+2.2
2411-13STMARYDENVERAttack errMakenzie Jackson+2.5
2511-14DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Antonie Kelnárová+3.2
2612-14DENVERSTMARY×4KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+2.0
2713-14STMARYSTMARY×4KillLayne Dentset Alayna Pearson+3.3
2814-14STMARYSTMARY×4Attack errHailey Goebel+3.7
2915-14STMARYSTMARY×4Attack errIzabela Molina+3.8
3015-15STMARYDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Madison Winkler+2.8
3115-16DENVERDENVERKillIzabela Molina+4.1
3216-16DENVERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+2.9
3316-17STMARYDENVERAttack errMikayla Haner+3.1
3417-17DENVERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+3.1
3517-18STMARYDENVERBlockedAva Galvanblk Kayla Patel+3.3
3618-18DENVERSTMARYAttack errKayla Patel+3.3
3718-19STMARYDENVER×3KillElise Hartset Ilayda Eren+3.6
3818-20DENVERDENVER×3Attack errMakenzie Jackson+4.9
3918-21DENVERDENVER×3KillHailey Goebelset Lily Van Hal+4.3
4019-21DENVERSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+2.2
4119-22STMARYDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+3.2
4220-22DENVERSTMARY×5KillAva Galvanset Sadie White+2.1
4321-22STMARYSTMARY×5AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Kayla Patel+4.6
4422-22STMARYSTMARY×5KillLayne Dentset Alayna Pearson+6.5
4523-22STMARYSTMARY×5Attack errElise Hart+7.9
4624-22STMARYSTMARY×5KillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+7.5
4724-23STMARYDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van Hal+3.0
4825-23DENVERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+7.1
Set 2
11-0DENVERSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+1.7
21-1STMARYDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+1.7
32-1DENVERSTMARYServe errDenver+1.8
42-2STMARYDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van Hal+1.8
53-2DENVERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.8
63-3STMARYDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+1.8
74-3DENVERSTMARY×4Serve errDenver+1.9
85-3STMARYSTMARY×4Attack errJamia Johnson+2.5
96-3STMARYSTMARY×4AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Alicia Thibodeau+2.4
107-3STMARYSTMARY×4KillAva Galvanset Sadie White+2.2
117-4STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.4
128-4DENVERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+1.6
138-5STMARYDENVERAttack errAntonie Kelnárová+1.5
149-5DENVERSTMARY×5KillAva Galvanset Sadie White+1.7
1510-5STMARYSTMARY×5AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Kayla Patel+2.0
1611-5STMARYSTMARY×5KillLayne Dentset Antonie Kelnárová+1.7
1712-5STMARYSTMARY×5KillLayne Dent+1.3
1813-5STMARYSTMARY×5BlockedJamia Johnsonblk Layne Dent, Ava Galvan+1.0
1913-6STMARYDENVERKillElise Hartset Ilayda Eren+0.5
2014-6DENVERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Alayna Pearson+0.7
2114-7STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.5
2215-7DENVERSTMARYServe errDenver+0.6
2316-7STMARYSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+0.6
2416-8STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.3
2516-9DENVERDENVERAttack errLayne Dent+0.5
2617-9DENVERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Alayna Pearson+0.6
2717-10STMARYDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+0.3
2818-10DENVERSTMARY×3Serve errDenver+0.5
2919-10STMARYSTMARY×3Attack errIzabela Molina+0.4
3020-10STMARYSTMARY×3KillAva Galvanset Sadie White+0.2
3120-11STMARYDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+0.1
3221-11DENVERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+0.1
3321-12STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)·
3422-12DENVERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+0.1
3522-13STMARYDENVERKillKayla Patelset Ilayda Eren·
3623-13DENVERSTMARYServe errDenver·
3723-14STMARYDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Lily Van Hal·
3823-15DENVERDENVERAttack errAnaya Thrower·
3924-15DENVERSTMARYAttack errAlicia Thibodeau·
4024-16STMARYDENVER×3Serve errSaint Mary's (CA)·
4124-17DENVERDENVER×3KillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal·
4224-18DENVERDENVER×3AceDenver·
4325-18DENVERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+0.1
Set 3
10-1STMARYDENVER×4Serve errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.1
20-2DENVERDENVER×4Attack errMakenzie Jackson+1.5
30-3DENVERDENVER×4KillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+1.5
40-4DENVERDENVER×4AceDenveraced Antonie Kelnárová+1.4
51-4DENVERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+0.9
62-4STMARYSTMARYBlockedJamia Johnsonblk Anaya Thrower, Layne Dent+1.4
72-5STMARYDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+1.1
83-5DENVERSTMARYAttack errHailey Goebel+1.1
94-5STMARYSTMARYKillLayne Dent+1.6
104-6STMARYDENVERKillKatelyn Landisset Ilayda Eren+1.2
115-6DENVERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.2
126-6STMARYSTMARYKillSadie Whiteset Madison Winkler+1.7
136-7STMARYDENVER×3KillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+1.3
146-8DENVERDENVER×3KillKayla Patelset Madison Winkler+1.8
156-9DENVERDENVER×3BlockedAnaya Throwerblk Kayla Patel, Elise Hart+1.7
167-9DENVERSTMARYBad setIlayda Eren+1.1
177-10STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.3
188-10DENVERSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+1.1
198-11STMARYDENVERKillKayla Patelset Elise Hart+1.3
209-11DENVERSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+1.2
219-12STMARYDENVER×4KillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+1.3
229-13DENVERDENVER×4Attack errLayne Dent+1.7
239-14DENVERDENVER×4Attack errMakenzie Jackson+1.4
249-15DENVERDENVER×4BlockedAva Galvanblk Katelyn Landis+1.1
2510-15DENVERSTMARY×4Serve errDenver+0.6
2611-15STMARYSTMARY×4KillLayne Dent+1.1
2712-15STMARYSTMARY×4KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.4
2813-15STMARYSTMARY×4KillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.8
2913-16STMARYDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+1.5
3014-16DENVERSTMARYBad setIlayda Eren+1.3
3115-16STMARYSTMARYAttack errHailey Goebel+2.2
3215-17STMARYDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Ilayda Eren+1.8
3316-17DENVERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.6
3416-18STMARYDENVER×4KillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+1.9
3516-19DENVERDENVER×4Attack errMikayla Haner+2.4
3616-20DENVERDENVER×4KillElise Hartset Ilayda Eren+1.9
3716-21DENVERDENVER×4KillElise Hartset Ilayda Eren+1.3
3817-21DENVERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+0.5
3917-22STMARYDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+0.9
4018-22DENVERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Natalie Peete+0.4
4119-22STMARYSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+1.1
4219-23STMARYDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+1.3
4320-23DENVERSTMARY×3KillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+0.6
4421-23STMARYSTMARY×3BlockedElise Hartblk Ava Galvan+1.6
4522-23STMARYSTMARY×3AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Alicia Thibodeau+2.9
4622-24STMARYDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+3.4
4723-24DENVERSTMARYBlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Ava Galvan, Makenzie Jackson+1.9
4824-24STMARYSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+6.2
4924-25STMARYDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+4.5
5024-26DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Alayna Pearson+6.3
Set 4
10-1DENVERDENVERAttack errLayne Dent+3.3
20-2DENVERDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+3.3
31-2DENVERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+2.3
41-3STMARYDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+2.4
52-3DENVERSTMARYAttack errKatelyn Landis+2.3
63-3STMARYSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+3.4
73-4STMARYDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+2.5
84-4DENVERSTMARYServe errDenver+2.5
94-5STMARYDENVERBlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Katelyn Landis, Alicia Thibodeau+2.6
105-5DENVERSTMARYAttack errKayla Patel+2.6
115-6STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+2.7
126-6DENVERSTMARYServe errDenver+2.6
136-7STMARYDENVERKillElise Hartset Ilayda Eren+2.7
146-8DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Antonie Kelnárová+3.8
157-8DENVERSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+2.6
167-9STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+2.8
177-10DENVERDENVERAceDenveraced Layne Dent+3.7
188-10DENVERSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+2.4
199-10STMARYSTMARYBlockedJamia Johnsonblk Anaya Thrower, Layne Dent+3.8
209-11STMARYDENVERKillElise Hartset Lily Van Hal+3.0
219-12DENVERDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+3.9
2210-12DENVERSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+2.5
2311-12STMARYSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+4.0
2411-13STMARYDENVERKillAlicia Thibodeauset Lily Van Hal+3.2
2512-13DENVERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+3.0
2612-14STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+3.3
2713-14DENVERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Mikayla Haner+3.1
2813-15STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+3.5
2913-16DENVERDENVERAttack errAntonie Kelnárová+4.5
3014-16DENVERSTMARYKillSadie Whiteset Antonie Kelnárová+2.8
3114-17STMARYDENVER×3KillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+3.4
3214-18DENVERDENVER×3KillKayla Patelset Madison Winkler+3.9
3314-19DENVERDENVER×3Attack errAva Galvan+3.0
3415-19DENVERSTMARY×3KillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+1.4
3516-19STMARYSTMARY×3KillMakenzie Jacksonset Alayna Pearson+2.9
3617-19STMARYSTMARY×3KillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+4.0
3717-20STMARYDENVERKillKayla Patelset Lily Van Hal+3.8
3818-20DENVERSTMARY×3KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+2.9
3919-20STMARYSTMARY×3Bad setLily Van Hal+5.5
4020-20STMARYSTMARY×3Attack errAlicia Thibodeau+6.8
4120-21STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+5.6
4220-22DENVERDENVERAttack errLayne Dent+7.6
4321-22DENVERSTMARY×3KillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+4.3
4422-22STMARYSTMARY×3BlockedAlicia Thibodeaublk Sadie White, Anaya Thrower+8.5
4523-22STMARYSTMARY×3KillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+10.3
4623-23STMARYDENVERKillJamia Johnsonset Lily Van Hal+7.1
4723-24DENVERDENVERBlockedLayne Dentblk Katelyn Landis, Hailey Goebel+13.1
4824-24DENVERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+9.5
4925-24STMARYSTMARYKillSadie Whiteset Natalie Peete+12.9
5025-25STMARYDENVERKillHailey Goebelset Ilayda Eren+9.3
5126-25DENVERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+9.3
5226-26STMARYDENVERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+9.3
5327-26DENVERSTMARYAttack errKayla Patel+9.3
5428-26STMARYSTMARYAttack errHailey Goebel+12.7

Score shown after each rally, Saint Mary's (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).