Saint Mary's (CA) def. Denver 3–1
Saint Mary's (CA) won at Denver 3-1 (25-23, 25-18, 24-26, 28-26) on Sat, Sep 26, 2026. Saint Mary's (CA)'s Layne Dent led with 23 kills, and Antonie Kelnárová added 17 digs.
Data through · final Sep 26
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STMARY | 25 | 25 | 24 | 28 | 3 |
| DENVER | 23 | 18 | 26 | 26 | 1 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 13.1% to Denver — set 4, STMARY 23-24 DENVER. Layne Dent stuffed by Katelyn Landis & Hailey Goebel. DENVER win probability 22% → 35%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Saint Mary's (CA) wins
Denver wins
- STMARY break %
- 42.3% vs this opp
- DENVER break %
- 41.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Katelyn Landis&Hailey GoebelBlock+13.1%
Layne Dent stuffed by Katelyn Landis & Hailey Goebel
Set 4 · STMARY 23-24 DENVER · DENVER 22% → 35%
- 02Sadie WhiteKill+12.9%
Kill by Sadie White (set by Natalie Peete)
Set 4 · STMARY 25-24 DENVER · STMARY 74% → 87%
- 03Hailey GoebelAttack error+12.7%
Attack error by Hailey Goebel
Set 4 · STMARY 28-26 DENVER · STMARY 87% → 100%
- 04Anaya ThrowerKill+10.3%
Kill by Anaya Thrower (set by Sadie White)
Set 4 · STMARY 23-22 DENVER · STMARY 75% → 85%
- 05Anaya ThrowerKill+9.5%
Kill by Anaya Thrower (set by Sadie White)
Set 4 · STMARY 24-24 DENVER · STMARY 65% → 74%
- 06Hailey GoebelKill+9.3%
Kill by Hailey Goebel (set by Ilayda Eren)
Set 4 · STMARY 25-25 DENVER · DENVER 13% → 22%
- 07Anaya ThrowerKill+9.3%
Kill by Anaya Thrower (set by Sadie White)
Set 4 · STMARY 26-25 DENVER · STMARY 78% → 87%
- 08Saint Mary's (CA)Service error+9.3%
Saint Mary's (CA) service error
Set 4 · STMARY 26-26 DENVER · DENVER 13% → 22%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 23 | 6 | 48 | .354 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 24.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 2 | 20 | .450 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 12.5 | |
| 4 | 11 | 4 | 22 | .318 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 19 | .211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 35 | .114 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | .667 | 46 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 4 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -.667 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 64 | 21 | 153 | .281 | 57 | 4 | 17 | 68 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 102 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 14 | 4 | 42 | .238 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 14.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 20 | .300 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 3 | 29 | .138 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 25 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 25 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -.167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 5 | 5 | 25 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 15 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 46 | 22 | 152 | .158 | 44 | 9 | 8 | 51 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 93 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Saint Mary's (CA) vs Denver
Season series · Saint Mary's (CA) leads 2-0
- Sat, Sep 26, 2026Saint Mary's (CA) at Denver · Saint Mary's (CA) won 3-1This match
- Thu, Oct 22, 2026Denver at Saint Mary's (CA) · Saint Mary's (CA) won 3-1Result →
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
25-23
Set 2
25-18
Set 3
24-26
Set 4
28-26
Bars above the line = Denver leads, below = Saint Mary's (CA) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Saint Mary's (CA)
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52%12/23 | 47%9/19 |
| 2 | 61%11/18 | 50%12/24 |
| 3 | 67%10/15 | 50%10/20 |
| 4 | 64%9/14 | 25%3/12 |
| 5 | 82%9/11 | 36%5/14 |
| 6 | 62%8/13 | 33%4/12 |
| All | 63%59/94 | 43%43/101 |
Denver
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67%12/18 | 33%5/15 |
| 2 | 46%12/26 | 48%11/23 |
| 3 | 60%9/15 | 42%8/19 |
| 4 | 56%9/16 | 10%1/10 |
| 5 | 89%8/9 | 40%6/15 |
| 6 | 47%8/17 | 33%4/12 |
| All | 57%58/101 | 37%35/94 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
195 rallies
| # | STMARY-DENVER | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | STMARY | STMARY | Bad set | Lily Van Hal | +2.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.8 |
| 4 | 2-2 | STMARY | DENVER×3 | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | +1.8 |
| 5 | 2-3 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Attack err | Layne Dent | +2.6 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Ace | Denver | aced Layne Dent | +2.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +1.8 |
| 8 | 3-5 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | +2.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Natalie Peete | +2.7 |
| 11 | 5-6 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Jamia Johnson | set Ilayda Eren | +2.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +2.0 |
| 13 | 6-7 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.1 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | DENVER | DENVER | Attack err | Ava Galvan | +2.9 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | DENVER | STMARY×3 | Kill | Sadie White | set Antonie Kelnárová | +2.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Jamia Johnson | blk Ava Galvan, Antonie Kelnárová | +3.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | +3.0 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.2 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +2.3 |
| 20 | 10-10 | STMARY | DENVER×3 | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.3 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Ace | Denver | aced Layne Dent | +3.3 |
| 22 | 10-12 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Ace | Denver | aced Alayna Pearson | +3.3 |
| 23 | 11-12 | DENVER | STMARY | Blocked | Elise Hart | blk Ava Galvan | +2.2 |
| 24 | 11-13 | STMARY | DENVER | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +2.5 | |
| 25 | 11-14 | DENVER | DENVER | Ace | Denver | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +3.2 |
| 26 | 12-14 | DENVER | STMARY×4 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +2.0 |
| 27 | 13-14 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Alayna Pearson | +3.3 |
| 28 | 14-14 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Attack err | Hailey Goebel | +3.7 | |
| 29 | 15-14 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Attack err | Izabela Molina | +3.8 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Madison Winkler | +2.8 |
| 31 | 15-16 | DENVER | DENVER | Kill | Izabela Molina | +4.1 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +2.9 |
| 33 | 16-17 | STMARY | DENVER | Attack err | Mikayla Haner | +3.1 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +3.1 |
| 35 | 17-18 | STMARY | DENVER | Blocked | Ava Galvan | blk Kayla Patel | +3.3 |
| 36 | 18-18 | DENVER | STMARY | Attack err | Kayla Patel | +3.3 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | STMARY | DENVER×3 | Kill | Elise Hart | set Ilayda Eren | +3.6 |
| 38 | 18-20 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +4.9 | |
| 39 | 18-21 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Kill | Hailey Goebel | set Lily Van Hal | +4.3 |
| 40 | 19-21 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +2.2 |
| 41 | 19-22 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Elise Hart | set Lily Van Hal | +3.2 |
| 42 | 20-22 | DENVER | STMARY×5 | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +2.1 |
| 43 | 21-22 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Kayla Patel | +4.6 |
| 44 | 22-22 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Alayna Pearson | +6.5 |
| 45 | 23-22 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Attack err | Elise Hart | +7.9 | |
| 46 | 24-22 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +7.5 |
| 47 | 24-23 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Hailey Goebel | set Lily Van Hal | +3.0 |
| 48 | 25-23 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +7.1 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +1.7 |
| 2 | 1-1 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Kayla Patel | set Lily Van Hal | +1.7 |
| 3 | 2-1 | DENVER | STMARY | Serve err | Denver | +1.8 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Hailey Goebel | set Lily Van Hal | +1.8 |
| 5 | 3-2 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.8 |
| 6 | 3-3 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | +1.8 |
| 7 | 4-3 | DENVER | STMARY×4 | Serve err | Denver | +1.9 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Attack err | Jamia Johnson | +2.5 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Alicia Thibodeau | +2.4 |
| 10 | 7-3 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +2.2 |
| 11 | 7-4 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.4 | |
| 12 | 8-4 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +1.6 |
| 13 | 8-5 | STMARY | DENVER | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +1.5 | |
| 14 | 9-5 | DENVER | STMARY×5 | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +1.7 |
| 15 | 10-5 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Kayla Patel | +2.0 |
| 16 | 11-5 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Antonie Kelnárová | +1.7 |
| 17 | 12-5 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Kill | Layne Dent | +1.3 | |
| 18 | 13-5 | STMARY | STMARY×5 | Blocked | Jamia Johnson | blk Layne Dent, Ava Galvan | +1.0 |
| 19 | 13-6 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Elise Hart | set Ilayda Eren | +0.5 |
| 20 | 14-6 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Alayna Pearson | +0.7 |
| 21 | 14-7 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.5 | |
| 22 | 15-7 | DENVER | STMARY | Serve err | Denver | +0.6 | |
| 23 | 16-7 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +0.6 |
| 24 | 16-8 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +0.3 | |
| 25 | 16-9 | DENVER | DENVER | Attack err | Layne Dent | +0.5 | |
| 26 | 17-9 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Alayna Pearson | +0.6 |
| 27 | 17-10 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | +0.3 |
| 28 | 18-10 | DENVER | STMARY×3 | Serve err | Denver | +0.5 | |
| 29 | 19-10 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Izabela Molina | +0.4 | |
| 30 | 20-10 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +0.2 |
| 31 | 20-11 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Ilayda Eren | +0.1 |
| 32 | 21-11 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +0.1 |
| 33 | 21-12 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | · | |
| 34 | 22-12 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +0.1 |
| 35 | 22-13 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Kayla Patel | set Ilayda Eren | · |
| 36 | 23-13 | DENVER | STMARY | Serve err | Denver | · | |
| 37 | 23-14 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Hailey Goebel | set Lily Van Hal | · |
| 38 | 23-15 | DENVER | DENVER | Attack err | Anaya Thrower | · | |
| 39 | 24-15 | DENVER | STMARY | Attack err | Alicia Thibodeau | · | |
| 40 | 24-16 | STMARY | DENVER×3 | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | · | |
| 41 | 24-17 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | · |
| 42 | 24-18 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Ace | Denver | · | |
| 43 | 25-18 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +0.1 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | STMARY | DENVER×4 | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.1 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | DENVER | DENVER×4 | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +1.5 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | DENVER | DENVER×4 | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | +1.5 |
| 4 | 0-4 | DENVER | DENVER×4 | Ace | Denver | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +1.4 |
| 5 | 1-4 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +0.9 |
| 6 | 2-4 | STMARY | STMARY | Blocked | Jamia Johnson | blk Anaya Thrower, Layne Dent | +1.4 |
| 7 | 2-5 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Kayla Patel | set Lily Van Hal | +1.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | DENVER | STMARY | Attack err | Hailey Goebel | +1.1 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | +1.6 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Katelyn Landis | set Ilayda Eren | +1.2 |
| 11 | 5-6 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.2 |
| 12 | 6-6 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Sadie White | set Madison Winkler | +1.7 |
| 13 | 6-7 | STMARY | DENVER×3 | Kill | Hailey Goebel | set Ilayda Eren | +1.3 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Kill | Kayla Patel | set Madison Winkler | +1.8 |
| 15 | 6-9 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Blocked | Anaya Thrower | blk Kayla Patel, Elise Hart | +1.7 |
| 16 | 7-9 | DENVER | STMARY | Bad set | Ilayda Eren | +1.1 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +1.3 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +1.1 |
| 19 | 8-11 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Kayla Patel | set Elise Hart | +1.3 |
| 20 | 9-11 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +1.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | STMARY | DENVER×4 | Kill | Jamia Johnson | set Lily Van Hal | +1.3 |
| 22 | 9-13 | DENVER | DENVER×4 | Attack err | Layne Dent | +1.7 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | DENVER | DENVER×4 | Attack err | Makenzie Jackson | +1.4 | |
| 24 | 9-15 | DENVER | DENVER×4 | Blocked | Ava Galvan | blk Katelyn Landis | +1.1 |
| 25 | 10-15 | DENVER | STMARY×4 | Serve err | Denver | +0.6 | |
| 26 | 11-15 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Kill | Layne Dent | +1.1 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.4 |
| 28 | 13-15 | STMARY | STMARY×4 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +1.8 |
| 29 | 13-16 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | +1.5 |
| 30 | 14-16 | DENVER | STMARY | Bad set | Ilayda Eren | +1.3 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Hailey Goebel | +2.2 | |
| 32 | 15-17 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Ilayda Eren | +1.8 |
| 33 | 16-17 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +1.6 |
| 34 | 16-18 | STMARY | DENVER×4 | Kill | Hailey Goebel | set Ilayda Eren | +1.9 |
| 35 | 16-19 | DENVER | DENVER×4 | Attack err | Mikayla Haner | +2.4 | |
| 36 | 16-20 | DENVER | DENVER×4 | Kill | Elise Hart | set Ilayda Eren | +1.9 |
| 37 | 16-21 | DENVER | DENVER×4 | Kill | Elise Hart | set Ilayda Eren | +1.3 |
| 38 | 17-21 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +0.5 |
| 39 | 17-22 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Hailey Goebel | set Ilayda Eren | +0.9 |
| 40 | 18-22 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Natalie Peete | +0.4 |
| 41 | 19-22 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +1.1 |
| 42 | 19-23 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Elise Hart | set Lily Van Hal | +1.3 |
| 43 | 20-23 | DENVER | STMARY×3 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +0.6 |
| 44 | 21-23 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Elise Hart | blk Ava Galvan | +1.6 |
| 45 | 22-23 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Ace | Saint Mary's (CA) | aced Alicia Thibodeau | +2.9 |
| 46 | 22-24 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Elise Hart | set Lily Van Hal | +3.4 |
| 47 | 23-24 | DENVER | STMARY | Blocked | Alicia Thibodeau | blk Ava Galvan, Makenzie Jackson | +1.9 |
| 48 | 24-24 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +6.2 |
| 49 | 24-25 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Jamia Johnson | set Lily Van Hal | +4.5 |
| 50 | 24-26 | DENVER | DENVER | Ace | Denver | aced Alayna Pearson | +6.3 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | DENVER | DENVER | Attack err | Layne Dent | +3.3 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | DENVER | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | +3.3 |
| 3 | 1-2 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +2.3 |
| 4 | 1-3 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | +2.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | DENVER | STMARY | Attack err | Katelyn Landis | +2.3 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +3.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | +2.5 |
| 8 | 4-4 | DENVER | STMARY | Serve err | Denver | +2.5 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | STMARY | DENVER | Blocked | Antonie Kelnárová | blk Katelyn Landis, Alicia Thibodeau | +2.6 |
| 10 | 5-5 | DENVER | STMARY | Attack err | Kayla Patel | +2.6 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.7 | |
| 12 | 6-6 | DENVER | STMARY | Serve err | Denver | +2.6 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Elise Hart | set Ilayda Eren | +2.7 |
| 14 | 6-8 | DENVER | DENVER | Ace | Denver | aced Antonie Kelnárová | +3.8 |
| 15 | 7-8 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Ava Galvan | set Sadie White | +2.6 |
| 16 | 7-9 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +2.8 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | DENVER | DENVER | Ace | Denver | aced Layne Dent | +3.7 |
| 18 | 8-10 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +2.4 |
| 19 | 9-10 | STMARY | STMARY | Blocked | Jamia Johnson | blk Anaya Thrower, Layne Dent | +3.8 |
| 20 | 9-11 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Elise Hart | set Lily Van Hal | +3.0 |
| 21 | 9-12 | DENVER | DENVER | Kill | Jamia Johnson | set Lily Van Hal | +3.9 |
| 22 | 10-12 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +2.5 |
| 23 | 11-12 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +4.0 |
| 24 | 11-13 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Alicia Thibodeau | set Lily Van Hal | +3.2 |
| 25 | 12-13 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +3.0 |
| 26 | 12-14 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +3.3 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Mikayla Haner | +3.1 |
| 28 | 13-15 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +3.5 | |
| 29 | 13-16 | DENVER | DENVER | Attack err | Antonie Kelnárová | +4.5 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Sadie White | set Antonie Kelnárová | +2.8 |
| 31 | 14-17 | STMARY | DENVER×3 | Kill | Hailey Goebel | set Ilayda Eren | +3.4 |
| 32 | 14-18 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Kill | Kayla Patel | set Madison Winkler | +3.9 |
| 33 | 14-19 | DENVER | DENVER×3 | Attack err | Ava Galvan | +3.0 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | DENVER | STMARY×3 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +1.4 |
| 35 | 16-19 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Alayna Pearson | +2.9 |
| 36 | 17-19 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Antonie Kelnárová | set Sadie White | +4.0 |
| 37 | 17-20 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Kayla Patel | set Lily Van Hal | +3.8 |
| 38 | 18-20 | DENVER | STMARY×3 | Kill | Layne Dent | set Sadie White | +2.9 |
| 39 | 19-20 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Bad set | Lily Van Hal | +5.5 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Attack err | Alicia Thibodeau | +6.8 | |
| 41 | 20-21 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +5.6 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | DENVER | DENVER | Attack err | Layne Dent | +7.6 | |
| 43 | 21-22 | DENVER | STMARY×3 | Kill | Makenzie Jackson | set Sadie White | +4.3 |
| 44 | 22-22 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Blocked | Alicia Thibodeau | blk Sadie White, Anaya Thrower | +8.5 |
| 45 | 23-22 | STMARY | STMARY×3 | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +10.3 |
| 46 | 23-23 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Jamia Johnson | set Lily Van Hal | +7.1 |
| 47 | 23-24 | DENVER | DENVER | Blocked | Layne Dent | blk Katelyn Landis, Hailey Goebel | +13.1 |
| 48 | 24-24 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +9.5 |
| 49 | 25-24 | STMARY | STMARY | Kill | Sadie White | set Natalie Peete | +12.9 |
| 50 | 25-25 | STMARY | DENVER | Kill | Hailey Goebel | set Ilayda Eren | +9.3 |
| 51 | 26-25 | DENVER | STMARY | Kill | Anaya Thrower | set Sadie White | +9.3 |
| 52 | 26-26 | STMARY | DENVER | Serve err | Saint Mary's (CA) | +9.3 | |
| 53 | 27-26 | DENVER | STMARY | Attack err | Kayla Patel | +9.3 | |
| 54 | 28-26 | STMARY | STMARY | Attack err | Hailey Goebel | +12.7 | |
Score shown after each rally, Saint Mary's (CA) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).