Final · 4 setsThu, Nov 5, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Pepperdine def. Saint Mary's (CA) 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Pepperdine 80.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 5, 8:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Pepperdine won at Saint Mary's (CA) 3-1 (25-22, 26-28, 27-25, 25-18) on Thu, Nov 5, 2026. Ella Piskorz led Pepperdine with 11 kills, and Laine Briggs added 21 digs.

Data through · final Nov 5

Set1234Sets
PEPPER252627253
STMARY222825181

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 blocks, led by Tristen Raymond: Pepperdine won it at the net.

The match turned twice. Numbers are Pepperdine's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Pepperdine at 80%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Pepperdine 20–16 Saint Mary's (CA)

    Saint Mary's (CA) scored 6 straight to turn a 16–20 deficit into a 22–20 lead.

    Pepperdine 85% → 56%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Pepperdine 24–24 Saint Mary's (CA)

    Pepperdine won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 27–25 and lead 2–1.

    Pepperdine 67% → 88%

Saint Mary's (CA) above 50Pepperdine belowMax swing 13.1%

PepperdineSaint Mary's (CA)

Sideout %
Pepperdine 59.6·Saint Mary's (CA) 53.9
Break %
Pepperdine 46.1·Saint Mary's (CA) 40.4
Hitting
Pepperdine .212·Saint Mary's (CA) .115
Longest run
Pepperdine 5·Saint Mary's (CA) 6
Blocks
Pepperdine 15·Saint Mary's (CA) 1013 BS · 4 BA vs 8 BS · 4 BA

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Saint Mary's (CA) above 50 · Pepperdine below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.1% PEPPERrally 196 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.1% to Pepperdine — set 3, PEPPER 24-24 STMARY. Kill by Ella Piskorz (set by Tristen Raymond). STMARY win probability 46% → 33%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PEPPER 80.7%19.3% STMARY

Pepperdine wins

3-0
32.2%
3-1
30.4%
3-2
18.1%

Saint Mary's (CA) wins

3-0
3.1%
3-1
6.4%
3-2
9.8%
PEPPER break %
45.8% vs this opp
STMARY break %
39.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ella PiskorzKill+13.1%

    Kill by Ella Piskorz (set by Tristen Raymond)

    Set 3 · PEPPER 24-24 STMARY · PEPPER 54% → 67%

  2. 02
    Ella PiskorzBlock+11.3%

    Layne Dent stuffed by Ella Piskorz

    Set 3 · PEPPER 26-25 STMARY · PEPPER 67% → 79%

  3. 03
    Ava GalvanAttack error+9.7%

    Attack error by Ava Galvan

    Set 3 · PEPPER 27-25 STMARY · PEPPER 79% → 88%

  4. 04

    Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Sadie White)

    Set 3 · PEPPER 24-25 STMARY · STMARY 33% → 42%

  5. 05
    Saint Mary's (CA)Service error+9.4%

    Saint Mary's (CA) service error

    Set 3 · PEPPER 25-25 STMARY · PEPPER 58% → 67%

  6. 06
    Anaya ThrowerKill+7.9%

    Kill by Anaya Thrower (set by Sadie White)

    Set 3 · PEPPER 22-24 STMARY · STMARY 42% → 50%

  7. 07

    Kill by Antonie Kelnárová (set by Mikayla Haner)

    Set 3 · PEPPER 20-22 STMARY · STMARY 36% → 44%

  8. 08
    Anaya ThrowerKill+7.3%

    Kill by Anaya Thrower (set by Sadie White)

    Set 3 · PEPPER 20-21 STMARY · STMARY 29% → 36%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411321.3811133030315
410633.1212002110111
410531.1610002010111
49527.1480001012211
49217.4120001012211
4217.14340121306069
4001.000032420003
4000–204600000
4000–000100000
4000–2012110000
Team totals5122137.2124751254513415103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4151343.04723511000018
4151142.0950001100015
48323.2170000022311
45315.1330000050510
4027-.2863811901012
4000–000900000
411426.2691001002112
4000–012100001
4001.000100520000
4000–8031610000
Team totals5436157.11550511535841093

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Pepperdine vs Saint Mary's (CA)

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PEPPER · STMARY 6

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 PEPPERSTMARY 6

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 4 PEPPERSTMARY 4

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 4 PEPPERSTMARY 6

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 5 PEPPERSTMARY 3

Bars above the line = Saint Mary's (CA) leads, below = Pepperdine leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Pepperdine

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
47%8/17
2
63%10/16
50%10/20
3
50%9/18
44%7/16
4
75%9/12
44%7/16
5
56%9/16
50%9/18
6
89%8/9
40%6/15
All
60%56/94
46%47/102

Saint Mary's (CA)

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
44%8/18
2
45%9/20
44%8/18
3
56%9/16
50%9/18
4
56%9/16
31%4/13
5
60%9/15
44%7/16
6
53%9/17
18%2/11
All
54%55/102
40%38/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

196 rallies

#PEPPER-STMARYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0STMARYPEPPERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.2
21-1PEPPERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.3
31-2STMARYSTMARYAttack errMariia Nikol Dvornikova+1.9
42-2STMARYPEPPERBlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Maggie Beauer+1.3
53-2PEPPERPEPPERAttack errLayne Dent+1.7
63-3PEPPERSTMARY×3Serve errCharis Kai+1.4
73-4STMARYSTMARY×3KillMakenzie Jacksonset Tristen Raymond+2.0
83-5STMARYSTMARY×3KillLayne Dentset Alayna Pearson+2.2
94-5STMARYPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.5
105-5PEPPERPEPPERAttack errAva Galvan+2.0
115-6PEPPERSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+1.6
126-6STMARYPEPPER×4KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.5
137-6PEPPERPEPPER×4AceElla Piskorzaced Mikayla Haner+2.0
148-6PEPPERPEPPER×4BlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Tristen Raymond+1.8
159-6PEPPERPEPPER×4KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.6
169-7PEPPERSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Alayna Pearson+1.1
1710-7STMARYPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.2
1811-7PEPPERPEPPERAttack errMakenzie Jackson+1.4
1911-8PEPPERSTMARYServe errTristen Raymond+0.9
2012-8STMARYPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.0
2113-8PEPPERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikova+1.1
2213-9PEPPERSTMARY×6Serve errIva Popovic+0.7
2313-10STMARYSTMARY×6Attack errIrelynd Lorenzen+1.3
2413-11STMARYSTMARY×6KillLayne Dentset Antonie Kelnárová+1.7
2513-12STMARYSTMARY×6KillLayne Dent+2.1
2613-13STMARYSTMARY×6KillLayne Dentset Antonie Kelnárová+2.5
2713-14STMARYSTMARY×6AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Iva Popovic+2.9
2814-14STMARYPEPPERAttack errAnaya Thrower+2.0
2914-15PEPPERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+2.3
3014-16STMARYSTMARYKillAva Galvan+3.3
3115-16STMARYPEPPER×3KillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+2.1
3216-16PEPPERPEPPER×3Attack errAva Galvan+3.1
3317-16PEPPERPEPPER×3Attack errLayne Dent+3.0
3417-17PEPPERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+2.3
3517-18STMARYSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Alayna Pearson+3.6
3618-18STMARYPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+2.5
3718-19PEPPERSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+2.9
3819-19STMARYPEPPERBlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Tristen Raymond+2.7
3920-19PEPPERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+3.8
4020-20PEPPERSTMARYServe errElla Piskorz+2.9
4121-20STMARYPEPPERAttack errSadie White+3.1
4222-20PEPPERPEPPERBlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Maggie Beauer, Irelynd Lorenzen+3.8
4322-21PEPPERSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+2.3
4423-21STMARYPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+3.1
4523-22PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+2.3
4624-22STMARYPEPPERAttack errLayne Dent+3.6
4725-22PEPPERPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+2.5
Set 2
11-0PEPPERPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Ella Piskorz+1.2
21-1PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+1.0
31-2STMARYSTMARYKillAnaya Thrower+1.4
42-2STMARYPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.0
52-3PEPPERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.1
63-3STMARYPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Chloe Pravednikov+1.0
73-4PEPPERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.1
84-4STMARYPEPPERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.0
94-5PEPPERSTMARYKillAva Galvanset Sadie White+1.2
104-6STMARYSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Alayna Pearson+1.7
115-6STMARYPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.1
125-7PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Alayna Pearson+1.3
136-7STMARYPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.2
147-7PEPPERPEPPERAceIva Popovicaced Mikayla Haner+1.6
157-8PEPPERSTMARYServe errIva Popovic+1.3
168-8STMARYPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.2
178-9PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+1.3
188-10STMARYSTMARYBlockedMariia Nikol Dvornikovablk Sadie White+1.9
199-10STMARYPEPPER×4Serve errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.3
2010-10PEPPERPEPPER×4KillTristen Raymondset Charis Kai+1.8
2111-10PEPPERPEPPER×4KillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.7
2212-10PEPPERPEPPER×4KillElla Piskorz+1.6
2312-11PEPPERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.1
2413-11STMARYPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Laine Briggs+1.2
2513-12PEPPERSTMARYBlockedChloe Pravednikovblk Ava Galvan+1.2
2614-12STMARYPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+1.2
2714-13PEPPERSTMARYAttack errTristen Raymond+1.2
2815-13STMARYPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.3
2915-14PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Alayna Pearson+1.3
3015-15STMARYSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+2.1
3116-15STMARYPEPPER×3KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.5
3217-15PEPPERPEPPER×3KillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+2.0
3318-15PEPPERPEPPER×3Attack errAntonie Kelnárová+1.6
3418-16PEPPERSTMARYBlockedMariia Nikol Dvornikovablk Anaya Thrower+1.0
3519-16STMARYPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.2
3620-16PEPPERPEPPERBlockedAnaya Throwerblk Mariia Nikol Dvornikova+1.3
3720-17PEPPERSTMARY×4Serve errLaine Briggs+0.7
3820-18STMARYSTMARY×4Attack errMaggie Beauer+1.4
3920-19STMARYSTMARY×4KillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+2.1
4020-20STMARYSTMARY×4KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+2.9
4121-20STMARYPEPPERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+2.3
4222-20PEPPERPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+2.9
4322-21PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+1.7
4422-22STMARYSTMARYBlockedMariia Nikol Dvornikovablk Ava Galvan+3.6
4523-22STMARYPEPPERBlockedLayne Dentblk Tristen Raymond+3.1
4623-23PEPPERSTMARYAttack errChloe Pravednikov+3.1
4724-23STMARYPEPPERBlockedMakenzie Jacksonblk Chloe Pravednikov+4.0
4824-24PEPPERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+4.0
4925-24STMARYPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+4.0
5025-25PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Makenzie Jackson+4.0
5125-26STMARYSTMARYAttack errChloe Pravednikov+6.2
5226-26STMARYPEPPERBlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Irelynd Lorenzen+4.6
5326-27PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+4.6
5426-28STMARYSTMARYBlockedIrelynd Lorenzenblk Anaya Thrower+7.2
Set 3
11-0STMARYPEPPER×3BlockedLayne Dentblk Irelynd Lorenzen, Maggie Beauer+1.8
22-0PEPPERPEPPER×3KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+2.3
33-0PEPPERPEPPER×3KillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+2.1
43-1PEPPERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.5
53-2STMARYSTMARYAttack errMaggie Beauer+2.4
64-2STMARYPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+1.8
74-3PEPPERSTMARY×4Serve errCharis Kai+1.9
84-4STMARYSTMARY×4KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+2.8
94-5STMARYSTMARY×4Attack errMariia Nikol Dvornikova+3.2
104-6STMARYSTMARY×4AceSaint Mary's (CA)+3.4
115-6STMARYPEPPER×4BlockedLayne Dentblk Ella Piskorz+2.3
126-6PEPPERPEPPER×4AceIva Popovic+3.1
137-6PEPPERPEPPER×4KillElla Piskorzset Ava Galvan+3.0
148-6PEPPERPEPPER×4KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+2.8
158-7PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+2.1
169-7STMARYPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+2.1
179-8PEPPERSTMARYAttack errChloe Pravednikov+2.1
1810-8STMARYPEPPERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+2.1
1910-9PEPPERSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+2.2
2011-9STMARYPEPPER×4KillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+2.2
2112-9PEPPERPEPPER×4Attack errAntonie Kelnárová+2.7
2213-9PEPPERPEPPER×4KillMaggie Beauerset Laine Briggs+2.2
2314-9PEPPERPEPPER×4Attack errAntonie Kelnárová+1.7
2414-10PEPPERSTMARY×3Attack errMaggie Beauer+1.1
2514-11STMARYSTMARY×3AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Laine Briggs+2.0
2614-12STMARYSTMARY×3AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Iva Popovic+2.6
2715-12STMARYPEPPERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+2.1
2815-13PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Alayna Pearson+2.0
2916-13STMARYPEPPERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+2.2
3016-14PEPPERSTMARYServe errCharis Kai+2.1
3117-14STMARYPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+2.3
3218-14PEPPERPEPPERAceIva Popovicaced Layne Dent+2.5
3318-15PEPPERSTMARYKillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.5
3418-16STMARYSTMARYBlockedElla Piskorzblk Ava Galvan+2.9
3519-16STMARYPEPPERAttack errMakenzie Jackson+2.5
3620-16PEPPERPEPPERKillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+2.6
3720-17PEPPERSTMARY×6KillAva Galvanset Sadie White+1.4
3820-18STMARYSTMARY×6BlockedChloe Pravednikovblk Anaya Thrower, Makenzie Jackson+2.9
3920-19STMARYSTMARY×6AceSaint Mary's (CA)aced Chloe Pravednikov+4.3
4020-20STMARYSTMARY×6BlockedChloe Pravednikovblk Anaya Thrower, Makenzie Jackson+5.9
4120-21STMARYSTMARY×6KillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+7.3
4220-22STMARYSTMARY×6KillAntonie Kelnárováset Mikayla Haner+7.8
4321-22STMARYPEPPERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+4.4
4421-23PEPPERSTMARYAttack errMaggie Beauer+6.7
4522-23STMARYPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+4.5
4622-24PEPPERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+7.9
4723-24STMARYPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+4.3
4824-24PEPPERPEPPERKillElla Piskorzset Tristen Raymond+13.1
4924-25PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+9.4
5025-25STMARYPEPPER×3Serve errSaint Mary's (CA)+9.4
5126-25PEPPERPEPPER×3BlockedLayne Dentblk Ella Piskorz+11.3
5227-25PEPPERPEPPER×3Attack errAva Galvan+9.7
Set 4
10-1PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+1.7
21-1STMARYPEPPERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+1.6
32-1PEPPERPEPPERAttack errSadie White+2.1
42-2PEPPERSTMARY×3KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+1.6
52-3STMARYSTMARY×3BlockedMaggie Beauerblk Ava Galvan+2.4
62-4STMARYSTMARY×3KillLayne Dentset Sadie White+2.6
73-4STMARYPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+1.7
84-4PEPPERPEPPERAttack errLayne Dent+2.3
94-5PEPPERSTMARY×3Attack errElla Piskorz+1.9
104-6STMARYSTMARY×3KillMakenzie Jacksonset Alayna Pearson+2.7
114-7STMARYSTMARY×3KillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+2.8
125-7STMARYPEPPER×3KillElla Piskorzset Charis Kai+1.8
136-7PEPPERPEPPER×3KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+2.6
147-7PEPPERPEPPER×3BlockedLayne Dentblk Tristen Raymond+2.6
157-8PEPPERSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+2.1
168-8STMARYPEPPER×5KillChloe Pravednikovset Tristen Raymond+1.9
179-8PEPPERPEPPER×5BlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Tristen Raymond+2.5
1810-8PEPPERPEPPER×5BlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Tristen Raymond+2.3
1911-8PEPPERPEPPER×5Attack errMakenzie Jackson+2.1
2012-8PEPPERPEPPER×5KillChloe Pravednikov+1.7
2112-9PEPPERSTMARYServe errElla Piskorz+1.1
2213-9STMARYPEPPERAttack errAntonie Kelnárová+1.3
2313-10PEPPERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+1.2
2414-10STMARYPEPPER×3KillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+1.3
2515-10PEPPERPEPPER×3Attack errAnaya Thrower+1.4
2616-10PEPPERPEPPER×3Attack errAntonie Kelnárová+1.0
2716-11PEPPERSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+0.6
2817-11STMARYPEPPERKillIrelynd Lorenzenset Tristen Raymond+0.7
2918-11PEPPERPEPPERAttack errLayne Dent+0.6
3018-12PEPPERSTMARYKillAnaya Throwerset Sadie White+0.3
3119-12STMARYPEPPERServe errSaint Mary's (CA)+0.4
3220-12PEPPERPEPPERAttack errLayne Dent+0.3
3320-13PEPPERSTMARYServe errCharis Kai+0.1
3420-14STMARYSTMARYKillMakenzie Jacksonset Sadie White+0.3
3521-14STMARYPEPPERKillMariia Nikol Dvornikovaset Tristen Raymond+0.3
3621-15PEPPERSTMARYBlockedElla Piskorzblk Ava Galvan+0.2
3721-16STMARYSTMARYKillAntonie Kelnárováset Sadie White+0.4
3822-16STMARYPEPPERBlockedAntonie Kelnárováblk Ella Piskorz+0.5
3922-17PEPPERSTMARYServe errElla Piskorz+0.2
4023-17STMARYPEPPERKillTristen Raymondset Chloe Pravednikov+0.4
4124-17PEPPERPEPPERAceTristen Raymondaced Alayna Pearson+0.2
4224-18PEPPERSTMARYServe errTristen Raymond·
4325-18STMARYPEPPERKillMaggie Beauerset Tristen Raymond+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Pepperdine first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).