FinalSat, Sep 19, 2026

New Haven def. Iona 3–0

New Haven won at Iona 3-0 (25-17, 25-17, 25-17) on Sat, Sep 19, 2026. New Haven's Lauren Mackellar led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Sep 19

Set123Sets
NEWHAV2525253
IONA1717170

Win probability

Iona above 50 · New Haven below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+3.9% NEWHAVrally 126 · set 3

Biggest swing: 3.9% to New Haven — set 2, NEWHAV 17-15 IONA. Kill by Lauren Mackellar (set by Camryn Harris). IONA win probability 30% → 26%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NEWHAV 47.3%52.7% IONA

New Haven wins

3-0
11.4%
3-1
17.6%
3-2
18.3%

Iona wins

3-0
13.7%
3-1
19.9%
3-2
19.2%
NEWHAV break %
44.9% vs this opp
IONA break %
45.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Lauren Mackellar (set by Camryn Harris)

    Set 2 · NEWHAV 17-15 IONA · NEWHAV 70% → 74%

  2. 02

    Kill by Lauren Mackellar

    Set 2 · NEWHAV 16-15 IONA · NEWHAV 66% → 70%

  3. 03
    Quinn YenshawKill+3.7%

    Kill by Quinn Yenshaw (set by Zaira Kearns)

    Set 2 · NEWHAV 15-15 IONA · NEWHAV 63% → 66%

  4. 04

    Katherine Ferng stuffed by Kira Lynch & Quinn Yenshaw

    Set 2 · NEWHAV 18-15 IONA · NEWHAV 74% → 78%

  5. 05
    Kira LynchAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Kira Lynch

    Set 2 · NEWHAV 13-14 IONA · IONA 33% → 37%

  6. 06
    Marley AlefaioAttack error+3.5%

    Attack error by Marley Alefaio

    Set 2 · NEWHAV 13-15 IONA · IONA 37% → 40%

  7. 07
    Marley AlefaioAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Marley Alefaio

    Set 2 · NEWHAV 13-13 IONA · IONA 30% → 33%

  8. 08
    Buse TinazKill+3.1%

    Kill by Buse Tinaz (set by Grace Daniels)

    Set 2 · NEWHAV 13-12 IONA · IONA 26% → 30%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318941.220100130111.519.5
311730.13300060010.511.5
37116.375020200009
33212.083100000425
3103.333330170010.51.5
31011.000300900001
311224.37510010010.511.5
3000–2221300002
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–3011230000
3000–000000000
Team totals5221127.244444463318575
Ionahome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
34427.00012132031.57.5
35014.357000300216
33419-.05310080010.53.5
3107.14310010010.51.5
3013-.333010210001
3000–200100000
34110.300000200637
31317-.118000200212
32311-.091000600002
31011.000150170010.51.5
3000–000000000
3000–100700000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000210000
3000–000000000
3000–000000000
3000–000100000
Team totals2116109.0462132454016851

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 10 NEWHAV · IONA 7

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 4 NEWHAVIONA 4

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 10 NEWHAVIONA 7

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 7 NEWHAVIONA 3

Bars above the line = Iona leads, below = New Haven leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Haven

SlotSideout %Break %
1
31%4/13
63%5/8
2
67%4/6
79%15/19
3
50%4/8
0%0/4
4
100%3/3
25%1/4
5
100%2/2
78%7/9
6
67%2/3
60%3/5
All
54%19/35
63%31/49

Iona

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%4/12
40%2/5
2
29%4/14
69%9/13
3
80%4/5
43%3/7
4
22%2/9
20%1/5
5
100%2/2
0%0/2
6
29%2/7
33%1/3
All
37%18/49
46%16/35

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

126 rallies

#NEWHAV-IONASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1IONAIONAAttack errKira Lynch+2.3
21-1IONANEWHAVKillLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+1.9
31-2NEWHAVIONAServe errNew Haven+2.0
41-3IONAIONAAceIonaaced Payton Malinoski+2.4
52-3IONANEWHAVAttack errAlex Patsosset Ava Reding+1.9
62-4NEWHAVIONAServe errNew Haven+2.0
73-4IONANEWHAV×3Serve errIona+1.9
84-4NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren Mackellarset Quinn Yenshaw+2.5
95-4NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+2.6
105-5NEWHAVIONAKillGrace Danielsset Julia Leonardo*+2.1
115-6IONAIONAAttack errQuinn Yenshaw+2.6
126-6IONANEWHAVServe errIona+2.2
137-6NEWHAVNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Grace Daniels+2.7
147-7NEWHAVIONAKillAlex Patsosset Grace Daniels+2.2
158-7IONANEWHAV×4KillMarley Alefaioset Alejandra Mejia+2.3
169-7NEWHAVNEWHAV×4AceNew Havenaced Julia Leonardo+2.8
1710-7NEWHAVNEWHAV×4AceNew Havenaced Gabby Taylor+2.7
1811-7NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillMarley Alefaioset Kira Lynch+2.5
1911-8NEWHAVIONAKillAlex Patsosset Grace Daniels+1.8
2012-8IONANEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+2.1
2113-8NEWHAVNEWHAV×3BlockedGabby Taylorblk Kira Lynch, Marley Alefaio+2.3
2214-8NEWHAV
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.9
2314-9NEWHAVIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Ava Reding+1.2
2415-9IONANEWHAV×4KillLauren Mackellar+1.5
2516-9NEWHAVNEWHAV×4AceNew Havenaced Julia Leonardo+1.4
2617-9NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillLauren Mackellarset Payton Malinoski+1.0
2718-9NEWHAVNEWHAV×4Attack errAlex Patsos+0.7
2818-10NEWHAVIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Alex Patsos+0.3
2919-10IONANEWHAVKillLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+0.5
3019-11NEWHAVIONAKillReese Hendersonset Ava Reding+0.3
3119-12IONAIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Grace Daniels+0.5
3220-12IONANEWHAVKillLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+0.6
3321-12NEWHAVNEWHAVKillJosie Foster+0.4
3421-13NEWHAVIONA×4KillKatherine Ferngset Grace Daniels+0.1
3521-14IONAIONA×4BlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Ezzie Thompson, Katherine Ferng+0.3
3621-15IONAIONA×4AceIonaaced Payton Malinoski+0.5
3721-16IONAIONA×4AceIonaaced Payton Malinoski+0.8
3822-16IONANEWHAV×3KillQuinn Yenshawset Lauren Mackellar+1.1
3923-16NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Grace Daniels+0.7
4024-16NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.2
4124-17NEWHAVIONAAttack errMarley Alefaioset Alejandra Mejia·
4225-17IONANEWHAVKillZaira Kearnsset Payton Malinoski+0.1
Set 2
11-0NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+2.4
22-0NEWHAVNEWHAV×3BlockedJulia Leonardoblk Lauren Mackellar+2.4
33-0NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+2.4
43-1NEWHAVIONAServe errNew Haven+1.9
53-2IONAIONAKillBuse Tinazset Grace Daniels+2.4
64-2IONANEWHAVAttack errKatherine Ferngset Grace Daniels+2.1
75-2NEWHAVNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshaw+2.5
85-3NEWHAVIONAKillBuse Tinazset Grace Daniels+1.9
96-3IONANEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+2.1
106-4NEWHAVIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+2.0
116-5IONAIONAAttack errLauren Mackellar+2.6
127-5IONANEWHAVKillLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+2.3
137-6NEWHAVIONABlockedJosie Fosterblk Alex Patsos, Buse Tinaz+2.2
148-6IONANEWHAVAttack errAlex Patsosset Grace Daniels+2.3
158-7NEWHAVIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Grace Daniels+2.2
169-7IONANEWHAV×4KillLauren Mackellar+2.4
1710-7NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillMarley Alefaioset Alejandra Mejia+2.8
1811-7NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillMarley Alefaioset Alejandra Mejia+2.6
1912-7NEWHAVNEWHAV×4BlockedAlex Patsosblk Kira Lynch, Zaira Kearns+2.3
2012-8NEWHAVIONAKillAlex Patsosset Grace Daniels+1.6
2113-8IONANEWHAVKillLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+1.9
2213-9NEWHAVIONA×7KillEzzie Thompsonset Grace Daniels+1.6
2313-10IONAIONA×7BlockedLauren Mackellarblk Julia Leonardo, Buse Tinaz+2.3
2413-11IONAIONA×7BlockedMarley Alefaioblk Buse Tinaz, Katherine Ferng+2.7
2513-12IONAIONA×7KillBuse Tinazset Grace Daniels+3.1
2613-13IONAIONA×7Attack errMarley Alefaio+3.4
2713-14IONAIONA×7Attack errKira Lynch+3.5
2813-15IONAIONA×7Attack errMarley Alefaio+3.5
2914-15IONANEWHAV×10KillKira Lynchset Buse Tinaz+2.7
3015-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×10KillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+3.7
3116-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×10KillLauren Mackellar+3.9
3217-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×10KillLauren Mackellarset Camryn Harris+3.9
3318-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×10BlockedKatherine Ferngblk Kira Lynch, Quinn Yenshaw+3.7
3419-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×10KillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+3.1
3520-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×10Attack errJulia Leonardo+2.4
3621-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×10Attack errJulia Leonardo+1.6
3722-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×10Attack errKatherine Ferng+0.9
3823-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×10KillLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+0.4
3923-16NEWHAVIONABlockedLauren Mackellarblk Julia Leonardo, Buse Tinaz+0.1
4024-16IONANEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.2
4124-17NEWHAVIONABlockedLauren Mackellarblk Julia Leonardo, Buse Tinaz·
4225-17IONANEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.1
Set 3
10-1IONAIONAAttack errLauren Mackellar+1.7
21-1IONANEWHAVKillMarley Alefaio+1.4
32-1NEWHAVNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshaw+1.7
42-2NEWHAVIONAServe errNew Haven+1.4
52-3IONAIONAAttack errLauren Mackellar+1.7
63-3IONANEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+1.4
73-4NEWHAVIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Grace Daniels+1.5
83-5IONAIONAAttack errLauren Mackellar+1.8
94-5IONANEWHAVKillLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+1.4
104-6NEWHAVIONAAttack errLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+1.5
115-6IONANEWHAV×7KillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+1.5
126-6NEWHAVNEWHAV×7Attack errKari Smith+1.9
137-6NEWHAVNEWHAV×7KillAlejandra Mejia+1.9
148-6NEWHAVNEWHAV×7KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+2.0
159-6NEWHAVNEWHAV×7Attack errKari Smith+1.9
1610-6NEWHAVNEWHAV×7KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+1.8
1711-6NEWHAVNEWHAV×7KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.6
1811-7NEWHAVIONABlockedMarley Alefaioblk Ezzie Thompson, Reese Henderson+1.1
1912-7IONANEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.3
2012-8NEWHAVIONAKillBuse Tinazset Grace Daniels+1.1
2112-9IONAIONABlockedMarley Alefaioblk Grace Daniels, Buse Tinaz+1.6
2213-9IONANEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.5
2314-9NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren Mackellar+1.6
2415-9NEWHAVNEWHAV×3BlockedKari Smithblk Kira Lynch, Lauren Mackellar+1.3
2515-10NEWHAVIONAKillKari Smithset Avery Gaume+0.8
2615-11IONAIONAAttack errMarley Alefaio+1.3
2716-11IONANEWHAV×5KillLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+1.4
2817-11NEWHAVNEWHAV×5Attack errJulia Leonardo+1.3
2918-11NEWHAVNEWHAV×5KillLauren Mackellarset Payton Malinoski+0.9
3019-11NEWHAVNEWHAV×5AceNew Havenaced Joy Houdre+0.6
3120-11NEWHAVNEWHAV×5Attack errBuse Tinaz+0.4
3220-12NEWHAVIONAKillJulia Leonardoset Grace Daniels+0.1
3320-13IONAIONAAttack errLauren Mackellar+0.3
3421-13IONANEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.4
3521-14NEWHAVIONA×3Bad setZaira Kearns+0.2
3621-15IONAIONA×3KillKari Smithset Reese Henderson+0.4
3721-16IONAIONA×3Attack errLauren Mackellar+0.6
3822-16IONANEWHAVKillLauren Mackellarset Zaira Kearns+0.8
3923-16NEWHAVNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.5
4023-17NEWHAVIONAKillEzzie Thompsonset Grace Daniels+0.1
4124-17IONANEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.3
4225-17NEWHAVNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.1

Score shown after each rally, New Haven first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).