Central Conn. State vs New Haven: New Haven Wins 3-1 (Oct 3)

Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 3, 2026

1:3

RallyIQ pre-match: New Haven 72.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

New Haven beat visiting Central Conn. St. 3-1 (25-18, 25-15, 22-25, 25-20) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Lauren MacKellar led New Haven with 13 kills; Central Conn. St.'s Olivia Keckler had a match-high 22.

Data through Nov 3, 8:05 PM CT · final Oct 3

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
C CONN	18	15	25	20	1
NEWHAV	25	25	22	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

New Haven led in all four phases.

The biggest single-rally swing was 4.4 points, and Central Conn. St.'s high was 33% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave New Haven 72% before first serve.

Central Conn. St.New Haven

Break %+12.5 pts
35.447.9
46 of 96 on serve vs 28 of 79, so Central Conn. St.'s sideout was 52.1%.
Hitting+.113
.164.277
Kills and errors: 43–12 vs 50–27.
Longest run+-1
65
5 straight New Haven points in the third set cut a 16–22 deficit to 21–22. Final score of the set: 22–25.

New Haven above 50Central Conn. St. belowMax swing 4.4%

Central Conn. St.New Haven

Aces: Central Conn. St. 6·New Haven 6
Serve err: Central Conn. St. 18·New Haven 5
Blocks: Central Conn. St. 4·New Haven 110 BS · 8 BA vs 3 BS · 16 BA
Digs: Central Conn. St. 50·New Haven 54

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

New Haven above 50 · Central Conn. St. below

Biggest swing: 4.4% to Central Conn. St. — set 4, C CONN 18-18 NEWHAV. Attack error by Marley Alefaio. NEWHAV win probability 88% → 83%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

C CONN 32.1%67.9% NEWHAV

Central Conn. St. wins

3-0

6.3%

3-1

11.4%

3-2

14.4%

New Haven wins

3-0

21.8%

3-1

26.1%

3-2

20.0%

C CONN break %: 42.4% vs this opp
NEWHAV break %: 46.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Marley AlefaioAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Marley Alefaio
Set 4 · C CONN 18-18 NEWHAV · C CONN 12% → 17%
02
New HavenAce+4.4%
New Haven ace on Hanley Schmidt
Set 4 · C CONN 18-20 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 87% → 92%
03
Hanley SchmidtAttack error+3.8%
Attack error by Hanley Schmidt
Set 4 · C CONN 18-19 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 83% → 87%
04
Lauren MacKellarKill+3.6%
Kill by Lauren MacKellar (set by Payton Malinoski)
Set 4 · C CONN 18-21 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 92% → 95%
05
Central Conn. St.Ace+3.1%
Central Conn. St. ace
Set 4 · C CONN 14-15 NEWHAV · C CONN 9% → 12%
06
Central Conn. St.Service error+3.1%
Central Conn. St. service error
Set 4 · C CONN 16-18 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 88% → 91%
07
Valeria TorresKill+2.9%
Kill by Valeria Torres (set by Danielle Caligiuri)
Set 4 · C CONN 17-18 NEWHAV · C CONN 9% → 12%
08
Central Conn. St.Service error+2.9%
Central Conn. St. service error
Set 4 · C CONN 15-17 NEWHAV · NEWHAV 88% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Central Conn. St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
5Olivia KecklerOPP	4	22	4	49	.367	0	0	5	6	2	2	1	23
11Cullen WinterMB	4	7	2	17	.294	0	1	4	2	0	4	2	10
9Hanley SchmidtOH	4	9	10	25	-.040	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	9
12Valeria TorresMB	4	6	6	20	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
21Isabella Aviles	4	4	1	9	.333	12	0	0	5	0	2	1	5
6Meg BerklandL/DS	4	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	0
4Gabriella BurdierDS	4	0	0	0	–	1	5	4	8	0	0	0	5
1Annabelle DenommeL/DS	4	1	0	4	.250	4	0	2	11	0	0	0	1
17Danielle CaligiuriS	3	0	0	2	.000	25	0	2	5	0	0	0	0
15Madison FulgencioOH	2	1	3	13	-.154	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	1
Team totals		50	27	140	.164	43	6	18	50	6	8	4	78

New Havenhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Lauren MacKellarOH	4	13	3	29	.345	0	2	0	8	0	0	2	1	16
18Josie FosterMB	4	8	1	17	.412	0	2	1	2	0	1	3	2.5	12.5
20Marley AlefaioOH	4	10	4	27	.222	0	0	0	4	0	0	3	1.5	11.5
21Kira LynchMB	4	5	0	7	.714	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	4.5	9.5
14Zaira KearnsS	4	1	0	4	.250	34	1	1	10	0	0	2	1	3
1Alejandra MejiaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
12Quinn YenshawOH	4	6	4	23	.087	0	0	0	5	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
8Camryn HarrisL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	1	7	1	0	0	0	1
2Payton MalinoskiL/DS	4	0	0	5	.000	2	0	1	14	3	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	12	112	.277	38	6	5	54	6	3	16	11	97

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Central Conn. St. vs New Haven

Season series · New Haven leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 2, 2026Central Conn. St. at New Haven · New Haven won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 3, 2026Central Conn. St. at New Haven · New Haven won 3-1This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 C CONN · NEWHAV 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 3 C CONNNEWHAV 4

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 3 C CONNNEWHAV 4

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 6 C CONNNEWHAV 5

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 2 C CONNNEWHAV 5

Bars above the line = New Haven leads, below = Central Conn. St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Central Conn. St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	58%11/19	25%3/12
2	44%8/18	44%8/18
3	57%8/14	20%2/10
4	67%8/12	56%10/18
5	53%8/15	33%4/12
6	39%7/18	11%1/9
All	52%50/96	35%28/79

New Haven

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	61%11/18	59%13/22
2	67%8/12	50%9/18
3	80%8/10	43%6/14
4	47%8/17	38%5/13
5	62%8/13	33%4/12
6	89%8/9	53%9/17
All	65%51/79	48%46/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

175 rallies

#	C CONN-NEWHAV	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Isabella Aviles	+2.1
2	1-1	C CONN	NEWHAV	Blocked	Hanley Schmidt	blk Kira Lynch	+1.6
3	1-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+2.0
4	2-2	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Annabelle Denomme	+1.7
5	2-3	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+1.6
6	2-4	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Cullen Winter		+1.9
7	3-4	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Isabella Aviles	+1.6
8	4-4	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.		+2.1
9	4-5	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+1.7
10	5-5	NEWHAV	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Isabella Aviles	+1.8
11	6-5	C CONN	C CONN×3	Blocked	Quinn Yenshaw	blk Cullen Winter, Isabella Aviles	+2.4
12	7-5	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Gabriella Burdier	+2.5
13	7-6	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+1.9
14	7-7	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+2.4
15	8-7	NEWHAV	C CONN	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+2.1
16	9-7	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Josie Foster		+2.6
17	9-8	C CONN	NEWHAV×4	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+2.0
18	9-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Alejandra Mejia	+2.5
19	9-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Ace	New Haven	aced Olivia Keckler	+2.5
20	9-11	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Madison Fulgencio		+2.3
21	10-11	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Madison Fulgencio	set Isabella Aviles	+1.9
22	10-12	C CONN	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+1.9
23	10-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Blocked	Madison Fulgencio	blk Kira Lynch, Lauren MacKellar	+2.2
24	10-14	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+1.9
25	10-15	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+1.5
26	11-15	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Isabella Aviles	+1.0
27	11-16	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+1.2
28	11-17	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+1.1
29	12-17	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Annabelle Denomme	+0.7
30	12-18	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.9
31	12-19	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.7
32	13-19	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Isabella Aviles	+0.4
33	13-20	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.5
34	13-21	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Ace	New Haven		+0.3
35	14-21	NEWHAV	C CONN	Blocked	Quinn Yenshaw	blk Isabella Aviles, Cullen Winter	+0.1
36	15-21	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter		+0.3
37	15-22	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.4
38	16-22	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Isabella Aviles	+0.2
39	17-22	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Payton Malinoski	+0.4
40	17-23	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.5
41	17-24	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
42	18-24	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Isabella Aviles	·
43	18-25	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Valeria Torres		+1.5
2	1-1	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Valeria Torres	set Isabella Aviles	+1.3
3	1-2	C CONN	NEWHAV×4	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+1.3
4	1-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Ace	New Haven	aced Olivia Keckler	+1.5
5	1-4	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Blocked	Hanley Schmidt	blk Quinn Yenshaw, Kira Lynch	+1.4
6	1-5	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Payton Malinoski	+1.2
7	2-5	NEWHAV	C CONN	Blocked	Lauren MacKellar	blk Cullen Winter, Olivia Keckler	+1.0
8	2-6	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+1.0
9	2-7	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+1.1
10	3-7	NEWHAV	C CONN	Bad set	Zaira Kearns		+0.8
11	3-8	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.9
12	4-8	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Josie Foster	+0.8
13	4-9	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.9
14	4-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Blocked	Valeria Torres	blk Josie Foster, Zaira Kearns	+0.9
15	5-10	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Madison Fulgencio	+0.6
16	5-11	C CONN	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+0.7
17	5-12	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Blocked	Madison Fulgencio	blk Marley Alefaio, Kira Lynch	+0.7
18	5-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Valeria Torres		+0.5
19	6-13	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Isabella Aviles	+0.3
20	6-14	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
21	7-14	NEWHAV	C CONN	Bad set	Marley Alefaio		+0.3
22	7-15	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
23	8-15	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Isabella Aviles	+0.3
24	8-16	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
25	8-17	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Bad set	Isabella Aviles		+0.3
26	9-17	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Isabella Aviles	+0.2
27	9-18	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
28	10-18	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.1
29	10-19	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
30	11-19	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Valeria Torres	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.1
31	11-20	C CONN	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Zaira Kearns	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.2
32	11-21	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Ace	New Haven	aced Madison Fulgencio	+0.1
33	11-22	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		·
34	12-22	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler		·
35	12-23	C CONN	NEWHAV	Blocked	Meg Berkland	blk Kira Lynch, Marley Alefaio	·
36	12-24	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Blocked	Hanley Schmidt	blk Kira Lynch	·
37	13-24	NEWHAV	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Danielle Caligiuri	·
38	14-24	C CONN	C CONN×3	Blocked	Marley Alefaio	blk Olivia Keckler, Cullen Winter	·
39	15-24	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Danielle Caligiuri	·
40	15-25	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	·
Set 3
1	0-1	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.7
2	1-1	NEWHAV	C CONN×3	Kill	Valeria Torres	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.7
3	2-1	C CONN	C CONN×3	Bad set	Lauren MacKellar		+1.0
4	3-1	C CONN	C CONN×3	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Danielle Caligiuri	+1.0
5	3-2	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.8
6	3-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+1.0
7	4-3	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.8
8	4-4	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.8
9	5-4	NEWHAV	C CONN×6	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.8
10	6-4	C CONN	C CONN×6	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Payton Malinoski	+1.1
11	7-4	C CONN	C CONN×6	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Camryn Harris	+1.1
12	8-4	C CONN	C CONN×6	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Zaira Kearns	+1.1
13	9-4	C CONN	C CONN×6	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+1.0
14	10-4	C CONN	C CONN×6	Ace	Central Conn. St.	aced Payton Malinoski	+0.9
15	10-5	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.6
16	10-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.9
17	11-6	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.9
18	12-6	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.9
19	12-7	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.6
20	12-8	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+0.9
21	13-8	NEWHAV	C CONN	Serve err	New Haven		+0.9
22	13-9	C CONN	NEWHAV	Attack err	Valeria Torres		+0.7
23	14-9	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.9
24	15-9	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+1.0
25	15-10	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.6
26	16-10	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.8
27	16-11	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.5
28	17-11	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.8
29	17-12	C CONN	NEWHAV×3	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.5
30	17-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Josie Foster		+0.8
31	17-14	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Olivia Keckler		+1.1
32	18-14	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Danielle Caligiuri	+1.1
33	19-14	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Danielle Caligiuri	+1.1
34	19-15	C CONN	NEWHAV	Attack err	Cullen Winter		+0.6
35	20-15	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.9
36	21-15	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt		+0.8
37	21-16	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+0.3
38	22-16	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Annabelle Denomme		+0.6
39	22-17	C CONN	NEWHAV×5	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+0.3
40	22-18	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Attack err	Valeria Torres		+0.5
41	22-19	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.9
42	22-20	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+1.3
43	22-21	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+1.9
44	23-21	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Valeria Torres	set Danielle Caligiuri	+2.3
45	23-22	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+1.6
46	24-22	NEWHAV	C CONN	Serve err	New Haven		+2.7
47	25-22	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Quinn Yenshaw		+2.1
Set 4
1	1-0	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Valeria Torres	set Danielle Caligiuri	+2.0
2	2-0	C CONN	C CONN	Bad set	Zaira Kearns		+2.6
3	2-1	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+2.0
4	2-2	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Valeria Torres		+2.5
5	3-2	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Annabelle Denomme	+2.1
6	3-3	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+2.0
7	3-4	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Camryn Harris	+2.5
8	4-4	NEWHAV	C CONN	Serve err	New Haven		+2.1
9	4-5	C CONN	NEWHAV×3	Bad set	Danielle Caligiuri		+2.0
10	4-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Ace	New Haven		+2.4
11	4-7	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+2.2
12	5-7	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Danielle Caligiuri	+1.7
13	5-8	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+1.8
14	5-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Blocked	Hanley Schmidt	blk Zaira Kearns, Josie Foster	+2.0
15	6-9	NEWHAV	C CONN	Serve err	New Haven		+1.5
16	7-9	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Danielle Caligiuri	+2.2
17	7-10	C CONN	NEWHAV	Blocked	Olivia Keckler	blk Marley Alefaio, Josie Foster	+1.9
18	8-10	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Danielle Caligiuri	+1.8
19	8-11	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+2.0
20	9-11	NEWHAV	C CONN	Serve err	New Haven		+1.9
21	10-11	C CONN	C CONN	Bad set	Zaira Kearns		+2.7
22	10-12	C CONN	NEWHAV×3	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+2.3
23	10-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+2.6
24	10-14	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Blocked	Olivia Keckler	blk Kira Lynch, Lauren MacKellar	+2.2
25	11-14	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Danielle Caligiuri	+1.6
26	12-14	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+2.5
27	12-15	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Camryn Harris	+2.2
28	13-15	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Danielle Caligiuri	+2.1
29	14-15	C CONN	C CONN	Ace	Central Conn. St.		+3.1
30	14-16	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+2.7
31	15-16	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Cullen Winter	set Danielle Caligiuri	+2.7
32	15-17	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+2.9
33	16-17	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Hanley Schmidt	set Danielle Caligiuri	+2.8
34	16-18	C CONN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Central Conn. St.		+3.1
35	17-18	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Valeria Torres	set Danielle Caligiuri	+2.9
36	18-18	C CONN	C CONN	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+4.4
37	18-19	C CONN	NEWHAV×5	Attack err	Hanley Schmidt		+3.8
38	18-20	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Ace	New Haven	aced Hanley Schmidt	+4.4
39	18-21	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Payton Malinoski	+3.6
40	18-22	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Bad set	Olivia Keckler		+2.6
41	18-23	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×5	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+1.5
42	19-23	NEWHAV	C CONN	Kill	Isabella Aviles	set Danielle Caligiuri	+0.5
43	20-23	C CONN	C CONN	Kill	Olivia Keckler	set Annabelle Denomme	+1.3
44	20-24	C CONN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+1.8
45	20-25	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Isabella Aviles		+0.7

Score shown after each rally, Central Conn. St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

New Haven def. Central Conn. St. 3–1

New Haven led in all four phases.