Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026

New Haven def. Le Moyne 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: New Haven 97.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

New Haven won at Le Moyne 3-1 (29-27, 23-25, 27-25, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. New Haven's Lauren MacKellar led with 19 kills, and Camryn Harris added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
NEWHAV292327253
LEMOYN272525171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Alejandra Mejia, and New Haven needed each of them.

The match turned once; each line shows New Haven's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. New Haven went in as RallyIQ's 97% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · New Haven 22–24 Le Moyne

    New Haven scored 3 straight to turn a 22–24 deficit into a 25–24 lead.

    New Haven 75% → 93%

Le Moyne above 50New Haven belowMax swing 8.3%

New HavenLe Moyne

Sideout %
New Haven 60.0·Le Moyne 54.4
Break %
New Haven 45.6·Le Moyne 40.0
Hitting
New Haven .191·Le Moyne .238
Longest run
New Haven 6·Le Moyne 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Le Moyne above 50 · New Haven below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+8.3% NEWHAVrally 198 · set 4

Biggest swing: 8.3% to New Haven — set 3, NEWHAV 24-24 LEMOYN. Attack error by Nina Salas. LEMOYN win probability 21% → 13%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NEWHAV 94.5%5.5% LEMOYN

New Haven wins

3-0
54.0%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
10.4%

Le Moyne wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.6%
3-2
3.3%
NEWHAV break %
52.8% vs this opp
LEMOYN break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Nina SalasAttack error+8.3%

    Attack error by Nina Salas

    Set 3 · NEWHAV 24-24 LEMOYN · NEWHAV 79% → 87%

  2. 02

    Quinn Yenshaw stuffed by Branwyn Lupton & Gabriella Schemidt

    Set 3 · NEWHAV 22-24 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 17% → 25%

  3. 03
    Josie FosterKill+5.9%

    Kill by Josie Foster (set by Zaira Kearns)

    Set 3 · NEWHAV 25-24 LEMOYN · NEWHAV 87% → 93%

  4. 04

    Kill by Gabriella Schemidt (set by Skylar Jehlen)

    Set 3 · NEWHAV 22-23 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 12% → 17%

  5. 05
    Josie FosterAttack error+4.9%

    Attack error by Josie Foster

    Set 3 · NEWHAV 21-22 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 11% → 16%

  6. 06

    Kill by Gabriella Schemidt (set by Skylar Jehlen)

    Set 3 · NEWHAV 25-25 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 7% → 12%

  7. 07
    Le MoyneService error+4.9%

    Le Moyne service error

    Set 3 · NEWHAV 26-25 LEMOYN · NEWHAV 88% → 93%

  8. 08
    Kira LynchKill+4.3%

    Kill by Kira Lynch (set by Zaira Kearns)

    Set 3 · NEWHAV 27-25 LEMOYN · NEWHAV 93% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
419847.23401160031.521.5
4131037.08100003111.514.5
49214.5000000012211
46516.06300110052.58.5
41011.0000411100005
4103.333511150031.53.5
48521.143000000008
4000–0301140003
4002.0001211400002
Team totals5730141.191521154872149104
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415225.52000200031.516.5
46224.16712100052.510.5
49527.1480000002110
49833.03010283010.59.5
47011.63600000031.58.5
4000–2301300000
4416.5001800301226
4124-.250126240003
4000–213700001
4000–1101010001
4000–400830000
2000–010100001
Team totals5120130.238517154211116994

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

New Haven vs Le Moyne

Season series · New Haven leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 NEWHAV · LEMOYN 5

Set 1

29-27

Longest run 6 NEWHAVLEMOYN 5

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 NEWHAVLEMOYN 4

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 3 NEWHAVLEMOYN 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 NEWHAVLEMOYN 2

Bars above the line = Le Moyne leads, below = New Haven leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Haven

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
33%5/15
2
63%10/16
35%6/17
3
71%10/14
55%12/22
4
60%9/15
44%7/16
5
42%8/19
58%11/19
6
62%8/13
43%6/14
All
60%57/95
46%47/103

Le Moyne

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
29%4/14
2
50%10/20
33%5/15
3
71%10/14
41%7/17
4
53%9/17
29%4/14
5
42%8/19
36%5/14
6
53%8/15
62%13/21
All
54%56/103
40%38/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

198 rallies

#NEWHAV-LEMOYNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NEWHAVLEMOYNKillPayton Horanset Haley Buescher+0.3
21-1LEMOYNNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.3
32-1NEWHAVNEWHAVAceNew Havenaced Haley Buescher+0.3
42-2NEWHAVLEMOYNAttack errKira Lynch+0.3
52-3LEMOYNLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+0.4
63-3LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+0.3
73-4NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Haley Buescher+0.4
84-4LEMOYNNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.3
95-4NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.4
106-4NEWHAVNEWHAV×3AceNew Havenaced Haley Buescher+0.3
116-5NEWHAVLEMOYNAttack errJosie Foster+0.3
126-6LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errJosie Foster+0.4
137-6LEMOYNNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.3
147-7NEWHAVLEMOYN×3Serve errNew Haven+0.4
157-8LEMOYNLEMOYN×3Attack errMarley Alefaio+0.6
167-9LEMOYNLEMOYN×3AceLe Moyneaced Marley Alefaio+0.7
178-9LEMOYNNEWHAV×3Serve errLe Moyne+0.5
189-9NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.5
1910-9NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errPayton Horan+0.5
2010-10NEWHAVLEMOYNKillNina Salasset Katie Barbour+0.5
2110-11LEMOYNLEMOYNBlockedMarley Alefaioblk Gabriella Schemidt, Eiley Schneider+0.7
2211-11LEMOYNNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.5
2311-12NEWHAVLEMOYNKillPayton Horanset Skylar Jehlen+0.6
2412-12LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+0.5
2512-13NEWHAVLEMOYNKillNina Salasset Skylar Jehlen+0.6
2612-14LEMOYNLEMOYNAceLe Moyneaced Payton Malinoski+0.9
2713-14LEMOYNNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.6
2814-14NEWHAVNEWHAVBlockedGabriella Schemidtblk Josie Foster, Lauren MacKellar+0.7
2914-15NEWHAVLEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Skylar Jehlen+0.7
3015-15LEMOYNNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.6
3116-15NEWHAVNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.7
3216-16NEWHAVLEMOYNKillKatie Barbourset Piper Hooey+0.7
3316-17LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errLauren MacKellar+1.0
3417-17LEMOYNNEWHAV×6Serve errLe Moyne+0.7
3518-17NEWHAVNEWHAV×6Attack errPayton Horan+0.8
3619-17NEWHAVNEWHAV×6Attack errPayton Horan+0.7
3720-17NEWHAVNEWHAV×6Attack errPayton Horan+0.5
3821-17NEWHAVNEWHAV×6Attack errBranwyn Lupton+0.3
3922-17NEWHAVNEWHAV×6KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.2
4022-18NEWHAVLEMOYN×5KillBranwyn Luptonset Katie Barbour+0.1
4122-19LEMOYNLEMOYN×5Attack errMarley Alefaio+0.2
4222-20LEMOYNLEMOYN×5KillEiley Schneiderset Katie Barbour+0.5
4322-21LEMOYNLEMOYN×5Attack errJosie Foster+0.8
4422-22LEMOYNLEMOYN×5KillPayton Horanset Katie Barbour+1.4
4523-22LEMOYNNEWHAVBlockedKatie Barbourblk Marley Alefaio+1.3
4623-23NEWHAVLEMOYNKillPayton Horanset Katie Barbour+1.4
4724-23LEMOYNNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.7
4824-24NEWHAVLEMOYNAttack errMarley Alefaio+1.7
4925-24LEMOYNNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.7
5025-25NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+1.7
5126-25LEMOYNNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.7
5226-26NEWHAVLEMOYNKillNina Salasset Branwyn Lupton+1.7
5327-26LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+1.7
5427-27NEWHAVLEMOYNServe errNew Haven+1.7
5528-27LEMOYNNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+1.7
5629-27NEWHAVNEWHAVBlockedPiper Hooeyblk Zaira Kearns, Josie Foster+1.5
Set 2
11-0LEMOYNNEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.2
22-0NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillKira Lynch+0.2
33-0NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+0.1
43-1NEWHAVLEMOYNServe errNew Haven+0.1
54-1LEMOYNNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.1
65-1NEWHAVNEWHAV×3AceNew Havenaced Piper Hooey+0.1
76-1NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.1
86-2NEWHAVLEMOYN×4Attack errQuinn Yenshaw+0.1
96-3LEMOYNLEMOYN×4Attack errLauren MacKellar+0.1
106-4LEMOYNLEMOYN×4KillNina Salasset Katie Barbour+0.2
116-5LEMOYNLEMOYN×4KillNina Salasset Aubrey Kimball+0.2
127-5LEMOYNNEWHAVBlockedNina Salasblk Josie Foster, Lauren MacKellar+0.2
138-5NEWHAVNEWHAVBlockedNina Salasblk Zaira Kearns, Josie Foster+0.2
148-6NEWHAVLEMOYNBlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Branwyn Lupton, Katie Barbour+0.2
158-7LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errLauren MacKellar+0.2
169-7LEMOYNNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.2
1710-7NEWHAVNEWHAVAceNew Havenaced Cami Zajac+0.2
1810-8NEWHAVLEMOYNBlockedMarley Alefaioblk Branwyn Lupton, Katie Barbour+0.2
1911-8LEMOYNNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.2
2012-8NEWHAVNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.1
2112-9NEWHAVLEMOYN×3KillEiley Schneiderset Katie Barbour+0.1
2212-10LEMOYNLEMOYN×3Attack errMarley Alefaio+0.2
2312-11LEMOYNLEMOYN×3KillPayton Horanset Skylar Jehlen+0.3
2413-11LEMOYNNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.2
2513-12NEWHAVLEMOYNBlockedLauren MacKellarblk Eiley Schneider, Payton Horan+0.3
2613-13LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errMarley Alefaio+0.4
2714-13LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+0.3
2815-13NEWHAVNEWHAVBlockedNina Salasblk Kira Lynch, Lauren MacKellar+0.3
2915-14NEWHAVLEMOYNKillEiley Schneiderset Skylar Jehlen+0.3
3016-14LEMOYNNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.3
3116-15NEWHAVLEMOYNKillNina Salasset Skylar Jehlen+0.3
3217-15LEMOYNNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.3
3317-16NEWHAVLEMOYN×3KillBranwyn Luptonset Katie Barbour+0.3
3417-17LEMOYNLEMOYN×3KillPayton Horanset Katie Barbour+0.5
3517-18LEMOYNLEMOYN×3BlockedJosie Fosterblk Branwyn Lupton, Payton Horan+0.7
3618-18LEMOYNNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.5
3718-19NEWHAVLEMOYNKillNina Salasset Katie Barbour+0.6
3818-20LEMOYNLEMOYNAceLe Moyneaced Payton Malinoski+0.9
3919-20LEMOYNNEWHAVAttack errPayton Horan+0.6
4020-20NEWHAVNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.7
4120-21NEWHAVLEMOYNKillEiley Schneiderset Katie Barbour+0.8
4220-22LEMOYNLEMOYNBlockedMarley Alefaioblk Eiley Schneider, Gabriella Schemidt+1.1
4321-22LEMOYNNEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+0.7
4422-22NEWHAVNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.0
4522-23NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+1.1
4622-24LEMOYNLEMOYNAceLe Moyneaced Marley Alefaio+1.6
4723-24LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+0.8
4823-25NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+2.1
Set 3
11-0NEWHAVNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellar+0.8
21-1NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Haley Buescher+0.8
31-2LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errLauren MacKellar+1.2
42-2LEMOYNNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.9
52-3NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+1.1
62-4LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errQuinn Yenshaw+1.5
73-4LEMOYNNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+1.0
83-5NEWHAVLEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Skylar Jehlen+1.3
93-6LEMOYNLEMOYNAceLe Moyneaced Payton Malinoski+1.8
104-6LEMOYNNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.2
114-7NEWHAVLEMOYNAttack errMarley Alefaio+1.6
125-7LEMOYNNEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+1.3
136-7NEWHAVNEWHAVAceNew Havenaced Nina Salas+1.5
146-8NEWHAVLEMOYN×4KillNina Salasset Katie Barbour+1.5
156-9LEMOYNLEMOYN×4AceLe Moyneaced Marley Alefaio+2.0
166-10LEMOYNLEMOYN×4Attack errLauren MacKellar+2.3
176-11LEMOYNLEMOYN×4KillEiley Schneiderset Katie Barbour+2.4
187-11LEMOYNNEWHAV×3KillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+1.5
198-11NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.9
209-11NEWHAVNEWHAV×3AceNew Havenaced Haley Buescher+1.9
219-12NEWHAVLEMOYNKillKatie Barbourset Nina Salas+2.0
2210-12LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+1.6
2310-13NEWHAVLEMOYNKillEiley Schneiderset Skylar Jehlen+2.2
2410-14LEMOYNLEMOYNAceLe Moyneaced Payton Malinoski+2.7
2511-14LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+1.7
2611-15NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+2.5
2712-15LEMOYNNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+1.8
2812-16NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+2.6
2913-16LEMOYNNEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+1.9
3014-16NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+2.4
3115-16NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errNina Salas+2.4
3215-17NEWHAVLEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Katie Barbour+2.6
3315-18LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errMarley Alefaio+3.4
3416-18LEMOYNNEWHAV×3KillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+2.2
3517-18NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errPayton Horan+2.8
3618-18NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+2.7
3718-19NEWHAVLEMOYNAttack errLauren MacKellar+2.8
3819-19LEMOYNNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+2.5
3919-20NEWHAVLEMOYNKillPayton Horanset Katie Barbour+3.2
4020-20LEMOYNNEWHAVBlockedGabriella Schemidtblk Kira Lynch+2.7
4121-20NEWHAVNEWHAVAceNew Havenaced Nina Salas+3.2
4221-21NEWHAVLEMOYNKillEiley Schneiderset Skylar Jehlen+3.0
4321-22LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errJosie Foster+4.9
4422-22LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+3.7
4522-23NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+5.1
4622-24LEMOYNLEMOYNBlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Branwyn Lupton, Gabriella Schemidt+7.3
4723-24LEMOYNNEWHAV×3Serve errLe Moyne+3.6
4824-24NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errNina Salas+8.3
4925-24NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+5.9
5025-25NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+4.9
5126-25LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+4.9
5227-25NEWHAVNEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+4.3
Set 4
11-0LEMOYNNEWHAV×3Serve errLe Moyne+0.5
22-0NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillQuinn Yenshawset Skylar Jehlen+0.5
33-0NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.4
43-1NEWHAVLEMOYNKillPiper Hooeyset Skylar Jehlen+0.4
53-2LEMOYNLEMOYNBlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Katie Barbour+0.6
64-2LEMOYNNEWHAV×5KillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.5
75-2NEWHAVNEWHAV×5Attack errNina Salas+0.5
86-2NEWHAVNEWHAV×5AceNew Havenaced Piper Hooey+0.4
97-2NEWHAVNEWHAV×5AceNew Havenaced Piper Hooey+0.3
108-2NEWHAVNEWHAV×5BlockedNina Salasblk Josie Foster, Zaira Kearns+0.2
118-3NEWHAVLEMOYNKillBranwyn Luptonset Katie Barbour+0.2
129-3LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+0.2
139-4NEWHAVLEMOYNKillKatie Barbourset Haley Buescher+0.2
1410-4LEMOYNNEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Zaira Kearns+0.2
1511-4NEWHAVNEWHAVBlockedNina Salasblk Kira Lynch, Marley Alefaio+0.2
1611-5NEWHAVLEMOYNServe errNew Haven+0.1
1711-6LEMOYNLEMOYNAttack errKira Lynch+0.2
1812-6LEMOYNNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Zaira Kearns+0.2
1912-7NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+0.2
2012-8LEMOYNLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Aubrey Kimball+0.3
2113-8LEMOYNNEWHAVServe errLe Moyne+0.3
2213-9NEWHAVLEMOYNBad setZaira Kearns+0.3
2314-9LEMOYNNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.3
2414-10NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen+0.3
2514-11LEMOYNLEMOYNKillNina Salasset Katie Barbour+0.5
2615-11LEMOYNNEWHAV×4KillQuinn Yenshawset Zaira Kearns+0.4
2716-11NEWHAVNEWHAV×4Attack errPiper Hooey+0.4
2817-11NEWHAVNEWHAV×4AceNew Havenaced Nina Salas+0.3
2918-11NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillAlejandra Mejiaset Katie Barbour+0.2
3018-12NEWHAVLEMOYNKillKatie Barbourset Cami Zajac+0.1
3119-12LEMOYNNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns+0.1
3219-13NEWHAVLEMOYNServe errNew Haven+0.1
3320-13LEMOYNNEWHAVAttack errBranwyn Lupton+0.1
3420-14NEWHAVLEMOYNKillPayton Horanset Katie Barbour+0.1
3521-14LEMOYNNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.1
3621-15NEWHAVLEMOYNKillPayton Horanset Skylar Jehlen+0.1
3722-15LEMOYNNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Zaira Kearns+0.1
3823-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×3AceNew Havenaced Piper Hooey·
3924-15NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillZaira Kearnsset Camryn Harris·
4024-16NEWHAVLEMOYNKillGabriella Schemidtset Skylar Jehlen·
4124-17LEMOYNLEMOYNBlockedLauren MacKellarblk Branwyn Lupton, Nina Salas·
4225-17LEMOYNNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Zaira Kearns·

Score shown after each rally, New Haven first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).