New Haven vs Le Moyne Volleyball: New Haven Wins 3-0

FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: New Haven 96.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

New Haven won at Le Moyne 3-0 (25-14, 25-23, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. New Haven's Lauren MacKellar led with 15 kills, and Payton Malinoski added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 8:05 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	Sets
NEWHAV	25	25	25	3
LEMOYN	14	23	17	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Lauren Mackellar. New Haven swept Le Moyne.

Win probability never moved more than 1.1 points on one rally; Le Moyne topped out at 5% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had New Haven at 96%.

New HavenLe Moyne

Break %+18.2 pts
52.133.9
Points won on own serve: 38 of 73 vs 19 of 56. Le Moyne sided out 47.9% of the time.
Hitting+.166
.333.167
52 kills, 14 errors vs 33 kills, 15 errors.
Longest run+5
94
Up 13–9 in the first set, New Haven scored 9 straight to make it 22–9. The set finished 25–14.

Le Moyne above 50New Haven belowMax swing 1.1%

New HavenLe Moyne

Aces: New Haven 6·Le Moyne 5
Serve err: New Haven 2·Le Moyne 2
Blocks: New Haven 6·Le Moyne 82 BS · 8 BA vs 3 BS · 10 BA
Digs: New Haven 51·Le Moyne 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Le Moyne above 50 · New Haven below

Biggest swing: 1.1% to New Haven — set 2, NEWHAV 25-23 LEMOYN. Kill by Josie Foster (set by Zaira Kearns). LEMOYN win probability 2% → 1%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NEWHAV 94.5%5.5% LEMOYN

New Haven wins

3-0

54.0%

3-1

30.1%

3-2

10.4%

Le Moyne wins

3-0

0.6%

3-1

1.6%

3-2

3.3%

NEWHAV break %: 52.8% vs this opp
LEMOYN break %: 40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Josie FosterKill+1.1%
Kill by Josie Foster (set by Zaira Kearns)
Set 2 · NEWHAV 25-23 LEMOYN · NEWHAV 98% → 99%
02
Nina SalasKill+0.7%
Kill by Nina Salas (set by Katie Barbour)
Set 2 · NEWHAV 24-23 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 1% → 2%
03
Eiley Schneider&Katie BarbourBlock+0.6%
Marley Alefaio stuffed by Eiley Schneider & Katie Barbour
Set 1 · NEWHAV 2-3 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 4% → 5%
04
Le MoyneAce+0.6%
Le Moyne ace on Marley Alefaio
Set 1 · NEWHAV 5-5 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 4% → 4%
05
Marley AlefaioAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Marley Alefaio
Set 2 · NEWHAV 6-8 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 3% → 3%
06
Payton HoranKill+0.5%
Kill by Payton Horan (set by Katie Barbour)
Set 1 · NEWHAV 6-6 LEMOYN · LEMOYN 4% → 4%
07
New HavenAce+0.5%
New Haven ace on Nina Salas
Set 1 · NEWHAV 4-3 LEMOYN · NEWHAV 96% → 96%
08
New HavenAce+0.5%
New Haven ace on Cami Zajac
Set 1 · NEWHAV 8-6 LEMOYN · NEWHAV 96% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

New Havenaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
16Lauren MacKellarOH	3	15	4	34	.324	0	1	0	5	1	1	2	2	18
18Josie FosterMB	3	9	2	20	.350	0	1	1	2	0	1	3	2.5	12.5
12Quinn YenshawOH	3	11	2	25	.360	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
21Kira LynchMB	3	2	3	7	-.143	2	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
14Zaira KearnsS	3	2	1	4	.250	38	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	2
8Camryn HarrisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	2	0	8	3	0	0	0	2
20Marley AlefaioOH	3	12	2	23	.435	0	0	0	3	1	0	1	0.5	12.5
2Payton MalinoskiL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	5	2	1	13	0	0	0	0	3
1Alejandra MejiaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	14	114	.333	50	6	2	51	5	2	8	6	75

Le Moynehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Nina SalasOH	3	8	2	25	.240	1	1	0	7	3	0	1	0.5	9.5
18Gabriella Schemidt	3	7	4	20	.150	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
11Eiley SchneiderMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	1	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
7Avery Stromberg	3	1	1	4	.000	1	1	1	4	1	0	0	0	2
3Skylar JehlenS	3	1	0	2	.500	14	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	2
2Branwyn LuptonOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
22Alise EvansMB	3	2	2	10	.000	0	2	1	1	0	2	2	3	7
4Katie Barbour	3	1	1	8	.000	10	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
1Aubrey Kimball	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	0	0
13Cami ZajacL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
10Haley BuescherL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	0
9Jazmin RodriguezOH	2	8	1	21	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
19Payton HoranOH	2	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
20Alana Surigao	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		33	15	108	.167	29	5	2	35	6	3	10	8	54

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

New Haven vs Le Moyne

Season series · New Haven leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026New Haven at Le Moyne · New Haven won 3-1Result →
Sat, Oct 10, 2026New Haven at Le Moyne · New Haven won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 9 NEWHAV · LEMOYN 4

Set 1

25-14

Longest run 9 NEWHAVLEMOYN 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 NEWHAVLEMOYN 3

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 NEWHAVLEMOYN 3

Bars above the line = Le Moyne leads, below = New Haven leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Haven

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	70%14/20
2	53%8/15	20%2/10
3	75%6/8	14%1/7
4	71%5/7	58%7/12
5	83%5/6	44%4/9
6	63%5/8	67%10/15
All	66%37/56	52%38/73

Le Moyne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	22%2/9
2	75%6/8	50%8/16
3	55%6/11	33%3/9
4	56%5/9	25%2/8
5	31%5/16	29%2/7
6	31%5/16	29%2/7
All	48%35/73	34%19/56

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#	NEWHAV-LEMOYN	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster		+0.4
2	1-1	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.4
3	2-1	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
4	2-2	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Eiley Schneider	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.4
5	2-3	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Blocked	Marley Alefaio	blk Eiley Schneider, Katie Barbour	+0.6
6	3-3	LEMOYN	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.5
7	4-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Ace	New Haven	aced Nina Salas	+0.5
8	5-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
9	5-4	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Avery Stromberg	set Katie Barbour	+0.4
10	5-5	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Ace	Le Moyne	aced Marley Alefaio	+0.6
11	6-5	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
12	6-6	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Payton Horan	set Katie Barbour	+0.5
13	7-6	LEMOYN	NEWHAV×7	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Payton Malinoski	+0.5
14	8-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×7	Ace	New Haven	aced Cami Zajac	+0.5
15	9-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×7	Attack err	Payton Horan		+0.4
16	10-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×7	Ace	New Haven	aced Nina Salas	+0.3
17	11-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×7	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.3
18	12-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×7	Attack err	Payton Horan		+0.2
19	13-6	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×7	Attack err	Katie Barbour		+0.1
20	13-7	NEWHAV	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Nina Salas	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
21	13-8	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Kira Lynch		+0.2
22	13-9	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	Le Moyne	aced Camryn Harris	+0.2
23	14-9	LEMOYN	NEWHAV×9	Attack err	Gabriella Schemidt		+0.2
24	15-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×9	Blocked	Branwyn Lupton	blk Josie Foster, Lauren MacKellar	+0.2
25	16-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×9	Ace	New Haven	aced Nina Salas	+0.1
26	17-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×9	Blocked	Payton Horan	blk Josie Foster, Lauren MacKellar	+0.1
27	18-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×9	Ace	New Haven	aced Avery Stromberg	·
28	19-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×9	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	·
29	20-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×9	Kill	Payton Malinoski	set Camryn Harris	·
30	21-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×9	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	·
31	22-9	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×9	Blocked	Avery Stromberg	blk Josie Foster	·
32	22-10	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Branwyn Lupton	set Skylar Jehlen	·
33	23-10	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	·
34	24-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Ace	New Haven	aced Skylar Jehlen	·
35	24-11	NEWHAV	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Alise Evans	set Skylar Jehlen	·
36	24-12	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Eiley Schneider		·
37	24-13	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Kill	Skylar Jehlen	set Zaira Kearns	·
38	24-14	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×4	Ace	Le Moyne	aced Lauren MacKellar	·
39	25-14	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Le Moyne		·
Set 2
1	1-0	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Alise Evans		+0.3
2	2-0	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
3	3-0	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Gabriella Schemidt		+0.2
4	3-1	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.2
5	3-2	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Blocked	Lauren MacKellar	blk Alise Evans, Nina Salas	+0.3
6	4-2	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Serve err	Le Moyne		+0.2
7	4-3	NEWHAV	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Haley Buescher	+0.2
8	4-4	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Blocked	Quinn Yenshaw	blk Gabriella Schemidt, Eiley Schneider	+0.3
9	4-5	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	Le Moyne	aced Camryn Harris	+0.4
10	5-5	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.3
11	5-6	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.4
12	6-6	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Alejandra Mejia	+0.3
13	6-7	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Katie Barbour	+0.4
14	6-8	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Attack err	Marley Alefaio		+0.5
15	7-8	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
16	8-8	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Payton Malinoski	+0.4
17	8-9	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Blocked	Lauren MacKellar	blk Jazmin Rodriguez, Eiley Schneider	+0.4
18	9-9	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
19	9-10	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.5
20	10-10	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
21	11-10	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Blocked	Gabriella Schemidt	blk Josie Foster, Quinn Yenshaw	+0.4
22	11-11	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.4
23	12-11	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
24	13-11	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
25	13-12	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.4
26	14-12	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+0.3
27	14-13	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.4
28	15-13	LEMOYN	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Alejandra Mejia	+0.4
29	16-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Alejandra Mejia	+0.4
30	17-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×3	Attack err	Nina Salas		+0.3
31	17-14	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Serve err	New Haven		+0.2
32	18-14	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
33	19-14	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Attack err	Jazmin Rodriguez		+0.2
34	19-15	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Attack err	Kira Lynch		+0.1
35	20-15	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
36	21-15	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
37	21-16	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Haley Buescher	+0.1
38	21-17	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Blocked	Quinn Yenshaw	blk Alise Evans, Gabriella Schemidt	+0.1
39	22-17	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Kira Lynch	+0.1
40	22-18	NEWHAV	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.1
41	22-19	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Attack err	Lauren MacKellar		+0.2
42	22-20	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.4
43	23-20	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+0.4
44	23-21	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Avery Stromberg	+0.3
45	24-21	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Zaira Kearns	set Camryn Harris	+0.5
46	24-22	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.2
47	24-23	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Katie Barbour	+0.7
48	25-23	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	+1.1
Set 3
1	1-0	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Attack err	Alise Evans		+0.1
2	1-1	NEWHAV	LEMOYN×3	Blocked	Josie Foster	blk Alise Evans	+0.1
3	1-2	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	+0.2
4	1-3	LEMOYN	LEMOYN×3	Ace	Le Moyne	aced Camryn Harris	+0.2
5	2-3	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
6	3-3	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.2
7	3-4	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Haley Buescher	+0.2
8	4-4	LEMOYN	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Zaira Kearns	set Eiley Schneider	+0.1
9	5-4	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
10	6-4	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
11	7-4	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Blocked	Gabriella Schemidt	blk Marley Alefaio, Kira Lynch	+0.1
12	7-5	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Eiley Schneider	set Haley Buescher	+0.1
13	8-5	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Kira Lynch	+0.1
14	9-5	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
15	9-6	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
16	9-7	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	+0.1
17	10-7	LEMOYN	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
18	11-7	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
19	12-7	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	+0.1
20	13-7	NEWHAV	NEWHAV×4	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Payton Malinoski	+0.1
21	13-8	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Katie Barbour	set Nina Salas	·
22	14-8	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Kira Lynch	set Zaira Kearns	·
23	15-8	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	·
24	15-9	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	·
25	15-10	LEMOYN	LEMOYN	Blocked	Josie Foster	blk Alise Evans	·
26	16-10	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Payton Malinoski	·
27	16-11	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Alise Evans	set Skylar Jehlen	·
28	17-11	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Quinn Yenshaw	set Zaira Kearns	·
29	17-12	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Nina Salas	set Skylar Jehlen	·
30	18-12	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	·
31	18-13	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Gabriella Schemidt	set Skylar Jehlen	·
32	19-13	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Marley Alefaio	set Zaira Kearns	·
33	20-13	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Blocked	Nina Salas	blk Lauren MacKellar	·
34	20-14	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Blocked	Kira Lynch	blk Katie Barbour	·
35	21-14	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Payton Malinoski	·
36	21-15	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Kill	Jazmin Rodriguez	set Katie Barbour	·
37	22-15	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	·
38	23-15	NEWHAV	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	·
39	23-16	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Serve err	New Haven		·
40	24-16	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Lauren MacKellar	set Zaira Kearns	·
41	24-17	NEWHAV	LEMOYN	Attack err	Zaira Kearns		·
42	25-17	LEMOYN	NEWHAV	Kill	Josie Foster	set Zaira Kearns	·

Score shown after each rally, New Haven first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

New Haven def. Le Moyne 3–0

15 kills in 3 sets for Lauren Mackellar. New Haven swept Le Moyne.