FinalFri, Nov 6, 2026

FDU def. New Haven 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: FDU 62.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

FDU beat visiting New Haven 3-0 (25-20, 25-17, 25-17) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. FDU's Mila Samardzija led with 11 kills, and Madeline Joyce added 15 digs.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set123Sets
NEWHAV2017170
FDU2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

FDU swept New Haven, and no set was closer than 5 points.

No single rally moved win probability more than 2.8 points. New Haven peaked at 40% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave FDU 62% before first serve.

New HavenFDU
  • Break %+18.7 pts
    32.751.4

    38 of 74 on serve vs 18 of 55, so New Haven's sideout was 48.6%.

  • Hitting+.183
    .009.192

    Kills and errors: 34–15 vs 30–29.

  • Longest run+3
    47

    Down 13–14 in the third set, FDU scored 7 straight to lead 20–14. That set ended 25–17.

FDU above 50New Haven belowMax swing 2.8%

New HavenFDU

Aces
New Haven 3·FDU 2
Serve err
New Haven 8·FDU 6
Blocks
New Haven 3·FDU 112 BS · 2 BA vs 0 BS · 22 BA
Digs
New Haven 39·FDU 41

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

FDU above 50 · New Haven below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.8% NEWHAVrally 129 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.8% to New Haven — set 1, NEWHAV 10-10 FDU. Attack error by Alessia Zampieri. FDU win probability 65% → 62%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NEWHAV 31.9%68.1% FDU

New Haven wins

3-0
6.2%
3-1
11.3%
3-2
14.4%

FDU wins

3-0
22.0%
3-1
26.2%
3-2
20.0%
NEWHAV break %
42.8% vs this opp
FDU break %
46.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Alessia ZampieriAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Alessia Zampieri

    Set 1 · NEWHAV 10-10 FDU · NEWHAV 35% → 38%

  2. 02
    Quinn YenshawAttack error+2.8%

    Attack error by Quinn Yenshaw

    Set 1 · NEWHAV 10-12 FDU · FDU 65% → 67%

  3. 03
    Lauren MacKellarAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Lauren MacKellar

    Set 1 · NEWHAV 10-13 FDU · FDU 67% → 70%

  4. 04

    Ace by Payton Malinoski on Madeline Joyce

    Set 1 · NEWHAV 9-10 FDU · NEWHAV 32% → 35%

  5. 05

    Attack error by Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez

    Set 1 · NEWHAV 12-14 FDU · NEWHAV 29% → 32%

  6. 06
    Kira LynchAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Kira Lynch

    Set 1 · NEWHAV 5-7 FDU · FDU 64% → 67%

  7. 07

    Kill by Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez (set by Isabella Scarfone)

    Set 1 · NEWHAV 12-16 FDU · FDU 70% → 73%

  8. 08

    Kill by Alessia Zampieri (set by Isabella Scarfone)

    Set 1 · NEWHAV 10-11 FDU · FDU 62% → 65%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37931-.065201801018
35214.21401100010.56.5
36726-.038000400006
3419.3331910901016
3249-.222000000002
3012-.500101700000
36521.04810030010.56.5
3000–312710001
3000–003100000
Team totals3029112.009263839222354
FDUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311331.2580016008415
38114.50000010031.59.5
37824-.04211090010.58.5
34110.30010010073.57.5
3217.143271220031.54.5
32112.083001700002
3001.0001011510000
3000–001000000
Team totals341599.19230264130221175

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

New Haven vs FDU

Season series · FDU leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NEWHAV · FDU 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 NEWHAVFDU 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 NEWHAVFDU 3

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 NEWHAVFDU 7

Bars above the line = FDU leads, below = New Haven leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

New Haven

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
25%2/8
2
33%7/21
43%6/14
3
60%6/10
36%4/11
4
71%5/7
33%3/9
5
83%5/6
29%2/7
6
31%5/16
17%1/6
All
49%36/74
33%18/55

FDU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
30%3/10
2
67%8/12
67%16/24
3
75%6/8
54%7/13
4
83%5/6
17%1/6
5
71%5/7
29%2/7
6
63%5/8
64%9/14
All
67%37/55
51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#NEWHAV-FDUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0FDUNEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Caroline Johnston+1.9
21-1NEWHAVFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.8
31-2FDUFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+2.3
42-2FDUNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Caroline Johnston+1.9
52-3NEWHAVFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+1.9
63-3FDUNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Caroline Johnston+1.9
73-4NEWHAVFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.9
84-4FDUNEWHAVBlockedAngela Marchettoblk Caroline Johnston+2.0
94-5NEWHAVFDUKillIsabella Scarfoneset Madeline Joyce+2.0
105-5FDUNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Payton Malinoski+2.0
115-6NEWHAVFDU×3KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+2.0
125-7FDUFDU×3Attack errKira Lynch+2.4
135-8FDUFDU×3AceFDUaced Payton Malinoski+2.3
146-8FDUNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Lauren MacKellar+1.7
156-9NEWHAVFDUAttack errCaroline Johnston+1.9
166-10FDUFDUBlockedLauren MacKellarblk Alessia Zampieri, Mila Samardzija+2.1
177-10FDUNEWHAV×4KillQuinn Yenshawset Payton Malinoski+1.5
188-10NEWHAVNEWHAV×4KillLauren MacKellarset Caroline Johnston+2.2
199-10NEWHAVNEWHAV×4AcePayton Malinoskiaced Madeline Joyce+2.6
2010-10NEWHAVNEWHAV×4Attack errAlessia Zampieri+2.8
2110-11NEWHAVFDU×4KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+2.3
2210-12FDUFDU×4Attack errQuinn Yenshaw+2.8
2310-13FDUFDU×4Attack errLauren MacKellar+2.6
2410-14FDUFDU×4KillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+2.3
2511-14FDUNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Caroline Johnston+1.6
2612-14NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+2.4
2712-15NEWHAVFDUServe errNew Haven+2.2
2812-16FDUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+2.4
2913-16FDUNEWHAVServe errFDU+1.6
3013-17NEWHAVFDUServe errNew Haven+2.0
3114-17FDUNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Caroline Johnston+1.6
3214-18NEWHAVFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+2.0
3314-19FDUFDUAttack errMarley Alefaio+1.9
3415-19FDUNEWHAVKillKira Lynchset Caroline Johnston+1.1
3515-20NEWHAVFDU×3KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.5
3615-21FDUFDU×3Attack errKira Lynch+1.2
3715-22FDUFDU×3KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+0.6
3816-22FDUNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Caroline Johnston+0.2
3916-23NEWHAVFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+0.4
4017-23FDUNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Caroline Johnston+0.1
4117-24NEWHAVFDUBlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Alessia Zampieri, Isabella Scarfone+0.3
4218-24FDUNEWHAV×3Attack errIsabella Scarfone+0.1
4319-24NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillJosie Fosterset Caroline Johnston+0.1
4420-24NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillCaroline Johnston+0.3
4520-25NEWHAVFDUKillAngela Marchettoset Isabella Scarfone+0.6
Set 2
10-1NEWHAVFDU×3BlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Mila Samardzija, Alessia Zampieri, Isabella Scarfone+1.6
20-2FDUFDU×3Attack errKira Lynch+1.9
30-3FDUFDU×3BlockedLauren MacKellarblk Angela Marchetto, Mila Samardzija+1.8
41-3FDUNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Caroline Johnston+1.4
51-4NEWHAVFDU×3Serve errNew Haven+1.5
61-5FDUFDU×3Attack errLauren MacKellar+1.7
71-6FDUFDU×3BlockedLauren MacKellarblk Mila Samardzija, Angela Marchetto+1.5
82-6FDUNEWHAVKillJosie Fosterset Caroline Johnston+1.1
92-7NEWHAVFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Camryn Harris+1.2
103-7FDUNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Caroline Johnston+1.1
114-7NEWHAVNEWHAVBlockedIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezblk Josie Foster, Marley Alefaio+1.6
124-8NEWHAVFDUAttack errMarley Alefaio+1.4
135-8FDUNEWHAVServe errFDU+1.3
145-9NEWHAVFDUKillAva DeGuzmanset Isabella Scarfone+1.5
156-9FDUNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Caroline Johnston+1.4
167-9NEWHAVNEWHAVAceCaroline Johnston+1.9
177-10NEWHAVFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.7
188-10FDUNEWHAVServe errFDU+1.6
198-11NEWHAVFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+1.8
208-12FDUFDUAttack errKira Lynch+1.9
219-12FDUNEWHAVServe errFDU+1.4
229-13NEWHAVFDUBlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Angela Marchetto, Isabella Scarfone+1.6
2310-13FDUNEWHAVAttack errMila Samardzija+1.4
2410-14NEWHAVFDUServe errNew Haven+1.6
2511-14FDUNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Caroline Johnston+1.4
2611-15NEWHAVFDUServe errNew Haven+1.7
2711-16FDUFDUAttack errJosie Foster+1.7
2812-16FDUNEWHAV×3KillMarley Alefaioset Caroline Johnston+1.1
2913-16NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errAva DeGuzman+1.8
3014-16NEWHAVNEWHAV×3AceJosie Foster+2.3
3114-17NEWHAVFDUKillIsabella Scarfoneset Caroline Johnston+2.2
3215-17FDUNEWHAVKillMarley Alefaioset Caroline Johnston+1.9
3315-18NEWHAVFDU×3Attack errMarley Alefaio+2.2
3415-19FDUFDU×3KillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+2.3
3515-20FDUFDU×3Attack errMarley Alefaio+1.7
3616-20FDUNEWHAVKillCaroline Johnstonset Marley Alefaio+0.9
3716-21NEWHAVFDU×3Attack errLauren MacKellar+1.3
3816-22FDUFDU×3KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
3916-23FDUFDU×3Attack errQuinn Yenshaw+0.4
4017-23FDUNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Caroline Johnston+0.1
4117-24NEWHAVFDUServe errNew Haven+0.2
4217-25FDUFDUKillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+0.1
Set 3
11-0FDUNEWHAV×3BlockedMila Samardzijablk Lauren MacKellar+1.0
22-0NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.2
33-0NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errMila Samardzija+1.2
43-1NEWHAVFDUKillAlessia Zampieriset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
53-2FDUFDUBad setCaroline Johnston+1.2
64-2FDUNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Camryn Harris+1.1
75-2NEWHAVNEWHAVKillQuinn Yenshawset Lauren MacKellar+1.3
85-3NEWHAVFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.0
96-3FDUNEWHAVServe errFDU+1.1
107-3NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.3
117-4NEWHAVFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.9
127-5FDUFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
138-5FDUNEWHAVServe errFDU+1.1
148-6NEWHAVFDUServe errNew Haven+1.0
159-6FDUNEWHAVKillCaroline Johnstonset Isabella Scarfone+1.2
169-7NEWHAVFDU×6KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.0
179-8FDUFDU×6Attack errMarley Alefaio+1.4
189-9FDUFDU×6KillAlessia Zampieriset Mila Samardzija+1.5
199-10FDUFDU×6Bad setCaroline Johnston+1.5
209-11FDUFDU×6KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.4
219-12FDUFDU×6KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+1.3
2210-12FDUNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Caroline Johnston+1.0
2311-12NEWHAVNEWHAV×3KillLauren MacKellarset Camryn Harris+1.4
2412-12NEWHAVNEWHAV×3Attack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.6
2512-13NEWHAVFDUServe errNew Haven+1.3
2613-13FDUNEWHAVAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+1.4
2714-13NEWHAVNEWHAVKillLauren MacKellarset Payton Malinoski+1.8
2814-14NEWHAVFDU×7KillIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchezset Isabella Scarfone+1.4
2914-15FDUFDU×7Attack errQuinn Yenshaw+1.8
3014-16FDUFDU×7BlockedLauren MacKellarblk Angela Marchetto, Mila Samardzija+1.7
3114-17FDUFDU×7BlockedLauren MacKellarblk Mila Samardzija, Angela Marchetto+1.6
3214-18FDUFDU×7Attack errCamryn Harris+1.3
3314-19FDUFDU×7KillMila Samardzijaset Caroline Johnston+1.0
3414-20FDUFDU×7BlockedJosie Fosterblk Mila Samardzija, Angela Marchetto+0.7
3515-20FDUNEWHAVAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez+0.3
3615-21NEWHAVFDU×4KillMila Samardzijaset Isabella Scarfone+0.5
3715-22FDUFDU×4BlockedQuinn Yenshawblk Ixchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez, Angela Marchetto, Mila Samardzija+0.3
3815-23FDUFDU×4Attack errLauren MacKellar+0.1
3915-24FDUFDU×4AceFDU·
4016-24FDUNEWHAVKillCaroline Johnston·
4117-24NEWHAVNEWHAVAttack errIxchel Kiahuitl Lopez Sanchez·
4217-25NEWHAVFDUKillMila Samardzijaset Angela Marchetto·

Score shown after each rally, New Haven first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).