Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

App State def. Ga. Southern 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Ga. Southern 73.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 8, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

App State beat visiting Ga. Southern 3-1 (30-28, 25-17, 23-25, 25-17) on Thu, Oct 8, 2026. App State's Charlotte Thompson led with 15 kills, and MeMe Davis added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 8

Set1234Sets
GA SOU281725171
APP ST302523253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Raegan Richardson served 5 aces, and App State needed every one.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are App State's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. RallyIQ had Ga. Southern at 74% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Ga. Southern 27–27 App State

    App State closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 30–28 and lead 1–0.

    App State 27% → 46%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Ga. Southern 14–9 App State

    App State scored 9 straight to turn a 9–14 deficit into an 18–14 lead.

    App State 63% → 93%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Ga. Southern 17–20 App State

    Ga. Southern scored 5 straight to turn a 17–20 deficit into a 22–20 lead.

    App State 91% → 67%

App State above 50Ga. Southern belowMax swing 10.2%

Ga. SouthernApp State

Sideout %
Ga. Southern 52.0·App State 61.4
Break %
Ga. Southern 38.6·App State 48.0
Hitting
Ga. Southern .144·App State .130
Longest run
Ga. Southern 7·App State 9

Lou Johnson
2 kills inside the turning points, 10 K and .421 for the match (11.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

App State above 50 · Ga. Southern below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.2% APP STrally 190 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.2% to App State — set 1, GA SOU 28-30 APP ST. Attack error by Reagan Barth. APP ST win probability 36% → 46%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GA SOU 65.8%34.2% APP ST

Ga. Southern wins

3-0
20.5%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
20.0%

App State wins

3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.2%
3-2
15.1%
GA SOU break %
43.0% vs this opp
APP ST break %
39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Reagan BarthAttack error+10.2%

    Attack error by Reagan Barth

    Set 1 · GA SOU 28-30 APP ST · APP ST 36% → 46%

  2. 02

    Kill by Amelia Mancino (set by MeMe Davis)

    Set 1 · GA SOU 23-24 APP ST · APP ST 27% → 36%

  3. 03
    Lou JohnsonKill+9.1%

    Kill by Lou Johnson (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 1 · GA SOU 28-29 APP ST · APP ST 27% → 36%

  4. 04
    Bella HutchensAttack error+8.4%

    Attack error by Bella Hutchens

    Set 1 · GA SOU 25-24 APP ST · GA SOU 70% → 78%

  5. 05

    Kill by Bella Hutchens

    Set 1 · GA SOU 23-23 APP ST · APP ST 21% → 27%

  6. 06
    Bella HutchensAttack error+6.3%

    Attack error by Bella Hutchens

    Set 1 · GA SOU 24-24 APP ST · GA SOU 64% → 70%

  7. 07
    Lou JohnsonAttack error+6.1%

    Attack error by Lou Johnson

    Set 3 · GA SOU 21-20 APP ST · GA SOU 22% → 28%

  8. 08
    Reagan BarthKill+6.1%

    Kill by Reagan Barth (set by Lexi Duffy)

    Set 3 · GA SOU 25-23 APP ST · GA SOU 34% → 40%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
415951.118003151010.515.5
49127.29600220052.511.5
49625.120104100031.510.5
47531.065000311229
4104.25000010132.53.5
4207.28631001000213
4000–0011510000
4000–202510000
2011-1.000000100000
1000–001100000
Team totals4322146.1443401363102161087
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413832.1560207002116
415635.25700050010.515.5
410219.42100000031.511.5
47521.09501110052.510.5
47942-.048004800429
40211-.1824051120010.55.5
4102.5006211900003
4000–1031100000
4000–000600000
2000–000000000
Team totals5332162.1304710106900168103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Ga. Southern vs App State

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 GA SOU · APP ST 9

Set 1

28-30

Longest run 5 GA SOUAPP ST 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 GA SOUAPP ST 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 7 GA SOUAPP ST 9

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 2 GA SOUAPP ST 4

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = Ga. Southern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ga. Southern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
18%2/11
2
56%10/18
39%7/18
3
69%9/13
33%5/15
4
62%8/13
47%7/15
5
57%8/14
50%8/16
6
33%7/21
38%5/13
All
52%53/102
39%34/88

App State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
73%11/15
67%18/27
2
59%10/17
44%8/18
3
69%9/13
47%8/17
4
53%8/15
31%4/13
5
50%8/16
43%6/14
6
67%8/12
38%5/13
All
61%54/88
48%49/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

190 rallies

#GA SOU-APP STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.5
20-2APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+2.3
31-2APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+1.5
42-2GA SOUGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lou Johnson+2.2
52-3GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.6
62-4APP STAPP STAttack errBeka Pfefferkorn+2.4
73-4APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.5
84-4GA SOUGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.3
94-5GA SOUAPP STBlockedReagan Barthblk Amelia Mancino, Chelsea Gilmore+1.7
105-5APP STGA SOUAttack errChelsea Gilmore+1.6
115-6GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+1.7
126-6APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+1.6
137-6GA SOUGA SOUKillKayla Knowlesset Lexi Duffy+2.4
147-7GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.7
157-8APP STAPP STAceApp Stateaced Reagan Barth+2.6
168-8APP STGA SOU×4KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+1.7
179-8GA SOUGA SOU×4KillReagan Barthset Mayte Camacho+2.5
1810-8GA SOUGA SOU×4Attack errLou Johnson+2.3
1911-8GA SOUGA SOU×4Attack errCharlotte Thompson+2.1
2011-9GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.3
2111-10APP STAPP STAttack errBeka Pfefferkorn+2.3
2212-10APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.7
2312-11GA SOUAPP ST×3Serve errGa. Southern+1.7
2412-12APP STAPP ST×3Attack errBeka Pfefferkorn+2.8
2512-13APP STAPP ST×3Attack errSam Bowron+3.2
2613-13APP STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.1
2713-14GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.3
2814-14APP STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+2.1
2914-15GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset MeMe Davis+2.4
3015-15APP STGA SOU×5BlockedRaegan Richardsonblk Sam Bowron+2.2
3116-15GA SOUGA SOU×5BlockedAmelia Mancinoblk Alex Myers, Lexi Duffy+3.4
3217-15GA SOUGA SOU×5Attack errAmelia Mancino+3.1
3318-15GA SOUGA SOU×5KillReagan Barth+2.6
3419-15GA SOUGA SOU×5KillAlex Myers+2.0
3519-16GA SOUAPP STAttack errReagan Barth+1.0
3620-16APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.3
3720-17GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+0.9
3820-18APP STAPP STAttack errBeka Pfefferkorn+2.2
3921-18APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.0
4021-19GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.5
4122-19APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+2.1
4222-20GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+1.4
4323-20APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+2.1
4423-21GA SOUAPP ST×4KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.2
4523-22APP STAPP ST×4AceApp State+3.5
4623-23APP STAPP ST×4KillBella Hutchens+6.3
4723-24APP STAPP ST×4KillAmelia Mancinoset MeMe Davis+9.1
4824-24APP STGA SOUAttack errBella Hutchens+6.3
4925-24GA SOUGA SOUAttack errBella Hutchens+8.4
5025-25GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+5.6
5126-25APP STGA SOUBlockedAmelia Mancinoblk Lexi Duffy, Alex Myers+5.6
5226-26GA SOUAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+5.6
5327-26APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+5.6
5427-27GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+5.6
5528-27APP STGA SOUAttack errRaegan Richardson+5.6
5628-28GA SOUAPP ST×3KillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+5.6
5728-29APP STAPP ST×3KillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+9.1
5828-30APP STAPP ST×3Attack errReagan Barth+10.2
Set 2
10-1APP STAPP ST×3KillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+3.0
20-2APP STAPP ST×3Bad setLexi Duffy+3.2
30-3APP STAPP ST×3KillLou Johnsonset Sam Bowron+3.2
41-3APP STGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+2.0
52-3GA SOUGA SOU×3BlockedCharlotte Thompsonblk Alex Myers, Sam Bowron+3.1
63-3GA SOUGA SOU×3Attack errBella Hutchens+3.1
73-4GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.2
84-4APP STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.1
94-5GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+2.3
105-5APP STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.1
115-6GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmore+2.4
125-7APP STAPP STAceApp Stateaced Mayte Camacho+3.6
136-7APP STGA SOUAttack errAmelia Mancino+2.2
147-7GA SOUGA SOUBlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Kayla Knowles+3.4
157-8GA SOUAPP ST×4BlockedBeka Pfefferkornblk Amelia Mancino, Chelsea Gilmore+2.5
167-9APP STAPP ST×4KillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+3.8
177-10APP STAPP ST×4KillMeMe Davisset Lexi Duffy+3.8
187-11APP STAPP ST×4KillCharlotte Thompsonset MeMe Davis+3.7
198-11APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+2.1
208-12GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+2.6
219-12APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.1
229-13GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+2.7
2310-13APP STGA SOUBlockedBella Hutchensblk Kayla Knowles, Sam Bowron+2.1
2410-14GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+2.7
2510-15APP STAPP STBad setLexi Duffy+3.5
2611-15APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.7
2711-16GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.4
2811-17APP STAPP STBlockedSam Bowronblk Amelia Mancino, Chelsea Gilmore+2.7
2912-17APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+1.2
3013-17GA SOUGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.4
3113-18GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+2.4
3214-18APP STGA SOUAttack errChelsea Gilmore+1.6
3314-19GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+2.4
3414-20APP STAPP STBlockedReagan Barthblk Chelsea Gilmore, Raegan Richardson+2.4
3515-20APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Beka Pfefferkorn+0.9
3615-21GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.5
3716-21APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+0.7
3816-22GA SOUAPP STAttack errSam Bowron+1.3
3916-23APP STAPP STAttack errSam Bowron+0.8
4017-23APP STGA SOUKillLexi Duffy+0.2
4117-24GA SOUAPP STAttack errGabby Babinski+0.4
4217-25APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset MeMe Davis+0.1
Set 3
10-1GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.9
20-2APP STAPP STAttack errReagan Barth+2.8
31-2APP STGA SOUBad setMeMe Davis+1.8
41-3GA SOUAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Bella Dafforn+2.0
51-4APP STAPP STAceApp State+3.0
62-4APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.8
72-5GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.1
83-5APP STGA SOU×3KillReagan Barthset Mayte Camacho+1.9
94-5GA SOUGA SOU×3Bad setChelsea Gilmore+2.9
105-5GA SOUGA SOU×3BlockedAmelia Mancinoblk Kayla Knowles, Beka Pfefferkorn+2.9
115-6GA SOUAPP ST×3Serve errGa. Southern+2.1
125-7APP STAPP ST×3Attack errReagan Barth+3.2
135-8APP STAPP ST×3Attack errReagan Barth+3.3
146-8APP STGA SOU×7Attack errAmelia Mancino+2.0
157-8GA SOUGA SOU×7KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+3.1
168-8GA SOUGA SOU×7KillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+3.2
179-8GA SOUGA SOU×7BlockedCharlotte Thompsonblk Alex Myers, Beka Pfefferkorn+3.1
1810-8GA SOUGA SOU×7KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+2.9
1911-8GA SOUGA SOU×7Attack errChelsea Gilmore+2.6
2012-8GA SOUGA SOU×7Attack errCharlotte Thompson+2.2
2112-9GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.3
2213-9APP STGA SOUKillLexi Duffy+1.5
2314-9GA SOUGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.7
2414-10GA SOUAPP ST×9Serve errGa. Southern+0.9
2514-11APP STAPP ST×9KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.9
2614-12APP STAPP ST×9AceApp State+2.5
2714-13APP STAPP ST×9AceApp State+3.1
2814-14APP STAPP ST×9BlockedSam Bowronblk Bella Hutchens, Lou Johnson+3.8
2914-15APP STAPP ST×9BlockedReagan Barthblk Lou Johnson, Charlotte Thompson+4.3
3014-16APP STAPP ST×9AceApp State+4.5
3114-17APP STAPP ST×9AceApp Stateaced Sam Bowron+4.4
3214-18APP STAPP ST×9KillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+3.9
3315-18APP STGA SOU×3KillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+1.9
3416-18GA SOUGA SOU×3Attack errCharlotte Thompson+3.6
3517-18GA SOUGA SOU×3KillAlex Myers+4.4
3617-19GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.7
3717-20APP STAPP STBlockedReagan Barthblk Bella Hutchens, Lou Johnson+5.0
3818-20APP STGA SOU×5KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.5
3919-20GA SOUGA SOU×5KillReagan Barthset Raegan Richardson+4.8
4020-20GA SOUGA SOU×5Attack errBella Hutchens+5.8
4121-20GA SOUGA SOU×5Attack errLou Johnson+6.1
4222-20GA SOUGA SOU×5KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+5.5
4322-21GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+3.0
4423-21APP STGA SOUAttack errBella Hutchens+4.1
4524-21GA SOUGA SOUAttack errChelsea Gilmore+3.9
4624-22GA SOUAPP STBad setLexi Duffy+1.0
4724-23APP STAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+3.8
4825-23APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+6.1
Set 4
10-1APP STAPP STAceApp State+4.1
20-2APP STAPP STBad setLexi Duffy+4.4
31-2APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+2.8
41-3GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.1
52-3APP STGA SOUAttack errAmelia Mancino+2.8
63-3GA SOUGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+4.2
73-4GA SOUAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset MeMe Davis+3.1
83-5APP STAPP ST×3KillAmelia Mancino+4.7
93-6APP STAPP ST×3KillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+4.8
104-6APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.9
114-7GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.4
125-7APP STGA SOUBlockedAmelia Mancinoblk Kayla Knowles, Beka Pfefferkorn+3.0
135-8GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+3.5
146-8APP STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+3.0
157-8GA SOUGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+4.8
167-9GA SOUAPP ST×4Serve errGa. Southern+3.7
177-10APP STAPP ST×4KillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+5.3
187-11APP STAPP ST×4KillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+5.1
197-12APP STAPP ST×4Bad setLexi Duffy+4.7
208-12APP STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.5
218-13GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset MeMe Davis+3.3
229-13APP STGA SOUBlockedBella Hutchensblk Reagan Barth, Alex Myers+2.4
239-14GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.3
2410-14APP STGA SOUAttack errBella Hutchens+2.4
2511-14GA SOUGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Raegan Richardson+4.4
2611-15GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+3.9
2712-15APP STGA SOUAttack errAmelia Mancino+3.0
2812-16GA SOUAPP ST×3KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+4.0
2912-17APP STAPP ST×3BlockedBeka Pfefferkornblk Chelsea Gilmore, Amelia Mancino+4.8
3012-18APP STAPP ST×3AceApp Stateaced Maddie Cugino+3.7
3113-18APP STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+1.5
3213-19GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+2.4
3314-19APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+1.4
3414-20GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.3
3515-20APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.2
3615-21GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+2.1
3715-22APP STAPP STAttack errAlex Myers+1.6
3816-22APP STGA SOUAttack errCharlotte Thompson+0.4
3916-23GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+0.8
4016-24APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.3
4117-24APP STGA SOUServe errApp State·
4217-25GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Ga. Southern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).