Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Ga. Southern def. App State 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Ga. Southern 66.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Ga. Southern won at App State 3-1 (21-25, 25-20, 27-25, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Reagan Barth and Sam Bowron led Ga. Southern with 12 kills each; App State's Charlotte Thompson had a match-high 13.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
GA SOU212527253
APP ST252025141

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Ga. Southern won it at the net: 14 blocks, led by Alex Myers.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Ga. Southern's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Ga. Southern went in as RallyIQ's 67% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Ga. Southern 23–21 App State

    App State scored 3 straight to turn a 21–23 deficit into a 24–23 lead. The match swung to App State.

    Ga. Southern 75% → 48%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Ga. Southern 24–24 App State

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Ga. Southern, enough to take the set 27–25 and lead 2–1.

    Ga. Southern 58% → 82%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Ga. Southern 9–10 App State

    Down 9–10, Ga. Southern scored 10 straight to lead 19–10.

    Ga. Southern 79% → >99%

App State above 50Ga. Southern belowMax swing 13.5%

Ga. SouthernApp State

Sideout %
Ga. Southern 67.1·App State 57.7
Break %
Ga. Southern 42.3·App State 32.9
Hitting
Ga. Southern .282·App State .200
Longest run
Ga. Southern 10·App State 4
Blocks
Ga. Southern 14·App State 75 BS · 18 BA vs 0 BS · 14 BA

Beka Pfefferkorn
11 kills on .357, 14 points; 2 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

App State above 50 · Ga. Southern below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.5% APP STrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.5% to App State — set 3, GA SOU 23-24 APP ST. Attack error by Reagan Barth. APP ST win probability 38% → 52%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GA SOU 65.8%34.2% APP ST

Ga. Southern wins

3-0
20.5%
3-1
25.2%
3-2
20.0%

App State wins

3-0
6.9%
3-1
12.2%
3-2
15.1%
GA SOU break %
43.0% vs this opp
APP ST break %
39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Reagan BarthAttack error+13.5%

    Attack error by Reagan Barth

    Set 3 · GA SOU 23-24 APP ST · APP ST 38% → 52%

  2. 02
    Chelsea GilmoreAttack error+12.8%

    Attack error by Chelsea Gilmore

    Set 3 · GA SOU 26-25 APP ST · GA SOU 58% → 71%

  3. 03

    Kill by Beka Pfefferkorn (set by Mayte Camacho)

    Set 3 · GA SOU 27-25 APP ST · GA SOU 71% → 82%

  4. 04

    Kill by Chelsea Gilmore (set by Raegan Richardson)

    Set 3 · GA SOU 23-23 APP ST · APP ST 28% → 38%

  5. 05
    Reagan BarthKill+9.5%

    Kill by Reagan Barth (set by Lexi Duffy)

    Set 3 · GA SOU 24-24 APP ST · GA SOU 48% → 58%

  6. 06
    Reagan BarthAttack error+9.5%

    Attack error by Reagan Barth

    Set 3 · GA SOU 24-25 APP ST · APP ST 42% → 52%

  7. 07

    Kill by Beka Pfefferkorn (set by Lexi Duffy)

    Set 3 · GA SOU 25-25 APP ST · GA SOU 48% → 58%

  8. 08
    App StateService error+5.4%

    App State service error

    Set 3 · GA SOU 23-21 APP ST · GA SOU 70% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411321.38100430275.516.5
412943.070101111233.515.5
411128.35713011000014
412326.3460024112214
4618.625000200217
4205.4003810800425
4000–000500000
4000–4011500000
3000–000000000
Team totals5417131.28244485925181498
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413534.23500011010.513.5
410319.36800010052.512.5
410735.08600330031.511.5
46628.000112700218
47319.211000100218
4709.778410470010.57.5
4001.0003111700001
4000–0011100000
3000–000400000
2000–001000000
1215.200000100002
1000–000000000
Team totals5525150.20045212534014784

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Ga. Southern vs App State

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 10 GA SOU · APP ST 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 GA SOUAPP ST 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 GA SOUAPP ST 3

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 4 GA SOUAPP ST 4

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 10 GA SOUAPP ST 3

Bars above the line = App State leads, below = Ga. Southern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Ga. Southern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
63%12/19
2
64%9/14
25%3/12
3
62%8/13
40%6/15
4
70%7/10
22%2/9
5
64%7/11
13%1/8
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
65%46/71
38%27/72

App State

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
33%4/12
2
75%9/12
40%6/15
3
62%8/13
38%5/13
4
88%7/8
27%3/11
5
67%6/9
42%5/12
6
55%6/11
25%2/8
All
63%45/72
35%25/71

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#GA SOU-APP STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1APP STAPP STBlockedBeka Pfefferkornblk Bella Hutchens, Lou Johnson+2.4
21-1APP STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+1.6
31-2GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+1.7
41-3APP STAPP STBlockedSam Bowronblk Chelsea Gilmore, Bella Hutchens+2.6
52-3APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.7
63-3GA SOUGA SOUBlockedBella Hutchensblk Alex Myers, Reagan Barth+2.5
73-4GA SOUAPP STAttack errAlex Myers+1.8
83-5APP STAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+2.7
94-5APP STGA SOUAttack errAmelia Mancino+1.7
105-5GA SOUGA SOUAttack errAmelia Mancino+2.6
115-6GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+1.9
126-6APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.8
137-6GA SOUGA SOUAceGa. Southern+2.6
147-7GA SOUAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Lexi Duffy+1.9
157-8APP STAPP STBlockedReagan Barthblk Lou Johnson, Charlotte Thompson+2.9
168-8APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.9
179-8GA SOUGA SOUKillSam Bowron+2.8
189-9GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+2.0
199-10APP STAPP STKillCharlotte Thompson+3.1
2010-10APP STGA SOUBad setRaegan Richardson+2.1
2110-11GA SOUAPP ST×4KillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+2.2
2210-12APP STAPP ST×4Attack errReagan Barth+3.3
2310-13APP STAPP ST×4KillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+3.2
2410-14APP STAPP ST×4KillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+3.0
2511-14APP STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+1.7
2611-15GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.1
2711-16APP STAPP STAttack errSam Bowron+2.6
2812-16APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.3
2912-17GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.8
3012-18APP STAPP STBlockedAlex Myersblk Amelia Mancino, Chelsea Gilmore+1.9
3113-18APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+0.8
3213-19GA SOUAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.3
3314-19APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+0.7
3414-20GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.2
3515-20APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+0.6
3615-21GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+1.1
3716-21APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+0.5
3817-21GA SOUGA SOUAttack errCharlotte Thompson+1.3
3917-22GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.5
4018-22APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+0.7
4118-23GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.3
4219-23APP STGA SOU×3KillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+0.5
4320-23GA SOUGA SOU×3BlockedBella Hutchensblk Alex Myers, Reagan Barth+1.4
4421-23GA SOUGA SOU×3KillAlex Myers+2.6
4521-24GA SOUAPP STBlockedReagan Barthblk Chelsea Gilmore, Bella Hutchens+3.4
4621-25APP STAPP STAttack errReagan Barth+1.9
Set 2
11-0GA SOUGA SOU×4KillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+2.8
22-0GA SOUGA SOU×4Attack errLou Johnson+2.7
33-0GA SOUGA SOU×4KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+2.5
44-0GA SOUGA SOU×4KillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+2.2
54-1GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.4
65-1APP STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+1.5
75-2GA SOUAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+1.4
86-2APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.6
96-3GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+1.4
107-3APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Mayte Camacho+1.6
117-4GA SOUAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+1.5
127-5APP STAPP STAceApp Stateaced Reagan Barth+2.5
138-5APP STGA SOUKillKayla Knowlesset Lexi Duffy+1.9
148-6GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.8
159-6APP STGA SOUAttack errAmelia Mancino+1.9
169-7GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.8
1710-7APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+2.0
1810-8GA SOUAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.8
1910-9APP STAPP ST×3Attack errSam Bowron+3.1
2010-10APP STAPP ST×3KillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.6
2111-10APP STGA SOUBlockedLou Johnsonblk Alex Myers+2.5
2211-11GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset MeMe Davis+2.6
2312-11APP STGA SOU×3Serve errApp State+2.6
2413-11GA SOUGA SOU×3BlockedAmelia Mancinoblk Kayla Knowles, Lexi Duffy+3.6
2514-11GA SOUGA SOU×3KillKayla Knowlesset MeMe Davis+3.2
2614-12GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+2.0
2715-12APP STGA SOUKillKayla Knowlesset Lexi Duffy+2.3
2815-13GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.0
2916-13APP STGA SOUKillKayla Knowlesset Lexi Duffy+2.4
3016-14GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.1
3117-14APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.4
3217-15GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+2.1
3318-15APP STGA SOU×4KillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.5
3419-15GA SOUGA SOU×4BlockedBella Hutchensblk Lexi Duffy, Alex Myers+2.9
3520-15GA SOUGA SOU×4BlockedCharlotte Thompsonblk Alex Myers, Sam Bowron+2.0
3621-15GA SOUGA SOU×4KillSam Bowronset Beka Pfefferkorn+1.1
3721-16GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+0.4
3822-16APP STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+0.7
3922-17GA SOUAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+0.3
4022-18APP STAPP STAceApp Stateaced Sam Bowron+0.8
4123-18APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.0
4224-18GA SOUGA SOUBlockedBella Hutchensblk Reagan Barth+0.5
4324-19GA SOUAPP STKillAmelia Mancinoset Raegan Richardson+0.1
4424-20APP STAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+0.3
4525-20APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+0.4
Set 3
11-0APP STGA SOU×3KillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.2
22-0GA SOUGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+3.0
33-0GA SOUGA SOU×3Attack errCharlotte Thompson+2.8
43-1GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+1.9
54-1APP STGA SOUKillLexi Duffy+1.9
64-2GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+1.9
75-2APP STGA SOUBlockedAmelia Mancinoblk Alex Myers, Lexi Duffy+2.0
86-2GA SOUGA SOUBlockedAmelia Mancinoblk Lexi Duffy, Alex Myers+2.6
96-3GA SOUAPP STAttack errReagan Barth+1.6
107-3APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.8
117-4GA SOUAPP ST×4KillChelsea Gilmoreset Reagan Barth+1.7
127-5APP STAPP ST×4KillRaegan Richardsonset Lexi Duffy+2.8
137-6APP STAPP ST×4BlockedKayla Knowlesblk Chelsea Gilmore, Amelia Mancino+3.3
147-7APP STAPP ST×4Bad setLexi Duffy+3.7
158-7APP STGA SOUBlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Reagan Barth, Kayla Knowles+2.6
168-8GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+2.7
178-9APP STAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+4.1
189-9APP STGA SOU×4KillKayla Knowlesset Lexi Duffy+2.8
1910-9GA SOUGA SOU×4KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+4.0
2011-9GA SOUGA SOU×4BlockedChelsea Gilmoreblk Sam Bowron+3.8
2112-9GA SOUGA SOU×4KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+3.5
2212-10GA SOUAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Raegan Richardson+2.2
2313-10APP STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+2.4
2414-10GA SOUGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+3.0
2514-11GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+1.8
2614-12APP STAPP STKillLou Johnson+3.3
2715-12APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+2.6
2815-13GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+2.3
2915-14APP STAPP STKillBella Hutchensset MeMe Davis+4.2
3016-14APP STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+3.2
3116-15GA SOUAPP STAttack errReagan Barth+3.0
3217-15APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Mayte Camacho+3.3
3317-16GA SOUAPP STKillBella Hutchensset Raegan Richardson+3.1
3418-16APP STGA SOUKillKayla Knowlesset Lexi Duffy+3.5
3518-17GA SOUAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+3.3
3619-17APP STGA SOUAttack errCharlotte Thompson+3.8
3720-17GA SOUGA SOUBad setRaegan Richardson+4.6
3820-18GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+2.4
3921-18APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+3.3
4021-19GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Amelia Mancino+2.4
4121-20APP STAPP STKillRaegan Richardsonset Raegan Richardson+5.3
4222-20APP STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+4.8
4322-21GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset MeMe Davis+3.8
4423-21APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+5.4
4523-22GA SOUAPP ST×3Serve errGa. Southern+3.8
4623-23APP STAPP ST×3KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+9.7
4723-24APP STAPP ST×3Attack errReagan Barth+13.5
4824-24APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+9.5
4924-25GA SOUAPP STAttack errReagan Barth+9.5
5025-25APP STGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+9.5
5126-25GA SOUGA SOU×3Attack errChelsea Gilmore+12.8
5227-25GA SOUGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Mayte Camacho+11.8
Set 4
1–21-1GA SOU · APP ST
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
31-2GA SOUAPP STKillLou Johnsonset Raegan Richardson+2.1
42-2APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+2.0
53-2GA SOUGA SOUAttack errBrooke Doherty+2.9
63-3GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+2.0
74-3APP STGA SOU×3KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.0
85-3GA SOUGA SOU×3BlockedBella Hutchensblk Reagan Barth+2.8
96-3GA SOUGA SOU×3Attack errBella Hutchens+2.6
106-4GA SOUAPP STServe errGa. Southern+1.7
117-4APP STGA SOUServe errApp State+1.8
127-5GA SOUAPP ST×3KillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson+1.7
137-6APP STAPP ST×3BlockedReagan Barthblk Raegan Richardson, Chelsea Gilmore+2.9
147-7APP STAPP ST×3KillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+3.2
158-7APP STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.2
168-8GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+2.3
179-8APP STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Reagan Barth+2.3
189-9GA SOUAPP STKillRaegan Richardson+2.4
199-10APP STAPP STAttack errAlex Myers+3.7
2010-10APP STGA SOU×10KillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.5
2111-10GA SOUGA SOU×10KillAlex Myers+3.6
2212-10GA SOUGA SOU×10BlockedLou Johnsonblk Alex Myers+3.4
2313-10GA SOUGA SOU×10BlockedCharlotte Thompsonblk Sam Bowron, Alex Myers+3.1
2414-10GA SOUGA SOU×10AceGa. Southernaced Charlotte Thompson+2.6
2515-10GA SOUGA SOU×10AceGa. Southern+2.1
2616-10GA SOUGA SOU×10Attack errBella Hutchens+1.5
2717-10GA SOUGA SOU×10Serve errGa. Southern+1.0
2818-10GA SOUGA SOU×10KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+0.6
2919-10GA SOUGA SOU×10AceGa. Southern+0.3
3019-11GA SOUAPP STKillCharlotte Thompsonset Raegan Richardson+0.1
3120-11APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+0.2
3220-12GA SOUAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+0.1
3321-12APP STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+0.1
3421-13GA SOUAPP STKillBrooke Dohertyset Raegan Richardson+0.1
3522-13APP STGA SOUKillLexi Duffy+0.1
3623-13GA SOUGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Raegan Richardson·
3723-14GA SOUAPP STKillChelsea Gilmoreset Raegan Richardson·
3824-14APP STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy·
3925-14GA SOUGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Mayte Camacho·

Score shown after each rally, Ga. Southern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).