Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Arkansas St. def. Ga. Southern 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Ga. Southern 62.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arkansas St. won at Ga. Southern 3-2 (16-25, 25-18, 22-25, 25-23, 15-11) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Arkansas St.'s Addison Collum led with 27 kills, and Erin Madigan added 20 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set12345Sets
ARK ST16252225153
GA SOU25182523112

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Addison Collum hit .440 on 50 swings as Arkansas St. edged Ga. Southern.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Arkansas St.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Ga. Southern went in at 62% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Arkansas St. 11–14 Ga. Southern

    The bottom for Arkansas St., then 14 of the next 23 rallies and the set, 25–23.

    Arkansas St. 9% → 43%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Arkansas St. 7–9 Ga. Southern

    Down 7–9, Arkansas St. scored 3 straight to lead 10–9. The match swung to Arkansas St.

    Arkansas St. 24% → 59%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Arkansas St. 12–10 Ga. Southern

    Arkansas St. closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 15–11 and win the match 3–2.

    Arkansas St. 77% → >99%

Ga. Southern above 50Arkansas St. belowMax swing 16.3%

Arkansas St.Ga. Southern

Sideout %
Arkansas St. 57.8·Ga. Southern 57.3
Break %
Arkansas St. 42.7·Ga. Southern 42.2
Hitting
Arkansas St. .249·Ga. Southern .257
Longest run
Arkansas St. 6·Ga. Southern 6

Addison Collum
27 kills on .440, 29 points; 7 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ga. Southern above 50 · Arkansas St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+16.3% ARK STrally 205 · set 5

Biggest swing: 16.3% to Arkansas St. — set 5, ARK ST 12-10 GA SOU. Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan). GA SOU win probability 39% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK ST 45.1%54.9% GA SOU

Arkansas St. wins

3-0
10.6%
3-1
16.7%
3-2
17.8%

Ga. Southern wins

3-0
14.6%
3-1
20.8%
3-2
19.4%
ARK ST break %
41.3% vs this opp
GA SOU break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Addison CollumKill+16.3%

    Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan)

    Set 5 · ARK ST 12-10 GA SOU · ARK ST 61% → 77%

  2. 02
    Addison CollumKill+14.6%

    Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan)

    Set 5 · ARK ST 10-9 GA SOU · ARK ST 44% → 59%

  3. 03
    Devyn LewisKill+13.5%

    Kill by Devyn Lewis (set by Mia Maloney)

    Set 5 · ARK ST 14-11 GA SOU · ARK ST 81% → 95%

  4. 04
    Reagan BarthService error+13.3%

    Service error by Reagan Barth

    Set 5 · ARK ST 13-11 GA SOU · ARK ST 68% → 81%

  5. 05
    Reagan BarthAttack error+12.8%

    Attack error by Reagan Barth

    Set 5 · ARK ST 9-9 GA SOU · ARK ST 32% → 44%

  6. 06
    Calea BushKill+11.7%

    Kill by Calea Bush (set by Erin Madigan)

    Set 5 · ARK ST 11-10 GA SOU · ARK ST 49% → 61%

  7. 07
    Addison CollumAttack error+11.4%

    Attack error by Addison Collum

    Set 5 · ARK ST 7-9 GA SOU · GA SOU 64% → 76%

  8. 08
    Calea BushKill+10.6%

    Kill by Calea Bush (set by Erin Madigan)

    Set 5 · ARK ST 6-6 GA SOU · ARK ST 34% → 44%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
527550.4400116002129
514438.26300080111.515.5
59214.5000125024414
58949-.02000290010.58.5
56210.400000200006
5214.2504500200010.52.5
5000–10001740000
44210.20000000010.54.5
4012-.500900700000
4000–101200000
3000–010610001
1000–000100000
Team totals7026177.24965368353108103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
524367.31331490111.526.5
518444.31821310000019
59123.34812160233.514.5
5316.333461070010.54.5
5104.250000300212
5000–2001100000
57729.00000161010.57.5
5114.000000000212
5001.0001021910000
5000–000000000
1001.000000000000
Team totals6317179.257555117133108102

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Arkansas St. vs Ga. Southern

Season series · Arkansas St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ARK ST · GA SOU 6

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 2 ARK STGA SOU 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 6 ARK STGA SOU 3

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 6 ARK STGA SOU 6

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 5 ARK STGA SOU 3

Set 5

15-11

Longest run 3 ARK STGA SOU 2

Bars above the line = Ga. Southern leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
72%13/18
35%6/17
2
65%11/17
57%16/28
3
63%10/16
47%9/19
4
50%9/18
53%10/19
5
44%8/18
18%2/11
6
53%8/15
11%1/9
All
58%59/102
43%44/103

Ga. Southern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%13/27
33%5/15
2
61%11/18
40%8/20
3
56%10/18
31%5/16
4
43%9/21
44%8/18
5
100%8/8
53%9/17
6
73%8/11
50%8/16
All
57%59/103
42%43/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

205 rallies

#ARK ST-GA SOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0GA SOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.8
21-1ARK STGA SOU×3KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.7
31-2GA SOUGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+2.4
41-3GA SOUGA SOU×3KillLexi Duffyset Erin Madigan+2.3
52-3GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.6
62-4ARK STGA SOUAttack errDevyn Lewis+1.7
72-5GA SOUGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+2.2
83-5GA SOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+1.5
93-6ARK STGA SOUAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+1.6
104-6GA SOUARK STServe errBeka Pfefferkorn+1.5
115-6ARK STARK STAceHaley Glunzaced Sam Bowron+2.4
125-7ARK STGA SOU×3Serve errArkansas St.+1.8
135-8GA SOUGA SOU×3KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.4
145-9GA SOUGA SOU×3Bad setMaya Joska+2.1
156-9GA SOUARK STKillCalea Bushset Maya Joska+1.4
166-10ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+1.5
177-10GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+1.4
187-11ARK STGA SOUBlockedAddison Collumblk Reagan Barth, Kayla Knowles+1.6
198-11GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.4
208-12ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+1.6
219-12GA SOUARK STServe errReagan Barth+1.4
2210-12ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.4
2310-13ARK STGA SOU×4KillBeka Pfefferkornset Maddie Cugino+1.9
2410-14GA SOUGA SOU×4Bad setMaya Joska+2.4
2510-15GA SOUGA SOU×4Attack errDevyn Lewis+1.9
2610-16GA SOUGA SOU×4BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Alex Myers+1.4
2711-16GA SOUARK STAttack errSam Bowron+0.7
2811-17ARK STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+1.0
2912-17GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.7
3012-18ARK STGA SOU×4KillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.0
3112-19GA SOUGA SOU×4BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Gabby Babinski, Alex Myers+0.8
3212-20GA SOUGA SOU×4KillReagan Barthset Beka Pfefferkorn+0.5
3312-21GA SOUGA SOU×4KillReagan Barthset Alex Myers+0.2
3413-21GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Mia Maloney+0.1
3513-22ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+0.1
3613-23GA SOUGA SOUKillReagan Barth·
3714-23GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan·
3815-23ARK STARK STAttack errReagan Barth·
3915-24ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy·
4016-24GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan·
4116-25ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Beka Pfefferkorn·
Set 2
11-0ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Mia Maloney+2.2
21-1ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.5
32-1GA SOUARK STServe errReagan Barth+1.6
43-1ARK STARK STBlockedSam Bowronblk Addison Collum, Haley Glunz+2.3
53-2ARK STGA SOUKillLexi Duffy+1.6
64-2GA SOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.7
75-2ARK STARK STKillErin Madiganset Lexi Duffy+2.3
85-3ARK STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+1.5
96-3GA SOUARK ST×6KillDevyn Lewisset Mia Maloney+1.7
107-3ARK STARK ST×6KillAdison Ozunaset Mia Maloney+2.3
118-3ARK STARK ST×6KillAdison Ozunaset Maya Joska+2.1
129-3ARK STARK ST×6KillAddison Collumset Maya Joska+1.8
1310-3ARK STARK ST×6AceKeira Garingeraced Maddie Cugino+1.5
1411-3ARK STARK ST×6Bad setLexi Duffy+1.2
1511-4ARK STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+0.6
1612-4GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+0.9
1712-5ARK STGA SOUServe errArkansas St.+0.6
1812-6GA SOUGA SOUAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+1.1
1913-6GA SOUARK STKillCalea Bushset Maya Joska+1.1
2013-7ARK STGA SOU×3KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+0.8
2113-8GA SOUGA SOU×3AceLexi Duffyaced Keira Garinger+1.4
2213-9GA SOUGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Mayte Camacho+1.7
2314-9GA SOUARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.6
2415-9ARK STARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.8
2516-9ARK STARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.3
2616-10ARK STGA SOUServe errArkansas St.+0.6
2717-10GA SOUARK STServe errReagan Barth+0.9
2817-11ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+0.6
2918-11GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.9
3018-12ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+0.5
3119-12GA SOUARK ST×3KillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+0.8
3220-12ARK STARK ST×3BlockedSam Bowronblk Adison Ozuna, Erin Madigan+0.7
3321-12ARK STARK ST×3Attack errSam Bowron+0.3
3421-13ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+0.1
3522-13GA SOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+0.2
3622-14ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+0.1
3723-14GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+0.1
3823-15ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy·
3924-15GA SOUARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+0.1
4024-16ARK STGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy·
4124-17GA SOUGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy·
4224-18GA SOUGA SOU×3AceReagan Barthaced Mia Maloney+0.1
4325-18GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.1
Set 3
10-1GA SOUGA SOUAttack errCalea Bush+3.2
20-2GA SOUGA SOUAttack errDevyn Lewis+3.1
31-2GA SOUARK ST×6KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.2
42-2ARK STARK ST×6KillDevyn Lewisset Mia Maloney+3.3
53-2ARK STARK ST×6KillDevyn Lewisset Kayla Knowles+3.5
64-2ARK STARK ST×6KillErin Madiganset Mayte Camacho+3.6
75-2ARK STARK ST×6Attack errBeka Pfefferkorn+3.5
86-2ARK STARK ST×6BlockedBeka Pfefferkornblk Haley Glunz+3.4
96-3ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+2.1
107-3GA SOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+2.5
117-4ARK STGA SOUServe errArkansas St.+2.2
128-4GA SOUARK STServe errMaddie Cugino+2.5
138-5ARK STGA SOU×6KillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.2
148-6GA SOUGA SOU×6KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+3.4
158-7GA SOUGA SOU×6KillSam Bowronset Reagan Barth+3.7
168-8GA SOUGA SOU×6KillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+3.9
178-9GA SOUGA SOU×6Attack errHaley Glunz+3.9
188-10GA SOUGA SOU×6Attack errMaya Joska+3.8
199-10GA SOUARK STServe errBeka Pfefferkorn+2.6
2010-10ARK STARK STKillAdison Ozunaset Maya Joska+4.1
2110-11ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+3.0
2211-11GA SOUARK STServe errSam Bowron+3.0
2311-12ARK STGA SOU×4KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+3.1
2411-13GA SOUGA SOU×4AceAlex Myersaced Mia Maloney+4.2
2511-14GA SOUGA SOU×4AceAlex Myersaced Mia Maloney+3.8
2611-15GA SOUGA SOU×4BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Kayla Knowles, Lexi Duffy+3.3
2712-15GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.9
2813-15ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+3.5
2913-16ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.9
3014-16GA SOUARK ST×6KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.6
3115-16ARK STARK ST×6Attack errLexi Duffy+4.4
3216-16ARK STARK ST×6KillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+5.2
3317-16ARK STARK ST×6KillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+5.7
3418-16ARK STARK ST×6Bad setMaddie Cugino+5.8
3519-16ARK STARK ST×6BlockedReagan Barthblk Addison Collum, Haley Glunz+5.4
3619-17ARK STGA SOU×4KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+3.0
3719-18GA SOUGA SOU×4KillKayla Knowlesset Erin Madigan+5.4
3819-19GA SOUGA SOU×4KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+6.4
3919-20GA SOUGA SOU×4KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+6.9
4020-20GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+4.9
4120-21ARK STGA SOUAttack errHaley Glunz+5.4
4221-21GA SOUARK STServe errMaddie Cugino+5.4
4321-22ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Reagan Barth+6.2
4421-23GA SOUGA SOUBlockedAdison Ozunablk Alex Myers+8.1
4522-23GA SOUARK STBlockedSam Bowronblk Haley Glunz, Kaitlin Whitlock+4.1
4622-24ARK STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+6.7
4722-25GA SOUGA SOUBlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Gabby Babinski, Alex Myers+5.0
Set 4
10-1ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.1
21-1GA SOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.1
32-1ARK STARK STBlockedBeka Pfefferkornblk Devyn Lewis+3.1
42-2ARK STGA SOUAttack errDevyn Lewis+2.2
53-2GA SOUARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.3
64-2ARK STARK ST×3Attack errSam Bowron+3.2
75-2ARK STARK ST×3AceAddison Collum+3.2
85-3ARK STGA SOU×3KillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+2.1
95-4GA SOUGA SOU×3Attack errAdison Ozuna+3.2
105-5GA SOUGA SOU×3KillAlex Myers+3.3
116-5GA SOUARK STServe errBeka Pfefferkorn+2.5
126-6ARK STGA SOU×3Serve errArkansas St.+2.4
136-7GA SOUGA SOU×3Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+3.4
146-8GA SOUGA SOU×3KillLexi Duffyset Maya Joska+3.3
157-8GA SOUARK STKillAdison Ozunaset Libby Gee-Weiler+2.3
167-9ARK STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Libby Gee-Weiler+2.4
177-10GA SOUGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+3.1
188-10GA SOUARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+2.1
198-11ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Mayte Camacho+2.3
209-11GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.1
219-12ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.3
2210-12GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+2.1
2311-12ARK STARK STAttack errSam Bowron+3.5
2411-13ARK STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.7
2511-14GA SOUGA SOUBlockedAddison Collumblk Sam Bowron, Alex Myers+3.5
2612-14GA SOUARK ST×5KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.2
2713-14ARK STARK ST×5KillHaley Glunz+3.7
2814-14ARK STARK ST×5KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+4.3
2915-14ARK STARK ST×5KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+4.7
3016-14ARK STARK ST×5BlockedBeka Pfefferkornblk Devyn Lewis, Haley Glunz+4.8
3116-15ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+3.1
3217-15GA SOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+3.6
3318-15ARK STARK STBlockedAlex Myersblk Haley Glunz+4.7
3418-16ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.7
3518-17GA SOUGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+4.7
3619-17GA SOUARK STAttack errGabby Babinski+4.1
3719-18ARK STGA SOUBlockedErin Madiganblk Reagan Barth+3.5
3819-19GA SOUGA SOUAttack errCalea Bush+5.8
3920-19GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+4.7
4020-20ARK STGA SOUKillGabby Babinskiset Lexi Duffy+4.5
4120-21GA SOUGA SOUAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+7.0
4221-21GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+4.9
4322-21ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+8.2
4422-22ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+5.6
4523-22GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+7.0
4624-22ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+9.6
4724-23ARK STGA SOUAttack errAddison Collum+3.8
4825-23GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+8.1
Set 5
10-1ARK STGA SOUAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+6.1
21-1GA SOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+6.2
31-2ARK STGA SOUServe errArkansas St.+6.3
42-2GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+6.4
52-3ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+6.6
63-3GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+6.7
73-4ARK STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Reagan Barth+6.8
84-4GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+7.0
94-5ARK STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+7.2
104-6GA SOUGA SOUAceBeka Pfefferkornaced Mia Maloney+9.7
115-6GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+6.5
126-6ARK STARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+10.6
136-7ARK STGA SOUAttack errAddison Collum+8.0
147-7GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+8.1
157-8ARK STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+8.5
167-9GA SOUGA SOUAttack errAddison Collum+11.4
178-9GA SOUARK ST×3Serve errAlex Myers+7.3
189-9ARK STARK ST×3Attack errReagan Barth+12.8
1910-9ARK STARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+14.6
2010-10ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+10.1
2111-10GA SOUARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+11.7
2212-10ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+16.3
2312-11ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+9.0
2413-11GA SOUARK ST×3Serve errReagan Barth+13.3
2514-11ARK STARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Mia Maloney+13.5
2615-11ARK STARK ST×3KillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+5.3

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).