FinalSat, Oct 17, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Arkansas St. def. Ga. Southern 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Ga. Southern 61.2% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arkansas St. won at Ga. Southern 3-0 (25-19, 25-17, 26-24) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Arkansas St.'s Addison Collum led with 18 kills, and Kaitlin Whitlock added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set123Sets
ARK ST2525263
GA SOU1917240

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.385 on 39 swings: Addison Collum and Arkansas St. edged Ga. Southern.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Arkansas St.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ had Ga. Southern at 61% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Arkansas St. 2–6 Ga. Southern

    7 straight Arkansas St. points turned a 2–6 deficit into a 9–6 lead. The match swung to Arkansas St.

    Arkansas St. 49% → 69%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Arkansas St. 22–24 Ga. Southern

    4 of the last 4 rallies went to Arkansas St., enough to take the set 26–24 and win the match 3–0.

    Arkansas St. 72% → >99%

Ga. Southern above 50Arkansas St. belowMax swing 8.8%

Arkansas St.Ga. Southern

Sideout %
Arkansas St. 63.9·Ga. Southern 50.7
Break %
Arkansas St. 49.3·Ga. Southern 36.1
Hitting
Arkansas St. .280·Ga. Southern .200
Longest run
Arkansas St. 7·Ga. Southern 4

Haley Glunz
4 of her kills came in the stretches above. 8 K, .538, 8.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Ga. Southern above 50 · Arkansas St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+8.8% ARK STrally 136 · set 3

Biggest swing: 8.8% to Arkansas St. — set 3, ARK ST 26-24 GA SOU. Kill by Haley Glunz. GA SOU win probability 9% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK ST 45.1%54.9% GA SOU

Arkansas St. wins

3-0
10.6%
3-1
16.7%
3-2
17.8%

Ga. Southern wins

3-0
14.6%
3-1
20.8%
3-2
19.4%
ARK ST break %
41.3% vs this opp
GA SOU break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Haley GlunzKill+8.8%

    Kill by Haley Glunz

    Set 3 · ARK ST 26-24 GA SOU · ARK ST 91% → 100%

  2. 02

    Kill by Addison Collum (set by Mia Maloney)

    Set 3 · ARK ST 25-24 GA SOU · ARK ST 83% → 91%

  3. 03

    Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan)

    Set 3 · ARK ST 24-24 GA SOU · ARK ST 75% → 83%

  4. 04

    Kill by Beka Pfefferkorn (set by Lexi Duffy)

    Set 3 · ARK ST 21-23 GA SOU · GA SOU 22% → 26%

  5. 05

    Kill by Addison Collum (set by Libby Gee-Weiler)

    Set 2 · ARK ST 12-9 GA SOU · ARK ST 67% → 70%

  6. 06
    Devyn LewisAttack error+3.4%

    Attack error by Devyn Lewis

    Set 3 · ARK ST 21-24 GA SOU · GA SOU 26% → 29%

  7. 07

    Kill by Addison Collum (set by Kaitlin Whitlock)

    Set 3 · ARK ST 20-21 GA SOU · ARK ST 75% → 79%

  8. 08
    Erin MadiganKill+3.3%

    Kill by Erin Madigan (set by Maddie Cugino)

    Set 2 · ARK ST 8-6 GA SOU · ARK ST 62% → 66%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318339.38510280010.518.5
313538.21110121200013
311531.1940002100011
38113.53800020010.58.5
3215.20000020111.53.5
3214.2503810160010.53.5
3012-.500420600002
3000–5001100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5417132.280493368414376
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311349.16311270010.512.5
37322.18202270212.511.5
39226.269001120010.59.5
3206.3332800500002
3003.000000101222
3000–2111200001
37318.22200020010.57.5
3001.000200800000
2000–000000000
1000–000100000
Team totals3611125.200334655336660

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Arkansas St. vs Ga. Southern

Season series · Arkansas St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 ARK ST · GA SOU 4

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 3 ARK STGA SOU 3

Set 2

25-17

Longest run 7 ARK STGA SOU 4

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 5 ARK STGA SOU 3

Bars above the line = Ga. Southern leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%5/10
33%2/6
2
63%5/8
44%4/9
3
100%4/4
33%2/6
4
80%4/5
64%7/11
5
80%4/5
50%4/8
6
80%4/5
56%5/9
All
70%26/37
49%24/49

Ga. Southern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
20%1/5
2
50%5/10
58%7/12
3
36%4/11
0%0/5
4
57%4/7
20%1/5
5
40%4/10
0%0/4
6
75%3/4
33%2/6
All
51%25/49
30%11/37

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#ARK ST-GA SOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ARK STGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+1.7
20-2GA SOUGA SOU×3KillLexi Duffyset Erin Madigan+2.3
30-3GA SOUGA SOU×3Attack errDevyn Lewis+2.2
41-3GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.5
52-3ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.3
62-4ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+1.7
73-4GA SOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+1.7
83-5ARK STGA SOUKillLexi Duffy+1.8
94-5GA SOUARK STServe errReagan Barth+1.7
105-5ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.6
115-6ARK STGA SOUAttack errLibby Gee-Weiler+1.9
126-6GA SOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+2.0
136-7ARK STGA SOUAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+2.0
147-7GA SOUARK STServe errBeka Pfefferkorn+2.0
158-7ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Libby Gee-Weiler+2.9
168-8ARK STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+2.1
179-8GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.2
1810-8ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+3.1
1910-9ARK STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+2.1
2011-9GA SOUARK STServe errAlex Myers+2.3
2112-9ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+3.1
2212-10ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.0
2313-10GA SOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.3
2413-11ARK STGA SOUServe errAddison Collum+2.0
2514-11GA SOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.4
2614-12ARK STGA SOUBlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Kayla Knowles, Beka Pfefferkorn+2.1
2715-12GA SOUARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.5
2816-12ARK STARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Libby Gee-Weiler+3.0
2917-12ARK STARK ST×3Attack errSam Bowron+2.5
3017-13ARK STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.3
3117-14GA SOUGA SOUBlockedErin Madiganblk Kayla Knowles+2.4
3218-14GA SOUARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+2.3
3318-15ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.7
3419-15GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.3
3520-15ARK STARK STBlockedAlex Myersblk Calea Bush+2.4
3620-16ARK STGA SOU×3Serve errKaitlin Whitlock+1.1
3720-17GA SOUGA SOU×3AceAlex Myersaced Kaitlin Whitlock+2.2
3820-18GA SOUGA SOU×3AceAlex Myers+3.2
3921-18GA SOUARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Mia Maloney+3.2
4022-18ARK STARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+3.2
4123-18ARK STARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+1.9
4223-19ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+0.5
4324-19GA SOUARK STAttack errBeka Pfefferkorn+1.1
4425-19ARK STARK STKillErin Madiganset Lexi Duffy+0.4
Set 2
10-1GA SOUGA SOUAttack errCalea Bush+2.7
21-1GA SOUARK STBad setLexi Duffy+2.0
31-2ARK STGA SOU×4KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.0
41-3GA SOUGA SOU×4Attack errDevyn Lewis+2.7
51-4GA SOUGA SOU×4Attack errHaley Glunz+2.5
61-5GA SOUGA SOU×4AceReagan Barthaced Devyn Lewis+2.3
72-5GA SOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.5
82-6ARK STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Reagan Barth+1.7
93-6GA SOUARK ST×7KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.5
104-6ARK STARK ST×7KillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+2.5
115-6ARK STARK ST×7KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.8
126-6ARK STARK ST×7AceArkansas St.+3.1
137-6ARK STARK ST×7KillHaley Glunz+3.2
148-6ARK STARK ST×7KillErin Madiganset Maddie Cugino+3.3
159-6ARK STARK ST×7KillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+3.2
169-7ARK STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+2.1
179-8GA SOUGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Maddie Cugino+3.2
1810-8GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.5
1910-9ARK STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+2.4
2011-9GA SOUARK ST×5Serve errMayte Camacho+2.6
2112-9ARK STARK ST×5KillAddison Collumset Libby Gee-Weiler+3.5
2213-9ARK STARK ST×5Attack errReagan Barth+3.2
2314-9ARK STARK ST×5AceArkansas St.+2.8
2415-9ARK STARK ST×5Attack errBeka Pfefferkorn+2.3
2515-10ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.2
2615-11GA SOUGA SOUBlockedAddison Collumblk Kayla Knowles, Reagan Barth+2.1
2716-11GA SOUARK STServe errAlex Myers+2.0
2816-12ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Mayte Camacho+1.5
2917-12GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.0
3017-13ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+1.5
3118-13GA SOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.0
3219-13ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.0
3319-14ARK STGA SOUAttack errDevyn Lewis+0.9
3420-14GA SOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.4
3520-15ARK STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+0.8
3621-15GA SOUARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+1.3
3722-15ARK STARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.9
3823-15ARK STARK ST×3Attack errSam Bowron+0.4
3923-16ARK STGA SOUBlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Alex Myers+0.1
4024-16GA SOUARK STBlockedReagan Barthblk Erin Madigan, Calea Bush+0.1
4124-17ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy·
4225-17GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.1
Set 3
10-1ARK STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Mayte Camacho+1.4
20-2GA SOUGA SOUAceMayte Camachoaced Kaitlin Whitlock+1.9
31-2GA SOUARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.4
42-2ARK STARK ST×3Attack errAlex Myers+2.0
53-2ARK STARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Mia Maloney+2.2
63-3ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+1.5
74-3GA SOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.6
85-3ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.3
95-4ARK STGA SOU×3Serve errAddison Collum+1.5
105-5GA SOUGA SOU×3KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+2.2
115-6GA SOUGA SOU×3KillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+2.2
126-6GA SOUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.6
137-6ARK STARK STAceArkansas St.+2.4
147-7ARK STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+1.7
157-8GA SOUGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Maddie Cugino+2.4
168-8GA SOUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+1.7
178-9ARK STGA SOU×3KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.7
188-10GA SOUGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+2.4
198-11GA SOUGA SOU×3Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+2.2
209-11GA SOUARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+1.4
219-12ARK STGA SOU×3KillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+1.6
229-13GA SOUGA SOU×3Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+2.0
239-14GA SOUGA SOU×3KillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+1.6
2410-14GA SOUARK STServe errReagan Barth+0.9
2511-14ARK STARK STAttack errReagan Barth+1.7
2611-15ARK STGA SOUKillSam Bowronset Lexi Duffy+1.4
2711-16GA SOUGA SOUBlockedAddison Collumblk Sam Bowron, Alex Myers+1.6
2812-16GA SOUARK STAttack errAlex Myers+0.9
2912-17ARK STGA SOUAttack errAddison Collum+1.1
3012-18GA SOUGA SOUKillSam Bowron+1.1
3113-18GA SOUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.5
3213-19ARK STGA SOUBlockedDevyn Lewisblk Alex Myers+0.8
3314-19ARK ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
3414-20ARK STGA SOUKillAlex Myersset Lexi Duffy+0.7
3515-20GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.4
3615-21ARK STGA SOUKillReagan Barthset Lexi Duffy+0.7
3716-21GA SOUARK ST×5KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.3
3817-21ARK STARK ST×5Bad setLexi Duffy+0.8
3918-21ARK STARK ST×5KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.4
4019-21ARK STARK ST×5KillKaitlin Whitlockset Libby Gee-Weiler+2.3
4120-21ARK STARK ST×5KillAddison Collumset Kaitlin Whitlock+3.4
4220-22ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+3.2
4321-22GA SOUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.5
4421-23ARK STGA SOUKillBeka Pfefferkornset Lexi Duffy+3.6
4521-24GA SOUGA SOUAttack errDevyn Lewis+3.4
4622-24GA SOUARK ST×5KillKaitlin Whitlockset Addison Collum+0.9
4723-24ARK STARK ST×5BlockedSam Bowronblk Haley Glunz, Addison Collum+3.2
4824-24ARK STARK ST×5KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+7.9
4925-24ARK STARK ST×5KillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+8.3
5026-24ARK STARK ST×5KillHaley Glunz+8.8

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).