FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Furman def. Chattanooga 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Furman 82.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Furman beat visiting Chattanooga 3-0 (25-22, 25-20, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Furman's Kacie Moore and Izzy Castelloe led with 11 kills each, and Ashtan Dodson added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
CHAT2220160
FURMAN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.526 and 11 kills for Kacie Moore as Furman rolled past Chattanooga.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.1 points, and Chattanooga's high was 19% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Furman at 82%.

ChattanoogaFurman
  • Break %+14.6 pts
    33.347.9

    On serve: 35/73 against 20/60 (Chattanooga sideout 52.1%).

  • Hitting+.153
    .157.310

    45 kills, 14 errors vs 34 kills, 17 errors.

  • Longest run+-1
    76

    Furman scored 6 straight in the first set to turn a 0–1 deficit into a 6–1 lead. That set ended 25–22.

Furman above 50Chattanooga belowMax swing 2.1%

ChattanoogaFurman

Aces
Chattanooga 2·Furman 5
Serve err
Chattanooga 5·Furman 6
Blocks
Chattanooga 9·Furman 94 BS · 10 BA vs 0 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Chattanooga 38·Furman 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Furman above 50 · Chattanooga below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.1% FURMANrally 133 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.1% to Furman — set 2, CHAT 18-20 FURMAN. Furman ace on Elena Vukmanov. FURMAN win probability 91% → 93%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHAT 17.5%82.5% FURMAN

Chattanooga wins

3-0
2.7%
3-1
5.7%
3-2
9.1%

Furman wins

3-0
34.1%
3-1
30.8%
3-2
17.5%
CHAT break %
40.9% vs this opp
FURMAN break %
48.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    FurmanAce+2.1%

    Furman ace on Elena Vukmanov

    Set 2 · CHAT 18-20 FURMAN · FURMAN 91% → 93%

  2. 02
    ChattanoogaService error+1.9%

    Chattanooga service error

    Set 1 · CHAT 21-24 FURMAN · FURMAN 88% → 90%

  3. 03

    Kill by Tennyson Gorman (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 2 · CHAT 20-22 FURMAN · FURMAN 92% → 94%

  4. 04
    Bailey BurgessBlock+1.9%

    Tennyson Gorman stuffed by Bailey Burgess

    Set 2 · CHAT 15-15 FURMAN · CHAT 9% → 10%

  5. 05

    Gracie Rose stuffed by Emily Navarro & Tennyson Gorman

    Set 2 · CHAT 20-23 FURMAN · FURMAN 94% → 96%

  6. 06
    ChattanoogaService error+1.8%

    Chattanooga service error

    Set 2 · CHAT 18-19 FURMAN · FURMAN 89% → 91%

  7. 07
    Kacie MooreKill+1.8%

    Kill by Kacie Moore (set by Emily Navarro)

    Set 1 · CHAT 22-25 FURMAN · FURMAN 89% → 91%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kynli Kirkendoll (set by Ashley Reynolds)

    Set 2 · CHAT 18-18 FURMAN · CHAT 9% → 11%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38314.35700010153.511.5
39425.20000010010.59.5
35011.455000302238
36421.095000520217
33315.000101201014
3007.0001801500000
3000–020200002
31011.0001203500001
3000–1001320000
1105.200000100001
1115.000000000001
1012-.500000000000
1012-.500000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals3417108.1573225385410958
Furmanhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311119.52612230010.513.5
311220.45000010010.511.5
35314.143000100849
3225.000110110010.53.5
31011.0001700400001
2001.000001320000
3102.500520800003
3103.333160070010.51.5
27114.429102400429
2338.00000010010.53.5
2206.333101400002
1127-.14300000010.51.5
Team totals4514100.3104256472018975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Chattanooga vs Furman

Season series · Furman leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 CHAT · FURMAN 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 3 CHATFURMAN 6

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 7 CHATFURMAN 6

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 4 CHATFURMAN 4

Bars above the line = Furman leads, below = Chattanooga leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Chattanooga

SlotSideout %Break %
1
37%7/19
22%2/9
2
78%7/9
53%8/15
3
58%7/12
30%3/10
4
50%6/12
46%6/13
5
55%6/11
0%0/6
6
50%5/10
14%1/7
All
52%38/73
33%20/60

Furman

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
33%3/9
2
78%7/9
56%9/16
3
58%7/12
22%2/9
4
64%7/11
46%6/13
5
100%6/6
63%10/16
6
71%5/7
50%5/10
All
67%40/60
48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#CHAT-FURMANSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CHATCHATKillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+1.7
21-1CHATFURMAN×6KillAshtan Dodsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.2
31-2FURMANFURMAN×6KillKacie Mooreset Kennedy Seekford+1.5
41-3FURMANFURMAN×6AceFurmanaced Elena Vukmanov+1.4
51-4FURMANFURMAN×6KillKennedy Seekfordset Ashtan Dodson+1.2
61-5FURMANFURMAN×6KillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.1
71-6FURMANFURMAN×6Bad setAshley Reynolds+0.9
82-6FURMANCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+0.7
92-7CHATFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.7
103-7FURMANCHAT×3Attack errAshtan Dodson+0.7
114-7CHATCHAT×3BlockedLindsay Walchblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Elena Vukmanov+1.1
125-7CHATCHAT×3KillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.3
135-8CHATFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+1.1
146-8FURMANCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+1.1
156-9CHATFURMAN×3Attack errKynli Kirkendoll+1.1
166-10FURMANFURMAN×3BlockedElena Vukmanovblk Tennyson Gorman, Lindsay Walch+1.2
176-11FURMANFURMAN×3AceFurmanaced Caiti Barthel+1.0
187-11FURMANCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+0.7
197-12CHATFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+0.8
208-12FURMANCHATKillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+0.7
218-13CHATFURMANAttack errJordin Glass+0.8
229-13FURMANCHATKillGracie Rose+0.7
239-14CHATFURMAN×3KillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+0.8
249-15FURMANFURMAN×3AceFurman+0.8
259-16FURMANFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+0.5
2610-16FURMANCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+0.3
2711-16CHATCHATAceRyan Odenaced Brooke Scheffler+0.6
2811-17CHATFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+0.6
2912-17FURMANCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+0.4
3012-18CHATFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.5
3113-18FURMANCHATBlockedAmber Watsonblk Bailey Burgess, Kynli Kirkendoll+0.4
3214-18CHATCHATBlockedLindsay Walchblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Elena Vukmanov+0.8
3314-19CHATFURMANKillLindsay Walchset Kennedy Seekford+0.8
3415-19FURMANCHATBad setEmily Navarro+0.6
3515-20CHATFURMANBlockedSophia Garridoblk Ashtan Dodson, Tennyson Gorman+0.8
3616-20FURMANCHATKillSophia Garridoset Mallory Merz+0.5
3717-20CHATCHATBlockedTennyson Gormanblk Jordin Glass+1.1
3817-21CHATFURMANKillAmber Watsonset Morgan Baldridge+1.2
3918-21FURMANCHATKillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+0.8
4018-22CHATFURMANKillTennyson Gormanset Morgan Baldridge+1.2
4119-22FURMANCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+0.7
4219-23CHATFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.1
4320-23FURMANCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+0.6
4421-23CHATCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+1.5
4521-24CHATFURMANServe errChattanooga+1.9
4622-24FURMANCHATBlockedAmber Watsonblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Bailey Burgess+0.8
4722-25CHATFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+1.8
Set 2
10-1FURMANFURMAN×3KillIzzy Castelloeset Kennedy Seekford+1.1
20-2FURMANFURMAN×3Bad setAshley Reynolds+1.0
30-3FURMANFURMAN×3KillAshtan Dodsonset Morgan Baldridge+0.9
41-3FURMANCHAT×7Serve errFurman+0.7
52-3CHATCHAT×7Attack errAshtan Dodson+1.0
63-3CHATCHAT×7KillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+1.2
74-3CHATCHAT×7AceRyan Odenaced Brooke Scheffler+1.3
85-3CHATCHAT×7KillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+1.5
96-3CHATCHAT×7Attack errIzzy Castelloe+1.5
107-3CHATCHAT×7Attack errTennyson Gorman+1.6
117-4CHATFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.0
128-4FURMANCHATKillBailey Burgessset Morgan Baldridge+1.3
138-5CHATFURMANAttack errElena Vukmanov+1.0
149-5FURMANCHAT×3KillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+1.3
1510-5CHATCHAT×3BlockedKacie Mooreblk Kynli Kirkendoll+1.6
1611-5CHATCHAT×3Bad setKennedy Seekford+1.5
1711-6CHATFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.9
1812-6FURMANCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Mallory Merz+1.2
1912-7CHATFURMAN×6KillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.9
2012-8FURMANFURMAN×6BlockedAddison Walkerblk Amber Watson, Tennyson Gorman+1.3
2112-9FURMANFURMAN×6AceFurmanaced Caiti Barthel+1.5
2212-10FURMANFURMAN×6Attack errKynli Kirkendoll+1.6
2312-11FURMANFURMAN×6KillAmber Watsonset Emily Navarro+1.7
2412-12FURMANFURMAN×6KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+1.7
2513-12FURMANCHATServe errFurman+1.5
2613-13CHATFURMAN×3KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+1.3
2713-14FURMANFURMAN×3Bad setGracie Rose+1.7
2813-15FURMANFURMAN×3KillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+1.6
2914-15FURMANCHATServe errFurman+1.2
3015-15CHATCHATBlockedTennyson Gormanblk Bailey Burgess+1.9
3115-16CHATFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.4
3216-16FURMANCHATBlockedAmber Watsonblk Bailey Burgess+1.5
3316-17CHATFURMANBlockedElena Vukmanovblk Izzy Castelloe, Tennyson Gorman+1.5
3417-17FURMANCHATKillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+1.6
3517-18CHATFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+1.6
3618-18FURMANCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.8
3718-19CHATFURMANServe errChattanooga+1.8
3818-20FURMANFURMANAceFurmanaced Elena Vukmanov+2.1
3919-20FURMANCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+1.5
4019-21CHATFURMANKillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+1.8
4120-21FURMANCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+1.6
4220-22CHATFURMAN×4KillTennyson Gormanset Emily Navarro+1.9
4320-23FURMANFURMAN×4BlockedGracie Roseblk Emily Navarro, Tennyson Gorman+1.8
4420-24FURMANFURMAN×4KillEmily Navarroset Campbell Woods+1.0
4520-25FURMANFURMAN×4KillLauren Haynes+0.3
Set 3
10-1CHATFURMANAttack errElena Vukmanov+0.4
21-1FURMANCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+0.5
31-2CHATFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+0.4
41-3FURMANFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+0.5
52-3FURMANCHATKillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+0.4
62-4CHATFURMAN×4KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+0.4
72-5FURMANFURMAN×4KillKacie Mooreset Emily Navarro+0.5
82-6FURMANFURMAN×4KillCampbell Woodsset Lauren Haynes+0.4
92-7FURMANFURMAN×4BlockedGracie Roseblk Kacie Moore, Campbell Woods+0.3
103-7FURMANCHATKillMallory Merzset Caiti Barthel+0.2
113-8CHATFURMANServe errChattanooga+0.3
124-8FURMANCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+0.3
134-9CHATFURMANAttack errElena Vukmanov+0.3
145-9FURMANCHATKillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+0.3
155-10CHATFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge+0.3
166-10FURMANCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+0.3
176-11CHATFURMANServe errChattanooga+0.3
186-12FURMANFURMANKillIzzy Castelloe+0.3
197-12FURMANCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+0.2
208-12CHATCHATBlockedIzzy Castelloeblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Gracie Rose+0.3
218-13CHATFURMANKillKacie Mooreset Morgan Baldridge+0.3
228-14FURMANFURMANKillMorgan Baldridgeset Kacie Moore+0.3
239-14FURMANCHATKillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+0.2
249-15CHATFURMAN×3KillCampbell Woodsset Kennedy Seekford+0.2
259-16FURMANFURMAN×3KillCampbell Woodsset Emily Navarro+0.2
269-17FURMANFURMAN×3Attack errJordin Glass+0.1
2710-17FURMANCHAT×4KillDestiny Wigginsset Mallory Merz+0.1
2811-17CHATCHAT×4Attack errCampbell Woods+0.1
2912-17CHATCHAT×4KillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+0.2
3013-17CHATCHAT×4KillGracie Roseset Jordin Glass+0.3
3113-18CHATFURMAN×4KillLauren Haynesset Emily Navarro+0.3
3213-19FURMANFURMAN×4BlockedGracie Roseblk Campbell Woods, Tennyson Gorman+0.3
3313-20FURMANFURMAN×4BlockedGracie Roseblk Campbell Woods, Tennyson Gorman+0.2
3413-21FURMANFURMAN×4KillTennyson Gorman+0.1
3514-21FURMANCHATServe errFurman·
3614-22CHATFURMANBlockedDelaney Wingenbachblk Campbell Woods, Tennyson Gorman·
3715-22FURMANCHATServe errFurman·
3815-23CHATFURMANKillIzzy Castelloeset Morgan Baldridge·
3916-23FURMANCHATServe errFurman·
4016-24CHATFURMANServe errChattanooga·
4116-25FURMANFURMANAttack errKynli Kirkendoll·

Score shown after each rally, Chattanooga first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).