Final · 4 setsTue, Oct 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Tennessee Tech def. Chattanooga 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Tennessee Tech 76.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Tennessee Tech beat visiting Chattanooga 3-1 (26-24, 22-25, 25-18, 25-17) on Tue, Oct 6, 2026. Tennessee Tech's Alayna Pierce led with 20 kills, and Shelby Hannah added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 6

Set1234Sets
CHAT242518171
TNTECH262225253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Tennessee Tech took it, mostly on serve.

Win probability never moved more than 6.8 points on one rally; Chattanooga topped out at 42% in Set 3. Tennessee Tech went in as RallyIQ's 77% pick.

ChattanoogaTennessee Tech
  • Break %+8.9 pts
    36.545.4

    Points won on own serve: 44 of 97 vs 31 of 85. Chattanooga sided out 54.6% of the time.

  • Longest run+2
    46

    Tennessee Tech scored 6 straight in the fourth set to open the set 6–0. The set finished 25–17.

Tennessee Tech above 50Chattanooga belowMax swing 6.8%

ChattanoogaTennessee Tech

Hitting
Chattanooga .162·Tennessee Tech .205
Aces
Chattanooga 1·Tennessee Tech 6
Serve err
Chattanooga 9·Tennessee Tech 12
Blocks
Chattanooga 6·Tennessee Tech 32 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Chattanooga 57·Tennessee Tech 72

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Tennessee Tech above 50 · Chattanooga below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.8% TNTECHrally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.8% to Tennessee Tech — set 1, CHAT 24-26 TNTECH. Attack error by Gracie Rose. TNTECH win probability 81% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHAT 28.8%71.2% TNTECH

Chattanooga wins

3-0
5.4%
3-1
10.0%
3-2
13.4%

Tennessee Tech wins

3-0
24.1%
3-1
27.3%
3-2
19.8%
CHAT break %
42.2% vs this opp
TNTECH break %
46.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Gracie RoseAttack error+6.8%

    Attack error by Gracie Rose

    Set 1 · CHAT 24-26 TNTECH · TNTECH 81% → 87%

  2. 02
    Tennessee TechService error+6.2%

    Tennessee Tech service error

    Set 1 · CHAT 24-24 TNTECH · CHAT 19% → 26%

  3. 03
    Gracie RoseAttack error+6.2%

    Attack error by Gracie Rose

    Set 1 · CHAT 24-25 TNTECH · TNTECH 74% → 81%

  4. 04

    Kill by Mallory Jenkins (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 1 · CHAT 23-24 TNTECH · TNTECH 74% → 81%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kynli Kirkendoll (set by Mallory Merz)

    Set 1 · CHAT 23-23 TNTECH · CHAT 20% → 26%

  6. 06
    Kynli KirkendollAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Kynli Kirkendoll

    Set 1 · CHAT 21-22 TNTECH · TNTECH 74% → 79%

  7. 07
    Ava SchubertKill+4.6%

    Kill by Ava Schubert (set by Shelby Hannah)

    Set 1 · CHAT 21-21 TNTECH · TNTECH 69% → 74%

  8. 08
    Mallory JenkinsAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Mallory Jenkins

    Set 1 · CHAT 21-19 TNTECH · CHAT 30% → 34%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
411535.17100031010.511.5
47326.154001200218
45215.200000002238
44323.0430101220005
4001.00024021000000
4001.000000200000
4318.25000010010.53.5
4000–2011800000
4000–1202200000
4000–001610000
22212.000000000213
2206.333000100002
2001.000000000000
1408.500002010004
Team totals3816136.162381957628684
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420850.240302110010.520.5
4409.44445101700005
43413-.077000100214
35415.06700010010.55.5
3225.000000100002
26725-.040103110006
413324.41713210010.516.5
4000–2021100000
4000–9002100000
310316.43811150010.511.5
3319.222010000004
2000–002200000
Team totals6632166.2056261272106398

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Chattanooga vs Tennessee Tech

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CHAT · TNTECH 6

Set 1

24-26

Longest run 4 CHATTNTECH 5

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 CHATTNTECH 2

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 4 CHATTNTECH 4

Set 4

17-25

Longest run 2 CHATTNTECH 6

Bars above the line = Tennessee Tech leads, below = Chattanooga leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Chattanooga

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%10/22
47%8/17
2
69%9/13
17%2/12
3
69%9/13
47%8/17
4
82%9/11
10%1/10
5
38%9/24
47%8/17
6
50%7/14
33%4/12
All
55%53/97
36%31/85

Tennessee Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%11/19
53%10/19
2
64%9/14
44%7/16
3
69%9/13
36%5/14
4
60%9/15
25%3/12
5
67%8/12
40%6/15
6
67%8/12
62%13/21
All
64%54/85
45%44/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#CHAT-TNTECHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CHATCHATAceElena Vukmanovaced Audrey Berkebile+1.9
22-0CHATCHATBlockedAshlyn Gambleblk Gracie Rose, Kynli Kirkendoll+2.0
32-1CHATTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+1.5
42-2TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Audrey Berkebile+1.9
53-2TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+1.7
64-2CHATCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+2.1
74-3CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+1.6
84-4TNTECHTNTECHKillMorgan Petelin+2.0
95-4TNTECHCHATAttack errJordyn Milhouse+1.7
105-5CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.6
116-5TNTECHCHATKillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+1.8
126-6CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+1.7
137-6TNTECHCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+1.8
148-6CHATCHATAttack errAudrey Berkebile+2.4
158-7CHATTNTECH×5KillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+1.8
168-8TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAshlyn Gambleset Shelby Hannah+2.2
178-9TNTECHTNTECH×5KillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+2.2
188-10TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+2.0
198-11TNTECHTNTECH×5Attack errKynli Kirkendoll+1.8
209-11TNTECHCHAT×3Attack errAudrey Berkebile+1.4
2110-11CHATCHAT×3Attack errAudrey Berkebile+2.1
2211-11CHATCHAT×3Attack errAudrey Berkebile+2.4
2311-12CHATTNTECHServe errChattanooga+1.9
2411-13TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+2.2
2512-13TNTECHCHAT×4Serve errTennessee Tech+1.8
2613-13CHATCHAT×4KillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+2.6
2714-13CHATCHAT×4Attack errAudrey Berkebile+2.9
2815-13CHATCHAT×4BlockedAlayna Pierceblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Destiny Wiggins+3.1
2915-14CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+2.3
3015-15TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.9
3116-15TNTECHCHATKillDestiny Wigginsset Mallory Merz+2.7
3216-16CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.5
3317-16TNTECHCHATKillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+2.8
3417-17CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.7
3518-17TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+3.0
3618-18CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+2.8
3718-19TNTECHTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+3.6
3819-19TNTECHCHAT×3Attack errAudrey Berkebile+3.0
3920-19CHATCHAT×3KillElena Vukmanovset Caiti Barthel+4.3
4021-19CHATCHAT×3Attack errMallory Jenkins+4.6
4121-20CHATTNTECH×4KillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+3.1
4221-21TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAva Schubertset Shelby Hannah+4.6
4321-22TNTECHTNTECH×4Attack errKynli Kirkendoll+5.0
4421-23TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAudrey Berkebileset Alayna Pierce+4.5
4522-23TNTECHCHATAttack errAudrey Berkebile+2.8
4623-23CHATCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+5.8
4723-24CHATTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+6.2
4824-24TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+6.2
4924-25CHATTNTECHAttack errGracie Rose+6.2
5024-26TNTECHTNTECHAttack errGracie Rose+6.8
Set 2
11-0TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+1.2
21-1CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.1
31-2TNTECHTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Alayna Pierce+1.4
42-2TNTECHCHATBad setMorgan Petelin+1.2
53-2CHATCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+1.6
63-3CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+1.2
73-4TNTECHTNTECHBad setAshley Reynolds+1.4
84-4TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+1.2
94-5CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Ella Watford+1.2
105-5TNTECHCHAT×4KillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+1.3
116-5CHATCHAT×4Attack errAlayna Pierce+1.7
127-5CHATCHAT×4Attack errMallory Jenkins+1.8
138-5CHATCHAT×4KillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+1.8
148-6CHATTNTECHServe errChattanooga+1.3
159-6TNTECHCHATAttack errAva Schubert+1.6
1610-6CHATCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+1.9
1710-7CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.3
1811-7TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+1.6
1911-8CHATTNTECHKillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+1.3
2012-8TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+1.6
2113-8CHATCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+1.8
2213-9CHATTNTECHKillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+1.2
2314-9TNTECHCHATKillDestiny Wigginsset Mallory Merz+1.5
2415-9CHATCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.6
2515-10CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.0
2616-10TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.3
2716-11CHATTNTECHAttack errJordin Glass+0.9
2816-12TNTECHTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+1.4
2917-12TNTECHCHATKillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+1.6
3018-12CHATCHATAttack errMallory Jenkins+1.6
3118-13CHATTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+0.8
3218-14TNTECHTNTECHAttack errElena Vukmanov+1.4
3319-14TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.6
3419-15CHATTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Shelby Hannah+1.1
3519-16TNTECHTNTECHAceTennessee Tech+1.7
3620-16TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+2.0
3720-17CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Mallory Merz+1.4
3821-17TNTECHCHATKillDestiny Wigginsset Mallory Merz+2.0
3921-18CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+1.3
4022-18TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+2.1
4122-19CHATTNTECHServe errChattanooga+1.2
4223-19TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.0
4323-20CHATTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Ella Watford+1.0
4424-20TNTECHCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+1.9
4524-21CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.6
4624-22TNTECHTNTECHAttack errElena Vukmanov+1.5
4725-22TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+2.9
Set 3
11-0CHATCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.8
22-0CHATCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+3.0
32-1CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.3
43-1TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+2.5
53-2CHATTNTECHServe errChattanooga+2.3
64-2TNTECHCHATBlockedJordyn Milhouseblk Jordin Glass+2.6
75-2CHATCHATAttack errBella Potempa+3.3
85-3CHATTNTECHServe errChattanooga+2.4
96-3TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.8
107-3CHATCHATAttack errMallory Jenkins+3.4
117-4CHATTNTECHServe errChattanooga+2.4
128-4TNTECHCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+2.8
138-5CHATTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+2.4
148-6TNTECHTNTECHKillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+3.2
159-6TNTECHCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+3.0
169-7CHATTNTECH×3KillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+2.6
179-8TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errKynli Kirkendoll+3.4
189-9TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedElena Vukmanovblk Jordyn Milhouse, Ava Schubert+3.4
1910-9TNTECHCHATAttack errAva Schubert+3.0
2010-10CHATTNTECH×4KillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+2.8
2110-11TNTECHTNTECH×4BlockedDestiny Wigginsblk Alayna Pierce, Jordyn Milhouse+3.4
2210-12TNTECHTNTECH×4AceTennessee Techaced Elena Vukmanov+3.2
2310-13TNTECHTNTECH×4AceTennessee Techaced Elena Vukmanov+2.9
2411-13TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+2.2
2511-14CHATTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+2.4
2611-15TNTECHTNTECH×3KillBella Potempa+2.5
2711-16TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.9
2812-16TNTECHCHAT×4Serve errTennessee Tech+1.3
2913-16CHATCHAT×4BlockedBella Potempablk Addison Walker, Jordin Glass+2.2
3014-16CHATCHAT×4Attack errJordyn Milhouse+2.9
3115-16CHATCHAT×4BlockedBella Potempablk Addison Walker, Jordin Glass+3.7
3215-17CHATTNTECH×3KillMorgan Petelinset Bella Potempa+3.2
3315-18TNTECHTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Shelby Hannah+3.5
3415-19TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errGracie Rose+2.7
3516-19TNTECHCHATBlockedAlayna Pierceblk Jordin Glass+1.8
3616-20CHATTNTECHBlockedAddison Walkerblk Mallory Jenkins, Bella Potempa+2.2
3717-20TNTECHCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+1.7
3817-21CHATTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+2.3
3917-22TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errAddison Walker+1.8
4017-23TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.9
4118-23TNTECHCHATAttack errAshlyn Gamble+0.3
4218-24CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.5
4318-25TNTECHTNTECHKillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+0.1
Set 4
10-1TNTECHTNTECH×6Attack errGracie Rose+2.1
20-2TNTECHTNTECH×6KillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+1.9
30-3TNTECHTNTECH×6Attack errGracie Rose+1.8
40-4TNTECHTNTECH×6KillAlayna Pierceset Ava Schubert+1.6
50-5TNTECHTNTECH×6KillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+1.3
60-6TNTECHTNTECH×6KillAva Schubertset Alayna Pierce+1.1
71-6TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+0.8
81-7CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.9
92-7TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+0.8
103-7CHATCHATAttack errTuva Falk+1.3
113-8CHATTNTECHKillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+1.1
123-9TNTECHTNTECHAceTennessee Techaced Gracie Rose+1.2
134-9TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+0.8
144-10CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.9
155-10TNTECHCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+0.8
166-10CHATCHATKillAddison Walkerset Ashley Reynolds+1.3
176-11CHATTNTECH×4KillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+1.2
186-12TNTECHTNTECH×4AceTennessee Techaced Ryan Oden+1.2
196-13TNTECHTNTECH×4KillBella Potempa+0.9
206-14TNTECHTNTECH×4KillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+0.6
217-14TNTECHCHATKillAddison Walkerset Caiti Barthel+0.4
227-15CHATTNTECH×3KillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+0.5
237-16TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAva Schubertset Shelby Hannah+0.4
247-17TNTECHTNTECH×3AceTennessee Techaced Delaney Wingenbach+0.2
258-17TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+0.1
269-17CHATCHATAttack errAva Schubert+0.2
279-18CHATTNTECHServe errChattanooga+0.3
2810-18TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+0.2
2910-19CHATTNTECHKillAva Schubertset Morgan Petelin+0.2
3011-19TNTECHCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Mallory Merz+0.1
3112-19CHATCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+0.3
3212-20CHATTNTECHAttack errJordin Glass+0.3
3313-20TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+0.2
3413-21CHATTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+0.3
3514-21TNTECHCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+0.1
3614-22CHATTNTECHKillBella Potempaset Morgan Petelin+0.2
3715-22TNTECHCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+0.1
3815-23CHATTNTECHServe errChattanooga+0.2
3916-23TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+0.1
4016-24CHATTNTECHServe errChattanooga+0.1
4117-24TNTECHCHATAttack errJordyn Milhouse·
4217-25CHATTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin·

Score shown after each rally, Chattanooga first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).