Final · 5 setsTue, Oct 27, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Chattanooga def. Tennessee Tech 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Tennessee Tech 60.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 27, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Chattanooga beat visiting Tennessee Tech 3-2 (25-19, 20-25, 25-16, 18-25, 15-12) on Tue, Oct 27, 2026. Gracie Rose and Kynli Kirkendoll led Chattanooga with 11 kills each.

Data through · final Oct 27

Set12345Sets
TNTECH19251625122
CHAT25202518153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Chattanooga took the fifth 15–12 to finish off Tennessee Tech.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Chattanooga's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Tennessee Tech was RallyIQ's 61% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · Tennessee Tech 5–2 Chattanooga

    Chattanooga scored 3 straight to erase a 2–5 deficit and tie it at 5.

    Chattanooga 21% → 45%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Tennessee Tech 6–5 Chattanooga

    3 straight Chattanooga points turned a 5–6 deficit into an 8–6 lead. The match swung to Chattanooga.

    Chattanooga 37% → 67%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Tennessee Tech 11–12 Chattanooga

    Chattanooga closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 15–12 and win the match 3–2.

    Chattanooga 63% → >99%

Chattanooga above 50Tennessee Tech belowMax swing 17.7%

Tennessee TechChattanooga

Sideout %
Tennessee Tech 57.8·Chattanooga 61.2
Break %
Tennessee Tech 38.8·Chattanooga 42.2
Hitting
Tennessee Tech .207·Chattanooga .212
Longest run
Tennessee Tech 5·Chattanooga 7

Kynli Kirkendoll
11 kills on .478, 13.5 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Chattanooga above 50 · Tennessee Tech below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+17.7% CHATrally 200 · set 5

Biggest swing: 17.7% to Chattanooga — set 5, TNTECH 11-13 CHAT. Kill by Kynli Kirkendoll (set by Ashley Reynolds). CHAT win probability 63% → 81%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TNTECH 57.1%42.9% CHAT

Tennessee Tech wins

3-0
15.7%
3-1
21.7%
3-2
19.7%

Chattanooga wins

3-0
9.7%
3-1
15.8%
3-2
17.4%
TNTECH break %
45.0% vs this opp
CHAT break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kynli Kirkendoll (set by Ashley Reynolds)

    Set 5 · TNTECH 11-13 CHAT · CHAT 63% → 81%

  2. 02
    Ashley ReynoldsKill+14.1%

    Kill by Ashley Reynolds (set by Caiti Barthel)

    Set 5 · TNTECH 11-12 CHAT · CHAT 49% → 63%

  3. 03
    Morgan PetelinAttack error+13.4%

    Attack error by Morgan Petelin

    Set 5 · TNTECH 11-14 CHAT · CHAT 81% → 94%

  4. 04
    Jordyn MilhouseKill+12.5%

    Kill by Jordyn Milhouse (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 5 · TNTECH 9-9 CHAT · TNTECH 39% → 52%

  5. 05
    Bailey BurgessKill+12.4%

    Kill by Bailey Burgess (set by Ashley Reynolds)

    Set 5 · TNTECH 10-11 CHAT · CHAT 49% → 61%

  6. 06
    Jordyn MilhouseKill+11.9%

    Kill by Jordyn Milhouse (set by Morgan Petelin)

    Set 5 · TNTECH 11-11 CHAT · TNTECH 39% → 51%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kynli Kirkendoll (set by Mallory Merz)

    Set 5 · TNTECH 6-8 CHAT · CHAT 56% → 67%

  8. 08
    Elena VukmanovKill+11.1%

    Kill by Elena Vukmanov (set by Mallory Merz)

    Set 5 · TNTECH 9-10 CHAT · CHAT 48% → 59%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5171352.07711215102119
517327.51900020010.517.5
511426.2690002012213
5229.0005800110111.53.5
5014-.250013800001
33211.09111020010.54.5
514437.2701004010115
5005.0000131420001
5001.0002021220000
5000–000500000
3317.28601000031.55.5
Team totals6730179.20763510756310897
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
511936.05613110000014
511023.478110141111.513.5
58114.50031101200009
57118.333000200218
49637.081100400009
2125-.20000000010.51.5
5001.000010400001
5002.0007001420000
5002.000201920000
33112.167000001225
3102.500600100001
2418.375000100004
Team totals5521160.2124962715265103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Tennessee Tech vs Chattanooga

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 TNTECH · CHAT 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 5 TNTECHCHAT 7

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 TNTECHCHAT 3

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 2 TNTECHCHAT 3

Set 4

25-18

Longest run 5 TNTECHCHAT 4

Set 5

12-15

Longest run 2 TNTECHCHAT 3

Bars above the line = Chattanooga leads, below = Tennessee Tech leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Tennessee Tech

SlotSideout %Break %
1
72%13/18
35%6/17
2
61%11/18
20%3/15
3
45%9/20
38%6/16
4
47%9/19
40%6/15
5
53%9/17
40%6/15
6
80%8/10
55%11/20
All
58%59/102
39%38/98

Chattanooga

SlotSideout %Break %
1
72%13/18
33%5/15
2
73%11/15
14%2/14
3
63%10/16
54%13/24
4
56%9/16
55%11/20
5
47%9/19
50%9/18
6
57%8/14
27%3/11
All
61%60/98
42%43/102

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

200 rallies

#TNTECH-CHATSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CHATTNTECHAttack errDelaney Wingenbach+1.8
21-1TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.8
32-1CHATTNTECHAttack errDestiny Wiggins+1.8
42-2TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Caiti Barthel+1.9
53-2CHATTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+1.9
64-2TNTECHTNTECHAttack errGracie Rose+2.3
74-3TNTECHCHAT×5KillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+1.8
84-4CHATCHAT×5KillAshley Reynoldsset Caiti Barthel+2.5
94-5CHATCHAT×5Attack errAlayna Pierce+2.6
104-6CHATCHAT×5KillAshley Reynoldsset Caiti Barthel+2.6
114-7CHATCHAT×5Attack errAlayna Pierce+2.6
125-7CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.9
135-8TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Caiti Barthel+2.1
145-9CHATCHATAttack errTuva Falk+2.5
156-9CHATTNTECH×3KillMorgan Petelin+1.8
167-9TNTECHTNTECH×3AceTuva Falkaced Caiti Barthel+2.5
178-9TNTECHTNTECH×3BlockedAshley Reynoldsblk Audrey Berkebile+2.7
188-10TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Morgan Petelin+2.4
199-10CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.2
209-11TNTECHCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+2.4
2110-11CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+2.3
2210-12TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+2.5
2311-12CHATTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+2.3
2412-12TNTECHTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+3.1
2512-13TNTECHCHAT×7KillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+2.7
2612-14CHATCHAT×7Attack errAlayna Pierce+3.4
2712-15CHATCHAT×7KillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+3.3
2812-16CHATCHAT×7KillGracie Roseset Morgan Petelin+3.0
2912-17CHATCHAT×7BlockedAlayna Pierceblk Bailey Burgess, Destiny Wiggins+2.5
3012-18CHATCHAT×7Attack errAlayna Pierce+1.9
3112-19CHATCHAT×7KillGracie Rose+1.3
3213-19CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.6
3313-20TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.0
3414-20CHATTNTECHAttack errGracie Rose+0.5
3514-21TNTECHCHAT×4KillAshley Reynoldsset Caiti Barthel+0.9
3614-22CHATCHAT×4Attack errTuva Falk+0.6
3714-23CHATCHAT×4KillDelaney Wingenbach+0.2
3814-24CHATCHAT×4KillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+0.1
3915-24CHATTNTECH×5KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin·
4016-24TNTECHTNTECH×5BlockedDelaney Wingenbachblk Morgan Petelin·
4117-24TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin·
4218-24TNTECHTNTECH×5Attack errAshlyn Gamble+0.1
4319-24TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+0.2
4419-25TNTECHCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+0.4
Set 2
11-0TNTECHTNTECHAttack errDelaney Wingenbach+2.6
21-1TNTECHCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+2.1
32-1CHATTNTECHAttack errGracie Rose+2.1
43-1TNTECHTNTECHServe errTennessee Tech+2.5
53-2TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+2.0
64-2CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.1
74-3TNTECHCHAT×3KillBailey Burgessset Caiti Barthel+2.0
84-4CHATCHAT×3KillAshley Reynoldsset Caiti Barthel+2.8
94-5CHATCHAT×3Attack errAshlyn Gamble+2.9
105-5CHATTNTECH×4KillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+2.3
116-5TNTECHTNTECH×4Attack errGracie Rose+2.9
127-5TNTECHTNTECH×4KillTuva Falk+2.8
138-5TNTECHTNTECH×4AceElla Watfordaced Finley Hilliard+2.6
148-6TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.0
158-7CHATCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+2.8
169-7CHATTNTECHKillTuva Falkset Morgan Petelin+2.3
179-8TNTECHCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+2.3
189-9CHATCHATAceRyan Odenaced Ella Watford+3.2
1910-9CHATTNTECHKillMorgan Petelinset Audrey Berkebile+2.6
2011-9TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+3.1
2111-10TNTECHCHATBlockedJordyn Milhouseblk Kynli Kirkendoll+2.4
2212-10CHATTNTECHAttack errDelaney Wingenbach+2.6
2312-11TNTECHCHATAttack errAudrey Berkebile+2.5
2412-12CHATCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+3.5
2513-12CHATTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+2.9
2613-13TNTECHCHATKillDestiny Wigginsset Ashley Reynolds+2.9
2714-13CHATTNTECHBlockedDestiny Wigginsblk Ashlyn Gamble+3.0
2814-14TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+3.0
2915-14CHATTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+3.1
3015-15TNTECHCHATKillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+3.2
3116-15CHATTNTECH×4KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+3.3
3217-15TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+4.0
3318-15TNTECHTNTECH×4AceAlayna Pierceaced Kynli Kirkendoll+3.6
3419-15TNTECHTNTECH×4KillAudrey Berkebileset Tuva Falk+3.0
3519-16TNTECHCHATServe errAlayna Pierce+1.8
3620-16CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+2.4
3721-16TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.1
3821-17TNTECHCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+1.0
3922-17CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+1.6
4023-17TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouse+1.0
4123-18TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+0.3
4224-18CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.6
4324-19TNTECHCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+0.1
4424-20CHATCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+0.4
4525-20CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.7
Set 3
10-1CHATCHAT×3KillGracie Roseset Finley Hilliard+3.2
20-2CHATCHAT×3AceGracie Roseaced Ella Watford+3.3
30-3CHATCHAT×3KillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+3.2
41-3CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+2.4
51-4TNTECHCHATAttack errAshlyn Gamble+2.7
62-4CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.4
72-5TNTECHCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+2.7
83-5CHATTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+2.5
93-6TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+2.8
103-7CHATCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+3.3
114-7CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.3
125-7TNTECHTNTECHBlockedGracie Roseblk Tuva Falk, Morgan Petelin+3.3
135-8TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+2.9
146-8CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.6
156-9TNTECHCHATKillSophia Garridoset Mallory Merz+3.0
166-10CHATCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+3.5
177-10CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+2.4
187-11TNTECHCHATKillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+2.9
197-12CHATCHATAceGracie Roseaced Alayna Pierce+3.2
208-12CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+2.1
218-13TNTECHCHATAttack errDelaney Wingenbach+2.6
229-13CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Alayna Pierce+2.1
239-14TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+2.6
249-15CHATCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+2.7
2510-15CHATTNTECHBlockedSophia Garridoblk Jordyn Milhouse, Alayna Pierce+1.6
2610-16TNTECHCHAT×3KillKynli Kirkendollset Morgan Petelin+2.2
2710-17CHATCHAT×3Attack errAshlyn Gamble+2.0
2810-18CHATCHAT×3Attack errAlayna Pierce+1.4
2911-18CHATTNTECHKillAshlyn Gamble+0.7
3012-18TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+1.2
3112-19TNTECHCHAT×3BlockedAlayna Pierceblk Sophia Garrido+1.4
3212-20CHATCHAT×3AceKynli Kirkendoll+1.1
3312-21CHATCHAT×3Attack errMorgan Petelin+0.6
3413-21CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+0.2
3513-22TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+0.4
3614-22CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+0.1
3715-22TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.3
3815-23TNTECHCHATKillAshley Reynoldsset Finley Hilliard+0.4
3916-23CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+0.1
4016-24TNTECHCHATKillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+0.3
4116-25CHATCHATAttack errAudrey Berkebile+0.1
Set 4
10-1TNTECHCHATBad setMorgan Petelin+2.8
21-1CHATTNTECHServe errFinley Hilliard+2.8
32-1TNTECHTNTECHAceKamya Mahornaced Finley Hilliard+3.5
42-2TNTECHCHAT×4KillAshley Reynoldsset Kynli Kirkendoll+2.8
52-3CHATCHAT×4AceGracie Roseaced Shelby Hannah+3.7
62-4CHATCHAT×4Attack errKamya Mahorn+3.8
72-5CHATCHAT×4Attack errJordyn Milhouse+3.8
83-5CHATTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+2.8
93-6TNTECHCHATKillAshley Reynoldsset Delaney Wingenbach+3.1
104-6CHATTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+2.8
115-6TNTECHTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+3.8
125-7TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+3.3
136-7CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+3.1
146-8TNTECHCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Mallory Merz+3.3
157-8CHATTNTECHKillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+3.1
167-9TNTECHCHATKillMallory Merzset Gracie Rose+3.4
178-9CHATTNTECH×3KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+3.2
189-9TNTECHTNTECH×3KillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+4.3
1910-9TNTECHTNTECH×3KillAudrey Berkebileset Morgan Petelin+4.3
2010-10TNTECHCHATBlockedAudrey Berkebileblk Sophia Garrido, Bailey Burgess+3.5
2111-10CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+3.5
2211-11TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+3.6
2312-11CHATTNTECH×5Serve errGracie Rose+3.7
2413-11TNTECHTNTECH×5KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+4.5
2514-11TNTECHTNTECH×5Attack errDelaney Wingenbach+4.1
2615-11TNTECHTNTECH×5BlockedBailey Burgessblk Mallory Jenkins, Alayna Pierce+3.6
2716-11TNTECHTNTECH×5BlockedDelaney Wingenbachblk Mallory Jenkins, Ashlyn Gamble+2.9
2816-12TNTECHCHATAttack errMallory Jenkins+1.8
2917-12CHATTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+2.3
3018-12TNTECHTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+2.2
3118-13TNTECHCHATServe errTennessee Tech+1.2
3219-13CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.6
3320-13TNTECHTNTECHAttack errElena Vukmanov+1.3
3420-14TNTECHCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+0.6
3520-15CHATCHATBlockedAudrey Berkebileblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Sophia Garrido+1.2
3621-15CHATTNTECH×3KillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+1.4
3722-15TNTECHTNTECH×3AceMallory Jenkinsaced Caiti Barthel+1.0
3823-15TNTECHTNTECH×3Attack errGracie Rose+0.4
3923-16TNTECHCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+0.1
4023-17CHATCHATAttack errAlayna Pierce+0.2
4124-17CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+0.4
4224-18TNTECHCHATKillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+0.1
4325-18CHATTNTECHAttack errGracie Rose+0.7
Set 5
11-0TNTECHTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+8.1
21-1TNTECHCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+6.6
32-1CHATTNTECHKillAshlyn Gambleset Morgan Petelin+6.7
43-1TNTECHTNTECHAttack errGracie Rose+8.2
53-2TNTECHCHATAttack errJordyn Milhouse+6.3
64-2CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Shelby Hannah+6.8
75-2TNTECHTNTECHBlockedGracie Roseblk Mallory Jenkins, Ashlyn Gamble+7.8
85-3TNTECHCHAT×3KillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+5.6
95-4CHATCHAT×3Attack errAshlyn Gamble+8.4
105-5CHATCHAT×3AceAshley Reynoldsaced Shelby Hannah+9.7
116-5CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+8.0
126-6TNTECHCHAT×3Serve errTennessee Tech+8.1
136-7CHATCHAT×3KillSophia Garridoset Mallory Merz+11.1
146-8CHATCHAT×3KillKynli Kirkendollset Mallory Merz+11.3
157-8CHATTNTECHKillAlayna Pierceset Morgan Petelin+8.1
167-9TNTECHCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Mallory Merz+9.7
178-9CHATTNTECHKillMallory Jenkinsset Morgan Petelin+8.5
189-9TNTECHTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+12.5
199-10TNTECHCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Mallory Merz+11.1
2010-10CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+10.8
2110-11TNTECHCHATKillBailey Burgessset Ashley Reynolds+12.4
2211-11CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+11.9
2311-12TNTECHCHAT×3KillAshley Reynoldsset Caiti Barthel+14.1
2411-13CHATCHAT×3KillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+17.7
2511-14CHATCHAT×3Attack errMorgan Petelin+13.4
2612-14CHATTNTECHKillJordyn Milhouseset Morgan Petelin+4.4
2712-15TNTECHCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+10.2

Score shown after each rally, Tennessee Tech first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).