ETSU vs Chattanooga Volleyball: ETSU Wins 3-0 (Oct 9, 2026)

FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: ETSU 74.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

ETSU won at Chattanooga 3-0 (25-22, 25-16, 25-22) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. ETSU's Makayla Bays led with 16 kills, and Melanie Morris added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 4, 3:25 AM CT · final Oct 9

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ETSU	25	25	25	3
CHAT	22	16	22	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

16 kills in 3 sets for Makayla Bays. ETSU swept Chattanooga.

No single rally moved win probability more than 3.7 points. Chattanooga peaked at 28% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had ETSU at 74%.

ETSUChattanooga

Break %+12.0 pts
50.738.7
37 of 73 on serve vs 24 of 62, so Chattanooga's sideout was 49.3%.
Hitting+.081
.224.143
42 K / 16 E against 34 K / 18 E.
Longest run+0
55
5 straight ETSU points in the third set stretched a 4–1 lead to 9–1. The set finished 25–22.

Chattanooga above 50ETSU belowMax swing 3.7%

ETSUChattanooga

Aces: ETSU 7·Chattanooga 2
Serve err: ETSU 6·Chattanooga 7
Blocks: ETSU 8·Chattanooga 73 BS · 10 BA vs 1 BS · 12 BA
Digs: ETSU 48·Chattanooga 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Chattanooga above 50 · ETSU below

Biggest swing: 3.7% to ETSU — set 1, ETSU 23-21 CHAT. Kill by Elizabeth Aylward (set by Alex Kreutzmann). CHAT win probability 22% → 19%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ETSU 77.0%23.0% CHAT

ETSU wins

3-0

28.7%

3-1

29.3%

3-2

19.0%

Chattanooga wins

3-0

3.9%

3-1

7.8%

3-2

11.3%

ETSU break %: 46.5% vs this opp
CHAT break %: 40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Elizabeth AylwardKill+3.7%
Kill by Elizabeth Aylward (set by Alex Kreutzmann)
Set 1 · ETSU 23-21 CHAT · ETSU 78% → 81%
02
Destiny Wiggins&Kynli KirkendollBlock+3.4%
Karis Chatfield stuffed by Destiny Wiggins & Kynli Kirkendoll
Set 1 · ETSU 17-17 CHAT · CHAT 24% → 27%
03
ETSUAce+3.3%
ETSU ace on Elena Vukmanov
Set 1 · ETSU 19-17 CHAT · ETSU 76% → 79%
04
ChattanoogaService error+3.3%
Chattanooga service error
Set 1 · ETSU 22-20 CHAT · ETSU 77% → 80%
05
Makayla BaysKill+3.3%
Kill by Makayla Bays (set by Alex Kreutzmann)
Set 1 · ETSU 24-21 CHAT · ETSU 81% → 85%
06
Sophia DavisAttack error+3.2%
Attack error by Sophia Davis
Set 1 · ETSU 20-19 CHAT · CHAT 20% → 23%
07
Makayla BaysKill+3.0%
Kill by Makayla Bays (set by Bailey Gohlke)
Set 1 · ETSU 21-19 CHAT · ETSU 77% → 80%
08
ETSUAce+2.8%
ETSU ace on Elena Vukmanov
Set 1 · ETSU 20-17 CHAT · ETSU 79% → 82%

Box score

Official NCAA box

ETSUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
14Makayla BaysOH	3	16	3	37	.351	0	1	2	7	0	0	0	0	17
15Karis ChatfieldOH	3	8	6	23	.087	0	0	1	6	1	0	1	0.5	8.5
1Gianna BlairMB	3	4	1	9	.333	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	3	7
7Phoenix FogelMB	3	3	0	10	.300	0	0	0	1	0	1	3	2.5	5.5
20Elizabeth AylwardOH	3	4	3	18	.056	0	0	0	6	0	0	2	1	5
12Alex KreutzmannS	3	0	0	0	–	16	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
2Sophia DavisOH	3	7	3	18	.222	0	0	0	4	0	0	2	1	8
11Melanie MorrisDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	3	1	15	1	0	0	0	3
4Ryan JomoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
17Bailey GohlkeS	3	0	0	1	.000	21	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		42	16	116	.224	39	7	6	48	2	3	10	8	75

Chattanoogahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
39Elena VukmanovOH	3	10	4	27	.222	0	0	1	7	3	0	1	0.5	10.5
5Jordin GlassMB	3	5	2	13	.231	1	1	3	0	0	1	3	2.5	8.5
11Kynli KirkendollMB	3	3	1	12	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
16Ashley ReynoldsS	3	0	0	2	.000	18	1	0	6	0	0	0	0	1
12Sophia GarridoOH	2	4	1	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
2Ryan OdenL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	4	2	0	0	0	0
23Gracie RoseOH	3	8	2	21	.286	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	8
4Mallory MerzS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
9Caiti BarthelL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	17	0	0	0	0	0
17Caroline PetersonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
6Delaney WingenbachOH	2	3	5	12	-.167	0	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	3
0Bailey BurgessMB	2	0	1	3	-.333	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
1Addison WalkerOH	1	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	2
15Destiny WigginsOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
10Emily GeaquintoS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
21Finley HilliardL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	18	112	.143	32	2	7	48	7	1	12	7	60

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

ETSU vs Chattanooga

Season series · ETSU leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026ETSU at Chattanooga · ETSU won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 10, 2026ETSU at Chattanooga · ETSU won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ETSU · CHAT 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 ETSUCHAT 3

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 4 ETSUCHAT 5

Set 3

25-22

Longest run 5 ETSUCHAT 4

Bars above the line = Chattanooga leads, below = ETSU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

ETSU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%8/16	40%4/10
2	88%7/8	53%8/15
3	64%7/11	56%9/16
4	60%6/10	54%7/13
5	63%5/8	44%4/9
6	56%5/9	50%5/10
All	61%38/62	51%37/73

Chattanooga

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	36%4/11
2	50%7/14	36%4/11
3	43%6/14	36%4/11
4	55%6/11	45%5/11
5	42%5/12	33%3/9
6	100%5/5	44%4/9
All	49%36/73	39%24/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#	ETSU-CHAT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Sophia Garrido	set Caiti Barthel	+2.1
2	1-1	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.5
3	2-1	ETSU	ETSU×3	Attack err	Elena Vukmanov		+1.9
4	3-1	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.8
5	3-2	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.4
6	4-2	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.4
7	4-3	ETSU	CHAT	Blocked	Elizabeth Aylward	blk Jordin Glass, Elena Vukmanov	+1.4
8	5-3	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.5
9	5-4	ETSU	CHAT×3	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Mallory Merz	+1.5
10	5-5	CHAT	CHAT×3	Bad set	Bailey Gohlke		+2.1
11	5-6	CHAT	CHAT×3	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Mallory Merz	+2.3
12	6-6	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.7
13	6-7	ETSU	CHAT	Serve err	ETSU		+1.9
14	7-7	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.8
15	8-7	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Ryan Jomo	+2.3
16	9-7	ETSU	ETSU×3	Attack err	Gracie Rose		+2.1
17	9-8	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Caiti Barthel	+1.6
18	10-8	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Phoenix Fogel	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.7
19	10-9	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.7
20	11-9	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+1.7
21	12-9	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Phoenix Fogel	set Alex Kreutzmann	+2.0
22	12-10	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.5
23	13-10	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.6
24	13-11	ETSU	CHAT	Attack err	Makayla Bays		+1.5
25	13-12	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Gianna Blair		+2.4
26	14-12	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.9
27	15-12	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+2.3
28	16-12	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.9
29	16-13	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Mallory Merz	+1.2
30	16-14	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Caiti Barthel	+2.1
31	17-14	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+1.9
32	17-15	ETSU	CHAT×3	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Jordin Glass	+1.7
33	17-16	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Karis Chatfield		+2.8
34	17-17	CHAT	CHAT×3	Blocked	Karis Chatfield	blk Destiny Wiggins, Kynli Kirkendoll	+3.4
35	18-17	CHAT	ETSU×3	Blocked	Kynli Kirkendoll	blk Gianna Blair	+2.7
36	19-17	ETSU	ETSU×3	Ace	ETSU	aced Elena Vukmanov	+3.3
37	20-17	ETSU	ETSU×3	Ace	ETSU	aced Elena Vukmanov	+2.8
38	20-18	ETSU	CHAT	Attack err	Karis Chatfield		+1.7
39	20-19	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Sophia Davis		+3.2
40	21-19	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+3.0
41	21-20	ETSU	CHAT	Serve err	ETSU		+2.6
42	22-20	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+3.3
43	22-21	ETSU	CHAT	Serve err	ETSU		+2.7
44	23-21	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+3.7
45	24-21	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+3.3
46	24-22	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.0
47	25-22	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Caroline Peterson	+2.3
Set 2
1	1-0	ETSU	ETSU×3	Blocked	Elena Vukmanov	blk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis	+1.5
2	2-0	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Melanie Morris	+1.4
3	3-0	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.3
4	3-1	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Sophia Garrido	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.0
5	4-1	CHAT	ETSU	Attack err	Sophia Garrido		+1.0
6	4-2	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.0
7	5-2	CHAT	ETSU×4	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.0
8	6-2	ETSU	ETSU×4	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.2
9	7-2	ETSU	ETSU×4	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.0
10	8-2	ETSU	ETSU×4	Attack err	Elena Vukmanov		+0.8
11	8-3	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Delaney Wingenbach	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.6
12	9-3	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+0.6
13	10-3	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Gracie Rose		+0.6
14	10-4	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Delaney Wingenbach	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.4
15	11-4	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+0.5
16	12-4	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Caroline Peterson	+0.5
17	12-5	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.3
18	13-5	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.3
19	13-6	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Sophia Garrido	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.3
20	14-6	CHAT	ETSU	Attack err	Delaney Wingenbach		+0.3
21	15-6	ETSU	ETSU	Ace	ETSU	aced Delaney Wingenbach	+0.3
22	15-7	ETSU	CHAT×5	Serve err	ETSU		+0.2
23	15-8	CHAT	CHAT×5	Attack err	Makayla Bays		+0.3
24	15-9	CHAT	CHAT×5	Blocked	Sophia Davis	blk Jordin Glass	+0.4
25	15-10	CHAT	CHAT×5	Blocked	Sophia Davis	blk Jordin Glass, Sophia Garrido	+0.6
26	15-11	CHAT	CHAT×5	Attack err	Makayla Bays		+0.9
27	16-11	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.9
28	17-11	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.8
29	18-11	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.5
30	18-12	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Sophia Garrido	set Caiti Barthel	+0.3
31	18-13	CHAT	CHAT	Bad set	Bailey Gohlke		+0.5
32	19-13	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.6
33	20-13	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Delaney Wingenbach		+0.5
34	20-14	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Delaney Wingenbach	set Caiti Barthel	+0.2
35	20-15	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Mallory Merz	+0.4
36	21-15	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.5
37	22-15	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.3
38	23-15	ETSU	ETSU×3	Blocked	Bailey Burgess	blk Phoenix Fogel, Karis Chatfield	+0.1
39	23-16	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Mallory Merz	·
40	24-16	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+0.1
41	25-16	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays		·
Set 3
1	1-0	CHAT	ETSU×4	Attack err	Delaney Wingenbach		+0.6
2	2-0	ETSU	ETSU×4	Blocked	Delaney Wingenbach	blk Phoenix Fogel, Elizabeth Aylward	+0.8
3	3-0	ETSU	ETSU×4	Blocked	Addison Walker	blk Phoenix Fogel	+0.7
4	4-0	ETSU	ETSU×4	Blocked	Delaney Wingenbach	blk Elizabeth Aylward, Phoenix Fogel	+0.6
5	4-1	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Addison Walker	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.5
6	5-1	CHAT	ETSU×5	Kill	Phoenix Fogel	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.5
7	6-1	ETSU	ETSU×5	Blocked	Jordin Glass	blk Gianna Blair	+0.5
8	7-1	ETSU	ETSU×5	Ace	ETSU	aced Ryan Oden	+0.5
9	8-1	ETSU	ETSU×5	Ace	ETSU	aced Ryan Oden	+0.4
10	9-1	ETSU	ETSU×5	Ace	ETSU	aced Elena Vukmanov	+0.3
11	9-2	ETSU	CHAT	Serve err	ETSU		+0.2
12	10-2	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.2
13	10-3	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.2
14	11-3	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.2
15	12-3	ETSU	ETSU×3	Attack err	Jordin Glass		+0.2
16	13-3	ETSU	ETSU×3	Ace	ETSU	aced Caroline Peterson	+0.1
17	13-4	ETSU	CHAT	Serve err	ETSU		+0.1
18	13-5	CHAT	CHAT	Ace	Chattanooga	aced Melanie Morris	+0.1
19	14-5	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+0.1
20	14-6	ETSU	CHAT	Attack err	Karis Chatfield		+0.1
21	15-6	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.1
22	15-7	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
23	15-8	CHAT	CHAT	Blocked	Elizabeth Aylward	blk Kynli Kirkendoll, Addison Walker	+0.2
24	16-8	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.2
25	16-9	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
26	17-9	CHAT	ETSU	Bad set	Elena Vukmanov		+0.2
27	17-10	ETSU	CHAT×3	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
28	17-11	CHAT	CHAT×3	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Bailey Burgess	+0.2
29	17-12	CHAT	CHAT×3	Kill	Elena Vukmanov		+0.3
30	18-12	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.3
31	19-12	ETSU	ETSU×3	Blocked	Elena Vukmanov	blk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis	+0.3
32	20-12	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.2
33	20-13	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Mallory Merz	+0.1
34	20-14	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass		+0.1
35	21-14	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.2
36	21-15	ETSU	CHAT	Blocked	Karis Chatfield	blk Bailey Burgess, Jordin Glass	+0.1
37	22-15	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.1
38	23-15	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.1
39	23-16	ETSU	CHAT×4	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Mallory Merz	·
40	23-17	CHAT	CHAT×4	Ace	Chattanooga	aced Karis Chatfield	·
41	23-18	CHAT	CHAT×4	Blocked	Karis Chatfield	blk Kynli Kirkendoll, Addison Walker	+0.1
42	23-19	CHAT	CHAT×4	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.2
43	24-19	CHAT	ETSU	Attack err	Addison Walker		+0.3
44	24-20	ETSU	CHAT×3	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
45	24-21	CHAT	CHAT×3	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.2
46	24-22	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Elizabeth Aylward		+0.6
47	25-22	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.0

Score shown after each rally, ETSU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

ETSU def. Chattanooga 3–0

16 kills in 3 sets for Makayla Bays. ETSU swept Chattanooga.