ETSU vs Chattanooga Volleyball: ETSU Wins 3-0 (Oct 10, 2026)

FinalSat, Oct 10, 2026

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: ETSU 76.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 3:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

ETSU won at Chattanooga 3-0 (25-18, 25-18, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. ETSU's Elizabeth Aylward led with 15 kills, and Melanie Morris added 10 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 10

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ETSU	25	25	25	3
CHAT	18	18	21	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Elizabeth Aylward. ETSU swept Chattanooga.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.8 points. Chattanooga peaked at 23% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. Pre-match, RallyIQ had ETSU at 76%.

ETSUChattanooga

Break %+16.1 pts
46.630.5
On serve: 34/73 against 18/59 (Chattanooga sideout 53.4%).
Hitting+.097
.396.299
Kills and errors: 53–11 vs 40–11.
Longest run+1
65
ETSU opened the set in the first set with 6 straight points for a 6–0 lead. That set ended 25–18.

Chattanooga above 50ETSU belowMax swing 1.8%

ETSUChattanooga

Aces: ETSU 6·Chattanooga 2
Serve err: ETSU 4·Chattanooga 5
Blocks: ETSU 2·Chattanooga 31 BS · 2 BA vs 2 BS · 2 BA
Digs: ETSU 39·Chattanooga 35

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Chattanooga above 50 · ETSU below

Biggest swing: 1.8% to Chattanooga — set 2, ETSU 6-7 CHAT. Kill by Elena Vukmanov (set by Ashley Reynolds). CHAT win probability 13% → 15%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ETSU 76.9%23.1% CHAT

ETSU wins

3-0

28.7%

3-1

29.3%

3-2

19.0%

Chattanooga wins

3-0

4.0%

3-1

7.8%

3-2

11.3%

ETSU break %: 46.5% vs this opp
CHAT break %: 40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Elena VukmanovKill+1.8%
Kill by Elena Vukmanov (set by Ashley Reynolds)
Set 2 · ETSU 6-7 CHAT · CHAT 13% → 15%
02
Elizabeth AylwardKill+1.8%
Kill by Elizabeth Aylward
Set 2 · ETSU 9-8 CHAT · ETSU 86% → 88%
03
Sophia GarridoKill+1.7%
Kill by Sophia Garrido (set by Ashley Reynolds)
Set 2 · ETSU 4-5 CHAT · CHAT 13% → 15%
04
Gianna BlairKill+1.7%
Kill by Gianna Blair (set by Bailey Gohlke)
Set 2 · ETSU 11-9 CHAT · ETSU 88% → 90%
05
Elizabeth AylwardKill+1.7%
Kill by Elizabeth Aylward (set by Emily Geaquinto)
Set 1 · ETSU 2-0 CHAT · ETSU 77% → 79%
06
Sophia GarridoKill+1.6%
Kill by Sophia Garrido (set by Caiti Barthel)
Set 2 · ETSU 2-3 CHAT · CHAT 13% → 15%
07
Elena VukmanovAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Elena Vukmanov
Set 2 · ETSU 6-5 CHAT · ETSU 86% → 88%
08
Elizabeth AylwardKill+1.5%
Kill by Elizabeth Aylward (set by Makayla Bays)
Set 1 · ETSU 3-0 CHAT · ETSU 79% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

ETSUaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
20Elizabeth AylwardOH	3	15	5	30	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	15.5
15Karis ChatfieldOH	3	10	2	20	.400	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	0	11
14Makayla BaysOH	3	8	2	22	.273	2	2	0	8	1	0	0	0	10
1Gianna BlairMB	3	8	0	13	.615	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
7Phoenix FogelMB	3	5	2	9	.333	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	1	6
12Alex KreutzmannS	3	0	0	1	.000	21	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
2Sophia DavisOH	3	7	0	11	.636	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	7
4Ryan JomoL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	3
17Bailey GohlkeS	3	0	0	0	–	19	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
6Chloe SmithOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Darby FeltsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18Emma MacferranMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Kennedy BoatmanS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Malia BrinkmanOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11Melanie MorrisDS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	10	1	0	0	0	0
8Raegan WallerMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Zeynep ÖzerL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		53	11	106	.396	48	6	4	39	2	1	2	2	75

Chattanoogahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Gracie RoseOH	3	11	2	32	.281	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	11.5
39Elena VukmanovOH	3	10	3	22	.318	0	0	1	6	2	0	0	0	10
11Kynli KirkendollMB	3	4	0	8	.500	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	5
0Bailey BurgessMB	3	3	0	6	.500	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	3
5Jordin GlassMB	3	1	2	5	-.200	0	0	2	2	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
10Emily GeaquintoS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
12Sophia GarridoOH	3	6	1	12	.417	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
16Ashley ReynoldsS	3	2	0	5	.400	28	1	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
6Delaney WingenbachOH	3	3	2	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
9Caiti BarthelL/DS	3	0	1	2	-.500	1	1	1	11	1	0	0	0	1
1Addison WalkerOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17Caroline PetersonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	0
15Destiny WigginsOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Finley HilliardL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
4Mallory MerzS	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2Ryan OdenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	11	97	.299	35	2	5	35	6	2	2	3	57

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

ETSU vs Chattanooga

Season series · ETSU leads 2-0

Fri, Oct 9, 2026ETSU at Chattanooga · ETSU won 3-0Result →
Sat, Oct 10, 2026ETSU at Chattanooga · ETSU won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ETSU · CHAT 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 6 ETSUCHAT 3

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 4 ETSUCHAT 2

Set 3

25-21

Longest run 4 ETSUCHAT 5

Bars above the line = Chattanooga leads, below = ETSU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

ETSU

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	22%2/9
2	62%8/13	50%8/16
3	60%6/10	50%6/12
4	75%6/8	45%5/11
5	67%6/9	25%2/8
6	100%6/6	65%11/17
All	69%41/59	47%34/73

Chattanooga

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	33%4/12
2	50%6/12	31%4/13
3	55%6/11	40%4/10
4	60%6/10	14%1/7
5	46%6/13	40%4/10
6	60%6/10	14%1/7
All	53%39/73	31%18/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

132 rallies

#	ETSU-CHAT	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CHAT	ETSU×6	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.4
2	2-0	ETSU	ETSU×6	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Emily Geaquinto	+1.7
3	3-0	ETSU	ETSU×6	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Makayla Bays	+1.5
4	4-0	ETSU	ETSU×6	Ace	ETSU	aced Elena Vukmanov	+1.4
5	5-0	ETSU	ETSU×6	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward		+1.2
6	6-0	ETSU	ETSU×6	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.0
7	6-1	ETSU	CHAT	Serve err	ETSU		+0.7
8	7-1	CHAT	ETSU×4	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.7
9	8-1	ETSU	ETSU×4	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward		+0.8
10	9-1	ETSU	ETSU×4	Attack err	Jordin Glass		+0.6
11	10-1	ETSU	ETSU×4	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.4
12	10-2	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov		+0.3
13	11-2	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.3
14	11-3	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll		+0.2
15	12-3	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.3
16	12-4	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov		+0.2
17	12-5	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.4
18	13-5	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.4
19	14-5	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Ryan Jomo	+0.4
20	15-5	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Phoenix Fogel	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.2
21	15-6	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
22	16-6	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+0.2
23	16-7	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
24	17-7	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.1
25	17-8	ETSU	CHAT	Attack err	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.1
26	18-8	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.1
27	18-9	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Bailey Burgess	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
28	18-10	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Bailey Burgess	set Gianna Blair	+0.2
29	19-10	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.2
30	20-10	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Elena Vukmanov		+0.1
31	20-11	ETSU	CHAT	Serve err	ETSU		·
32	21-11	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.1
33	21-12	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Mallory Merz	·
34	21-13	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Sophia Garrido	set Mallory Merz	+0.1
35	22-13	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+0.1
36	22-14	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Sophia Garrido	set Mallory Merz	·
37	23-14	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.1
38	23-15	ETSU	CHAT×3	Blocked	Karis Chatfield	blk Jordin Glass	·
39	23-16	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Karis Chatfield		·
40	23-17	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Elizabeth Aylward		+0.1
41	24-17	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Phoenix Fogel	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.1
42	24-18	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	·
43	25-18	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Phoenix Fogel	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.2
2	1-1	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.1
3	2-1	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Jordin Glass		+1.4
4	2-2	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.2
5	2-3	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Sophia Garrido	set Caiti Barthel	+1.6
6	3-3	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Melanie Morris	+1.2
7	4-3	ETSU	ETSU	Ace	ETSU	aced Finley Hilliard	+1.5
8	4-4	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.2
9	4-5	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Sophia Garrido	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.7
10	5-5	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.3
11	6-5	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Elena Vukmanov		+1.6
12	6-6	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Jordin Glass	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.3
13	6-7	CHAT	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.8
14	7-7	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+1.3
15	7-8	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.5
16	8-8	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.4
17	9-8	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward		+1.8
18	9-9	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Mallory Merz	+1.4
19	10-9	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.4
20	11-9	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.7
21	12-9	ETSU	ETSU×3	Attack err	Caiti Barthel		+1.5
22	12-10	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Kynli Kirkendoll	set Mallory Merz	+1.1
23	13-10	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.2
24	14-10	ETSU	ETSU	Ace	ETSU		+1.3
25	14-11	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Bailey Burgess	set Mallory Merz	+0.9
26	15-11	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.0
27	16-11	ETSU	ETSU	Ace	ETSU	aced Elena Vukmanov	+1.1
28	16-12	ETSU	CHAT	Serve err	ETSU		+0.7
29	17-12	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.8
30	18-12	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Elena Vukmanov		+0.7
31	18-13	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Sophia Garrido		+0.4
32	18-14	CHAT	CHAT	Attack err	Phoenix Fogel		+0.8
33	19-14	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+0.8
34	19-15	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Delaney Wingenbach		+0.6
35	19-16	CHAT	CHAT	Blocked	Phoenix Fogel	blk Kynli Kirkendoll	+1.1
36	20-16	CHAT	ETSU×4	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.1
37	21-16	ETSU	ETSU×4	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+1.0
38	22-16	ETSU	ETSU×4	Attack err	Delaney Wingenbach		+0.5
39	23-16	ETSU	ETSU×4	Blocked	Delaney Wingenbach	blk Elizabeth Aylward, Gianna Blair	+0.2
40	23-17	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Delaney Wingenbach	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
41	24-17	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.1
42	24-18	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Delaney Wingenbach	set Ashley Reynolds	·
43	25-18	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	·
Set 3
1	1-0	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.6
2	1-1	ETSU	CHAT	Attack err	Makayla Bays	set Melanie Morris	+0.6
3	2-1	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Phoenix Fogel	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.6
4	2-2	ETSU	CHAT×3	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.6
5	2-3	CHAT	CHAT×3	Kill	Sophia Garrido	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.9
6	2-4	CHAT	CHAT×3	Ace	Chattanooga	aced Makayla Bays	+0.9
7	3-4	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.7
8	4-4	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.9
9	4-5	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
10	5-5	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.7
11	5-6	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.8
12	6-6	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.7
13	7-6	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Ryan Jomo	+0.9
14	8-6	ETSU	ETSU×3	Blocked	Sophia Garrido	blk Phoenix Fogel	+0.8
15	8-7	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
16	9-7	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.7
17	9-8	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
18	10-8	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.7
19	11-8	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Gracie Rose		+0.8
20	11-9	ETSU	CHAT×5	Attack err	Makayla Bays	set Elizabeth Aylward	+0.6
21	11-10	CHAT	CHAT×5	Blocked	Elizabeth Aylward	blk Jordin Glass, Gracie Rose	+0.9
22	11-11	CHAT	CHAT×5	Attack err	Elizabeth Aylward		+1.1
23	11-12	CHAT	CHAT×5	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.2
24	11-13	CHAT	CHAT×5	Ace	Chattanooga	aced Melanie Morris	+1.3
25	12-13	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Phoenix Fogel	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.9
26	13-13	ETSU	ETSU	Attack err	Gracie Rose		+1.2
27	13-14	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Bailey Burgess		+1.0
28	14-14	CHAT	ETSU	Serve err	Chattanooga		+0.9
29	15-14	ETSU	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays		+1.2
30	15-15	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Gracie Rose	set Ashley Reynolds	+1.0
31	16-15	CHAT	ETSU×3	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Bailey Gohlke	+1.0
32	17-15	ETSU	ETSU×3	Kill	Gianna Blair		+1.2
33	18-15	ETSU	ETSU×3	Ace	ETSU	aced Caiti Barthel	+1.0
34	18-16	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.7
35	19-16	CHAT	ETSU×4	Kill	Gianna Blair	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.8
36	20-16	ETSU	ETSU×4	Kill	Sophia Davis	set Ryan Jomo	+0.8
37	21-16	ETSU	ETSU×4	Ace	ETSU	aced Kynli Kirkendoll	+0.5
38	22-16	ETSU	ETSU×4	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Ryan Jomo	+0.3
39	22-17	ETSU	CHAT	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
40	23-17	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Karis Chatfield	set Bailey Gohlke	+0.2
41	23-18	ETSU	CHAT×3	Kill	Elena Vukmanov	set Ashley Reynolds	+0.1
42	23-19	CHAT	CHAT×3	Attack err	Elizabeth Aylward		+0.2
43	23-20	CHAT	CHAT×3	Kill	Gracie Rose		+0.4
44	24-20	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Elizabeth Aylward	set Makayla Bays	+0.5
45	24-21	ETSU	CHAT	Serve err	ETSU		+0.2
46	25-21	CHAT	ETSU	Kill	Makayla Bays	set Alex Kreutzmann	+0.4

Score shown after each rally, ETSU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

ETSU def. Chattanooga 3–0

15 kills in 3 sets for Elizabeth Aylward. ETSU swept Chattanooga.