FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayPATRIOT

0:3

HomeSUN-BELT

James Madison def. Loyola Maryland 3–0

(25-14, 25-20, 25-23)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LOY MD	14	20	23	0
JMU	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

JMU above 50 · LOY MD below

Biggest swing: 0.3% to Loyola Maryland — set 1, LOY MD 6-3 JMU. Kill by Elsie Afful. JMU win probability 99% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LOY MD 0.9%99.1% JMU

Loyola Maryland wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.6%

James Madison wins

3-0

74.6%

3-1

20.8%

3-2

3.6%

LOY MD break %: 36.0% vs this opp
JMU break %: 54.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Elsie AffulKill+0.3%
Kill by Elsie Afful
Set 1 · LOY MD 6-3 JMU · LOY MD 1% → 2%
02
Kennedy LouisellAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Kennedy Louisell
Set 1 · LOY MD 5-3 JMU · LOY MD 1% → 1%
03
Kennedy LouisellAttack error+0.2%
Attack error by Kennedy Louisell
Set 1 · LOY MD 10-10 JMU · LOY MD 1% → 1%
04
Ayen NhialKill+0.2%
Kill by Ayen Nhial (set by Gabi Verdicchio)
Set 1 · LOY MD 6-5 JMU · JMU 98% → 99%
05
Addie LoweKill+0.2%
Kill by Addie Lowe (set by Gabi Verdicchio)
Set 1 · LOY MD 7-6 JMU · LOY MD 1% → 1%
06
Morgan CrawfordAttack error+0.2%
Morgan Crawford stuffed by Ella Grace Holloway
Set 1 · LOY MD 6-6 JMU · JMU 99% → 99%
07
Addie NormanKill+0.2%
Kill by Addie Norman (set by Lindsey Large)
Set 1 · LOY MD 6-4 JMU · JMU 98% → 98%
08
Ayen NhialAttack error+0.2%
Attack error by Ayen Nhial
Set 1 · LOY MD 4-3 JMU · LOY MD 1% → 1%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Loyola Marylandaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Addie LoweOH	3	7	5	19	.105	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	8
23Morgan CrawfordOH	3	6	5	21	.048	0	1	0	5	2	0	0	7
13Mariah SanabiaMB	3	5	1	12	.333	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	6
10Ava NepkinOH	3	5	4	20	.050	1	0	2	2	3	1	0.5	5.5
12Elsie AffulMB	3	3	3	8	.000	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
9Gabi VerdicchioS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
7Sydnee PetersOPP	3	3	4	9	-.111	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	3
6Addie HuberL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	1	8	1	0	0	0
2Madison MonahanS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
3Elise BocanegraL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	2	0	0	0	2
Team totals		29	22	89	.079	25	3	8	28	8	6	3	57

James Madisonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Kennedy LouisellOH	3	12	4	22	.364	1	1	6	5	2	0	1	0.5	13.5
6Addie NormanOH	3	9	2	19	.368	1	0	0	0	0	1	3	2.5	11.5
9Ayen NhialMB	3	4	4	9	.000	0	0	2	0	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
8Anna WilsonMB	3	2	0	8	.250	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	5
16Shelby DavisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	7	0	0	0	0	2
5Lindsey LargeS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	1	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
4Ella Grace HollowayOH	3	4	3	10	.100	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
13Ana ToumazatosOH	3	3	1	10	.200	0	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	4
17Sydney LewisL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	3	1	12	1	0	0	0	3
2Grace WenrichS	3	1	0	1	1.000	11	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		35	14	81	.259	32	8	11	31	3	4	14	11	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 LOY MD · JMU 9

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 5 LOY MDJMU 9

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 5 LOY MDJMU 4

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 LOY MDJMU 3

Bars above the line = James Madison leads, below = Loyola Maryland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Loyola Maryland

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	30%6/20	33%3/9
2	55%6/11	25%2/8
3	55%6/11	45%5/11
4	60%6/10	0%0/6
5	60%6/10	63%10/16
6	42%5/12	25%2/8
All	47%35/74	38%22/58

James Madison

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	65%11/17
2	60%6/10	54%7/13
3	86%6/7	50%6/12
4	67%6/9	40%4/10
5	40%6/15	25%2/8
6	63%5/8	64%9/14
All	62%36/58	53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

132 rallies

Rally log

#	LOY MD-JMU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Addie Lowe		+0.1
2	0-2	JMU	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
3	1-2	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
4	1-3	LOY MD	JMU	Attack err	Addie Lowe		+0.1
5	2-3	JMU	LOY MD×5	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
6	3-3	LOY MD	LOY MD×5	Attack err	Ayen Nhial		+0.2
7	4-3	LOY MD	LOY MD×5	Attack err	Ayen Nhial		+0.2
8	5-3	LOY MD	LOY MD×5	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+0.3
9	6-3	LOY MD	LOY MD×5	Kill	Elsie Afful		+0.3
10	6-4	LOY MD	JMU×3	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.2
11	6-5	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.2
12	6-6	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Morgan Crawford	blk Ella Grace Holloway	+0.2
13	7-6	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.2
14	7-7	LOY MD	JMU×3	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Sydney Lewis	+0.2
15	7-8	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Sydnee Peters		+0.2
16	7-9	JMU	JMU×3	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+0.2
17	8-9	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.1
18	8-10	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
19	9-10	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.1
20	10-10	LOY MD	LOY MD	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+0.2
21	10-11	LOY MD	JMU×6	Attack err	Sydnee Peters		+0.2
22	10-12	JMU	JMU×6	Attack err	Sydnee Peters	blk Anna Wilson, Ana Toumazatos	+0.2
23	10-13	JMU	JMU×6	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
24	10-14	JMU	JMU×6	Attack err	Ava Nepkin		+0.1
25	10-15	JMU	JMU×6	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
26	10-16	JMU	JMU×6	Attack err	Ava Nepkin		+0.0
27	11-16	JMU	LOY MD×4	Kill	Mariah Sanabia	set Madison Monahan	+0.0
28	12-16	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
29	13-16	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Attack err	Addie Norman	blk Mariah Sanabia, Addie Lowe	+0.1
30	14-16	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Lindsey Large	+0.2
31	14-17	LOY MD	JMU×9	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
32	14-18	JMU	JMU×9	Attack err	Addie Lowe	blk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman	+0.1
33	14-19	JMU	JMU×9	Attack err	Ava Nepkin	blk Anna Wilson, Kennedy Louisell	+0.1
34	14-20	JMU	JMU×9	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
35	14-21	JMU	JMU×9	Attack err	Morgan Crawford		+0.0
36	14-22	JMU	JMU×9	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
37	14-23	JMU	JMU×9	Ace	JMU server	aced Morgan Crawford	+0.0
38	14-24	JMU	JMU×9	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
39	14-25	JMU	JMU×9	Kill	Addie Norman		+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Addie Norman	+0.1
2	1-1	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.1
3	1-2	LOY MD	JMU×3	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.1
4	1-3	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
5	1-4	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Mariah Sanabia	blk Ayen Nhial	+0.1
6	2-4	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.0
7	3-4	LOY MD	LOY MD	Kill	Elsie Afful		+0.1
8	3-5	LOY MD	JMU	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.1
9	3-6	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Morgan Crawford	blk Ayen Nhial, Ella Grace Holloway	+0.1
10	4-6	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.1
11	4-7	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
12	4-8	JMU	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
13	5-8	JMU	LOY MD×4	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Madison Monahan	+0.0
14	6-8	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway		+0.1
15	7-8	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway		+0.1
16	8-8	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Ace	LOY MD server	aced Kennedy Louisell	+0.1
17	8-9	LOY MD	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
18	8-10	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
19	8-11	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
20	8-12	JMU	JMU×4	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+0.1
21	9-12	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.0
22	9-13	LOY MD	JMU	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.0
23	9-14	JMU	JMU	Ace	JMU server	aced Morgan Crawford	+0.0
24	10-14	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.0
25	10-15	LOY MD	JMU×4	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.0
26	10-16	JMU	JMU×4	Ace	JMU server	aced Ava Nepkin	+0.0
27	10-17	JMU	JMU×4	Ace	JMU server	aced Addie Huber	+0.0
28	10-18	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Addie Lowe	blk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial	+0.0
29	11-18	JMU	LOY MD	Attack err	Ayen Nhial		+0.0
30	11-19	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
31	12-19	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Mariah Sanabia	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.0
32	12-20	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
33	13-20	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.0
34	13-21	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
35	14-21	JMU	LOY MD×5	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Madison Monahan	+0.0
36	15-21	LOY MD	LOY MD×5	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+0.0
37	16-21	LOY MD	LOY MD×5	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway	blk Elsie Afful, Ava Nepkin	+0.0
38	17-21	LOY MD	LOY MD×5	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Madison Monahan	+0.0
39	18-21	LOY MD	LOY MD×5	Kill	Sydnee Peters	set Addie Huber	+0.1
40	18-22	LOY MD	JMU	Bad set	Addie Huber		+0.1
41	19-22	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Madison Monahan	+0.1
42	19-23	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
43	20-23	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Madison Monahan	+0.0
44	20-24	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
45	20-25	JMU	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	JMU	LOY MD	Attack err	Addie Norman	blk Mariah Sanabia, Addie Lowe	+0.0
2	2-0	LOY MD	LOY MD	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Addie Huber	+0.1
3	2-1	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
4	2-2	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Addie Lowe		+0.0
5	3-2	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.0
6	3-3	LOY MD	JMU	Attack err	Morgan Crawford	blk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial	+0.0
7	3-4	JMU	JMU	Ace	JMU server	aced Ava Nepkin	+0.0
8	4-4	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Addie Huber	+0.0
9	4-5	LOY MD	JMU	Bad set	Addie Huber		+0.0
10	5-5	JMU	LOY MD×3	Serve err	JMU server		+0.0
11	6-5	LOY MD	LOY MD×3	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Elise Bocanegra	+0.1
12	7-5	LOY MD	LOY MD×3	Ace	LOY MD server	aced Sydney Lewis	+0.1
13	7-6	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Grace Wenrich	set Kennedy Louisell	+0.0
14	7-7	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Elsie Afful	blk Anna Wilson	+0.1
15	8-7	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.1
16	8-8	LOY MD	JMU	Attack err	Sydnee Peters	blk Ana Toumazatos, Anna Wilson	+0.0
17	8-9	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Ava Nepkin		+0.0
18	9-9	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Sydnee Peters	set Madison Monahan	+0.0
19	9-10	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Sydney Lewis	+0.0
20	10-10	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
21	10-11	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
22	11-11	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Mariah Sanabia	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
23	11-12	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+0.0
24	11-13	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Elsie Afful		+0.0
25	12-13	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.0
26	12-14	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
27	13-14	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.0
28	14-14	LOY MD	LOY MD	Ace	LOY MD server	aced Kennedy Louisell	+0.1
29	14-15	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
30	15-15	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Elsie Afful	set Madison Monahan	+0.1
31	16-15	LOY MD	LOY MD	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos		+0.1
32	16-16	LOY MD	JMU	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.1
33	17-16	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Mariah Sanabia	set Madison Monahan	+0.1
34	17-17	LOY MD	JMU	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.1
35	18-17	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Ava Nepkin	+0.1
36	19-17	LOY MD	LOY MD	Kill	Mariah Sanabia	set Sydney Lewis	+0.2
37	19-18	LOY MD	JMU×3	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.1
38	19-19	JMU	JMU×3	Ace	JMU server	aced Ava Nepkin	+0.1
39	19-20	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Morgan Crawford	blk Addie Norman	+0.1
40	20-20	JMU	LOY MD	Attack err	Ayen Nhial		+0.1
41	20-21	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
42	21-21	JMU	LOY MD	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+0.1
43	21-22	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
44	21-23	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Elsie Afful		+0.1
45	22-23	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.1
46	22-24	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
47	23-24	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Sydnee Peters	set Madison Monahan	+0.1
48	23-25	LOY MD	JMU	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Loyola Maryland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.