FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayPATRIOT

0:3

HomeSUN-BELT

James Madison def. Loyola Maryland 3–0

(25-19, 25-17, 25-15)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LOY MD	19	17	15	0
JMU	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

JMU above 50 · LOY MD below

Biggest swing: 0.4% to Loyola Maryland — set 1, LOY MD 7-3 JMU. Kill by Morgan Crawford (set by Addie Huber). JMU win probability 98% → 98%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LOY MD 0.9%99.1% JMU

Loyola Maryland wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.2%

3-2

0.6%

James Madison wins

3-0

74.6%

3-1

20.8%

3-2

3.6%

LOY MD break %: 36.0% vs this opp
JMU break %: 54.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Morgan CrawfordKill+0.4%
Kill by Morgan Crawford (set by Addie Huber)
Set 1 · LOY MD 7-3 JMU · LOY MD 2% → 2%
02
JMU serverService error+0.3%
James Madison service error
Set 1 · LOY MD 9-5 JMU · LOY MD 2% → 2%
03
Morgan CrawfordKill+0.3%
Kill by Morgan Crawford (set by Gabi Verdicchio)
Set 1 · LOY MD 8-4 JMU · LOY MD 2% → 2%
04
LOY MD serverAce+0.3%
Loyola Maryland ace on Shelby Davis
Set 1 · LOY MD 4-0 JMU · LOY MD 2% → 2%
05
Ana ToumazatosKill+0.3%
Kill by Ana Toumazatos (set by Sydney Lewis)
Set 1 · LOY MD 9-7 JMU · JMU 98% → 98%
06
Sydnee PetersAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Sydnee Peters
Set 1 · LOY MD 9-8 JMU · JMU 98% → 98%
07
Ava NepkinKill+0.3%
Kill by Ava Nepkin (set by Gabi Verdicchio)
Set 1 · LOY MD 5-1 JMU · LOY MD 2% → 2%
08
Mariah SanabiaKill+0.3%
Kill by Mariah Sanabia (set by Madison Monahan)
Set 1 · LOY MD 11-10 JMU · LOY MD 1% → 2%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Loyola Marylandaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Addie LoweOH	3	9	3	18	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	9
10Ava NepkinOH	3	6	9	27	-.111	0	1	2	3	2	1	0.5	7.5
23Morgan CrawfordOH	3	6	3	23	.130	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	6
13Mariah SanabiaMB	3	3	3	10	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
12Elsie AffulMB	3	2	3	8	-.125	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	2
9Gabi VerdicchioS	3	0	0	0	–	15	1	0	7	0	0	0	1
3Elise BocanegraL/DS	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	1	2	1	0	0	0	2
6Addie HuberL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	2	0	9	1	0	0	2
2Madison MonahanS	3	1	0	4	.250	5	0	1	3	0	0	0	1
7Sydnee PetersOPP	3	0	2	6	-.333	0	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	0.5
1Regan HaverstockS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		28	23	97	.052	25	5	5	27	9	4	2	51

James Madisonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Kennedy LouisellOH	3	17	3	29	.483	1	3	2	11	0	1	0	1	21
8Anna WilsonMB	3	6	1	9	.556	1	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
9Ayen NhialMB	3	2	0	4	.500	0	2	2	2	0	2	1	2.5	6.5
6Addie NormanOH	3	3	4	12	-.083	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	6
16Shelby DavisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	7	4	0	0	0	2
5Lindsey LargeS	3	0	0	0	–	16	1	1	4	0	0	0	0	1
4Ella Grace HollowayOH	3	7	0	14	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
13Ana ToumazatosOH	3	2	4	13	-.154	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
2Grace WenrichS	3	1	0	1	1.000	12	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
17Sydney LewisL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	10	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		38	12	82	.317	35	9	6	41	5	4	12	10	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 LOY MD · JMU 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 LOY MDJMU 5

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 4 LOY MDJMU 4

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 3 LOY MDJMU 7

Bars above the line = James Madison leads, below = Loyola Maryland leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Loyola Maryland

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	40%4/10
2	55%6/11	46%6/13
3	43%6/14	25%2/8
4	86%6/7	0%0/6
5	33%5/15	14%1/7
6	44%4/9	44%4/9
All	47%34/73	32%17/53

James Madison

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%7/14	58%7/12
2	67%6/9	57%8/14
3	75%6/8	45%5/11
4	100%6/6	50%6/12
5	75%6/8	33%3/9
6	63%5/8	67%10/15
All	68%36/53	53%39/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	LOY MD-JMU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Attack err	Addie Norman		+0.2
2	2-0	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Kill	Mariah Sanabia	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.2
3	3-0	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Attack err	Addie Norman		+0.3
4	4-0	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Ace	LOY MD server	aced Shelby Davis	+0.3
5	4-1	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.2
6	5-1	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.3
7	5-2	LOY MD	JMU	Attack err	Morgan Crawford		+0.2
8	5-3	JMU	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Shelby Davis	+0.2
9	6-3	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Mariah Sanabia	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.3
10	7-3	LOY MD	LOY MD	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Addie Huber	+0.4
11	7-4	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.2
12	8-4	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.3
13	8-5	LOY MD	JMU	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.2
14	9-5	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.3
15	9-6	LOY MD	JMU×4	Attack err	Ava Nepkin	blk Anna Wilson, Ella Grace Holloway	+0.3
16	9-7	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Sydney Lewis	+0.3
17	9-8	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Sydnee Peters		+0.3
18	9-9	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Ava Nepkin		+0.2
19	10-9	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Madison Monahan	+0.3
20	10-10	LOY MD	JMU	Attack err	Ava Nepkin	blk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson	+0.2
21	11-10	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Mariah Sanabia	set Madison Monahan	+0.3
22	11-11	LOY MD	JMU×5	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+0.2
23	11-12	JMU	JMU×5	Attack err	Ava Nepkin	blk Kennedy Louisell	+0.2
24	11-13	JMU	JMU×5	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.2
25	11-14	JMU	JMU×5	Attack err	Addie Lowe	blk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial	+0.2
26	11-15	JMU	JMU×5	Attack err	Mariah Sanabia	blk Ayen Nhial	+0.1
27	12-15	JMU	LOY MD	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell	blk Ava Nepkin, Mariah Sanabia	+0.1
28	13-15	LOY MD	LOY MD	Ace	LOY MD server	aced Shelby Davis	+0.2
29	13-16	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
30	14-16	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
31	14-17	LOY MD	JMU	Attack err	Morgan Crawford		+0.1
32	15-17	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.2
33	15-18	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.2
34	16-18	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Madison Monahan	+0.2
35	16-19	LOY MD	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.2
36	16-20	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Elsie Afful		+0.1
37	16-21	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Ava Nepkin	blk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson	+0.1
38	16-22	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Anna Wilson		+0.0
39	17-22	JMU	LOY MD×3	Attack err	Anna Wilson		+0.0
40	18-22	LOY MD	LOY MD×3	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+0.0
41	19-22	LOY MD	LOY MD×3	Attack err	Addie Norman		+0.1
42	19-23	LOY MD	JMU×3	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
43	19-24	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Anna Wilson	+0.1
44	19-25	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Ava Nepkin	blk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	JMU	JMU	Ace	JMU server	aced Morgan Crawford	+0.1
2	1-1	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
3	1-2	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
4	2-2	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
5	2-3	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
6	3-3	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
7	3-4	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
8	4-4	JMU	LOY MD	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos		+0.1
9	4-5	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
10	5-5	JMU	LOY MD	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos		+0.1
11	5-6	LOY MD	JMU×3	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
12	5-7	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
13	5-8	JMU	JMU×3	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+0.1
14	6-8	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Madison Monahan	+0.1
15	6-9	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
16	7-9	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Elsie Afful	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
17	7-10	LOY MD	JMU×3	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+0.1
18	7-11	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Addie Lowe		+0.1
19	7-12	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+0.0
20	8-12	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.0
21	8-13	LOY MD	JMU×3	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
22	8-14	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Mariah Sanabia		+0.0
23	8-15	JMU	JMU×3	Ace	JMU server	aced Ava Nepkin	+0.0
24	9-15	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Elise Bocanegra		+0.0
25	9-16	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Grace Wenrich	set Kennedy Louisell	+0.0
26	10-16	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Madison Monahan	+0.0
27	10-17	LOY MD	JMU×3	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.0
28	10-18	JMU	JMU×3	Ace	JMU server	aced Morgan Crawford	+0.0
29	10-19	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
30	11-19	JMU	LOY MD	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos		+0.0
31	12-19	LOY MD	LOY MD	Ace	LOY MD server	aced Ana Toumazatos	+0.0
32	12-20	LOY MD	JMU	Attack err	Sydnee Peters	blk Anna Wilson, Ana Toumazatos	+0.0
33	13-20	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Morgan Crawford	set Addie Huber	+0.0
34	13-21	LOY MD	JMU×4	Attack err	Elsie Afful		+0.0
35	13-22	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Ava Nepkin		+0.0
36	13-23	JMU	JMU×4	Ace	JMU server	aced Addie Huber	+0.0
37	13-24	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
38	14-24	JMU	LOY MD×4	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.0
39	15-24	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Attack err	Addie Norman		+0.0
40	16-24	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Addie Huber	+0.0
41	17-24	LOY MD	LOY MD×4	Ace	LOY MD server	aced Shelby Davis	+0.0
42	17-25	LOY MD	JMU	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
2	0-2	JMU	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
3	1-2	JMU	LOY MD×3	Serve err	JMU server		+0.0
4	2-2	LOY MD	LOY MD×3	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Addie Huber	+0.0
5	3-2	LOY MD	LOY MD×3	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.1
6	3-3	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
7	4-3	JMU	LOY MD	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+0.0
8	5-3	LOY MD	LOY MD	Ace	LOY MD server	aced Shelby Davis	+0.1
9	5-4	LOY MD	JMU×7	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
10	5-5	JMU	JMU×7	Attack err	Morgan Crawford		+0.1
11	5-6	JMU	JMU×7	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+0.0
12	5-7	JMU	JMU×7	Ace	JMU server	aced Ava Nepkin	+0.0
13	5-8	JMU	JMU×7	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+0.0
14	5-9	JMU	JMU×7	Attack err	Elsie Afful	blk Ayen Nhial	+0.0
15	5-10	JMU	JMU×7	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
16	6-10	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.0
17	6-11	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
18	6-12	JMU	JMU	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+0.0
19	7-12	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Elsie Afful	set Madison Monahan	+0.0
20	7-13	LOY MD	JMU	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.0
21	8-13	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.0
22	9-13	LOY MD	LOY MD	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos	blk Sydnee Peters, Mariah Sanabia	+0.0
23	9-14	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
24	9-15	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Mariah Sanabia		+0.0
25	10-15	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Madison Monahan	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
26	10-16	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
27	10-17	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Addie Lowe		+0.0
28	11-17	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.0
29	11-18	LOY MD	JMU×3	Serve err	LOY MD server		+0.0
30	11-19	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+0.0
31	11-20	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Sydney Lewis	+0.0
32	12-20	JMU	LOY MD	Kill	Addie Lowe	set Gabi Verdicchio	+0.0
33	12-21	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
34	13-21	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.0
35	13-22	LOY MD	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
36	14-22	JMU	LOY MD	Serve err	JMU server		+0.0
37	15-22	LOY MD	LOY MD	Kill	Ava Nepkin	set Addie Huber	+0.0
38	15-23	LOY MD	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
39	15-24	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Ava Nepkin	blk Addie Norman	+0.0
40	15-25	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Ava Nepkin		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Loyola Maryland first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.