Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

UNC Greensboro def. Chattanooga 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: UNC Greensboro 90.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

UNC Greensboro beat visiting Chattanooga 3-1 (22-25, 25-16, 25-14, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. UNC Greensboro's Allie Sweet and Hailey Clifton led with 20 kills each.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set1234Sets
CHAT251614161
UNC G222525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

On its own serve, UNC Greensboro won 49 of 96 points.

Win probability never moved more than 2.8 points on one rally; Chattanooga topped out at 25% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave UNC Greensboro 90% before first serve.

ChattanoogaUNC Greensboro
  • Break %+17.7 pts
    33.351.0

    49 of 96 on serve vs 24 of 72, so Chattanooga's sideout was 49.0%.

  • Hitting+.118
    .175.293

    56 kills, 20 errors vs 39 kills, 19 errors.

UNC Greensboro above 50Chattanooga belowMax swing 2.8%

ChattanoogaUNC Greensboro

Aces
Chattanooga 5·UNC Greensboro 12
Serve err
Chattanooga 7·UNC Greensboro 5
Blocks
Chattanooga 8·UNC Greensboro 72 BS · 12 BA vs 2 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Chattanooga 36·UNC Greensboro 50

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UNC Greensboro above 50 · Chattanooga below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+2.8% CHATrally 168 · set 4

Biggest swing: 2.8% to Chattanooga — set 1, CHAT 24-21 UNC G. Kill by Jordin Glass (set by Mallory Merz). UNC G win probability 79% → 76%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CHAT 10.8%89.2% UNC G

Chattanooga wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.0%

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0
43.1%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.5%
CHAT break %
39.5% vs this opp
UNC G break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jordin GlassKill+2.8%

    Kill by Jordin Glass (set by Mallory Merz)

    Set 1 · CHAT 24-21 UNC G · CHAT 21% → 24%

  2. 02
    Jordin GlassBlock+2.8%

    Allie Sweet stuffed by Jordin Glass

    Set 1 · CHAT 25-22 UNC G · CHAT 23% → 25%

  3. 03
    Allie SweetAttack error+2.5%

    Attack error by Allie Sweet

    Set 1 · CHAT 22-19 UNC G · CHAT 19% → 21%

  4. 04
    Gracie RoseAce+2.5%

    Ace by Gracie Rose

    Set 1 · CHAT 18-15 UNC G · CHAT 16% → 18%

  5. 05
    Jordin GlassKill+2.5%

    Kill by Jordin Glass (set by Mallory Merz)

    Set 1 · CHAT 23-19 UNC G · CHAT 21% → 24%

  6. 06
    Connore' Siler-NixonAttack error+2.4%

    Attack error by Connore' Siler-Nixon

    Set 1 · CHAT 17-15 UNC G · CHAT 13% → 16%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kynli Kirkendoll

    Set 1 · CHAT 19-15 UNC G · CHAT 18% → 20%

  8. 08

    Elena Vukmanov stuffed by Izora Gragg & Connore' Siler-Nixon

    Set 1 · CHAT 21-19 UNC G · UNC G 79% → 81%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410217.4712017114313
49422.22703220010.512.5
46320.150102311228
36723-.04300020010.56.5
2017-.143000000211
2013-.333500600000
4204.5002610400214
4000–2121030001
3000–100010000
2205.400000100002
2108.125000000001
2000–000110000
1315.400000010003
1000–000030000
Team totals3919114.17537573612212871
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420944.25010013000020
46216.25000000132.58.5
4012-.50046711000218
4316.333002301225
4000–101200000
2000–000510000
420332.5311002002121
47423.13005041010.512.5
4000–5011010000
2000–100100000
Team totals5620123.29355125505210797

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Chattanooga vs UNC Greensboro

Season series · UNC Greensboro leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CHAT · UNC G 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 CHATUNC G 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 4 CHATUNC G 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 CHATUNC G 5

Set 4

16-25

Longest run 2 CHATUNC G 5

Bars above the line = UNC Greensboro leads, below = Chattanooga leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Chattanooga

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
40%4/10
2
78%7/9
22%2/9
3
67%6/9
14%1/7
4
50%6/12
25%2/8
5
67%6/9
57%8/14
6
26%5/19
14%1/7
All
51%37/72
33%18/55

UNC Greensboro

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
65%13/20
2
100%6/6
13%1/8
3
67%6/9
40%4/10
4
43%6/14
40%4/10
5
86%6/7
25%2/8
6
83%5/6
69%11/16
All
67%37/55
49%35/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

168 rallies

#CHAT-UNC GSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.9
21-1UNC GCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Kynli Kirkendoll+0.8
31-2CHATUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.7
41-3UNC GUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.9
52-3UNC GCHATAttack errHailey Clifton+0.7
62-4CHATUNC GServe errJordin Glass+0.7
72-5UNC GUNC GBlockedBailey Burgessblk Siena Smiejek, Kendall Lanclos+0.8
83-5UNC GCHATBlockedKendall Lanclosblk Bailey Burgess, Kynli Kirkendoll+0.6
93-6CHATUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+0.6
104-6UNC GCHAT×4KillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+0.6
115-6CHATCHAT×4KillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.0
126-6CHATCHAT×4AceGracie Rose+1.2
137-6CHATCHAT×4AceGracie Roseaced Kendall Lanclos+1.4
147-7CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.0
158-7UNC GCHATBad setAllie Sweet+1.1
168-8CHATUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.0
178-9UNC GUNC GAttack errElena Vukmanov+1.2
189-9UNC GCHATKillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+1.0
199-10CHATUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Mia Nicklas+1.0
209-11UNC GUNC GKillSiena Smiejek+1.2
2110-11UNC GCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Mallory Merz+0.9
2211-11CHATCHATBlockedAllie Sweetblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Bailey Burgess+1.4
2311-12CHATUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.1
2412-12UNC GCHATAttack errAllie Sweet+1.2
2512-13CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.1
2612-14UNC GUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Chloe Nussbaum+1.3
2713-14UNC GCHAT×3BlockedHailey Cliftonblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Gracie Rose+1.0
2814-14CHATCHAT×3AceAshley Reynoldsaced Chloe Nussbaum+1.7
2915-14CHATCHAT×3KillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+2.0
3015-15CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.4
3116-15UNC GCHAT×4KillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.7
3217-15CHATCHAT×4Attack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+2.4
3318-15CHATCHAT×4AceGracie Rose+2.5
3419-15CHATCHAT×4KillKynli Kirkendoll+2.4
3519-16CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.3
3620-16UNC GCHATAttack errKendall Lanclos+1.9
3721-16CHATCHATKillSophia Garridoset Ashley Reynolds+1.9
3821-17CHATUNC G×3Attack errElena Vukmanov+0.8
3921-18UNC GUNC G×3AceKendall Lanclosaced Kynli Kirkendoll+1.6
4021-19UNC GUNC G×3BlockedElena Vukmanovblk Izora Gragg, Connore' Siler-Nixon+2.1
4122-19UNC GCHATAttack errAllie Sweet+2.5
4223-19CHATCHATKillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+2.5
4323-20CHATUNC GBad setMallory Merz+0.9
4423-21UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.9
4524-21UNC GCHATKillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+2.8
4624-22CHATUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.1
4725-22UNC GCHATBlockedAllie Sweetblk Jordin Glass+2.8
Set 2
10-1UNC G
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.5
20-2UNC GUNC G×5Attack errKynli Kirkendoll+1.7
30-3UNC GUNC G×5AceKendall Lanclosaced Caiti Barthel+1.5
40-4UNC GUNC G×5Attack errJordin Glass+1.3
50-5UNC GUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.0
61-5UNC GCHATBad setAllie Sweet+0.8
71-6CHATUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.8
81-7UNC GUNC GKillSiena Smiejekset Izora Gragg+0.8
92-7UNC GCHATKillGracie Roseset Mallory Merz+0.6
103-7CHATCHATKillGracie Roseset Caiti Barthel+1.0
113-8CHATUNC GAttack errKynli Kirkendoll+0.8
124-8UNC GCHATAttack errAllie Sweet+0.8
134-9CHATUNC GBlockedGracie Roseblk Siena Smiejek, Hailey Clifton+0.8
145-9UNC GCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+0.8
155-10CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.9
166-10UNC GCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+0.8
176-11CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.9
186-12UNC GUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.9
197-12UNC GCHATServe errMia Nicklas+0.6
208-12CHATCHATAttack errConnore' Siler-Nixon+1.0
218-13CHATUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.9
228-14UNC GUNC G×3Attack errElena Vukmanov+0.9
238-15UNC GUNC G×3Attack errJordin Glass+0.6
249-15UNC GCHATKillJordin Glassset Mallory Merz+0.4
2510-15CHATCHATAceCaiti Barthelaced Ella Burd+0.7
2610-16CHATUNC GAttack errJordin Glass+0.7
2711-16UNC GCHATAttack errAllie Sweet+0.5
2811-17CHATUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.7
2911-18UNC GUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.5
3011-19UNC GUNC G×5AceIzora Gragg+0.3
3111-20UNC GUNC G×5AceIzora Graggaced Caiti Barthel+0.1
3211-21UNC GUNC G×5Attack errGracie Rose+0.1
3312-21UNC GCHATAttack errAllie Sweet·
3412-22CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg·
3513-22UNC GCHAT×4KillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds·
3614-22CHATCHAT×4KillElena Vukmanovset Finley Hilliard·
3715-22CHATCHAT×4BlockedHailey Cliftonblk Kynli Kirkendoll, Elena Vukmanov+0.1
3816-22CHATCHAT×4Attack errKendall Lanclos+0.1
3916-23CHATUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.2
4016-24UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.1
4116-25UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Hailey Clifton·
Set 3
10-1UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.8
20-2UNC GUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.6
31-2UNC GCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.3
42-2CHATCHATBlockedSiena Smiejekblk Kynli Kirkendoll+1.9
52-3CHATUNC GServe errCaiti Barthel+1.4
63-3UNC GCHATServe errSiena Smiejek+1.6
73-4CHATUNC GServe errKynli Kirkendoll+1.5
83-5UNC GUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.7
94-5UNC GCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.4
104-6CHATUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+1.3
114-7UNC GUNC G×3AceKendall Lanclosaced Caroline Peterson+1.5
124-8UNC GUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+1.3
135-8UNC GCHAT×3KillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+1.0
146-8CHATCHAT×3Attack errAllie Sweet+1.6
157-8CHATCHAT×3KillJordin Glassset Ashley Reynolds+2.0
167-9CHATUNC GServe errGracie Rose+1.5
178-9UNC GCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+1.6
188-10CHATUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+1.6
198-11UNC GUNC G×5AceIzora Graggaced Delaney Wingenbach+1.8
208-12UNC GUNC G×5KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.4
218-13UNC GUNC G×5Attack errDelaney Wingenbach+1.1
228-14UNC GUNC G×5AceIzora Graggaced Caroline Peterson+0.8
239-14UNC GCHATServe errIzora Gragg+0.5
249-15CHATUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.6
259-16UNC GUNC G×3KillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.5
269-17UNC GUNC G×3Bad setAshley Reynolds+0.3
2710-17UNC GCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds+0.2
2810-18CHATUNC GBad setAshley Reynolds+0.2
2911-18UNC GCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+0.1
3011-19CHATUNC GKillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.2
3112-19UNC GCHATKillGracie Roseset Kynli Kirkendoll+0.1
3212-20CHATUNC G×3KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.2
3312-21UNC GUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.1
3412-22UNC GUNC G×3AceKendall Lanclosaced Caroline Peterson·
3513-22UNC GCHATAttack errIzora Gragg·
3613-23CHATUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg·
3714-23UNC GCHATKillDelaney Wingenbachset Ashley Reynolds·
3814-24CHATUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg·
3914-25UNC GUNC GKillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg·
Set 4
11-0CHATCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.6
22-0CHATCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds+1.8
32-1CHATUNC GServe errCaiti Barthel+1.2
43-1UNC GCHATKillAshley Reynoldsset Jordin Glass+1.4
53-2CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.2
63-3UNC GUNC GBlockedGracie Roseblk Hailey Clifton, Connore' Siler-Nixon+1.6
74-3UNC GCHATServe errSiena Smiejek+1.4
85-3CHATCHATKillAshley Reynolds+1.9
95-4CHATUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Chloe Nussbaum+1.3
106-4UNC GCHATKillGracie Roseset Ashley Reynolds+1.6
116-5CHATUNC G×3Serve errGracie Rose+1.4
126-6UNC GUNC G×3BlockedElena Vukmanovblk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Izora Gragg+1.7
136-7UNC GUNC G×3AceKendall Lanclosaced Finley Hilliard+1.6
147-7UNC GCHATBlockedAllie Sweetblk Jordin Glass, Ashley Reynolds+1.3
157-8CHATUNC GServe errJordin Glass+1.2
168-8UNC GCHATServe errChloe Nussbaum+1.4
178-9CHATUNC G×5KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+1.3
188-10UNC GUNC G×5Attack errElena Vukmanov+1.5
198-11UNC GUNC G×5AceIzora Graggaced Jordin Glass+1.3
208-12UNC GUNC G×5KillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+1.1
218-13UNC GUNC G×5AceIzora Graggaced Ryan Oden+0.8
229-13UNC GCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+0.6
239-14CHATUNC GBlockedGracie Roseblk Siena Smiejek+0.6
2410-14UNC GCHATKillDestiny Wigginsset Ashley Reynolds+0.6
2510-15CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.6
2611-15UNC GCHATKillGracie Roseset Caiti Barthel+0.6
2711-16CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg+0.6
2812-16UNC GCHATBlockedKendall Lanclosblk Ashley Reynolds, Jordin Glass+0.5
2912-17CHATUNC GKillKendall Lanclosset Izora Gragg+0.6
3013-17UNC GCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+0.5
3113-18CHATUNC G×4KillConnore' Siler-Nixonset Izora Gragg+0.7
3213-19UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Graylinn Serge+0.6
3313-20UNC GUNC G×4KillAllie Sweetset Izora Gragg+0.3
3413-21UNC GUNC G×4Attack errElena Vukmanov+0.1
3514-21UNC GCHATKillElena Vukmanovset Ashley Reynolds+0.1
3614-22CHATUNC G×3KillAllie Sweetset Chloe Nussbaum+0.1
3714-23UNC GUNC G×3KillHailey Cliftonset Allie Sweet·
3814-24UNC GUNC G×3AceIzora Graggaced Caiti Barthel·
3915-24UNC GCHATKillDestiny Wigginsset Ashley Reynolds·
4016-24CHATCHATKillKynli Kirkendollset Ashley Reynolds·
4116-25CHATUNC GKillHailey Cliftonset Izora Gragg·

Score shown after each rally, Chattanooga first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).