Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwaySOCON

1:3

HomeSUN-BELT

James Madison def. UNC Greensboro 3–1

(22-25, 25-21, 25-8, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
UNC G	25	21	8	18	1
JMU	22	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

JMU above 50 · UNC G below

Biggest swing: 4.9% to UNC Greensboro — set 2, UNC G 18-17 JMU. Attack error by Ana Toumazatos. JMU win probability 72% → 67%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UNC G 8.8%91.2% JMU

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.6%

3-2

5.0%

James Madison wins

3-0

46.6%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.2%

UNC G break %: 38.7% vs this opp
JMU break %: 49.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Ana ToumazatosAttack error+4.9%
Attack error by Ana Toumazatos
Set 2 · UNC G 18-17 JMU · UNC G 28% → 33%
02
Allie SweetAttack error+4.7%
Allie Sweet stuffed by Ayen Nhial
Set 2 · UNC G 20-22 JMU · JMU 75% → 80%
03
Kendall LanclosAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Kendall Lanclos
Set 2 · UNC G 18-19 JMU · JMU 71% → 75%
04
Ana ToumazatosKill+4.2%
Kill by Ana Toumazatos (set by Grace Wenrich)
Set 2 · UNC G 20-21 JMU · JMU 71% → 75%
05
Allie SweetKill+4.1%
Kill by Allie Sweet (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 2 · UNC G 20-20 JMU · UNC G 25% → 29%
06
Kendall LanclosKill+4.0%
Kill by Kendall Lanclos (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 2 · UNC G 17-17 JMU · UNC G 24% → 28%
07
Kendall LanclosKill+3.7%
Kill by Kendall Lanclos (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 2 · UNC G 19-19 JMU · UNC G 25% → 29%
08
Kennedy LouisellKill+3.7%
Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Lindsey Large)
Set 2 · UNC G 19-20 JMU · JMU 71% → 75%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UNC Greensboroaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Allie SweetOH	4	15	7	43	.186	0	4	3	11	2	2	1	20
17Hailey CliftonOH	4	9	0	18	.500	1	0	1	4	0	0	0	9
44Connore' Siler-NixonMB	4	6	0	12	.500	0	0	1	6	0	3	1.5	7.5
3Izora GraggS	4	1	0	2	.500	37	0	1	6	0	2	1	2
5Ella BurdL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0
21Akila HardieMB	3	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
18Kendall LanclosOH	4	12	14	49	-.041	0	2	0	3	1	2	1	15
10Chloe NussbaumL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	11	1	0	0	0
9Mia NicklasDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	3	3	0	0	0	0
11Aylin BaranOH	2	0	2	3	-.667	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
13Siena SmiejekMB	1	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
37Molly Scott CottrellOH	1	0	0	3	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Bloom PrincellS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
14Graylinn SergeL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0
Team totals		46	24	138	.159	43	6	10	51	8	11	5.5	72

James Madisonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
1Kennedy LouisellOH	4	24	2	42	.524	2	4	5	7	0	0	0	0	28
9Ayen NhialMB	4	7	2	19	.263	0	1	3	0	0	2	11	7.5	15.5
4Ella Grace HollowayOH	4	4	2	11	.182	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	3.5	7.5
8Anna WilsonMB	4	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	4
2Grace WenrichS	4	2	0	2	1.000	21	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	2
16Shelby DavisL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	0	0
13Ana ToumazatosOH	4	12	2	27	.370	1	0	0	8	1	0	0	0	12
20Melisa IlterOH	4	2	0	9	.222	0	0	0	2	0	0	7	3.5	5.5
17Sydney LewisL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	8	3	0	19	2	0	0	0	3
5Lindsey LargeS	4	0	0	0	–	22	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	0
6Addie NormanOH	1	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
Team totals		55	9	120	.383	54	8	11	57	6	2	30	17	97

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 UNC G · JMU 10

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 UNC GJMU 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 UNC GJMU 4

Set 3

8-25

Longest run 2 UNC GJMU 10

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 4 UNC GJMU 6

Bars above the line = James Madison leads, below = UNC Greensboro leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UNC Greensboro

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	82%9/11	43%6/14
2	73%8/11	18%2/11
3	67%8/12	27%3/11
4	35%8/23	50%8/16
5	27%6/22	36%4/11
6	35%6/17	40%4/10
All	47%45/96	37%27/73

James Madison

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%10/15	50%8/16
2	73%8/11	27%3/11
3	73%8/11	20%2/10
4	41%7/17	50%8/16
5	58%7/12	76%22/29
6	86%6/7	57%8/14
All	63%46/73	53%51/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

169 rallies

Rally log

#	UNC G-JMU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	JMU	UNC G	Serve err	JMU server		+0.8
2	1-1	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.7
3	2-1	JMU	UNC G	Serve err	JMU server		+0.9
4	2-2	UNC G	JMU	Serve err	UNC G server		+0.8
5	2-3	JMU	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.9
6	3-3	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Chloe Nussbaum	+0.8
7	3-4	UNC G	JMU	Serve err	UNC G server		+0.7
8	4-4	JMU	UNC G×4	Serve err	JMU server		+0.8
9	5-4	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+1.2
10	6-4	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+1.4
11	7-4	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+1.5
12	7-5	UNC G	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.0
13	7-6	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.3
14	7-7	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial	+1.2
15	7-8	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Lindsey Large	+1.1
16	8-8	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+1.0
17	8-9	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+0.9
18	9-9	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.0
19	10-9	UNC G	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.5
20	10-10	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Sydney Lewis	+1.0
21	10-11	JMU	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+1.3
22	11-11	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.1
23	11-12	UNC G	JMU	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+1.0
24	12-12	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+1.1
25	13-12	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway	blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Allie Sweet	+1.7
26	13-13	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.2
27	14-13	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+1.4
28	14-14	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.3
29	14-15	JMU	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Kennedy Louisell	+1.6
30	15-15	JMU	UNC G	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+1.3
31	15-16	UNC G	JMU	Serve err	UNC G server		+1.3
32	16-16	JMU	UNC G×4	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+1.4
33	17-16	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+2.1
34	18-16	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+2.4
35	19-16	UNC G	UNC G×4	Attack err	Addie Norman	blk Kendall Lanclos, Akila Hardie	+2.5
36	19-17	UNC G	JMU	Serve err	UNC G server		+1.5
37	20-17	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Akila Hardie	set Izora Gragg	+2.1
38	20-18	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Grace Wenrich	set Ana Toumazatos	+1.5
39	21-18	JMU	UNC G	Serve err	JMU server		+2.3
40	21-19	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.5
41	22-19	JMU	UNC G	Serve err	JMU server		+2.4
42	22-20	UNC G	JMU	Serve err	UNC G server		+1.5
43	23-20	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Izora Gragg	set Hailey Clifton	+2.6
44	24-20	UNC G	UNC G	Ace	UNC G server	aced Team	+2.2
45	24-21	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.5
46	24-22	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Melisa Ilter, Anna Wilson	+1.4
47	25-22	JMU	UNC G	Serve err	JMU server		+2.7
Set 2
1	1-0	UNC G	UNC G	Ace	UNC G server	aced Team	+2.2
2	1-1	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+1.6
3	2-1	JMU	UNC G×3	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.9
4	3-1	UNC G	UNC G×3	Attack err	Ella Grace Holloway	blk Connore' Siler-Nixon, Allie Sweet	+2.6
5	4-1	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+2.9
6	4-2	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.9
7	5-2	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+2.4
8	5-3	UNC G	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+2.0
9	5-4	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+2.5
10	5-5	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Melisa Ilter	set Lindsey Large	+2.4
11	6-5	JMU	UNC G	Serve err	JMU server		+2.1
12	7-5	UNC G	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+3.0
13	7-6	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+2.1
14	7-7	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Melisa Ilter, Ayen Nhial	+2.6
15	8-7	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+2.3
16	8-8	UNC G	JMU×4	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+2.1
17	8-9	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+2.5
18	8-10	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+2.2
19	8-11	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Ella Grace Holloway, Ayen Nhial	+1.9
20	9-11	JMU	UNC G	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell	blk Izora Gragg, Akila Hardie, Kendall Lanclos	+1.5
21	9-12	UNC G	JMU×3	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Ayen Nhial, Ella Grace Holloway	+1.5
22	9-13	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+1.6
23	9-14	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+1.2
24	10-14	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Chloe Nussbaum	+0.8
25	10-15	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.9
26	11-15	JMU	UNC G	Serve err	JMU server		+0.8
27	11-16	UNC G	JMU	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Ella Grace Holloway, Anna Wilson	+0.9
28	12-16	JMU	UNC G	Serve err	JMU server		+0.8
29	13-16	UNC G	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+1.5
30	13-17	UNC G	JMU	Serve err	UNC G server		+1.3
31	14-17	JMU	UNC G×5	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+1.2
32	15-17	UNC G	UNC G×5	Ace	UNC G server	aced Sydney Lewis	+2.2
33	16-17	UNC G	UNC G×5	Ace	UNC G server	aced Sydney Lewis	+3.0
34	17-17	UNC G	UNC G×5	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+4.0
35	18-17	UNC G	UNC G×5	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos		+4.9
36	18-18	UNC G	JMU	Serve err	UNC G server		+3.5
37	18-19	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos		+4.4
38	19-19	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+3.7
39	19-20	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+3.7
40	20-20	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+4.1
41	20-21	UNC G	JMU×3	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Grace Wenrich	+4.2
42	20-22	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Ayen Nhial	+4.7
43	20-23	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Ayen Nhial, Ella Grace Holloway	+3.3
44	21-23	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.6
45	21-24	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+2.5
46	21-25	JMU	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.2
Set 3
1	1-0	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.6
2	1-1	UNC G	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.4
3	1-2	JMU	JMU×3	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Ella Grace Holloway, Anna Wilson	+1.7
4	1-3	JMU	JMU×3	Ace	JMU server	aced Ella Burd	+1.5
5	2-3	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+1.3
6	2-4	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.2
7	3-4	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Mia Nicklas	+1.3
8	3-5	UNC G	JMU×4	Serve err	UNC G server		+1.2
9	3-6	JMU	JMU×4	Ace	JMU server	aced Chloe Nussbaum	+1.4
10	3-7	JMU	JMU×4	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+1.2
11	3-8	JMU	JMU×4	Ace	JMU server	aced Allie Sweet	+0.9
12	4-8	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+0.7
13	4-9	UNC G	JMU×10	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+0.7
14	4-10	JMU	JMU×10	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+0.7
15	4-11	JMU	JMU×10	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Melisa Ilter, Ayen Nhial	+0.5
16	4-12	JMU	JMU×10	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Melisa Ilter, Ayen Nhial	+0.4
17	4-13	JMU	JMU×10	Ace	JMU server	aced Allie Sweet	+0.2
18	4-14	JMU	JMU×10	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Melisa Ilter, Ayen Nhial	+0.1
19	4-15	JMU	JMU×10	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+0.1
20	4-16	JMU	JMU×10	Kill	Melisa Ilter	set Sydney Lewis	+0.0
21	4-17	JMU	JMU×10	Attack err	Akila Hardie	blk Ayen Nhial	+0.0
22	4-18	JMU	JMU×10	Ace	JMU server	aced Team	+0.0
23	5-18	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+0.0
24	6-18	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ayen Nhial		+0.0
25	6-19	UNC G	JMU×5	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Kennedy Louisell	+0.0
26	6-20	JMU	JMU×5	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Sydney Lewis	+0.0
27	6-21	JMU	JMU×5	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
28	6-22	JMU	JMU×5	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Ayen Nhial, Ella Grace Holloway	+0.0
29	6-23	JMU	JMU×5	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Ayen Nhial, Ella Grace Holloway	+0.0
30	7-23	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+0.0
31	7-24	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Sydney Lewis	+0.0
32	8-24	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+0.0
33	8-25	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.0
Set 4
1	1-0	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.5
2	2-0	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Siena Smiejek		+1.7
3	3-0	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Chloe Nussbaum	+1.8
4	4-0	UNC G	UNC G×4	Ace	UNC G server	aced Shelby Davis	+2.0
5	4-1	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.3
6	5-1	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+1.6
7	5-2	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Grace Wenrich	set Sydney Lewis	+1.3
8	5-3	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Anna Wilson, Melisa Ilter	+1.7
9	6-3	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+1.6
10	6-4	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Anna Wilson	set Lindsey Large	+1.4
11	6-5	JMU	JMU	Ace	JMU server	aced Graylinn Serge	+1.7
12	7-5	JMU	UNC G	Serve err	JMU server		+1.6
13	7-6	UNC G	JMU×6	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+1.4
14	7-7	JMU	JMU×6	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos	blk Melisa Ilter, Ayen Nhial	+1.7
15	7-8	JMU	JMU×6	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Sydney Lewis	+1.6
16	7-9	JMU	JMU×6	Ace	JMU server	aced Kendall Lanclos	+1.4
17	7-10	JMU	JMU×6	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.2
18	7-11	JMU	JMU×6	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos		+1.0
19	8-11	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Bloom Princell	+0.7
20	8-12	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Lindsey Large	+0.8
21	8-13	JMU	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Grace Wenrich	+0.8
22	9-13	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Chloe Nussbaum	+0.5
23	9-14	UNC G	JMU×4	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+0.6
24	9-15	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+0.6
25	9-16	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Aylin Baran		+0.4
26	9-17	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Ella Grace Holloway	set Grace Wenrich	+0.2
27	10-17	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Siena Smiejek	set Izora Gragg	+0.1
28	10-18	UNC G	JMU	Serve err	UNC G server		+0.2
29	11-18	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+0.1
30	11-19	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
31	12-19	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+0.1
32	13-19	UNC G	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+0.2
33	13-20	UNC G	JMU	Serve err	UNC G server		+0.2
34	14-20	JMU	UNC G×3	Serve err	JMU server		+0.1
35	15-20	UNC G	UNC G×3	Ace	UNC G server	aced Ana Toumazatos	+0.3
36	16-20	UNC G	UNC G×3	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos	blk Izora Gragg, Connore' Siler-Nixon	+0.6
37	16-21	UNC G	JMU×4	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+0.6
38	16-22	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+0.4
39	16-23	JMU	JMU×4	Attack err	Aylin Baran		+0.2
40	16-24	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.0
41	17-24	JMU	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+0.0
42	18-24	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ayen Nhial		+0.0
43	18-25	UNC G	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, UNC Greensboro first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.