App State vs James Madison Volleyball: App State Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: James Madison 78.6% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

App State won at James Madison 3-0 (25-22, 25-23, 25-16) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. App State's Bella Hutchens led with 15 kills, and MeMe Davis added 16 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Oct 16

Set	1	2	3	Sets
APP ST	25	25	25	3
JMU	22	23	16	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave App State 21%. App State won anyway.

The match turned twice. Numbers are App State's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, James Madison was RallyIQ's 79% pick.

Turning point 1: Set 2 · App State 22–22 James Madison
3 of the last 4 rallies went to App State, enough to take the set 25–23 and lead 2–0. The match swung to App State.
App State 47% → 71%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · App State 0–0 James Madison
App State scored 6 straight to open the set 6–0.
App State 71% → 89%

James Madison above 50App State belowMax swing 14.4%

App StateJames Madison

Sideout %: App State 61.3·James Madison 50.0
Break %: App State 50.0·James Madison 38.7
Hitting: App State .333·James Madison .193
Longest run: App State 6·James Madison 6

Bella Hutchens
2 of her kills came in the stretches above. 15 K, .333, 16.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

James Madison above 50 · App State below

Biggest swing: 14.4% to App State — set 2, APP ST 25-23 JMU. Kill by Charlotte Thompson (set by MeMe Davis). JMU win probability 43% → 29%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

APP ST 30.5%69.5% JMU

App State wins

3-0

5.8%

3-1

10.7%

3-2

13.9%

James Madison wins

3-0

22.9%

3-1

26.7%

3-2

19.9%

APP ST break %: 39.8% vs this opp
JMU break %: 43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Charlotte ThompsonKill+14.4%
Kill by Charlotte Thompson (set by MeMe Davis)
Set 2 · APP ST 25-23 JMU · APP ST 57% → 71%
02
Molly Teague&Nevaeh HaysBlock+9.1%
Kennedy Louisell stuffed by Molly Teague & Nevaeh Hays
Set 2 · APP ST 24-23 JMU · APP ST 48% → 57%
03
Nevaeh Hays&Bella HutchensBlock+8.3%
Melisa Ilter stuffed by Nevaeh Hays & Bella Hutchens
Set 2 · APP ST 22-21 JMU · APP ST 45% → 53%
04
Shelby DavisService error+7.3%
Service error by Shelby Davis
Set 2 · APP ST 23-22 JMU · APP ST 47% → 55%
05
Ayen NhialKill+6.6%
Kill by Ayen Nhial (set by Lindsey Large)
Set 2 · APP ST 23-23 JMU · JMU 45% → 52%
06
Bella HutchensAttack error+5.6%
Attack error by Bella Hutchens
Set 2 · APP ST 22-22 JMU · JMU 47% → 53%
07
Charlotte ThompsonKill+5.6%
Kill by Charlotte Thompson (set by Raegan Richardson)
Set 2 · APP ST 18-16 JMU · APP ST 49% → 54%
08
Kennedy LouisellAce+5.4%
Ace by Kennedy Louisell
Set 2 · APP ST 18-19 JMU · JMU 54% → 60%

Box score

Official NCAA box

App Stateaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
10Bella HutchensOH	3	15	5	30	.333	0	1	1	3	0	0	1	0.5	16.5
8Chelsea GilmoreMB	3	8	1	15	.467	0	0	2	1	0	2	0	2	10
20Nevaeh HaysMB	3	8	1	13	.538	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	10
18Raegan RichardsonS	3	4	0	8	.500	26	1	0	12	0	0	0	0	5
7Molly TeagueOH	3	3	2	9	.111	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
14Amelia MancinoOH	3	1	0	3	.333	2	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	2
0Charlotte ThompsonOH	3	6	3	18	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
4MeMe DavisL/DS	3	0	0	3	.000	10	2	0	16	0	0	0	0	2
5Caroline FarthingL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
6Bella DaffornL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	12	99	.333	38	6	4	47	4	2	8	6	75

James Madisonhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
1Kennedy LouisellOH	3	14	7	36	.194	0	1	4	5	0	2	1	16
9Ayen NhialMB	3	7	0	16	.438	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	8.5
7Peri LintermanMB	3	4	2	13	.154	0	0	1	0	0	5	2.5	6.5
20Melisa IlterOH	3	1	3	7	-.286	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	2
16Shelby DavisL/DS	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	1	10	0	0	0	1
2Grace WenrichS	3	0	0	1	.000	17	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
6Addie NormanOH	3	6	3	20	.150	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	7.5
13Ana ToumazatosOH	3	5	1	18	.222	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
5Lindsey LargeS	3	0	0	0	–	12	3	0	2	0	0	0	3
17Sydney LewisL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	1	5	1	0	0	0
12Brenna CorbinL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0
Team totals		38	16	114	.193	35	4	7	35	6	16	8	61

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

App State vs James Madison

Season series · App State leads 2-0

Thu, Oct 15, 2026App State at James Madison · App State won 3-2Result →
Fri, Oct 16, 2026App State at James Madison · App State won 3-0This match

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 APP ST · JMU 6

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 4 APP STJMU 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 3 APP STJMU 6

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 6 APP STJMU 4

Bars above the line = James Madison leads, below = App State leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

App State

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	63%12/19
2	67%8/12	27%3/11
3	46%6/13	57%8/14
4	67%6/9	45%5/11
5	83%5/6	50%5/10
6	63%5/8	44%4/9
All	61%38/62	50%37/74

James Madison

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	45%5/11
2	70%7/10	33%4/12
3	43%6/14	59%10/17
4	55%6/11	33%3/9
5	63%5/8	14%1/7
6	42%5/12	17%1/6
All	50%37/74	39%24/62

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

136 rallies

#	APP ST-JMU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays		+1.9
2	1-1	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+1.3
3	1-2	JMU	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+1.8
4	2-2	JMU	APP ST	Attack err	Melisa Ilter		+1.4
5	2-3	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+1.3
6	3-3	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+1.4
7	3-4	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.3
8	4-4	JMU	APP ST	Serve err	Kennedy Louisell		+1.4
9	4-5	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Ana Toumazatos	+1.4
10	4-6	JMU	JMU	Blocked	Charlotte Thompson	blk Ayen Nhial, Addie Norman	+1.8
11	5-6	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+1.3
12	5-7	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.3
13	6-7	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Amelia Mancino	+1.3
14	7-7	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Raegan Richardson	set Grace Wenrich	+2.1
15	7-8	APP ST	JMU	Serve err	Chelsea Gilmore		+1.5
16	8-8	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+1.6
17	9-8	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Molly Teague	set Raegan Richardson	+2.5
18	9-9	APP ST	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.7
19	9-10	JMU	JMU×4	Blocked	Nevaeh Hays	blk Peri Linterman, Melisa Ilter	+2.3
20	9-11	JMU	JMU×4	Blocked	Bella Hutchens	blk Kennedy Louisell, Peri Linterman	+2.1
21	9-12	JMU	JMU×4	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+1.9
22	10-12	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Raegan Richardson	set Peri Linterman	+1.3
23	10-13	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Melisa Ilter	set Grace Wenrich	+1.4
24	10-14	JMU	JMU	Ace	Lindsey Large		+1.6
25	11-14	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+1.0
26	12-14	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Amelia Mancino	+1.8
27	12-15	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Peri Linterman	set Lindsey Large	+1.4
28	13-15	JMU	APP ST×4	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+1.3
29	14-15	APP ST	APP ST×4	Attack err	Peri Linterman		+2.4
30	15-15	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+2.9
31	16-15	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set MeMe Davis	+3.3
32	16-16	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+2.3
33	17-16	JMU	APP ST×3	Kill	Raegan Richardson		+2.6
34	18-16	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set MeMe Davis	+3.8
35	19-16	APP ST	APP ST×3	Ace	App State	aced Sydney Lewis	+3.7
36	19-17	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+2.0
37	20-17	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+2.8
38	20-18	APP ST	JMU×3	Serve err	Chelsea Gilmore		+2.0
39	20-19	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+3.7
40	20-20	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Shelby Davis	set Grace Wenrich	+4.3
41	21-20	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set MeMe Davis	+3.6
42	22-20	APP ST	APP ST	Blocked	Kennedy Louisell	blk Nevaeh Hays, Molly Teague	+5.3
43	22-21	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+2.9
44	23-21	JMU	APP ST	Serve err	Sydney Lewis		+4.4
45	23-22	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+3.0
46	24-22	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set MeMe Davis	+5.2
47	25-22	APP ST	APP ST	Attack err	Addie Norman		+4.4
Set 2
1	0-1	JMU	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+2.6
2	0-2	JMU	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial		+2.4
3	1-2	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+1.8
4	1-3	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+1.7
5	2-3	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Molly Teague	set Raegan Richardson	+1.8
6	3-3	APP ST	APP ST	Ace	App State		+2.8
7	3-4	APP ST	JMU×6	Kill	Peri Linterman	set Grace Wenrich	+2.0
8	3-5	JMU	JMU×6	Ace	Lindsey Large		+2.6
9	3-6	JMU	JMU×6	Kill	Peri Linterman	set Lindsey Large	+2.3
10	3-7	JMU	JMU×6	Bad set	Molly Teague		+2.0
11	3-8	JMU	JMU×6	Attack err	Charlotte Thompson		+1.6
12	3-9	JMU	JMU×6	Ace	Lindsey Large		+1.3
13	4-9	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Amelia Mancino	set MeMe Davis	+0.8
14	5-9	APP ST	APP ST	Ace	App State		+1.5
15	5-10	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.2
16	6-10	JMU	APP ST×3	Serve err	Kennedy Louisell		+1.1
17	7-10	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Ana Toumazatos		+1.9
18	8-10	APP ST	APP ST×3	Blocked	Kennedy Louisell	blk Chelsea Gilmore	+2.4
19	8-11	APP ST	JMU	Serve err	Amelia Mancino		+1.9
20	9-11	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+1.8
21	9-12	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Addie Norman	set Lindsey Large	+1.9
22	10-12	JMU	APP ST×3	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+1.8
23	11-12	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+3.1
24	12-12	APP ST	APP ST×3	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set MeMe Davis	+3.7
25	12-13	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Grace Wenrich	+2.7
26	13-13	JMU	APP ST×3	Attack err	Melisa Ilter		+2.8
27	14-13	APP ST	APP ST×3	Ace	App State		+4.4
28	15-13	APP ST	APP ST×3	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+4.7
29	15-14	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Sydney Lewis	+3.0
30	16-14	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Molly Teague	set Raegan Richardson	+3.6
31	16-15	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Peri Linterman	set Grace Wenrich	+3.1
32	16-16	JMU	JMU	Blocked	Molly Teague	blk Kennedy Louisell, Peri Linterman	+4.7
33	17-16	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+3.8
34	18-16	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+5.6
35	18-17	APP ST	JMU×3	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+3.4
36	18-18	JMU	JMU×3	Kill	Addie Norman		+5.3
37	18-19	JMU	JMU×3	Ace	Kennedy Louisell		+5.4
38	19-19	JMU	APP ST	Serve err	Kennedy Louisell		+4.0
39	19-20	APP ST	JMU	Attack err	Chelsea Gilmore		+4.2
40	20-20	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+4.3
41	20-21	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+4.6
42	21-21	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+4.8
43	22-21	APP ST	APP ST	Blocked	Melisa Ilter	blk Nevaeh Hays, Bella Hutchens	+8.3
44	22-22	APP ST	JMU	Attack err	Bella Hutchens		+5.6
45	23-22	JMU	APP ST	Serve err	Shelby Davis		+7.3
46	23-23	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Ayen Nhial	set Lindsey Large	+6.6
47	24-23	JMU	APP ST	Blocked	Kennedy Louisell	blk Molly Teague, Nevaeh Hays	+9.1
48	25-23	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set MeMe Davis	+14.4
Set 3
1	1-0	APP ST	APP ST×6	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set MeMe Davis	+2.7
2	2-0	APP ST	APP ST×6	Attack err	Addie Norman		+2.9
3	3-0	APP ST	APP ST×6	Attack err	Peri Linterman		+3.0
4	4-0	APP ST	APP ST×6	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set MeMe Davis	+3.1
5	5-0	APP ST	APP ST×6	Ace	App State		+3.0
6	6-0	APP ST	APP ST×6	Blocked	Ana Toumazatos	blk Nevaeh Hays, Molly Teague	+2.8
7	6-1	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Lindsey Large	+1.6
8	7-1	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+2.1
9	8-1	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Nevaeh Hays	+2.5
10	8-2	APP ST	JMU×4	Bad set	Nevaeh Hays		+1.4
11	8-3	JMU	JMU×4	Blocked	Molly Teague	blk Ayen Nhial, Ana Toumazatos	+2.3
12	8-4	JMU	JMU×4	Blocked	Charlotte Thompson	blk Ayen Nhial, Melisa Ilter	+2.6
13	8-5	JMU	JMU×4	Bad set	Raegan Richardson		+2.9
14	9-5	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+2.5
15	9-6	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+2.1
16	9-7	JMU	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+3.1
17	10-7	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Charlotte Thompson	set Raegan Richardson	+2.7
18	10-8	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+2.3
19	11-8	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+2.8
20	11-9	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Melisa Ilter	+2.3
21	11-10	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Bella Hutchens		+3.5
22	12-10	JMU	APP ST×4	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+2.9
23	13-10	APP ST	APP ST×4	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set Raegan Richardson	+4.0
24	14-10	APP ST	APP ST×4	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+3.8
25	15-10	APP ST	APP ST×4	Attack err	Addie Norman		+3.4
26	15-11	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Lindsey Large	+1.8
27	15-12	JMU	JMU	Attack err	Bella Hutchens		+3.1
28	16-12	JMU	APP ST	Serve err	Kennedy Louisell		+3.0
29	16-13	APP ST	JMU	Blocked	Bella Hutchens	blk Addie Norman, Peri Linterman	+2.2
30	17-13	JMU	APP ST	Serve err	Peri Linterman		+3.0
31	17-14	APP ST	JMU	Serve err	Bella Hutchens		+2.2
32	18-14	JMU	APP ST×5	Kill	Nevaeh Hays	set Raegan Richardson	+3.1
33	19-14	APP ST	APP ST×5	Attack err	Kennedy Louisell		+3.5
34	20-14	APP ST	APP ST×5	Blocked	Kennedy Louisell	blk Chelsea Gilmore	+2.5
35	21-14	APP ST	APP ST×5	Ace	App State	aced Brenna Corbin	+1.5
36	22-14	APP ST	APP ST×5	Kill	Bella Hutchens	set MeMe Davis	+0.8
37	22-15	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Ana Toumazatos	set Grace Wenrich	+0.2
38	23-15	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+0.4
39	23-16	APP ST	JMU	Kill	Kennedy Louisell	set Grace Wenrich	+0.1
40	24-16	JMU	APP ST	Kill	Raegan Richardson	set MeMe Davis	+0.2
41	25-16	APP ST	APP ST	Kill	Chelsea Gilmore	set Raegan Richardson	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, App State first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

App State def. James Madison 3–0

RallyIQ gave App State 21%. App State won anyway.