Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Coastal Carolina def. James Madison 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: James Madison 83.4% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Coastal Carolina won at James Madison 3-2 (25-19, 16-25, 18-25, 25-22, 17-15) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Anzley Rinard led Coastal Carolina with 18 kills; James Madison's Kennedy Louisell had a match-high 34.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set12345Sets
CO CAR25161825173
JMU19252522152

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Anzley Rinard's 18 kills led Coastal Carolina past James Madison in a tight one.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Coastal Carolina's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. RallyIQ had James Madison at 83% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Coastal Carolina 18–21 James Madison

    The bottom for Coastal Carolina, then 7 of the next 8 rallies and the set, 25–22.

    Coastal Carolina 3% → 34%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Coastal Carolina 9–12 James Madison

    4 straight Coastal Carolina points turned a 9–12 deficit into a 13–12 lead. The match swung to Coastal Carolina.

    Coastal Carolina 8% → 61%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Coastal Carolina 14–14 James Madison

    Coastal Carolina closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 17–15 and win the match 3–2.

    Coastal Carolina 45% → >99%

James Madison above 50Coastal Carolina belowMax swing 32.9%

Coastal CarolinaJames Madison

Sideout %
Coastal Carolina 61.7·James Madison 65.0
Break %
Coastal Carolina 35.0·James Madison 38.3
Hitting
Coastal Carolina .287·James Madison .304
Longest run
Coastal Carolina 6·James Madison 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

James Madison above 50 · Coastal Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+32.9% CO CARrally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 32.9% to Coastal Carolina — set 5, CO CAR 17-15 JMU. Ace by Anna Rita. JMU win probability 33% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CO CAR 20.3%79.7% JMU

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.2%

James Madison wins

3-0
31.2%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.3%
CO CAR break %
39.8% vs this opp
JMU break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Anna RitaAce+32.9%

    Ace by Anna Rita

    Set 5 · CO CAR 17-15 JMU · CO CAR 67% → 100%

  2. 02
    James MadisonService error+22.3%

    James Madison service error

    Set 5 · CO CAR 14-13 JMU · CO CAR 45% → 67%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Grace Wenrich)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 14-14 JMU · JMU 33% → 55%

  4. 04

    Kill by Isabella Loeswick

    Set 5 · CO CAR 15-14 JMU · CO CAR 45% → 67%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Lindsey Large)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 15-15 JMU · JMU 33% → 55%

  6. 06

    Addie Norman stuffed by Anna Rita & Viara Parapunova

    Set 5 · CO CAR 16-15 JMU · CO CAR 45% → 67%

  7. 07

    Kennedy Louisell stuffed by Natalie Hughes & Anna Rita

    Set 5 · CO CAR 13-12 JMU · CO CAR 39% → 61%

  8. 08
    Coastal CarolinaService error+16.0%

    Coastal Carolina service error

    Set 5 · CO CAR 13-13 JMU · JMU 39% → 55%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518742.2620215002121
56214.2861323028615
511331.25800020052.513.5
54013.3083700100031.55.5
5106.16710010031.52.5
23013.231200030003
5002.0007241810002
5001.000012700001
414228.42900240010.514.5
3000–000200000
2000–000000000
Team totals5714150.28748811521022213101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
5341271.31024510010139
513221.52420010031.514.5
5439.111103200215
5309.33300060031.54.5
5405.8002800600004
2000–100100000
59121.3810002002110
5015-.2009322010003
52313-.07700020010.52.5
5103.333180050010.51.5
4001.000031600003
Team totals7022158.3046110116181127106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Coastal Carolina vs James Madison

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 CO CAR · JMU 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 3 CO CARJMU 3

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 CO CARJMU 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 2 CO CARJMU 4

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 6 CO CARJMU 5

Set 5

17-15

Longest run 4 CO CARJMU 4

Bars above the line = James Madison leads, below = Coastal Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%10/23
30%3/10
2
63%10/16
29%4/14
3
71%10/14
55%12/22
4
62%8/13
27%3/11
5
78%7/9
33%4/12
6
75%6/8
50%6/12
All
61%51/83
40%32/81

James Madison

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%10/14
53%10/19
2
42%10/24
47%9/19
3
100%9/9
23%3/13
4
57%8/14
40%6/15
5
55%6/11
22%2/9
6
67%6/9
25%2/8
All
60%49/81
39%32/83

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

207 rallies

#CO CAR-JMUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CO CARCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Jonna Spohn+1.6
21-1CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.2
31-2JMUJMUAceSydney Lewis+1.4
42-2JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
52-3CO CARJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Grace Wenrich+1.2
63-3JMUCO CARBlockedKennedy Louisellblk Isabella Loeswick, Amarah Johnson+1.3
73-4CO CARJMUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.2
84-4JMUCO CARKillAmarah Johnsonset Talia Johnson+1.3
94-5CO CARJMUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.2
105-5JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
115-6CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+1.3
126-6JMUCO CARBlockedAna Toumazatosblk Isabella Loeswick, Anna Rita+1.4
137-6CO CARCO CARAttack errKennedy Louisell+1.9
147-7CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.4
158-7JMUCO CARBad setMelisa Ilter+1.6
168-8CO CARJMUKillGrace Wenrichset Shelby Davis+1.5
179-8JMUCO CAR×3BlockedAnna Wilsonblk Natalie Hughes, Amarah Johnson+1.7
1810-8CO CARCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.2
1911-8CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.3
2011-9CO CARJMUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.6
2112-9JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.9
2212-10CO CARJMUAttack errAnzley Rinard+1.6
2312-11JMUJMUAceKennedy Louisell+2.2
2413-11JMUCO CARServe errJames Madison+2.0
2514-11CO CARCO CARBlockedAnna Wilsonblk Anna Rita+2.6
2614-12CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Kennedy Louisell+1.7
2715-12JMUCO CARServe errJames Madison+2.2
2816-12CO CARCO CARAceAnzley Rinard+2.6
2916-13CO CARJMUKillAna Toumazatosset Ayen Nhial+1.6
3017-13JMUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+2.2
3118-13CO CARCO CARAceAnna Rita+2.4
3218-14CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+1.3
3319-14JMUCO CARAttack errKennedy Louisell+1.9
3420-14CO CARCO CARBlockedSydney Lewisblk Natalie Hughes, Amarah Johnson+1.8
3520-15CO CARJMU×3BlockedNatalie Hughesblk Kennedy Louisell+0.8
3620-16JMUJMU×3AceSydney Lewis+1.5
3720-17JMUJMU×3AceSydney Lewisaced Talia Johnson+2.0
3821-17JMUCO CARServe errJames Madison+2.4
3921-18CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.5
4022-18JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.4
4122-19CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+1.3
4223-19JMUCO CAR×3Serve errJames Madison+2.4
4324-19CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedKennedy Louisellblk Anna Rita+1.6
4425-19CO CARCO CAR×3AceJulia Rivera+0.5
Set 2
10-1JMUJMU×4AceBrenna Corbinaced Talia Johnson+2.3
20-2JMUJMU×4KillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+2.1
30-3JMUJMU×4KillKennedy Louisellset Ayen Nhial+1.9
40-4JMUJMU×4AceBrenna Corbin+1.6
51-4JMUCO CARKillTalia Johnsonset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
61-5CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+1.3
72-5JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
82-6CO CARJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+1.3
92-7JMUJMU×3Attack errAnna Rita+1.4
102-8JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+1.1
113-8JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.8
123-9CO CARJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Kennedy Louisell+0.9
133-10JMUJMUAceKennedy Louisell+0.9
144-10JMUCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+0.6
154-11CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+0.7
164-12JMUJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+0.6
175-12JMUCO CAR×3Attack errAna Toumazatos+0.4
186-12CO CARCO CAR×3AceAnna Rita+0.7
197-12CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errAna Toumazatos+1.0
207-13CO CARJMU×3KillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+0.9
217-14JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.8
227-15JMUJMU×3KillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+0.6
238-15JMUCO CARAttack errAna Toumazatos+0.3
249-15CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Talia Johnson+0.6
259-16CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.6
269-17JMUJMUAceBrenna Corbinaced Talia Johnson+0.5
2710-17JMUCO CAR×3Serve errJames Madison+0.3
2811-17CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Amarah Johnson+0.5
2912-17CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Grace Wenrich+0.9
3012-18CO CARJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.9
3112-19JMUJMU×3Attack errNatalie Hughes+0.7
3212-20JMUJMU×3KillMelisa Ilter+0.4
3313-20JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.2
3414-20CO CARCO CARBlockedAnna Wilsonblk Anzley Rinard, Anna Rita+0.4
3514-21CO CARJMUKillGrace Wenrichset Sydney Lewis+0.4
3614-22JMUJMUKillAddie Norman+0.3
3715-22JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+0.1
3815-23CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+0.1
3915-24JMUJMUAceKennedy Louisellaced Jonna Spohn·
4016-24JMUCO CARServe errJames Madison·
4116-25CO CARJMUKillAna Toumazatosset Lindsey Large·
Set 3
1–31-2CO CAR · JMU 2
NCAA feed gap3 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.1
41-3CO CARJMUAttack errAnzley Rinard+1.7
52-3JMUCO CARBad setSydney Lewis+1.7
63-3CO CARCO CARAceJonna Spohnaced Sydney Lewis+2.5
73-4CO CARJMUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.9
84-4JMUCO CARKillIsabella Loeswick+2.1
94-5CO CARJMUBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Addie Norman, Anna Wilson+2.0
105-5JMUCO CARServe errJames Madison+2.1
115-6CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Lindsey Large+2.0
126-6JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+2.2
137-6CO CARCO CARAttack errAyen Nhial+3.1
147-7CO CARJMU×4KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.3
157-8JMUJMU×4Attack errViara Parapunova+2.8
167-9JMUJMU×4KillAyen Nhial+2.5
177-10JMUJMU×4BlockedViara Parapunovablk Ayen Nhial, Melisa Ilter+2.2
188-10JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Jonna Spohn+1.7
198-11CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.8
209-11JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.8
219-12CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.9
229-13JMUJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+2.0
2310-13JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.4
2410-14CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Anna Wilson+1.6
2511-14JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+1.5
2611-15CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.6
2712-15JMUCO CARServe errJames Madison+1.5
2812-16CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.7
2913-16JMUCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
3013-17CO CARJMUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.7
3114-17JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+1.5
3214-18CO CARJMU×3KillMelisa Ilterset Grace Wenrich+1.8
3314-19JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+1.6
3414-20JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.0
3515-20JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Jonna Spohn+0.5
3615-21CO CARJMUBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Melisa Ilter, Anna Wilson+0.7
3715-22JMUJMUKillAnna Wilson+0.5
3816-22JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.2
3917-22CO CARCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+0.4
4017-23CO CARJMUServe errCoastal Carolina+0.5
4117-24JMUJMUAceKennedy Louisell+0.2
4218-24JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick·
4318-25CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+0.1
Set 4
11-0JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.6
21-1CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+1.5
31-2JMUJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+1.8
42-2JMUCO CAR×3Attack errKennedy Louisell+1.5
53-2CO CARCO CAR×3AceJonna Spohn+2.1
64-2CO CARCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Jonna Spohn+2.3
74-3CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.6
85-3JMUCO CARBlockedKennedy Louisellblk Anna Rita, Natalie Hughes+1.9
95-4CO CARJMUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.7
106-4JMUCO CARServe errJames Madison+2.0
117-4CO CARCO CARAceAnzley Rinard+2.6
127-5CO CARJMUServe errCoastal Carolina+1.8
137-6JMUJMUKillAyen Nhialset Lindsey Large+2.3
148-6JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+2.1
159-6CO CARCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Anna Rita+2.7
169-7CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.9
1710-7JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.3
1810-8CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+1.9
1911-8JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Jonna Spohn+2.3
2011-9CO CARJMU×3Serve errCoastal Carolina+2.0
2111-10JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.6
2211-11JMUJMU×3Attack errAnzley Rinard+2.6
2312-11JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.3
2413-11CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+3.1
2513-12CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.2
2614-12JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+2.6
2714-13CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+2.3
2815-13JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.8
2915-14CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+2.4
3016-14JMUCO CARKillIsabella Loeswickset Ayen Nhial+2.9
3116-15CO CARJMUKillLindsey Large+2.5
3217-15JMUCO CARKillIsabella Loeswick+3.1
3317-16CO CARJMU×5KillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+2.6
3417-17JMUJMU×5KillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+3.6
3517-18JMUJMU×5KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+3.5
3617-19JMUJMU×5KillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+3.2
3717-20JMUJMU×5KillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+2.6
3818-20JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
3918-21CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+2.1
4019-21JMUCO CAR×6KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
4120-21CO CARCO CAR×6Attack errKennedy Louisell+3.3
4221-21CO CARCO CAR×6KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+4.7
4322-21CO CARCO CAR×6Attack errKennedy Louisell+6.1
4423-21CO CARCO CAR×6Attack errKennedy Louisell+6.6
4524-21CO CARCO CAR×6KillNatalie Hughesset Anna Wilson+5.4
4624-22CO CARJMUKillGrace Wenrich+1.7
4725-22JMUCO CARBlockedKennedy Louisellblk Anna Rita, Natalie Hughes+5.0
Set 5
11-0JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+6.6
21-1CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+6.1
32-1JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+6.9
42-2CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+6.3
53-2JMUCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+7.2
63-3CO CARJMU×4KillGrace Wenrich+6.6
73-4JMUJMU×4Attack errAnna Rita+8.2
83-5JMUJMU×4BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Lindsey Large, Addie Norman+7.5
93-6JMUJMU×4KillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+6.4
104-6JMUCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+4.7
115-6CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnna Rita+7.6
126-6CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedKennedy Louisellblk Anna Rita, Isabella Loeswick+9.5
136-7CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+7.6
147-7JMUCO CARServe errJames Madison+8.1
157-8CO CARJMUServe errCoastal Carolina+8.1
168-8JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Amarah Johnson+8.7
178-9CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+8.8
188-10JMUJMUBlockedNatalie Hughesblk Ayen Nhial, Ana Toumazatos+10.2
199-10JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+7.5
209-11CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+8.6
219-12JMUJMUBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Ayen Nhial, Melisa Ilter+8.6
2210-12JMUCO CAR×4KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+4.9
2311-12CO CARCO CAR×4KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+10.2
2412-12CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedAyen Nhialblk Anzley Rinard, Anna Rita+15.9
2513-12CO CARCO CAR×4BlockedKennedy Louisellblk Natalie Hughes, Anna Rita+21.6
2613-13CO CARJMUServe errCoastal Carolina+16.0
2714-13JMUCO CARServe errJames Madison+22.3
2814-14CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+22.3
2915-14JMUCO CARKillIsabella Loeswick+22.3
3015-15CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+22.3
3116-15JMUCO CARBlockedAddie Normanblk Anna Rita, Viara Parapunova+22.3
3217-15CO CARCO CARAceAnna Rita+32.9

Score shown after each rally, Coastal Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).