Final · 5 setsSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

James Madison def. Coastal Carolina 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: James Madison 81.5% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

James Madison beat visiting Coastal Carolina 3-2 (25-21, 26-28, 18-25, 25-21, 15-13) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. James Madison's Kennedy Louisell led with 34 kills.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set12345Sets
CO CAR21282521132
JMU25261825153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.439 on 66 swings: Kennedy Louisell and James Madison edged Coastal Carolina.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are James Madison's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave James Madison 82% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 4 · Coastal Carolina 19–14 James Madison

    From here James Madison won 11 of 13 rallies to take the set 25–21. That flipped the match to James Madison.

    James Madison 9% → 66%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Coastal Carolina 6–8 James Madison

    Down 6–8, Coastal Carolina scored 3 straight to lead 9–8. The match swung to Coastal Carolina.

    James Madison 80% → 49%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Coastal Carolina 12–12 James Madison

    James Madison closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 15–13 and win the match 3–2.

    James Madison 56% → >99%

James Madison above 50Coastal Carolina belowMax swing 21.0%

Coastal CarolinaJames Madison

Sideout %
Coastal Carolina 61.1·James Madison 61.5
Break %
Coastal Carolina 38.5·James Madison 38.9
Hitting
Coastal Carolina .288·James Madison .320
Longest run
Coastal Carolina 5·James Madison 8

Kennedy Louisell
8 kills inside the turning points, 34 K and .439 for the match (36.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

James Madison above 50 · Coastal Carolina below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+21.0% JMUrally 217 · set 5

Biggest swing: 21.0% to James Madison — set 5, CO CAR 13-15 JMU. Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Lindsey Large). JMU win probability 79% → 100%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CO CAR 20.3%79.7% JMU

Coastal Carolina wins

3-0
3.3%
3-1
6.8%
3-2
10.2%

James Madison wins

3-0
31.2%
3-1
30.1%
3-2
18.3%
CO CAR break %
39.8% vs this opp
JMU break %
46.2% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Lindsey Large)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 13-15 JMU · JMU 79% → 100%

  2. 02

    Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Lindsey Large)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 12-13 JMU · JMU 56% → 75%

  3. 03

    Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Lindsey Large)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 13-14 JMU · JMU 60% → 79%

  4. 04
    Anna RitaKill+14.6%

    Kill by Anna Rita (set by Isabella Loeswick)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 13-13 JMU · CO CAR 25% → 40%

  5. 05
    Kennedy LouisellAttack error+14.3%

    Attack error by Kennedy Louisell

    Set 5 · CO CAR 12-11 JMU · CO CAR 43% → 57%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kennedy Louisell (set by Grace Wenrich)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 12-12 JMU · JMU 43% → 56%

  7. 07
    Viara ParapunovaBlock+13.1%

    Addie Norman stuffed by Viara Parapunova

    Set 5 · CO CAR 9-8 JMU · CO CAR 38% → 51%

  8. 08

    Kill by Viara Parapunova (set by Isabella Loeswick)

    Set 5 · CO CAR 11-10 JMU · CO CAR 42% → 55%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
524852.308012140132.527.5
5241156.2321205002127
59220.3500021016413
59018.50000010010.59.5
5307.42947001100214
5013-.33300010031.51.5
5004.0005121700001
5003.000211500001
2000–00000010.50.5
2000–000000000
Team totals6922163.288555755521811108
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
534566.439126120010.536.5
513832.1560000006316
510118.50000010275.515.5
58010.80002430132.512.5
58324.208000101019
5005.0003200600000
5139-.22200050031.52.5
5104.2502910800002
5011-1.0004011200000
5000–001600000
2000–000300000
1000–100000000
Team totals7521169.3206751257542014109

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Coastal Carolina vs James Madison

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 CO CAR · JMU 8

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 5 CO CARJMU 3

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 3 CO CARJMU 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 CO CARJMU 2

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 5 CO CARJMU 8

Set 5

13-15

Longest run 3 CO CARJMU 3

Bars above the line = James Madison leads, below = Coastal Carolina leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Coastal Carolina

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%13/22
39%7/18
2
65%13/20
46%11/24
3
72%13/18
32%6/19
4
45%10/22
42%8/19
5
82%9/11
17%2/12
6
53%8/15
47%8/17
All
61%66/108
39%42/109

James Madison

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%13/20
41%7/17
2
52%13/25
43%10/23
3
63%12/19
28%5/18
4
67%10/15
31%5/16
5
67%10/15
50%10/20
6
60%9/15
36%5/14
All
61%67/109
39%42/108

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

217 rallies

#CO CAR-JMUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1JMUJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+1.5
21-1JMUCO CARServe errKennedy Louisell+1.2
31-2CO CARJMU×3KillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.2
41-3JMUJMU×3AceAnna Wilson+1.4
51-4JMUJMU×3BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Ayen Nhial, Addie Norman+1.3
62-4JMUCO CARServe errAnna Wilson+1.0
72-5CO CARJMU×3KillAyen Nhialset Lindsey Large+1.0
82-6JMUJMU×3BlockedAnna Ritablk Ayen Nhial+1.1
92-7JMUJMU×3AceGrace Wenrich+1.0
103-7JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.7
113-8CO CARJMUKillAna Toumazatosset Grace Wenrich+0.7
124-8JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.7
134-9CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+0.7
145-9JMUCO CARServe errSydney Lewis+0.7
156-9CO CARCO CARBlockedMelisa Ilterblk Viara Parapunova, Amarah Johnson+1.1
166-10CO CARJMU×3Serve errAnna Rita+0.9
176-11JMUJMU×3KillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.0
186-12JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+0.8
197-12JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Julia Rivera+0.5
207-13CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+0.6
218-13JMUCO CARServe errKennedy Louisell+0.5
228-14CO CARJMUKillAna Toumazatosset Lindsey Large+0.6
239-14JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+0.5
249-15CO CARJMUBlockedViara Parapunovablk Ayen Nhial+0.6
2510-15JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.5
2610-16CO CARJMU×3KillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+0.6
2710-17JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.5
2810-18JMUJMU×3KillMelisa Ilterset Sydney Lewis+0.3
2911-18JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+0.1
3012-18CO CARCO CARBlockedKennedy Louisellblk Isabella Loeswick, Anna Rita+0.3
3112-19CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.3
3213-19JMUCO CARBlockedMelisa Ilterblk Viara Parapunova, Anna Rita+0.2
3313-20CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+0.3
3414-20JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+0.2
3514-21CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+0.3
3615-21JMUCO CARServe errKennedy Louisell+0.1
3715-22CO CARJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Isabella Loeswick+0.2
3815-23JMUJMUAttack errAnzley Rinard+0.1
3916-23JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick·
4016-24CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Kennedy Louisell·
4117-24JMUCO CAR×5KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick·
4218-24CO CARCO CAR×5KillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn·
4319-24CO CARCO CAR×5KillIsabella Loeswickset Grace Wenrich+0.1
4420-24CO CARCO CAR×5KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.2
4521-24CO CARCO CAR×5KillAnzley Rinardset Jonna Spohn+0.4
4621-25CO CARJMUAttack errAnzley Rinard+0.7
Set 2
11-0CO CARCO CARAttack errAna Toumazatos+1.3
22-0CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.4
32-1CO CARJMU×4KillAddie Normanset Sydney Lewis+1.0
42-2JMUJMU×4BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Ayen Nhial, Addie Norman+1.3
52-3JMUJMU×4BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial+1.2
62-4JMUJMU×4KillAyen Nhialset Lindsey Large+1.1
73-4JMUCO CARServe errAnna Wilson+0.9
83-5CO CARJMUKillAna Toumazatosset Lindsey Large+0.9
94-5JMUCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.9
105-5CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
116-5CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Grace Wenrich+1.5
126-6CO CARJMUKillAna Toumazatosset Grace Wenrich+1.1
137-6JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
147-7CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+1.1
158-7JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.2
168-8CO CARJMUServe errAnna Rita+1.1
179-8JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.3
1810-8CO CARCO CARAttack errLindsey Large+1.8
1910-9CO CARJMUAttack errViara Parapunova+1.2
2011-9JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.4
2111-10CO CARJMUAttack errAnzley Rinard+1.3
2212-10JMUCO CAR×3KillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+1.5
2313-10CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnna Rita+2.0
2414-10CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnna Ritaset Sydney Lewis+1.9
2514-11CO CARJMU×3Serve errJonna Spohn+1.2
2614-12JMUJMU×3BlockedAmarah Johnsonblk Ana Toumazatos+1.7
2714-13JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.9
2815-13JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
2915-14CO CARJMUKillGrace Wenrich+1.5
3016-14JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.8
3116-15CO CARJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+1.5
3216-16JMUJMU×3BlockedViara Parapunovablk Anna Wilson, Melisa Ilter+2.1
3316-17JMUJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.1
3417-17JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+1.7
3518-17CO CARCO CARBlockedMelisa Ilterblk Amarah Johnson, Viara Parapunova+2.5
3618-18CO CARJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Grace Wenrich+1.8
3718-19JMUJMUBlockedViara Parapunovablk Anna Wilson, Addie Norman+2.4
3819-19JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+1.9
3920-19CO CARCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Anzley Rinard+3.0
4020-20CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+2.2
4121-20JMUCO CARAttack errAddie Norman+2.6
4221-21CO CARJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+2.4
4321-22JMUJMUBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Ayen Nhial, Addie Norman+3.4
4422-22JMUCO CARBlockedAna Toumazatosblk Amarah Johnson, Natalie Hughes+2.6
4523-22CO CARCO CARBlockedAddie Normanblk Anzley Rinard, Anna Rita+4.6
4623-23CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+3.3
4723-24JMUJMUKillAyen Nhial+5.2
4824-24JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+3.9
4925-24CO CARCO CARAceJulia Rivera+5.8
5025-25CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+4.6
5125-26JMUJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+5.2
5226-26JMUCO CAR×3Serve errBrenna Corbin+3.9
5327-26CO CARCO CAR×3KillViara Parapunovaset Anna Rita+5.8
5428-26CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedKennedy Louisellblk Anna Rita, Isabele Filardo+6.8
Set 3
10-1JMUJMUAceKennedy Louisell+2.4
21-1JMUCO CARServe errKennedy Louisell+1.9
32-1CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.8
42-2CO CARJMUServe errJonna Spohn+2.0
53-2JMUCO CARKillIsabella Loeswick+2.2
64-2CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+3.1
74-3CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+2.2
85-3JMUCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+2.5
95-4CO CARJMUAttack errAnzley Rinard+2.2
106-4JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Julia Rivera+2.5
116-5CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.3
127-5JMUCO CAR×4Attack errKennedy Louisell+2.6
138-5CO CARCO CAR×4KillViara Parapunova+3.5
149-5CO CARCO CAR×4KillViara Parapunovaset Jonna Spohn+3.5
1510-5CO CARCO CAR×4KillViara Parapunova+3.4
1610-6CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.1
1710-7JMUJMUAttack errViara Parapunova+3.1
1811-7JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+2.9
1911-8CO CARJMUServe errViara Parapunova+2.3
2012-8JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+3.0
2113-8CO CARCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+3.6
2213-9CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+2.1
2313-10JMUJMUBlockedAnzley Rinardblk Addie Norman, Ayen Nhial+3.2
2414-10JMUCO CARServe errAnna Wilson+3.1
2514-11CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+2.5
2615-11JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+3.2
2715-12CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.5
2816-12JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+3.3
2916-13CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.5
3017-13JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+3.4
3117-14CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+2.5
3218-14JMUCO CAR×3KillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+3.5
3319-14CO CARCO CAR×3KillIsabella Loeswickset Lindsey Large+3.8
3420-14CO CARCO CAR×3AceViara Parapunova+2.8
3520-15CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.2
3620-16JMUJMUKillAna Toumazatos+2.3
3721-16JMUCO CARServe errKennedy Louisell+2.8
3821-17CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+1.5
3922-17JMUCO CAR×3KillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+2.7
4023-17CO CARCO CAR×3KillAnna Rita+1.9
4124-17CO CARCO CAR×3KillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+0.8
4224-18CO CARJMUServe errJulia Rivera+0.1
4325-18JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+0.3
Set 4
10-1CO CARJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+2.7
20-2JMUJMUAttack errAnzley Rinard+3.3
31-2JMUCO CAR×5Serve errAnna Wilson+2.6
42-2CO CARCO CAR×5Attack errSydney Lewis+3.8
53-2CO CARCO CAR×5Attack errAddie Norman+4.2
64-2CO CARCO CAR×5BlockedAyen Nhialblk Anna Rita+4.6
75-2CO CARCO CAR×5AceJonna Spohn+4.8
85-3CO CARJMUKillAddie Normanset Lindsey Large+3.3
96-3JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+3.9
106-4CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+3.3
116-5JMUJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Peri Linterman+4.5
127-5JMUCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+3.9
137-6CO CARJMUBlockedAnna Ritablk Kennedy Louisell, Ayen Nhial+3.5
148-6JMUCO CARBlockedKennedy Louisellblk Anna Rita, Isabella Loeswick+4.0
158-7CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+3.6
169-7JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+4.2
1710-7CO CARCO CARAttack errAddie Norman+5.5
1810-8CO CARJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+3.7
1910-9JMUJMUAceKennedy Louisell+5.1
2011-9JMUCO CARAttack errAna Toumazatos+4.5
2112-9CO CARCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+5.9
2212-10CO CARJMUKillAnna Wilsonset Lindsey Large+3.9
2312-11JMUJMUAceAnna Wilson+5.4
2413-11JMUCO CAR×3Attack errAddie Norman+4.8
2514-11CO CARCO CAR×3Attack errAddie Norman+6.3
2615-11CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedAddie Normanblk Anna Rita, Anzley Rinard+6.1
2715-12CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+3.7
2816-12JMUCO CARKillAnzley Rinardset Isabella Loeswick+4.9
2916-13CO CARJMUKillAna Toumazatosset Grace Wenrich+3.7
3016-14JMUJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Sydney Lewis+5.7
3117-14JMUCO CAR×3KillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+5.6
3218-14CO CARCO CAR×3AceAnzley Rinard+6.6
3319-14CO CARCO CAR×3AceAnzley Rinard+5.6
3419-15CO CARJMU×8BlockedViara Parapunovablk Melisa Ilter, Ayen Nhial+2.8
3519-16JMUJMU×8KillAnna Wilsonset Sydney Lewis+4.9
3619-17JMUJMU×8BlockedViara Parapunovablk Melisa Ilter, Anna Wilson+6.2
3719-18JMUJMU×8KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+7.4
3819-19JMUJMU×8KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+8.2
3919-20JMUJMU×8KillKennedy Louisellset Kennedy Louisell+8.3
4019-21JMUJMU×8KillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+7.5
4119-22JMUJMU×8BlockedAnzley Rinardblk Anna Wilson+5.7
4220-22JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+3.1
4320-23CO CARJMUAttack errViara Parapunova+4.5
4421-23JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+2.8
4521-24CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+4.6
4621-25JMUJMUKillAna Toumazatosset Lindsey Large+3.1
Set 5
10-1CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+5.6
21-1JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+6.0
31-2CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+5.8
42-2JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Jonna Spohn+6.3
52-3CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+6.1
63-3JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+6.5
73-4CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+6.4
84-4JMUCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+6.8
94-5CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+6.7
105-5JMUCO CARServe errKennedy Louisell+7.2
116-5CO CARCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+10.6
126-6CO CARJMU×3KillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+7.7
136-7JMUJMU×3KillAddie Norman+10.0
146-8JMUJMU×3KillAna Toumazatosset Lindsey Large+9.1
157-8JMUCO CAR×3KillViara Parapunovaset Anzley Rinard+6.7
168-8CO CARCO CAR×3KillViara Parapunova+11.0
179-8CO CARCO CAR×3BlockedAddie Normanblk Viara Parapunova+13.1
189-9CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+9.4
1910-9JMUCO CARKillNatalie Hughesset Isabella Loeswick+11.2
2010-10CO CARJMUServe errViara Parapunova+10.3
2111-10JMUCO CARKillViara Parapunovaset Isabella Loeswick+12.5
2211-11CO CARJMUKillAyen Nhialset Grace Wenrich+11.5
2312-11JMUCO CARAttack errKennedy Louisell+14.3
2412-12CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Grace Wenrich+13.1
2512-13JMUJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+19.3
2613-13JMUCO CARKillAnna Ritaset Isabella Loeswick+14.6
2713-14CO CARJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+18.6
2813-15JMUJMUKillKennedy Louisellset Lindsey Large+21.0

Score shown after each rally, Coastal Carolina first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).