Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 29, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Eastern Ky. def. UT Arlington 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Eastern Ky. 96.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 29, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Eastern Ky. beat visiting UT Arlington 3-2 (15-25, 25-15, 25-22, 23-25, 15-9) on Thu, Oct 29, 2026. Audrey Hudson led Eastern Ky. with 13 kills; UT Arlington's Evyn Snook had a match-high 23.

Data through · final Oct 29

Set12345Sets
TX ARL2515222592
E KY15252523153

Match story · written from the play-by-play

25 digs from Cassidy Trahan kept Eastern Ky. alive against UT Arlington.

The match turned once; each line shows Eastern Ky.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Eastern Ky. went in as RallyIQ's 96% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 5 · UT Arlington 0–0 Eastern Ky.

    Eastern Ky. scored 5 straight to open the set 5–0.

    Eastern Ky. 79% → 97%

Eastern Ky. above 50UT Arlington belowMax swing 7.7%

UT ArlingtonEastern Ky.

Sideout %
UT Arlington 53.9·Eastern Ky. 57.7
Break %
UT Arlington 42.3·Eastern Ky. 46.1
Hitting
UT Arlington .164·Eastern Ky. .176
Longest run
UT Arlington 6·Eastern Ky. 7

Alexis Bull
10 kills on .400, 16 points; 3 of those kills came in the turning points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Eastern Ky. above 50 · UT Arlington below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+7.7% TX ARLrally 199 · set 5

Biggest swing: 7.7% to UT Arlington — set 4, TX ARL 25-23 E KY. Attack error by Audrey Hudson. E KY win probability 87% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TX ARL 5.1%94.9% E KY

UT Arlington wins

3-0
0.6%
3-1
1.4%
3-2
3.1%

Eastern Ky. wins

3-0
55.1%
3-1
29.8%
3-2
10.0%
TX ARL break %
35.0% vs this opp
E KY break %
47.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Audrey HudsonAttack error+7.7%

    Attack error by Audrey Hudson

    Set 4 · TX ARL 25-23 E KY · TX ARL 13% → 21%

  2. 02

    Evyn Snook stuffed by Emma Closurdo & Alexis Bull

    Set 5 · TX ARL 0-2 E KY · E KY 83% → 88%

  3. 03
    Evyn SnookKill+4.5%

    Kill by Evyn Snook (set by Lucy Tricco)

    Set 4 · TX ARL 24-23 E KY · TX ARL 9% → 13%

  4. 04
    Dixie NesslBlock+4.1%

    Alexis Bull stuffed by Dixie Nessl

    Set 4 · TX ARL 22-21 E KY · TX ARL 7% → 11%

  5. 05
    Alexis BullKill+4.0%

    Kill by Alexis Bull

    Set 5 · TX ARL 0-3 E KY · E KY 88% → 92%

  6. 06
    Alexis BullKill+3.9%

    Kill by Alexis Bull (set by Emilee Hill)

    Set 5 · TX ARL 0-1 E KY · E KY 79% → 83%

  7. 07
    Emma ClosurdoAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Emma Closurdo

    Set 4 · TX ARL 23-22 E KY · TX ARL 8% → 12%

  8. 08
    Audrey HudsonKill+3.1%

    Kill by Audrey Hudson (set by Emilee Hill)

    Set 4 · TX ARL 23-23 E KY · E KY 88% → 91%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
523360.3331007110124
57840-.02523313012212
58418.22200000132.510.5
59326.2310003002110
58522.136000200219
5007.0004912100132.53.5
5000–0021900000
5000–2012520000
3000–000100000
21310-.200000002023
Team totals5626183.16454488046121296
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
510220.4000104026516
5121041.04902110200014
513745.133000151010.513.5
511328.2860006004213
510843.0472801190132.512.5
59115.5330001002110
5001.0005112500001
5000–27001000000
Team totals6531193.176604390431611103

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

UT Arlington vs Eastern Ky.

Season series · Eastern Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 TX ARL · E KY 7

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 4 TX ARLE KY 3

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 TX ARLE KY 5

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 6 TX ARLE KY 7

Set 4

25-23

Longest run 3 TX ARLE KY 3

Set 5

9-15

Longest run 3 TX ARLE KY 5

Bars above the line = Eastern Ky. leads, below = UT Arlington leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UT Arlington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%9/20
20%2/10
2
82%9/11
40%6/15
3
75%9/12
36%5/14
4
53%8/15
47%7/15
5
53%8/15
47%7/15
6
40%6/15
61%11/18
All
56%49/88
44%38/87

Eastern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
68%15/22
2
69%9/13
25%3/12
3
53%8/15
25%3/12
4
53%8/15
20%2/10
5
53%8/15
60%12/20
6
47%7/15
33%4/12
All
56%49/87
44%39/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

199 rallies

#TX ARL-E KYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0TX ARLTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.6
21-1TX ARLE KY×3BlockedEvyn Snookblk Emma Closurdo, Alexis Bull+0.4
31-2E KYE KY×3Attack errHana Aiana+0.5
41-3E KYE KY×3KillAddison Burkeset Alexis Bull+0.4
52-3E KYTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+0.3
63-3TX ARLTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.6
73-4TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington+0.4
84-4E KYTX ARL×3Attack errAddison Burke+0.4
95-4TX ARLTX ARL×3KillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+0.7
106-4TX ARLTX ARL×3BlockedAddison Burkeblk Lucy Tricco+0.9
116-5TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Cassidy Trahan+0.5
127-5E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.6
138-5TX ARLTX ARLBlockedCaitlyn Fleesblk Dixie Nessl, Lucy Tricco+1.0
148-6TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Cooper Abney+0.6
159-6E KYTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Lucy Tricco+0.8
169-7TX ARLE KYKillCaitlyn Fleesset Cooper Abney+0.6
1710-7E KYTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+0.8
1811-7TX ARLTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Lucy Tricco+1.2
1911-8TX ARLE KYKillAlexis Bullset Cooper Abney+0.6
2011-9E KYE KYBlockedKarisa Martinblk Alexis Bull+1.0
2112-9E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.9
2212-10TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.7
2313-10E KYTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.9
2414-10TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.4
2515-10TX ARLTX ARL×3BlockedAddison Burkeblk Lucy Tricco, Hana Aiana+1.3
2615-11TX ARLE KYAttack errHana Aiana+0.6
2715-12E KYE KYAceAlexis Bullaced Samantha Glenn+1.1
2816-12E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.1
2916-13TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Emilee Hill+0.7
3017-13E KYTX ARLBlockedEmilee Hillblk Hana Aiana, Camryn McMinn+1.1
3118-13TX ARLTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+1.4
3218-14TX ARLE KYAttack errDixie Nessl+0.6
3319-14E KYTX ARL×4BlockedEmilee Hillblk Camryn McMinn, Dixie Nessl+1.0
3420-14TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errAudrey Hudson+1.1
3521-14TX ARLTX ARL×4BlockedEmilee Hillblk Camryn McMinn+0.7
3622-14TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errAddison Burke+0.4
3722-15TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Cooper Abney+0.1
3823-15E KYTX ARL×3KillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+0.2
3924-15TX ARLTX ARL×3AceUT Arlingtonaced Addison Burke+0.1
4025-15TX ARLTX ARL×3AceUT Arlingtonaced Addison Burke·
Set 2
10-1E KYE KY×5KillAlexis Bullset Emilee Hill+1.4
20-2E KYE KY×5KillAudrey Hudsonset Emilee Hill+1.2
30-3E KYE KY×5KillEmma Closurdoset Cassidy Trahan+1.0
40-4E KYE KY×5AceAddison Burkeaced Samantha Glenn+0.8
50-5E KYE KY×5AceAddison Burke+0.6
61-5E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.4
71-6TX ARLE KYKillAlexis Bullset Emilee Hill+0.4
82-6E KYTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+0.4
92-7TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.4
103-7E KYTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+0.4
113-8TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Cooper Abney+0.4
123-9E KYE KYAttack errCamryn McMinn+0.5
134-9E KYTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+0.3
145-9TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAddison Burke+0.6
155-10TX ARLE KY×5KillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+0.4
165-11E KYE KY×5KillEmilee Hillset Cassidy Trahan+0.5
175-12E KYE KY×5KillAddison Burkeset Cooper Abney+0.3
185-13E KYE KY×5KillAddison Burkeset Cooper Abney+0.2
195-14E KYE KY×5BlockedCamryn McMinnblk Emilee Hill+0.1
206-14E KYTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Lucy Tricco+0.1
216-15TX ARLE KYKillAlexis Bullset Cooper Abney+0.1
227-15E KYTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Evyn Snook·
237-16TX ARLE KY×3Serve errUT Arlington+0.1
247-17E KYE KY×3KillAudrey Hudsonset Emilee Hill·
257-18E KYE KY×3KillAlexis Bullset Cooper Abney·
268-18E KYTX ARLServe errEastern Ky.·
279-18TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAudrey Hudson·
289-19TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill·
2910-19E KYTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco·
3010-20TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill·
3111-20E KYTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco·
3211-21TX ARLE KYKillCaitlyn Fleesset Cooper Abney·
3312-21E KYTX ARLAttack errEmilee Hill·
3412-22TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Cooper Abney·
3513-22E KYTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Lucy Tricco·
3614-22TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAddison Burke·
3714-23TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington·
3815-23E KYTX ARLBlockedAddison Burkeblk Karisa Martin, Lucy Tricco·
3915-24TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill·
4015-25E KYE KYAttack errDixie Nessl·
Set 3
10-1TX ARLE KYAttack errKarisa Martin+0.8
21-1E KYTX ARLBad setEmma Closurdo+0.9
31-2TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.8
42-2E KYTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+1.0
53-2TX ARLTX ARLKillHana Aiana+1.6
63-3TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Emilee Hill+1.0
73-4E KYE KYKillCaitlyn Fleesset Emilee Hill+1.4
84-4E KYTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.0
95-4TX ARLTX ARL×3KillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+1.8
106-4TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+2.1
116-5TX ARLE KY×7KillAudrey Hudsonset Emilee Hill+1.2
126-6E KYE KY×7Attack errHana Aiana+1.8
136-7E KYE KY×7BlockedHana Aianablk Caitlyn Flees, Audrey Hudson+1.5
146-8E KYE KY×7Attack errCamryn McMinn+1.3
156-9E KYE KY×7Attack errHana Aiana+1.1
166-10E KYE KY×7KillCaitlyn Fleesset Cooper Abney+0.8
176-11E KYE KY×7BlockedCamryn McMinnblk Emilee Hill, Caitlyn Flees+0.6
187-11E KYTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+0.4
198-11TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAudrey Hudson+0.8
208-12TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Cassidy Trahan+0.6
218-13E KYE KYKillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+0.6
229-13E KYTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Lucy Tricco+0.4
239-14TX ARLE KY×5Serve errUT Arlington+0.4
249-15E KYE KY×5Attack errCamryn McMinn+0.4
259-16E KYE KY×5BlockedKarisa Martinblk Alexis Bull+0.3
269-17E KYE KY×5BlockedCamryn McMinnblk Alexis Bull, Emilee Hill+0.1
279-18E KYE KY×5KillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+0.1
2810-18E KYTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco·
2911-18TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAddison Burke+0.1
3011-19TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington+0.1
3112-19E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco·
3212-20TX ARLE KYKillAlexis Bullset Emilee Hill+0.1
3313-20E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco·
3414-20TX ARLTX ARLBlockedEmma Closurdoblk Evyn Snook+0.1
3514-21TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.1
3615-21E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.1
3715-22TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.1
3816-22E KYTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco·
3916-23TX ARLE KYKillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+0.1
4017-23E KYTX ARL×6BlockedEmilee Hillblk Eliana Collins·
4118-23TX ARLTX ARL×6AceUT Arlingtonaced Audrey Hudson+0.1
4219-23TX ARLTX ARL×6Attack errAddison Burke+0.2
4320-23TX ARLTX ARL×6Attack errEmilee Hill+0.5
4421-23TX ARLTX ARL×6KillEliana Collinsset Lucy Tricco+1.1
4522-23TX ARLTX ARL×6BlockedEmilee Hillblk Eliana Collins+2.6
4622-24TX ARLE KYKillCaitlyn Fleesset Cooper Abney+2.7
4722-25E KYE KYKillAddison Burkeset Cooper Abney+1.8
Set 4
11-0E KYTX ARLServe errEastern Ky.+0.8
21-1TX ARLE KYKillAlexis Bullset Emilee Hill+0.6
31-2E KYE KYAttack errDixie Nessl+0.9
42-2E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.7
53-2TX ARLTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Samantha Glenn+1.1
63-3TX ARLE KYAttack errEvyn Snook+0.7
73-4E KYE KYKillCaitlyn Fleesset Lucy Tricco+0.9
84-4E KYTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Camryn McMinn+0.7
95-4TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.2
106-4TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Camryn McMinn+1.5
116-5TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Emilee Hill+0.9
127-5E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Samantha Glenn+1.1
137-6TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Cooper Abney+0.9
148-6E KYTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+1.2
158-7TX ARLE KYKillCaitlyn Fleesset Cooper Abney+0.9
168-8E KYE KYAceCassidy Trahanaced Evyn Snook+1.3
179-8E KYTX ARLServe errCassidy Trahan+1.1
189-9TX ARLE KYAttack errEliana Collins+0.9
199-10E KYE KYBlockedEliana Collinsblk Alexis Bull, Emma Closurdo+1.2
2010-10E KYTX ARLServe errEastern Ky.+0.9
2111-10TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAudrey Hudson+1.6
2211-11TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington+1.0
2312-11E KYTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Lucy Tricco+1.2
2412-12TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Emilee Hill+1.1
2512-13E KYE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+1.5
2613-13E KYTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+1.1
2713-14TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington+1.0
2814-14E KYTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.2
2915-14TX ARLTX ARL×3Attack errAudrey Hudson+2.1
3016-14TX ARLTX ARL×3Bad setCooper Abney+2.5
3116-15TX ARLE KY×3KillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+1.4
3216-16E KYE KY×3KillAddison Burkeset Cooper Abney+2.1
3316-17E KYE KY×3Attack errEliana Collins+1.9
3417-17E KYTX ARL×3KillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+1.4
3518-17TX ARLTX ARL×3Attack errEmilee Hill+2.6
3619-17TX ARLTX ARL×3KillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+3.1
3719-18TX ARLE KY×3KillCaitlyn Fleesset Cooper Abney+1.7
3819-19E KYE KY×3KillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+2.7
3919-20E KYE KY×3KillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+2.5
4020-20E KYTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Lucy Tricco+1.9
4120-21TX ARLE KYBlockedCamryn McMinnblk Emilee Hill, Alexis Bull+1.8
4221-21E KYTX ARLAttack errEmma Closurdo+2.1
4322-21TX ARLTX ARLBlockedAlexis Bullblk Dixie Nessl+4.1
4422-22TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Emilee Hill+2.5
4523-22E KYTX ARLAttack errEmma Closurdo+3.6
4623-23TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Emilee Hill+3.1
4724-23E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+4.5
4825-23TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAudrey Hudson+7.7
Set 5
10-1TX ARLE KY×5KillAlexis Bullset Emilee Hill+3.9
20-2E KYE KY×5BlockedEvyn Snookblk Emma Closurdo, Alexis Bull+5.0
30-3E KYE KY×5KillAlexis Bull+4.0
40-4E KYE KY×5KillAudrey Hudson+3.0
50-5E KYE KY×5KillAlexis Bullset Emilee Hill+2.1
61-5E KYTX ARLBlockedAudrey Hudsonblk Dixie Nessl, Karisa Martin+1.2
71-6TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington+1.4
82-6E KYTX ARLKillKarisa Martinset Lucy Tricco+1.2
92-7TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Cassidy Trahan+1.4
103-7E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+1.2
113-8TX ARLE KYKillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+1.4
123-9E KYE KYAttack errCamryn McMinn+1.2
134-9E KYTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+0.6
144-10TX ARLE KYKillCaitlyn Fleesset Cooper Abney+0.8
154-11E KYE KYAttack errDixie Nessl+0.5
165-11E KYTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.2
176-11TX ARLTX ARL×3KillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+0.5
187-11TX ARLTX ARL×3KillDixie Nessl+1.2
197-12TX ARLE KY×3KillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+1.2
207-13E KYE KY×3KillAddison Burkeset Emilee Hill+0.7
217-14E KYE KY×3KillAddison Burkeset Emilee Hill+0.2
228-14E KYTX ARLAttack errAddison Burke·
239-14TX ARL
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
249-15TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.1

Score shown after each rally, UT Arlington first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).