FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Eastern Ky. def. UT Arlington 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Eastern Ky. 90.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Eastern Ky. won at UT Arlington 3-0 (25-18, 25-22, 25-18) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Eastern Ky.'s Emma Closurdo led with 15 kills, and Cassidy Trahan added 22 digs.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
E KY2525253
TX ARL1822180

Match story · written from the play-by-play

15 kills in 3 sets for Emma Closurdo. Eastern Ky. swept UT Arlington.

No single rally moved win probability more than 1.4 points. UT Arlington peaked at 8% in Set 1. These are the stats that built the gap. RallyIQ gave Eastern Ky. 91% before first serve.

Eastern Ky.UT Arlington
  • Break %+15.4 pts
    45.930.5

    On serve: 34/74 against 18/59 (UT Arlington sideout 54.1%).

  • Longest run+1
    54

    Eastern Ky. opened the set in the third set with 5 straight points for a 5–0 lead. Final score of the set: 25–18.

UT Arlington above 50Eastern Ky. belowMax swing 1.4%

Eastern Ky.UT Arlington

Hitting
Eastern Ky. .188·UT Arlington .115
Aces
Eastern Ky. 4·UT Arlington 0
Serve err
Eastern Ky. 1·UT Arlington 5
Blocks
Eastern Ky. 14·UT Arlington 62 BS · 24 BA vs 1 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Eastern Ky. 65·UT Arlington 61

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

UT Arlington above 50 · Eastern Ky. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.4% E KYrally 133 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Eastern Ky. — set 2, E KY 24-22 TX ARL. Kill by Emilee Hill (set by Cooper Abney). TX ARL win probability 4% → 2%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

E KY 88.7%11.3% TX ARL

Eastern Ky. wins

3-0
42.3%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.8%

UT Arlington wins

3-0
1.5%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
6.2%
E KY break %
45.6% vs this opp
TX ARL break %
36.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emilee HillKill+1.4%

    Kill by Emilee Hill (set by Cooper Abney)

    Set 2 · E KY 24-22 TX ARL · E KY 96% → 98%

  2. 02
    Audrey HudsonAttack error+1.3%

    Attack error by Audrey Hudson

    Set 2 · E KY 23-22 TX ARL · TX ARL 3% → 4%

  3. 03

    Evyn Snook stuffed by Emilee Hill & Caitlyn Flees

    Set 2 · E KY 14-13 TX ARL · E KY 94% → 95%

  4. 04
    Dixie NesslBlock+1.0%

    Alexis Bull stuffed by Dixie Nessl

    Set 2 · E KY 8-9 TX ARL · TX ARL 5% → 6%

  5. 05
    Emilee SikoraAttack error+1.0%

    Attack error by Emilee Sikora

    Set 2 · E KY 15-13 TX ARL · E KY 95% → 96%

  6. 06

    Emilee Sikora stuffed by Alexis Bull & Emma Closurdo

    Set 1 · E KY 1-0 TX ARL · E KY 91% → 92%

  7. 07
    Alexis BullKill+0.9%

    Kill by Alexis Bull (set by Cooper Abney)

    Set 2 · E KY 25-22 TX ARL · E KY 98% → 99%

  8. 08
    Emilee SikoraKill+0.9%

    Kill by Emilee Sikora (set by Erica Dellesky)

    Set 2 · E KY 12-13 TX ARL · TX ARL 6% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315432.3440001016419
310230.26700190010.510.5
37322.182192012002110
34121.143000201859
35623-.043220150031.58.5
3219.111000200424
3001.0006002200000
3000–1200200000
Team totals4317138.18839416502241475
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313640.1750014102114
38734.029001110010.58.5
35317.118000001227
35214.214002200216
3000–3501900000
1229.000000300002
3001.000000200000
3000–4002200000
23218.05600020010.53.5
2000–000600000
1316.33300001010.53.5
1000–00000010.50.5
Team totals3923139.1153905614110658

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Eastern Ky. vs UT Arlington

Season series · Eastern Ky. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 E KY · TX ARL 4

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 E KYTX ARL 3

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 E KYTX ARL 2

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 5 E KYTX ARL 4

Bars above the line = UT Arlington leads, below = Eastern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Eastern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
89%8/9
67%14/21
2
67%8/12
58%11/19
3
62%8/13
0%0/8
4
67%6/9
25%2/8
5
60%6/10
40%4/10
6
83%5/6
38%3/8
All
69%41/59
46%34/74

UT Arlington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
33%8/24
14%1/7
2
50%8/16
20%2/10
3
100%8/8
27%3/11
4
60%6/10
33%4/12
5
56%5/9
40%4/10
6
71%5/7
44%4/9
All
54%40/74
31%18/59

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#E KY-TX ARLSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0E KYE KYBlockedEmilee Sikorablk Alexis Bull, Emma Closurdo+1.0
22-0E KYE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.9
32-1E KYTX ARLKillMegan Doughertyset Erica Dellesky+0.6
43-1TX ARLE KY×3KillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.6
54-1E KYE KY×3Attack errMegan Dougherty+0.7
65-1E KYE KY×3Attack errEvyn Snook+0.6
75-2E KYTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky+0.4
86-2TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Emilee Hill+0.4
96-3E KYTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky+0.4
107-3TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Audrey Hudson+0.4
117-4E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Erica Dellesky+0.4
128-4TX ARLE KYKillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+0.5
139-4E KYE KYAttack errEvyn Snook+0.5
149-5E KYTX ARLBlockedEmilee Hillblk Dixie Nessl, Evyn Snook+0.3
1510-5TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Cooper Abney+0.4
1611-5E KYE KYAttack errMegan Dougherty+0.4
1711-6E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Erica Dellesky+0.2
1812-6TX ARLE KY×4KillAudrey Hudsonset Cassidy Trahan+0.3
1913-6E KYE KY×4KillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.3
2014-6E KYE KY×4AceEastern Ky.+0.2
2115-6E KYE KY×4Attack errDixie Nessl+0.1
2215-7E KYTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky·
2316-7TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Emilee Hill+0.1
2416-8E KYTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky·
2517-8TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.1
2617-9E KYTX ARLBlockedEmma Closurdoblk Hana Aiana, Emilee Sikora·
2718-9TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Emilee Hill+0.1
2818-10E KYTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Erica Dellesky·
2919-10TX ARLE KYKillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney·
3019-11E KYTX ARL×3Serve errAddison Burke·
3119-12TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Samantha Glenn+0.1
3219-13TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Erica Dellesky+0.1
3320-13TX ARLE KYKillAudrey Hudsonset Cassidy Trahan+0.1
3420-14E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Erica Dellesky+0.1
3521-14TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Cooper Abney+0.1
3621-15E KYTX ARLKillMegan Doughertyset Erica Dellesky+0.1
3722-15TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Cassidy Trahan+0.1
3823-15E KYE KYBlockedHana Aianablk Alexis Bull·
3923-16E KYTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Samantha Glenn·
4024-16TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Emilee Hill·
4124-17E KYTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky·
4224-18TX ARLTX ARLServe errUT Arlington·
4325-18TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington·
Set 2
10-1TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAudrey Hudson+0.8
21-1TX ARLE KY×4KillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.5
32-1E KYE KY×4BlockedEmilee Sikorablk Alexis Bull, Emma Closurdo+0.7
43-1E KYE KY×4KillEmilee Hillset Audrey Hudson+0.6
54-1E KYE KY×4BlockedEmilee Sikorablk Alexis Bull, Emma Closurdo+0.5
64-2E KYTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Erica Dellesky+0.4
74-3TX ARLTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky+0.6
85-3TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Emilee Hill+0.4
95-4E KYTX ARLAttack errCaitlyn Flees+0.5
105-5TX ARLTX ARLBlockedEmma Closurdoblk Hana Aiana, Emilee Sikora+0.8
116-5TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Cassidy Trahan+0.5
126-6E KYTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Erica Dellesky+0.6
137-6TX ARLE KYKillCaitlyn Fleesset Cooper Abney+0.5
147-7E KYTX ARLAttack errAudrey Hudson+0.6
158-7TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington+0.6
168-8E KYTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Erica Dellesky+0.6
178-9TX ARLTX ARLBlockedAlexis Bullblk Dixie Nessl+1.0
189-9TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington+0.7
199-10E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Samantha Glenn+0.8
2010-10TX ARLE KYKillAlexis Bullset Emilee Hill+0.7
2110-11E KYTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Erica Dellesky+0.8
2211-11TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Emilee Hill+0.7
2311-12E KYTX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+0.9
2412-12TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Emilee Hill+0.8
2512-13E KYTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky+0.9
2613-13TX ARLE KY×3KillCaitlyn Fleesset Cooper Abney+0.8
2714-13E KYE KY×3BlockedEvyn Snookblk Emilee Hill, Caitlyn Flees+1.1
2815-13E KYE KY×3Attack errEmilee Sikora+1.0
2915-14E KYTX ARLAttack errAudrey Hudson+0.7
3016-14TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington+0.7
3117-14E KYE KYKillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+0.8
3217-15E KYTX ARLAttack errAudrey Hudson+0.5
3318-15TX ARLE KYKillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+0.6
3419-15E KYE KYBlockedMazi Smithblk Audrey Hudson, Alexis Bull+0.6
3519-16E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Erica Dellesky+0.3
3620-16TX ARLE KYServe errUT Arlington+0.4
3720-17E KYTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Samantha Glenn+0.3
3820-18TX ARLTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky+0.7
3921-18TX ARLE KYAttack errEmilee Sikora+0.7
4021-19E KYTX ARLAttack errEmma Closurdo+0.5
4122-19TX ARLE KYBlockedEmilee Sikorablk Emma Closurdo, Caitlyn Flees+0.7
4222-20E KYTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Erica Dellesky+0.5
4323-20TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Cassidy Trahan+0.7
4423-21E KYTX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Erica Dellesky+0.4
4523-22TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAudrey Hudson+1.3
4624-22TX ARLE KYKillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney+1.4
4725-22E KYE KYKillAlexis Bullset Cooper Abney+0.9
Set 3
11-0E KYE KY×5BlockedDixie Nesslblk Alexis Bull, Audrey Hudson+0.3
22-0E KYE KY×5KillAudrey Hudson+0.3
33-0E KYE KY×5BlockedEvyn Snookblk Emma Closurdo, Alexis Bull+0.2
44-0E KYE KY×5AceEastern Ky.aced Emilee Sikora+0.2
55-0E KYE KY×5BlockedEvyn Snookblk Emma Closurdo+0.2
65-1E KYTX ARLKillDixie Nesslset Erica Dellesky+0.1
76-1TX ARLE KY×5KillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.1
87-1E KYE KY×5KillEmma Closurdoset Cassidy Trahan+0.1
98-1E KYE KY×5Attack errCamryn McMinn+0.1
109-1E KYE KY×5KillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.1
1110-1E KYE KY×5AceEastern Ky.·
1210-2E KYTX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky·
1310-3TX ARLTX ARLBlockedAddison Burkeblk Dixie Nessl, Mazi Smith·
1411-3TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill·
1511-4E KYTX ARL×4KillDixie Nesslset Erica Dellesky·
1611-5TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errAddison Burke+0.1
1711-6TX ARLTX ARL×4KillHana Aianaset Erica Dellesky+0.1
1811-7TX ARLTX ARL×4KillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky+0.1
1912-7TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.1
2013-7E KYE KYKillAddison Burkeset Cooper Abney+0.1
2113-8E KYTX ARL×4KillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+0.1
2213-9TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errEmilee Hill+0.1
2313-10TX ARLTX ARL×4KillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky+0.2
2413-11TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errEmilee Hill+0.3
2514-11TX ARLE KYKillAddison Burkeset Cooper Abney+0.2
2615-11E KYE KYAttack errHana Aiana+0.3
2715-12E KYTX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Erica Dellesky+0.2
2815-13TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAudrey Hudson+0.3
2916-13TX ARLE KYBlockedEvyn Snookblk Emilee Hill, Caitlyn Flees+0.2
3016-14E KYTX ARLKillHana Aianaset Erica Dellesky+0.2
3117-14TX ARLE KY×4KillAlexis Bullset Cooper Abney+0.3
3218-14E KYE KY×4KillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.3
3319-14E KYE KY×4BlockedDixie Nesslblk Alexis Bull, Audrey Hudson+0.2
3420-14E KYE KY×4BlockedEvyn Snookblk Emma Closurdo, Alexis Bull+0.1
3520-15E KYTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Erica Dellesky·
3621-15TX ARLE KYKillEmma Closurdoset Emilee Hill+0.1
3722-15E KYE KYAceEastern Ky.aced Camryn McMinn·
3822-16E KYTX ARLBlockedEmma Closurdoblk Milica Peci, Camryn McMinn·
3922-17TX ARLTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Erica Dellesky·
4023-17TX ARLE KYKillAlexis Bullset Emilee Hill·
4123-18E KYTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Erica Dellesky·
4224-18TX ARLE KYBlockedMazi Smithblk Caitlyn Flees, Addison Burke·
4325-18E KYE KYKillEmilee Hillset Cooper Abney·

Score shown after each rally, Eastern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).