FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

American def. Colgate 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: American 86.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

American beat visiting Colgate 3-0 (25-18, 25-19, 25-15) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. American's Salme Hollas led with 15 kills, and Bella Marrero added 13 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
COLGAT1819150
AMER2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Salme Hollas hit .448 with 15 kills as American rolled past Colgate.

Win probability never moved more than 1.7 points on one rally; Colgate topped out at 16% in Set 1. American went in as RallyIQ's 86% pick.

ColgateAmerican
  • Break %+21.2 pts
    30.251.4

    38 of 74 on serve vs 16 of 53, so Colgate's sideout was 48.6%.

  • Hitting+.227
    .186.413

    48 kills, 10 errors vs 27 kills, 11 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    Up 8–6 in the second set, American scored 5 straight to make it 13–6. That set ended 25–19.

American above 50Colgate belowMax swing 1.7%

ColgateAmerican

Aces
Colgate 4·American 8
Serve err
Colgate 7·American 11
Blocks
Colgate 6·American 50 BS · 12 BA vs 2 BS · 6 BA
Digs
Colgate 30·American 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

American above 50 · Colgate below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.7% COLGATrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.7% to Colgate — set 1, COLGAT 6-5 AMER. Kill by Tiana Owens (set by Aubrey Anders). AMER win probability 86% → 84%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COLGAT 14.6%85.4% AMER

Colgate wins

3-0
2.1%
3-1
4.7%
3-2
7.8%

American wins

3-0
37.6%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
16.4%
COLGAT break %
38.3% vs this opp
AMER break %
46.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Tiana OwensKill+1.7%

    Kill by Tiana Owens (set by Aubrey Anders)

    Set 1 · COLGAT 6-5 AMER · COLGAT 14% → 16%

  2. 02
    ColgateAce+1.6%

    Colgate ace on Salme Hollas

    Set 2 · COLGAT 15-15 AMER · COLGAT 7% → 8%

  3. 03
    Salme HollasKill+1.6%

    Kill by Salme Hollas (set by Ava Schabes)

    Set 1 · COLGAT 7-8 AMER · AMER 85% → 87%

  4. 04

    Kill by Carly Sciborski (set by Deniz Dakak)

    Set 2 · COLGAT 15-17 AMER · AMER 93% → 94%

  5. 05
    AmericanAce+1.4%

    American ace on Hannah Langton

    Set 1 · COLGAT 4-5 AMER · AMER 86% → 87%

  6. 06
    Prinzez ZeckKill+1.4%

    Kill by Prinzez Zeck (set by Deniz Dakak)

    Set 1 · COLGAT 7-9 AMER · AMER 87% → 88%

  7. 07

    Kill by Reagan Knipling (set by Morgan Reese)

    Set 1 · COLGAT 7-6 AMER · COLGAT 15% → 16%

  8. 08

    Prinzez Zeck stuffed by Aubrey Anders & Stella Labrecque

    Set 2 · COLGAT 14-15 AMER · COLGAT 5% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38428.143001540219
35322.09111020010.56.5
3206.33300000010.52.5
3001.0001310900001
24112.250100200215
2227.000001100213
31011.000713200002
3012-.500000000211
3000–010110001
3000–301730000
1304.750000000214
1203.667000100002
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals271186.1862547308012652
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315229.4481037100015
38217.35302110132.512.5
37414.214000100007
37113.462200300007
3205.4003201701224
3000–123610002
38113.538000100008
31011.0005221310003
3000–21120010.51.5
1000–010100001
1000–000000000
Team totals481092.4134381142426575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Colgate vs American

Season series · American leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 COLGAT · AMER 5

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 COLGATAMER 4

Set 2

19-25

Longest run 4 COLGATAMER 5

Set 3

15-25

Longest run 4 COLGATAMER 4

Bars above the line = American leads, below = Colgate leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Colgate

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
38%3/8
2
47%7/15
36%4/11
3
47%7/15
13%1/8
4
40%6/15
30%3/10
5
71%5/7
33%3/9
6
100%4/4
29%2/7
All
49%36/74
30%16/53

American

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
50%6/12
2
100%7/7
61%11/18
3
78%7/9
56%9/16
4
75%6/8
45%5/11
5
55%6/11
50%6/12
6
100%4/4
20%1/5
All
70%37/53
51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#COLGAT-AMERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0AMERCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+1.1
21-1COLGATAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.0
32-1AMERCOLGATKillStella Labrecqueset Ava Schabes+1.1
42-2COLGATAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.0
53-2AMERCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Ava Schabes+1.2
63-3COLGATAMERServe errColgate+1.1
74-3AMERCOLGATServe errAmerican+1.2
84-4COLGATAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.1
94-5AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Hannah Langton+1.4
105-5AMERCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+1.1
116-5COLGATCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Aubrey Anders+1.7
126-6COLGATAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.2
137-6AMERCOLGATKillReagan Kniplingset Morgan Reese+1.3
147-7COLGATAMER×4KillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+1.2
157-8AMERAMER×4KillSalme Hollasset Ava Schabes+1.6
167-9AMERAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+1.4
177-10AMERAMER×4AceAmericanaced Tiana Owens+1.2
188-10AMERCOLGATServe errAmerican+0.9
198-11COLGATAMER×3KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.9
208-12AMERAMER×3KillSalme Hollasset Bella Marrero+1.1
218-13AMERAMER×3KillBella Marreroset Carly Sciborski+0.8
229-13AMERCOLGATServe errAmerican+0.5
239-14COLGATAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.6
249-15AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.6
2510-15AMERCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.3
2611-15COLGATCOLGATAttack errElise Sterling+0.7
2711-16COLGATAMERBlockedJulia Headleyblk Deniz Dakak+0.6
2812-16AMERCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Hannah Langton+0.5
2912-17COLGATAMERKillSophie Dufourset Salme Hollas+0.6
3013-17AMERCOLGATAttack errPrinzez Zeck+0.5
3113-18COLGATAMERServe errColgate+0.6
3214-18AMERCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+0.5
3314-19COLGATAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.6
3414-20AMERAMERAttack errAubrey Anders+0.5
3515-20AMERCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.2
3616-20COLGATCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Ava Schabes+0.5
3716-21COLGATAMERKillSalme Hollasset Carly Sciborski+0.6
3817-21AMERCOLGATServe errAmerican+0.4
3917-22COLGATAMER×3KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.5
4017-23AMERAMER×3KillSalme Hollasset Bella Marrero+0.3
4117-24AMERAMER×3BlockedMorgan Reeseblk Elise Sterling, Deniz Dakak+0.1
4218-24AMERCOLGATAttack errElise Sterling·
4318-25COLGATAMERServe errColgate·
Set 2
10-1COLGATAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.7
20-2AMERAMER×4KillSalme Hollasset Bella Marrero+0.8
30-3AMERAMER×4KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.7
40-4AMERAMER×4Attack errTiana Owens+0.6
51-4AMERCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Ava Schabes+0.4
61-5COLGATAMER×3Serve errColgate+0.5
71-6AMERAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Stella Labrecque+0.5
81-7AMERAMER×3Bad setAva Schabes+0.4
92-7AMERCOLGATKillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.3
103-7COLGATCOLGATBlockedSalme Hollasblk Julia Headley, Aubrey Anders+0.5
113-8COLGATAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.4
124-8AMERCOLGAT×3KillAubrey Andersset Ava Schabes+0.4
135-8COLGATCOLGAT×3AceColgateaced Alex Ioannou+0.6
146-8COLGATCOLGAT×3KillJulia Headley+0.8
156-9COLGATAMER×5Attack errMorgan Reese+0.6
166-10AMERAMER×5Attack errCharlotte Goldfeder+0.7
176-11AMERAMER×5Attack errMorgan Reese+0.6
186-12AMERAMER×5KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.4
196-13AMERAMER×5KillSophie Dufour+0.3
207-13AMERCOLGAT×4KillJulia Headleyset Reagan Knipling+0.2
218-13COLGATCOLGAT×4BlockedSophie Dufourblk Charlotte Goldfeder, Julia Headley+0.3
229-13COLGATCOLGAT×4KillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+0.5
2310-13COLGATCOLGAT×4AceColgateaced Bella Marrero+0.7
2410-14COLGATAMERKillSophie Dufourset Olivia Miller+0.6
2511-14AMERCOLGATServe errAmerican+0.5
2611-15COLGATAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+0.6
2712-15AMERCOLGAT×4KillTiana Owensset Reagan Knipling+0.5
2813-15COLGATCOLGAT×4Attack errPrinzez Zeck+1.0
2914-15COLGATCOLGAT×4BlockedPrinzez Zeckblk Aubrey Anders, Stella Labrecque+1.3
3015-15COLGATCOLGAT×4AceColgateaced Salme Hollas+1.6
3115-16COLGATAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.2
3215-17AMERAMER×3KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+1.5
3315-18AMERAMER×3KillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+1.2
3416-18AMERCOLGATServe errAmerican+0.8
3516-19COLGATAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.9
3617-19AMERCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Ava Schabes+0.8
3717-20COLGATAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+1.0
3817-21AMERAMERBlockedTiana Owensblk Elise Sterling, Deniz Dakak+0.9
3918-21AMERCOLGATServe errAmerican+0.5
4018-22COLGATAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak+0.7
4118-23AMERAMERBlockedJulia Headleyblk Elise Sterling+0.5
4219-23AMERCOLGATServe errAmerican+0.1
4319-24COLGATAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+0.3
4419-25AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Julia Oster+0.1
Set 3
10-1AMERAMERKillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.4
21-1AMERCOLGAT×4Serve errAmerican+0.3
32-1COLGATCOLGAT×4BlockedCarly Sciborskiblk Tiana Owens, Nina Gannon+0.5
43-1COLGATCOLGAT×4KillNina Gannon+0.6
54-1COLGATCOLGAT×4AceColgate+0.6
64-2COLGATAMER×4KillPrinzez Zeckset Deniz Dakak+0.4
74-3AMERAMER×4AceAmericanaced Hannah Langton+0.5
84-4AMERAMER×4KillCarly Sciborskiset Deniz Dakak+0.5
94-5AMERAMER×4AceAmericanaced Tiana Owens+0.5
105-5AMERCOLGATKillNina Gannonset Reagan Knipling+0.4
115-6COLGATAMER×4Serve errColgate+0.4
125-7AMERAMER×4AceAmericanaced Tiana Owens+0.5
135-8AMERAMER×4KillElise Sterling+0.4
145-9AMERAMER×4KillSalme Hollasset Bella Marrero+0.3
156-9AMERCOLGATBlockedSalme Hollasblk Tiana Owens, Charlotte Goldfeder+0.2
166-10COLGATAMER×4KillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak+0.2
176-11AMERAMER×4KillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+0.3
186-12AMERAMER×4KillDeniz Dakakset Bella Marrero+0.2
196-13AMERAMER×4BlockedTiana Owensblk Olivia Miller, Elise Sterling+0.1
207-13AMERCOLGATKillTiana Owensset Hannah Langton+0.1
217-14COLGATAMERKillSophie Dufourset Deniz Dakak+0.1
228-14AMERCOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes+0.1
238-15COLGATAMERKillDeniz Dakakset Olivia Miller+0.1
249-15AMERCOLGATServe errAmerican+0.1
259-16COLGATAMERServe errColgate+0.1
269-17AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Hannah Langton+0.1
2710-17AMERCOLGATKillMorgan Reeseset Reagan Knipling·
2810-18COLGATAMERKillCarly Sciborskiset Reagan Knipling+0.1
2910-19AMERAMERAttack errTiana Owens·
3011-19AMERCOLGATKillNina Gannonset Reagan Knipling·
3111-20COLGATAMERKillSalme Hollasset Deniz Dakak·
3211-21AMERAMERAceAmericanaced Tiana Owens·
3312-21AMERCOLGATKillStella Labrecqueset Reagan Knipling·
3412-22COLGATAMERKillSalme Hollasset Alex Ioannou·
3512-23AMERAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak·
3613-23AMERCOLGATServe errAmerican·
3713-24COLGATAMERKillElise Sterlingset Deniz Dakak·
3814-24AMERCOLGATKillJordyn Mooreset Ava Schabes·
3915-24COLGATCOLGATBlockedPrinzez Zeckblk Nina Gannon, Morgan Reese·
4015-25COLGATAMERServe errColgate·

Score shown after each rally, Colgate first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).