FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

Illinois St. def. Central Mich. 3–0

Illinois St. won at Central Mich. 3-0 (25-18, 25-22, 25-12) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026. Illinois St.'s Jillian Ferrill led with 18 kills, and Ella Craggs added 14 digs.

Data through · final Sep 4

Set123Sets
ILL ST2525253
C MICH1822120

Win probability

Central Mich. above 50 · Illinois St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.2% C MICHrally 127 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.2% to Central Mich. — set 2, ILL ST 20-21 C MICH. Attack error by Jillian Ferrill. C MICH win probability 3% → 4%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ILL ST 96.5%3.5% C MICH

Illinois St. wins

3-0
60.3%
3-1
28.1%
3-2
8.1%

Central Mich. wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
0.9%
3-2
2.2%
ILL ST break %
50.5% vs this opp
C MICH break %
36.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jillian FerrillAttack error+1.2%

    Attack error by Jillian Ferrill

    Set 2 · ILL ST 20-21 C MICH · C MICH 3% → 4%

  2. 02
    Illinois St.Ace+1.1%

    Illinois St. ace

    Set 2 · ILL ST 22-21 C MICH · ILL ST 97% → 98%

  3. 03
    Illinois St.Ace+0.8%

    Illinois St. ace

    Set 2 · ILL ST 23-21 C MICH · ILL ST 98% → 99%

  4. 04
    Ruth ZieglerKill+0.8%

    Kill by Ruth Ziegler (set by Ella Craggs)

    Set 2 · ILL ST 21-21 C MICH · ILL ST 96% → 97%

  5. 05

    Kill by Jaliyah Cohnes (set by Rainey Weidman)

    Set 2 · ILL ST 19-19 C MICH · C MICH 2% → 3%

  6. 06

    Jillian Ferrill stuffed by Lilly Mullholand & Brenna Storz

    Set 2 · ILL ST 20-20 C MICH · C MICH 2% → 3%

  7. 07

    Jillian Ferrill stuffed by Lilly Mullholand & Brenna Storz

    Set 1 · ILL ST 9-9 C MICH · C MICH 3% → 4%

  8. 08
    Taylor CripeKill+0.6%

    Kill by Taylor Cripe (set by Brytn Lyon)

    Set 1 · ILL ST 3-4 C MICH · C MICH 4% → 4%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318532.4060005000018
37215.33318120010.515.5
37218.278021510009
36418.111000300006
3000–19001400000
1113.000100000001
3001.000501910000
3000–003300000
3000–100300000
24210.20000020010.54.5
2205.400000000002
2000–1210800001
1014-.250000000000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–200100000
1000–001100000
1000–000110000
Team totals4518107.2524111757302175
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310236.2220118414314
3216.167001501646
32111.091000100635
3206.3331710700214
3128-.125102200212
2228.000000000002
3214.250000000002
3000–100400000
3000–000000000
3000–101420000
3000–201700000
22112.083010110003
1012-.500000000000
Team totals231193.129223639112201252

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Illinois St. vs Central Mich.

Season series · Illinois St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 13 ILL ST · C MICH 5

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 6 ILL STC MICH 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 4 ILL STC MICH 5

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 13 ILL STC MICH 3

Bars above the line = Central Mich. leads, below = Illinois St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Illinois St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%7/10
74%14/19
2
64%7/11
68%15/22
3
50%5/10
38%3/8
4
63%5/8
55%6/11
5
71%5/7
38%3/8
6
63%5/8
0%0/5
All
63%34/54
56%41/73

Central Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
33%3/9
2
55%6/11
46%6/13
3
56%5/9
14%1/7
4
45%5/11
58%7/12
5
83%5/6
29%2/7
6
22%4/18
17%1/6
All
44%32/73
37%20/54

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

127 rallies

#ILL ST-C MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0C MICHILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.3
22-0ILL STILL STAttack errLilly Mullholand+0.4
32-1ILL STC MICHKillAlexis Carperset Brytn Lyon+0.3
42-2C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Ceci Bustamante+0.5
53-2C MICHILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+0.3
63-3ILL STC MICHKillLilly Mullholandset Brytn Lyon+0.4
73-4C MICHC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.6
84-4C MICHILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Audrey Clark+0.4
94-5ILL STC MICHKillTeyhlor Thomasset Brytn Lyon+0.5
105-5C MICHILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+0.4
115-6ILL STC MICHBlockedRuth Zieglerblk Teyhlor Thomas, Taylor Cripe+0.5
126-6C MICHILL STServe errCentral Mich.+0.5
136-7ILL STC MICHBlockedJillian Gregoryblk Teyhlor Thomas, Brytn Lyon+0.6
147-7C MICHILL ST×3KillJillian Gregoryset Ella Craggs+0.5
158-7ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Samantha Bunch+0.6
169-7ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Samantha Bunch+0.5
179-8ILL STC MICHKillMeisha Sykesset Brytn Lyon+0.4
189-9C MICHC MICHBlockedJillian Ferrillblk Lilly Mullholand, Brenna Storz+0.6
1910-9C MICHILL ST×6KillAddisyn Pohlset Ella Craggs+0.5
2011-9ILL STILL ST×6KillLogan Grevengoedset Ruth Ziegler+0.5
2112-9ILL STILL ST×6KillJillian Ferrillset Addisyn Pohl+0.4
2213-9ILL STILL ST×6AceIllinois St.aced Taylor Cripe+0.3
2314-9ILL STILL ST×6AceIllinois St.+0.2
2415-9ILL STILL ST×6AceIllinois St.aced Ceci Bustamante+0.2
2515-10ILL STC MICHAttack errAddisyn Pohl+0.1
2616-10C MICHILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+0.1
2717-10ILL STILL STAceIllinois St.aced Ceci Bustamante+0.1
2817-11ILL STC MICHBlockedAyla Klingenbergblk Brenna Storz+0.1
2918-11C MICHILL ST×3Serve errCentral Mich.+0.1
3019-11ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Gregoryset Audrey Clark+0.1
3120-11ILL STILL ST×3Bad setBrytn Lyon·
3220-12ILL STC MICH×4Serve errIllinois St.·
3320-13C MICHC MICH×4Attack errLogan Grevengoed·
3420-14C MICHC MICH×4BlockedLogan Grevengoedblk Taylor Cripe, Teyhlor Thomas·
3520-15C MICHC MICH×4BlockedLogan Grevengoedblk Taylor Cripe+0.1
3621-15C MICHILL ST×3Attack errTeyhlor Thomas+0.1
3722-15ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Gregoryset Audrey Clark+0.1
3823-15ILL STILL ST×3KillRuth Zieglerset Audrey Clark·
3923-16ILL STC MICHServe errIllinois St.·
4023-17C MICHC MICHKillAlexis Carperset Brytn Lyon·
4124-17C MICHILL STAttack errAlexis Carper·
4224-18ILL STC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon·
4325-18C MICHILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Craggs·
Set 2
10-1ILL STC MICHServe errIllinois St.+0.3
20-2C MICHC MICHAttack errRuth Ziegler+0.4
31-2C MICHILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+0.3
41-3ILL STC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.3
52-3C MICHILL ST×3KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+0.3
63-3ILL STILL ST×3KillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+0.3
74-3ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Audrey Clark+0.3
84-4ILL STC MICH×5BlockedJillian Ferrillblk Teyhlor Thomas, Brenna Storz+0.3
94-5C MICHC MICH×5KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.4
104-6C MICHC MICH×5KillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.5
114-7C MICHC MICH×5KillTeyhlor Thomasset Brytn Lyon+0.5
124-8C MICHC MICH×5BlockedLogan Grevengoedblk Teyhlor Thomas, Brytn Lyon+0.6
135-8C MICHILL ST×4KillJillian Ferrillset Audrey Clark+0.4
146-8ILL STILL ST×4KillJillian Gregory+0.5
157-8ILL STILL ST×4Attack errTaylor Cripe+0.5
168-8ILL STILL ST×4Bad setBrytn Lyon+0.4
178-9ILL STC MICHServe errIllinois St.+0.4
189-9C MICHILL STAttack errAlexis Carper+0.3
199-10ILL STC MICHKillBrytn Lyonset Addison Samolinski+0.4
2010-10C MICHILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Audrey Clark+0.3
2110-11ILL STC MICHKillMeisha Sykesset Brytn Lyon+0.4
2211-11C MICHILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Craggs+0.4
2311-12ILL STC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Brytn Lyon+0.4
2412-12C MICHILL STServe errCentral Mich.+0.4
2513-12ILL STILL STKillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs+0.5
2613-13ILL STC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.4
2714-13C MICHILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+0.4
2814-14ILL STC MICHBlockedJillian Ferrillblk Teyhlor Thomas, Brenna Storz+0.4
2915-14C MICHILL STServe errCentral Mich.+0.4
3016-14ILL STILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Peyton Turner+0.4
3116-15ILL STC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.4
3217-15C MICHILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Audrey Clark+0.4
3318-15ILL STILL STKillSidney Wrightset Audrey Clark+0.4
3418-16ILL STC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Ruth Ziegler+0.3
3519-16C MICHILL STKillSidney Wrightset Audrey Clark+0.3
3619-17ILL STC MICH×3Attack errJillian Gregory+0.3
3719-18C MICHC MICH×3AceCentral Mich.aced Samantha Bunch+0.5
3819-19C MICHC MICH×3KillJaliyah Cohnesset Rainey Weidman+0.8
3920-19C MICHILL STAttack errBrenna Storz+0.6
4020-20ILL STC MICHBlockedJillian Ferrillblk Lilly Mullholand, Brenna Storz+0.7
4120-21C MICHC MICHAttack errJillian Ferrill+1.2
4221-21C MICHILL ST×4KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs+0.8
4322-21ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.+1.1
4423-21ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.+0.8
4524-21ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.aced Jaliyah Cohnes+0.5
4624-22ILL STC MICHKillTaylor Cripeset Brytn Lyon+0.2
4725-22C MICHILL STKillLogan Grevengoedset Brenna Storz+0.3
Set 3
11-0C MICHILL ST×4KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+0.1
22-0ILL STILL ST×4Attack errLilly Mullholand+0.1
33-0ILL STILL ST×4KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs+0.1
44-0ILL STILL ST×4AceIllinois St.aced Taylor Cripe+0.1
54-1ILL STC MICHServe errIllinois St.+0.1
64-2C MICHC MICHBlockedAbby Reckblk Taylor Cripe, Brenna Storz+0.1
75-2C MICHILL STAttack errTaylor Cripe+0.1
85-3ILL STC MICHKillBrenna Storzset Lilly Mullholand+0.1
96-3C MICHILL STServe errCentral Mich.+0.1
106-4ILL STC MICHServe errIllinois St.+0.1
117-4C MICHILL STKillJillian Gregoryset Ella Kohnen+0.1
127-5ILL STC MICHServe errIllinois St.+0.1
137-6C MICHC MICHAceCentral Mich.aced Jillian Gregory+0.1
148-6C MICHILL STKillRuth Zieglerset Ella Kohnen+0.1
158-7ILL STC MICHKillJaliyah Cohnesset Brytn Lyon+0.1
168-8C MICHC MICHBad setOliwia Caputa+0.2
179-8C MICHILL ST×13Serve errCentral Mich.+0.1
1810-8ILL STILL ST×13Attack errMeisha Sykes+0.1
1911-8ILL STILL ST×13BlockedJaliyah Cohnesblk Ruth Ziegler, Abby Reck+0.1
2012-8ILL STILL ST×13KillJillian Ferrillset Samantha Bunch+0.1
2113-8ILL STILL ST×13AceIllinois St.+0.1
2214-8ILL STILL ST×13KillAbby Reckset Rainey Weidman·
2315-8ILL STILL ST×13KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs·
2416-8ILL STILL ST×13Attack errCheyenne Gunner·
2517-8ILL STILL ST×13KillRuth Zieglerset Samantha Bunch·
2618-8ILL STILL ST×13KillRuth Zieglerset Ella Craggs·
2719-8ILL STILL ST×13KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs·
2820-8ILL STILL ST×13AceIllinois St.aced Taylor Cripe·
2921-8ILL STILL ST×13KillAbby Reckset Ella Craggs·
3021-9ILL STC MICHKillBrytn Lyon·
3122-9C MICHILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Samantha Bunch·
3223-9ILL STILL ST×3AceIllinois St.aced Taylor Cripe·
3324-9ILL STILL ST×3KillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs·
3424-10ILL STC MICH×3Attack errAlaina Kraemer·
3524-11C MICHC MICH×3AceCentral Mich.aced Madison Smith·
3624-12C MICHC MICH×3BlockedAbby Reckblk Brenna Storz, Taylor Cripe·
3725-12C MICHILL STKillJillian Ferrillset Ella Craggs·

Score shown after each rally, Illinois St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).