FinalThu, Oct 15, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Southern Miss. def. ULM 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Southern Miss. 75.8% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 15, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southern Miss. won at ULM 3-0 (26-24, 25-23, 25-17) on Thu, Oct 15, 2026. Sadie McAda led Southern Miss. with 13 kills; ULM's Aniya Hall had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Oct 15

Set123Sets
S MISS2625253
LA MON2423170

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Southern Miss. won all three sets by eight or fewer.

Win probability never moved more than 7.7 points on one rally; ULM topped out at 27% in Set 1. Southern Miss. went in as RallyIQ's 76% pick.

Southern Miss.ULM
  • Break %+9.5 pts
    45.936.4

    34 of 74 on serve vs 24 of 66, so ULM's sideout was 54.1%.

  • Hitting+.100
    .368.268

    Kills and errors: 51–8 vs 38–8.

ULM above 50Southern Miss. belowMax swing 7.7%

Southern Miss.ULM

Aces
Southern Miss. 4·ULM 7
Serve err
Southern Miss. 8·ULM 10
Blocks
Southern Miss. 2·ULM 30 BS · 4 BA vs 1 BS · 4 BA
Digs
Southern Miss. 58·ULM 48

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

ULM above 50 · Southern Miss. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.7% LA MONrally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.7% to ULM — set 1, S MISS 24-24 LA MON. Ace by Marissa Kobelski on Sadie McAda. LA MON win probability 19% → 27%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S MISS 72.2%27.8% LA MON

Southern Miss. wins

3-0
24.8%
3-1
27.7%
3-2
19.7%

ULM wins

3-0
5.1%
3-1
9.7%
3-2
13.0%
S MISS break %
46.6% vs this opp
LA MON break %
42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Marissa Kobelski on Sadie McAda

    Set 1 · S MISS 24-24 LA MON · LA MON 19% → 27%

  2. 02
    Elly StewartKill+7.0%

    Kill by Elly Stewart (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 1 · S MISS 26-24 LA MON · S MISS 80% → 87%

  3. 03
    Aubrey JuddKill+6.2%

    Kill by Aubrey Judd (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 1 · S MISS 25-24 LA MON · S MISS 73% → 80%

  4. 04

    Kill by Allie Hazelwood (set by Eden Pietrzak)

    Set 2 · S MISS 23-22 LA MON · S MISS 84% → 89%

  5. 05

    Kill by Lillie Johnson (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 2 · S MISS 25-23 LA MON · S MISS 91% → 95%

  6. 06
    Diana WellsKill+4.3%

    Kill by Diana Wells (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 1 · S MISS 24-22 LA MON · S MISS 79% → 84%

  7. 07
    Sadie McAdaKill+4.3%

    Kill by Sadie McAda (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 2 · S MISS 24-22 LA MON · S MISS 89% → 93%

  8. 08
    Sadie McAdaKill+4.2%

    Kill by Sadie McAda (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 2 · S MISS 22-22 LA MON · S MISS 80% → 84%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313129.414012142010.514.5
311126.3851003000011
39117.47111000010.510.5
39320.300100130009
35112.33300010010.55.5
3215.200420270010.52.5
3005.0005122010001
3000–011800001
3000–001400000
1102.500000000001
11011.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals518117.368504858704276
ULMhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314135.3710019000014
38018.4440122010110
35216.188131500008
3204.5001422500004
3203.667000100213
32416-.125100200002
34014.286000000215
3002.0001121810001
31011.000200200001
3013-.3331602400000
Team totals388112.2683571048414364

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southern Miss. vs ULM

Season series · Southern Miss. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 S MISS · LA MON 4

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 S MISSLA MON 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 S MISSLA MON 4

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 4 S MISSLA MON 3

Bars above the line = ULM leads, below = Southern Miss. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Miss.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
53%8/15
2
64%9/14
50%9/18
3
55%6/11
50%6/12
4
67%6/9
33%3/9
5
55%6/11
40%4/10
6
75%6/8
40%4/10
All
64%42/66
46%34/74

ULM

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
38%5/13
2
50%7/14
36%5/14
3
50%6/12
22%2/9
4
75%6/8
45%5/11
5
50%6/12
25%2/8
6
50%6/12
45%5/11
All
54%40/74
36%24/66

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#S MISS-LA MONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0LA MONS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
22-0S MISSS MISSAttack errMarissa Kobelski+1.7
32-1S MISSLA MON×3Attack errSadie McAda+1.4
42-2LA MONLA MON×3AceMarissa Kobelski+1.9
52-3LA MONLA MON×3AceMarissa Kobelskiaced Sunni Sheppard+2.1
63-3LA MONS MISSBlockedGrace Troxellblk Sadie McAda, Lillie Johnson+1.6
73-4S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+1.7
84-4LA MONS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
95-4S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.0
105-5S MISSLA MONKillMorgan Howardset Amelia Colon+1.7
116-5LA MONS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
126-6S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+1.7
136-7LA MONLA MONBlockedDiana Wellsblk Kenzie Behl, Zharia Alleyne+2.3
147-7LA MONS MISS×4Serve errULM+1.8
158-7S MISSS MISS×4AceSouthern Miss.aced Eden Pietrzak+2.2
169-7S MISSS MISS×4KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.0
1710-7S MISSS MISS×4KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
1810-8S MISSLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
1911-8LA MONS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
2012-8S MISSS MISS×3KillAubrey Juddset Sunni Sheppard+1.6
2113-8S MISSS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Sunni Sheppard+1.3
2213-9S MISSLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+0.9
2313-10LA MONLA MONAceMorgan Howardaced Diana Wells+1.5
2414-10LA MONS MISSServe errMorgan Howard+1.3
2515-10S MISSS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
2615-11S MISSLA MON×3KillGrace Troxellset Morgan Howard+0.9
2715-12LA MONLA MON×3KillMorgan Howardset Marissa Kobelski+1.5
2815-13LA MONLA MON×3KillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+2.0
2916-13LA MONS MISSServe errULM+1.8
3017-13S MISSS MISSAttack errAniya Hall+1.8
3117-14S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+1.2
3217-15LA MONLA MONAceTatum Clayaced Sadie McAda+2.1
3318-15LA MONS MISSAttack errGrace Troxell+1.9
3419-15S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewartset Aubrey Judd+1.9
3519-16S MISSLA MONBad setElly Stewart+1.2
3620-16LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Elly Stewart+1.5
3720-17S MISSLA MONAttack errDiana Wells+1.2
3821-17LA MONS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
3921-18S MISSLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Bre Perrin+1.1
4022-18LA MONS MISSKillAllie Hazelwoodset Diana Wells+1.5
4123-18S MISSS MISSAttack errTatum Clay+1.1
4223-19S MISSLA MON×4KillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+0.4
4323-20LA MONLA MON×4Attack errLillie Johnson+1.0
4423-21LA MONLA MON×4BlockedAubrey Juddblk Tatum Clay+1.9
4523-22LA MONLA MON×4KillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+3.5
4624-22LA MONS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+4.3
4724-23S MISSLA MONBad setAubrey Judd+2.6
4824-24LA MONLA MONAceMarissa Kobelskiaced Sadie McAda+7.7
4925-24LA MONS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+6.2
5026-24S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+7.0
Set 2
10-1S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+1.2
21-1LA MONS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.2
31-2S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+1.3
42-2LA MONS MISSServe errULM+1.2
52-3S MISSLA MONAttack errElly Stewart+1.3
63-3LA MONS MISSServe errULM+1.2
73-4S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+1.3
84-4LA MONS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
95-4S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
105-5S MISSLA MON×3KillKenzie Behlset Diana Wells+1.3
115-6LA MONLA MON×3KillTatum Clayset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
125-7LA MONLA MON×3Attack errDiana Wells+1.9
136-7LA MONS MISSServe errULM+1.4
146-8S MISSLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+1.6
157-8LA MONS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
168-8S MISSS MISS×3KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
179-8S MISSS MISS×3KillMaggie Sewellset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
189-9S MISSLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+1.5
1910-9LA MONS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
2011-9S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
2111-10S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+1.4
2212-10LA MONS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
2313-10S MISSS MISS×4Attack errGrace Troxell+1.6
2414-10S MISSS MISS×4KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
2515-10S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Sunni Sheppard+1.1
2615-11S MISSLA MON×4KillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+0.7
2715-12LA MONLA MON×4Serve errULM+1.2
2815-13LA MONLA MON×4BlockedAllie Hazelwoodblk Zharia Alleyne+1.5
2915-14LA MONLA MON×4KillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+1.9
3016-14LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
3116-15S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+1.6
3216-16LA MONLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+2.4
3317-16LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.0
3418-16S MISSS MISSAceSouthern Miss.+2.3
3518-17S MISSLA MON×3Serve errSouthern Miss.+1.8
3618-18LA MONLA MON×3KillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+2.7
3718-19LA MONLA MON×3AceEden Pietrzakaced Diana Wells+3.2
3819-19LA MONS MISSServe errEden Pietrzak+2.4
3919-20S MISSLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Bre Perrin+2.8
4019-21LA MONLA MONAceMorgan Howardaced Diana Wells+3.7
4120-21LA MONS MISSServe errMorgan Howard+2.4
4220-22S MISSLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Morgan Howard+3.3
4321-22LA MONS MISS×4KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+2.6
4422-22S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+4.2
4523-22S MISSS MISS×4KillAllie Hazelwoodset Eden Pietrzak+4.8
4624-22S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+4.3
4724-23S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+2.0
4825-23LA MONS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+4.3
Set 3
11-0LA MONS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
21-1S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+0.6
32-1LA MONS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
42-2S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+0.7
52-3LA MONLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+0.9
63-3LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
74-3S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
84-4S MISSLA MON×3KillMarissa Kobelskiset Bre Perrin+0.7
94-5LA MONLA MON×3KillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+0.9
104-6LA MONLA MON×3KillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+1.0
115-6LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Sunni Sheppard+0.7
125-7S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+0.8
136-7LA MONS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
146-8S MISSLA MONKillAmelia Colonset Grace Troxell+0.8
156-9LA MONLA MONKillAniya Hallset Amelia Colon+1.1
167-9LA MONS MISS×3KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
178-9S MISSS MISS×3KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.0
189-9S MISSS MISS×3Bad setMorgan Howard+1.0
199-10S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+0.9
2010-10LA MONS MISS×4Serve errULM+0.8
2111-10S MISSS MISS×4AceSouthern Miss.+1.0
2212-10S MISSS MISS×4KillAubrey Juddset Sunni Sheppard+1.0
2313-10S MISSS MISS×4Attack errBre Perrin+0.9
2413-11S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+0.6
2514-11LA MONS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
2615-11S MISSS MISSAceSouthern Miss.+0.7
2715-12S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+0.5
2816-12LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
2916-13S MISSLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+0.5
3017-13LA MONS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
3118-13S MISSS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
3219-13S MISSS MISS×3BlockedGrace Troxellblk Allie Hazelwood, Elly Stewart+0.4
3319-14S MISSLA MONKillTatum Clayset Eden Pietrzak+0.2
3420-14LA MONS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.3
3521-14S MISSS MISSBad setAniya Hall+0.2
3621-15S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+0.1
3722-15LA MONS MISSServe errULM+0.1
3823-15S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.1
3923-16S MISSLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard·
4024-16LA MONS MISSKillSophie Sosaset Allie Hazelwood·
4124-17S MISSLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin·
4225-17LA MONS MISSAttack errMarissa Kobelski·

Score shown after each rally, Southern Miss. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).