Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Southern Miss. def. ULM 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Southern Miss. 76.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southern Miss. won at ULM 3-1 (23-25, 25-20, 25-18, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Southern Miss.'s Sadie McAda led with 22 kills, and Sunni Sheppard added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set1234Sets
S MISS232525253
LA MON252018171

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Southern Miss. needed all of Sadie Mcada's 23.5 points to get by ULM.

One stretch decided it. Percentages are Southern Miss.'s RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave Southern Miss. 77% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Southern Miss. 23–21 ULM

    ULM closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0.

    Southern Miss. 84% → 56%

ULM above 50Southern Miss. belowMax swing 9.7%

Southern Miss.ULM

Sideout %
Southern Miss. 60.5·ULM 49.5
Break %
Southern Miss. 50.5·ULM 39.5
Hitting
Southern Miss. .201·ULM .098
Longest run
Southern Miss. 6·ULM 5

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

ULM above 50 · Southern Miss. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.7% LA MONrally 178 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.7% to ULM — set 1, S MISS 23-25 LA MON. Diana Wells stuffed by Zharia Alleyne & Grace Troxell. LA MON win probability 34% → 44%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S MISS 72.2%27.8% LA MON

Southern Miss. wins

3-0
24.8%
3-1
27.7%
3-2
19.7%

ULM wins

3-0
5.1%
3-1
9.7%
3-2
13.0%
S MISS break %
46.6% vs this opp
LA MON break %
42.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Diana Wells stuffed by Zharia Alleyne & Grace Troxell

    Set 1 · S MISS 23-25 LA MON · LA MON 34% → 44%

  2. 02
    Lillie JohnsonAttack error+8.6%

    Attack error by Lillie Johnson

    Set 1 · S MISS 23-24 LA MON · LA MON 26% → 34%

  3. 03
    ULMAce+5.9%

    ULM ace on Sadie McAda

    Set 1 · S MISS 23-23 LA MON · LA MON 20% → 26%

  4. 04
    Kenzie BehlKill+4.3%

    Kill by Kenzie Behl (set by Marissa Kobelski)

    Set 2 · S MISS 20-19 LA MON · LA MON 36% → 41%

  5. 05
    Sadie McAdaKill+4.1%

    Kill by Sadie McAda (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 2 · S MISS 22-19 LA MON · S MISS 63% → 67%

  6. 06
    Elly StewartKill+4.1%

    Kill by Elly Stewart (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 2 · S MISS 21-19 LA MON · S MISS 59% → 63%

  7. 07

    Diana Wells stuffed by Tatum Clay & Grace Troxell

    Set 3 · S MISS 7-9 LA MON · LA MON 33% → 37%

  8. 08
    Sadie McAdaKill+3.5%

    Kill by Sadie McAda (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 3 · S MISS 11-10 LA MON · S MISS 69% → 73%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
422959.220011122010.523.5
48129.24112050334.514.5
49218.38900010212.511.5
410425.2400004100010
4007.00044101503245
43418-.05600010010.53.5
4002.0003211910002
4000–1231510002
4001.000011800001
1000–011300001
Team totals5220159.20149107839881298
ULMhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410947.021223111111.513.5
47117.3530111032412
49524.1671116110111
48216.37500000010.58.5
42527-.111000400002
4105.2001400900001
44218.111101410215
4112.00017421400005
4016-.1674112020001
4001.000000520000
Team totals4226163.0983999741056880

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Southern Miss. vs ULM

Season series · Southern Miss. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 S MISS · LA MON 5

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 S MISSLA MON 5

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 4 S MISSLA MON 3

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 S MISSLA MON 4

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 6 S MISSLA MON 3

Bars above the line = ULM leads, below = Southern Miss. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Southern Miss.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
77%10/13
38%5/13
2
75%9/12
64%16/25
3
53%8/15
50%8/16
4
62%8/13
43%6/14
5
62%8/13
53%9/17
6
40%6/15
42%5/12
All
60%49/81
51%49/97

ULM

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%10/19
27%3/11
2
40%8/20
29%4/14
3
42%8/19
27%3/11
4
57%8/14
50%8/16
5
53%8/15
43%6/14
6
60%6/10
53%8/15
All
49%48/97
40%32/81

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

178 rallies

#S MISS-LA MONSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0LA MONS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
22-0S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAda+1.6
32-1S MISSLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Bre Perrin+1.3
42-2LA MONLA MONAttack errSadie McAda+1.9
53-2LA MONS MISSAttack errKenzie Behl+1.4
63-3S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+1.5
73-4LA MONLA MONAceULM+2.1
84-4LA MONS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Kaylee Lowther+1.6
95-4S MISSS MISS×3BlockedKenzie Behlblk Sadie McAda, Elly Stewart+1.9
106-4S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Elly Stewart+1.8
116-5S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+1.5
127-5LA MONS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
138-5S MISSS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
149-5S MISSS MISS×3Attack errGrace Troxell+1.5
159-6S MISSLA MON×5KillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+1.1
169-7LA MONLA MON×5Attack errSadie McAda+1.7
179-8LA MONLA MON×5AceULMaced Diana Wells+2.0
189-9LA MONLA MON×5AceULM+2.3
199-10LA MONLA MON×5KillTatum Clay+2.5
2010-10LA MONS MISSAttack errAniya Hall+1.9
2111-10S MISSS MISSAttack errMarissa Kobelski+2.4
2211-11S MISSLA MONAttack errDiana Wells+2.0
2312-11LA MONS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+1.9
2412-12S MISSLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard+2.0
2513-12LA MONS MISS×5KillDiana Wells+2.0
2614-12S MISSS MISS×5KillSadie McAdaset Sunni Sheppard+2.4
2715-12S MISSS MISS×5KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.1
2816-12S MISSS MISS×5AceSouthern Miss.aced Marissa Kobelski+1.7
2917-12S MISSS MISS×5KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
3017-13S MISSLA MONAttack errAubrey Judd+0.8
3118-13LA MONS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+1.0
3218-14S MISSLA MONAttack errSadie McAda+0.8
3318-15LA MONLA MONBlockedAubrey Juddblk Tatum Clay, Aniya Hall+1.5
3419-15LA MONS MISS×3BlockedAniya Hallblk Aubrey Judd+1.5
3520-15S MISSS MISS×3AceSouthern Miss.aced Amelia Colon+1.3
3621-15S MISSS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
3721-16S MISSLA MON×4KillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+0.4
3821-17LA MONLA MON×4KillAniya Hallset Eden Pietrzak+0.8
3921-18LA MONLA MON×4AceULM+1.3
4021-19LA MONLA MON×4KillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+2.1
4122-19LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
4222-20S MISSLA MONKillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+1.6
4323-20LA MONS MISSBlockedAniya Hallblk Elly Stewart+2.4
4423-21S MISSLA MON×5KillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+1.5
4523-22LA MONLA MON×5KillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard+3.4
4623-23LA MONLA MON×5AceULMaced Sadie McAda+5.9
4723-24LA MONLA MON×5Attack errLillie Johnson+8.6
4823-25LA MONLA MON×5BlockedDiana Wellsblk Zharia Alleyne, Grace Troxell+9.7
Set 2
10-1S MISSLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Bre Perrin+2.2
20-2LA MONLA MONAttack errSadie McAda+2.9
31-2LA MONS MISS×4Serve errULM+2.2
42-2S MISSS MISS×4BlockedAniya Hallblk Allie Hazelwood+2.7
53-2S MISSS MISS×4Serve errSouthern Miss.+2.6
64-2S MISSS MISS×4BlockedAniya Hallblk Allie Hazelwood+2.5
74-3S MISSLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Bre Perrin+2.0
85-3LA MONS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+2.0
96-3S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
106-4S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+1.8
116-5LA MONLA MONAceULM+2.6
127-5LA MONS MISSServe errULM+2.1
137-6S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+2.1
147-7LA MONLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+3.0
158-7LA MONS MISS×3KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+2.4
169-7S MISSS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.8
1710-7S MISSS MISS×3Attack errMarissa Kobelski+2.5
1810-8S MISSLA MONAttack errAniya Hall+1.9
1911-8LA MONS MISS×3Serve errULM+2.0
2012-8S MISSS MISS×3AceSouthern Miss.aced Eden Pietrzak+2.2
2113-8S MISSS MISS×3BlockedZharia Alleyneblk Elly Stewart+1.8
2213-9S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+1.2
2314-9LA MONS MISSAttack errKenzie Behl+1.4
2415-9S MISSS MISSAceSouthern Miss.+1.4
2515-10S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+0.9
2615-11LA MONLA MONAttack errElly Stewart+1.5
2716-11LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
2816-12S MISSLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Bre Perrin+1.2
2917-12LA MONS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
3017-13S MISSLA MON×3Attack errAubrey Judd+1.2
3117-14LA MONLA MON×3BlockedSadie McAdablk Tatum Clay+2.1
3217-15LA MONLA MON×3Attack errSadie McAda+2.9
3318-15LA MONS MISSServe errULM+2.6
3418-16S MISSLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Morgan Howard+2.3
3519-16LA MONS MISSServe errULM+2.8
3619-17S MISSLA MONBlockedAubrey Juddblk Tatum Clay+2.4
3720-17LA MONS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.9
3820-18S MISSLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Morgan Howard+2.4
3920-19LA MONLA MONKillKenzie Behlset Marissa Kobelski+4.3
4021-19LA MONS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+4.1
4122-19S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+4.1
4223-19S MISSS MISS×3Attack errKenzie Behl+2.6
4323-20S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+1.0
4424-20LA MONS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
4525-20S MISSS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
Set 3
10-1LA MONLA MONAceULMaced Kaylee Lowther+2.9
21-1LA MONS MISSAttack errGrace Troxell+2.2
31-2S MISSLA MONAttack errSadie McAda+2.4
42-2LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.2
52-3S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Eden Pietrzak+2.4
63-3LA MONS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
74-3S MISSS MISSAceSouthern Miss.aced Aniya Hall+2.8
84-4S MISSLA MONKillZharia Alleyneset Bre Perrin+2.3
95-4LA MONS MISSServe errULM+2.3
105-5S MISSLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Bre Perrin+2.4
116-5LA MONS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
127-5S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.8
137-6S MISSLA MON×4KillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+2.2
147-7LA MONLA MON×4KillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+3.2
157-8LA MONLA MON×4AceULMaced Sunni Sheppard+3.5
167-9LA MONLA MON×4BlockedDiana Wellsblk Tatum Clay, Grace Troxell+3.7
178-9LA MONS MISSAttack errMarissa Kobelski+2.7
189-9S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+3.5
199-10S MISSLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+3.0
2010-10LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Sunni Sheppard+2.8
2111-10S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+3.5
2211-11S MISSLA MONKillMorgan Howardset Eden Pietrzak+2.9
2312-11LA MONS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Zharia Alleyne+2.8
2413-11S MISSS MISS×3BlockedAniya Hallblk Lillie Johnson+3.4
2514-11S MISSS MISS×3KillLillie Johnson+3.0
2614-12S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard+2.2
2715-12LA MONS MISSAttack errAniya Hall+2.4
2815-13S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+2.3
2916-13LA MONS MISS×4Serve errAniya Hall+2.5
3017-13S MISSS MISS×4AceSunni Sheppard+2.6
3118-13S MISSS MISS×4AceSunni Sheppardaced Eden Pietrzak+2.0
3219-13S MISSS MISS×4KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
3319-14S MISSLA MONServe errSunni Sheppard+0.7
3420-14LA MONS MISSServe errEden Pietrzak+1.0
3521-14S MISSS MISSAttack errMarissa Kobelski+0.7
3621-15S MISSLA MONKillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+0.3
3722-15LA MONS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.5
3823-15S MISSS MISSAttack errMorgan Howard+0.2
3923-16S MISSLA MONServe errSouthern Miss.+0.1
4024-16LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.1
4124-17S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Morgan Howard·
4224-18LA MONLA MONAttack errLillie Johnson+0.1
4325-18LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.1
Set 4
10-1S MISSLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Bre Perrin+1.9
21-1LA MONS MISS×6Serve errGrace Troxell+1.8
32-1S MISSS MISS×6AceElly Stewartaced Grace Troxell+2.2
43-1S MISSS MISS×6KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+2.0
54-1S MISSS MISS×6AceElly Stewartaced Amelia Colon+1.8
65-1S MISSS MISS×6KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
76-1S MISSS MISS×6BlockedAniya Hallblk Allie Hazelwood+1.4
86-2S MISSLA MONKillBre Perrinset Eden Pietrzak+1.0
97-2LA MONS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.1
108-2S MISSS MISS×3KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.2
119-2S MISSS MISS×3Attack errKenzie Behl+0.9
129-3S MISSLA MON×3KillTatum Clayset Bre Perrin+0.6
139-4LA MONLA MON×3AceMorgan Howardaced Sadie McAda+1.0
149-5LA MONLA MON×3KillSunni Sheppardset Tatum Clay+1.3
1510-5LA MONS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.2
1611-5S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.2
1711-6S MISSLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Aniya Hall+0.8
1812-6LA MONS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.9
1912-7S MISSLA MONKillTatum Clayset Morgan Howard+0.8
2012-8LA MONLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Aniya Hall+1.3
2113-8LA MONS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.2
2213-9S MISSLA MONAttack errMarissa Kobelski+1.0
2313-10LA MONLA MONAttack errSadie McAda+1.7
2414-10LA MONS MISSAttack errEden Pietrzak+1.5
2514-11S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Grace Troxell+1.4
2615-11LA MONS MISSBlockedZharia Alleyneblk Elly Stewart+1.6
2716-11S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
2816-12S MISSLA MONAttack errAllie Hazelwood+1.0
2916-13LA MONLA MONBlockedSadie McAdablk Tatum Clay+1.8
3017-13LA MONS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
3118-13S MISSS MISS×4BlockedTatum Clayblk Lillie Johnson+1.6
3219-13S MISSS MISS×4AceAllie Hazelwood+1.1
3320-13S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
3420-14S MISSLA MONKillAniya Hallset Bre Perrin+0.3
3521-14LA MONS MISSAttack errAniya Hall+0.4
3621-15S MISSLA MONKillMarissa Kobelskiset Morgan Howard+0.2
3721-16LA MONLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Morgan Howard+0.5
3822-16LA MONS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
3923-16S MISSS MISS×3Attack errMarissa Kobelski+0.4
4024-16S MISSS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.1
4124-17S MISSLA MONKillGrace Troxellset Sunni Sheppard·
4225-17LA MONS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood·

Score shown after each rally, Southern Miss. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).