Final · 5 setsThu, Oct 22, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Arkansas St. def. Southern Miss. 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Arkansas St. 80.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 22, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arkansas St. won at Southern Miss. 3-2 (25-20, 25-16, 23-25, 21-25, 15-12) on Thu, Oct 22, 2026. Addison Collum led Arkansas St. with 14 kills; Southern Miss.'s Elly Stewart had a match-high 17.

Data through · final Oct 22

Set12345Sets
ARK ST25252321153
S MISS20162525122

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Mia Maloney, and Arkansas St. needed each of them.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Arkansas St.'s win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Arkansas St. at 81%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Arkansas St. 18–20 Southern Miss.

    Arkansas St. scored 7 straight to turn an 18–20 deficit into a 25–20 lead.

    Arkansas St. 71% → 90%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Arkansas St. 3–4 Southern Miss.

    Down 3–4, Arkansas St. scored 4 straight to lead 7–4.

    Arkansas St. 55% → 86%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Arkansas St. 10–8 Southern Miss.

    4 straight Arkansas St. points stretched a 10–8 lead to 14–8.

    Arkansas St. 84% → >99%

Southern Miss. above 50Arkansas St. belowMax swing 9.7%

Arkansas St.Southern Miss.

Sideout %
Arkansas St. 56.6·Southern Miss. 50.9
Break %
Arkansas St. 49.1·Southern Miss. 43.4
Hitting
Arkansas St. .141·Southern Miss. .118
Longest run
Arkansas St. 7·Southern Miss. 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern Miss. above 50 · Arkansas St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+9.7% S MISSrally 207 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.7% to Southern Miss. — set 5, ARK ST 3-4 S MISS. Kill by Aubrey Judd (set by Allie Hazelwood). S MISS win probability 35% → 45%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK ST 85.7%14.3% S MISS

Arkansas St. wins

3-0
38.0%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
16.3%

Southern Miss. wins

3-0
2.1%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
7.7%
ARK ST break %
47.0% vs this opp
S MISS break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Aubrey JuddKill+9.7%

    Kill by Aubrey Judd (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 5 · ARK ST 3-4 S MISS · S MISS 35% → 45%

  2. 02
    Diana WellsAttack error+9.0%

    Attack error by Diana Wells

    Set 5 · ARK ST 5-4 S MISS · ARK ST 62% → 71%

  3. 03

    Addison Collum stuffed by Lillie Johnson & Diana Wells

    Set 5 · ARK ST 1-2 S MISS · S MISS 34% → 43%

  4. 04
    Aubrey JuddAttack error+8.3%

    Attack error by Aubrey Judd

    Set 5 · ARK ST 6-4 S MISS · ARK ST 71% → 79%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kaitlin Whitlock (set by Erin Madigan)

    Set 5 · ARK ST 3-2 S MISS · ARK ST 63% → 71%

  6. 06
    Diana WellsAttack error+7.0%

    Attack error by Diana Wells

    Set 5 · ARK ST 7-4 S MISS · ARK ST 79% → 86%

  7. 07

    Kill by Kaitlin Whitlock (set by Erin Madigan)

    Set 5 · ARK ST 4-4 S MISS · ARK ST 55% → 62%

  8. 08
    Diana WellsKill+6.5%

    Kill by Diana Wells (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 5 · ARK ST 3-3 S MISS · S MISS 29% → 35%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514545.2000039016418
512441.19500060111.513.5
57218.27801060153.511.5
55114.28600060153.58.5
55533.0000321820008
5319.222350160031.54.5
5001.0000412710004
5011-1.0002121430001
2026-.333000000000
1012-.500000000000
1000–000000000
1000–200000000
Team totals4622170.141399992642014109
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
517733.30304210010.521.5
5101053.000112152010.511.5
58222.27310020132.510.5
54210.2004312900005
5000–0041310000
2000–001300000
5131145.0440004102114
55323.08700030111.56.5
5000–2032920000
3219.111000100002
3000–503900000
1000–001000000
Team totals5936195.1185261889928698

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Arkansas St. vs Southern Miss.

Season series · Arkansas St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 ARK ST · S MISS 7

Set 1

25-20

Longest run 7 ARK STS MISS 7

Set 2

25-16

Longest run 6 ARK STS MISS 2

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 5 ARK STS MISS 6

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 6 ARK STS MISS 3

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 4 ARK STS MISS 4

Bars above the line = Southern Miss. leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%12/18
57%13/23
2
69%9/13
60%15/25
3
64%9/14
25%3/12
4
41%9/22
44%7/16
5
56%9/16
53%10/19
6
50%8/16
38%5/13
All
57%56/99
49%53/108

Southern Miss.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%10/25
41%7/17
2
50%10/20
33%5/15
3
69%9/13
18%2/11
4
53%9/17
53%10/19
5
47%9/19
50%9/18
6
57%8/14
53%10/19
All
51%55/108
43%43/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

207 rallies

#ARK ST-S MISSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0S MISSARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+1.2
22-0ARK STARK STAceArkansas St.+1.5
32-1ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.1
43-1S MISSARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.1
54-1ARK STARK ST×3KillErin Madiganset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
65-1ARK STARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.2
75-2ARK STS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
85-3S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAda+1.3
96-3S MISSARK STAttack errSadie McAda+1.0
106-4ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+1.0
117-4S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+1.1
127-5ARK STS MISSKillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+1.1
137-6S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
148-6S MISSARK ST×4KillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+1.3
159-6ARK STARK ST×4Attack errElly Stewart+1.5
1610-6ARK STARK ST×4KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.3
1711-6ARK STARK ST×4BlockedDiana Wellsblk Addison Collum+1.1
1811-7ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
1912-7S MISSARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.8
2012-8ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+0.7
2113-8S MISSARK STAttack errElly Stewart+0.8
2213-9ARK STS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
2314-9S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+0.8
2414-10ARK STS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
2515-10S MISSARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.8
2615-11ARK STS MISS×7KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
2715-12S MISSS MISS×7Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+1.3
2815-13S MISSS MISS×7KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
2915-14S MISSS MISS×7KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.2
3015-15S MISSS MISS×7KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+2.7
3115-16S MISSS MISS×7Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+3.1
3215-17S MISSS MISS×7KillDiana Wellsset Sunni Sheppard+3.3
3316-17S MISSARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+2.2
3416-18ARK STS MISSBlockedParker Stearnsblk Emily Davis, Lillie Johnson+2.7
3517-18S MISSARK STAttack errDiana Wells+2.3
3617-19ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.9
3718-19S MISSARK STBlockedDiana Wellsblk Calea Bush, Addison Collum+2.4
3818-20ARK STS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.1
3919-20S MISSARK ST×7Serve errSouthern Miss.+2.6
4020-20ARK STARK ST×7BlockedElly Stewartblk Devyn Lewis, Haley Glunz+4.0
4121-20ARK STARK ST×7KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+4.1
4222-20ARK STARK ST×7KillHaley Glunz+3.7
4323-20ARK STARK ST×7BlockedSadie McAdablk Haley Glunz, Addison Collum+2.7
4424-20ARK STARK ST×7BlockedSadie McAdablk Addison Collum, Haley Glunz+1.4
4525-20ARK STARK ST×7Attack errSadie McAda+0.4
Set 2
10-1ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.0
21-1S MISSARK STBlockedSadie McAdablk Addison Collum, Calea Bush+0.9
32-1ARK STARK STBlockedLillie Johnsonblk Haley Glunz+1.2
42-2ARK STS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.0
53-2S MISSARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.9
63-3ARK STS MISSBad setErin Madigan+1.0
74-3S MISSARK STAttack errEmily Davis+0.9
85-3ARK STARK STAttack errDiana Wells+1.2
95-4ARK STS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Sadie McAda+0.9
105-5S MISSS MISSBlockedHaley Glunzblk Diana Wells, Elly Stewart+1.4
116-5S MISSARK ST×6Serve errSouthern Miss.+1.0
127-5ARK STARK ST×6BlockedElly Stewartblk Calea Bush+1.3
138-5ARK STARK ST×6KillErin Madiganset Allie Hazelwood+1.1
149-5ARK STARK ST×6KillCalea Bush+0.9
1510-5ARK STARK ST×6AceArkansas St.aced Sadie McAda+0.8
1611-5ARK STARK ST×6Attack errDiana Wells+0.6
1711-6ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.4
1811-7S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
1912-7S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+0.6
2012-8ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+0.5
2113-8S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+0.6
2213-9ARK STS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.5
2314-9S MISSARK ST×6KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.6
2415-9ARK STARK ST×6KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.6
2516-9ARK STARK ST×6AceArkansas St.aced Sunni Sheppard+0.4
2617-9ARK STARK ST×6AceArkansas St.aced Sunni Sheppard+0.3
2718-9ARK STARK ST×6AceArkansas St.aced Kaylee Lowther+0.1
2819-9ARK STARK ST×6BlockedSadie McAdablk Haley Glunz, Addison Collum+0.1
2919-10ARK STS MISSKillAllie Hazelwoodset Erin Madigan·
3020-10S MISSARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan·
3120-11ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.·
3220-12S MISSS MISSAttack errDevyn Lewis+0.1
3321-12S MISSARK ST×3Serve errSouthern Miss.+0.1
3422-12ARK STARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Libby Gee-Weiler·
3523-12ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Diana Wells·
3623-13ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.·
3723-14S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood·
3824-14S MISSARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan·
3924-15ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood·
4024-16S MISSS MISSBad setKaitlin Whitlock·
4125-16S MISSARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan·
Set 3
10-1S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Lillie Johnson+0.7
21-1S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+0.5
31-2ARK STS MISS×3KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+0.5
41-3S MISSS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
51-4S MISSS MISS×3AceSouthern Miss.aced Kaitlin Whitlock+0.8
62-4S MISSARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.5
72-5ARK STS MISSKillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
83-5S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+0.6
94-5ARK STARK STBlockedDiana Wellsblk Erin Madigan, Haley Glunz+0.8
104-6ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
115-6S MISSARK ST×5Serve errSouthern Miss.+0.6
126-6ARK STARK ST×5Attack errDiana Wells+0.8
137-6ARK STARK ST×5KillErin Madiganset Morgen Durgens+0.7
148-6ARK STARK ST×5Attack errDiana Wells+0.7
159-6ARK STARK ST×5Attack errElly Stewart+0.6
169-7ARK STS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.4
179-8S MISSS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
189-9S MISSS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
1910-9S MISSARK STBlockedSadie McAdablk Erin Madigan, Calea Bush+0.6
2010-10ARK STS MISS×6KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
2110-11S MISSS MISS×6KillLillie Johnson+1.0
2210-12S MISSS MISS×6AceSouthern Miss.aced Libby Gee-Weiler+1.0
2310-13S MISSS MISS×6Attack errAddison Collum+1.1
2410-14S MISSS MISS×6KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+1.0
2510-15S MISSS MISS×6AceSouthern Miss.aced Libby Gee-Weiler+0.9
2611-15S MISSARK ST×4KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.5
2712-15ARK STARK ST×4KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.8
2813-15ARK STARK ST×4KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.0
2914-15ARK STARK ST×4KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.1
3014-16ARK STS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Morgen Durgens+0.9
3115-16S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+0.8
3216-16ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.2
3316-17ARK STS MISSBlockedDevyn Lewisblk Lillie Johnson+1.0
3416-18S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Sunni Sheppard+1.4
3517-18S MISSARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.9
3617-19ARK STS MISSBlockedDevyn Lewisblk Emily Davis+1.1
3718-19S MISSARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.9
3818-20ARK STS MISSAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+1.2
3918-21S MISSS MISSAttack errAddison Collum+1.5
4019-21S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+0.8
4119-22ARK STS MISSAttack errParker Stearns+1.2
4220-22S MISSARK ST×3Serve errSouthern Miss.+0.8
4321-22ARK STARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Libby Gee-Weiler+1.5
4422-22ARK STARK ST×3Attack errElly Stewart+2.0
4522-23ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.9
4623-23S MISSARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.7
4723-24ARK STS MISSAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+2.4
4823-25S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+3.7
Set 4
11-0ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewis+1.9
22-0ARK STARK STBlockedEmily Davisblk Addison Collum, Calea Bush+1.8
32-1ARK STS MISSAttack errAddison Collum+1.4
42-2S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.1
53-2S MISSARK STAttack errEmily Davis+1.5
64-2ARK STARK STAttack errDiana Wells+1.9
74-3ARK STS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
85-3S MISSARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.4
95-4ARK STS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
105-5S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.2
116-5S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+1.6
126-6ARK STS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
136-7S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.6
146-8S MISSS MISS×3Attack errHaley Glunz+2.8
157-8S MISSARK STKillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+1.9
167-9ARK STS MISSAttack errLibby Gee-Weiler+2.2
178-9S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+2.0
188-10ARK STS MISSAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+2.3
198-11S MISSS MISSAceSouthern Miss.aced Kaitlin Whitlock+3.1
209-11S MISSARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.0
219-12ARK STS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+2.4
2210-12S MISSARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.0
2310-13ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+2.5
2411-13S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+2.1
2511-14ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+2.6
2611-15S MISSS MISSAttack errDevyn Lewis+3.3
2712-15S MISSARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Maya Joska+1.9
2812-16ARK STS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.6
2912-17S MISSS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+3.0
3012-18S MISSS MISS×3Attack errAdison Ozuna+2.4
3113-18S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+1.1
3213-19ARK STS MISS×3KillAllie Hazelwoodset Morgen Durgens+1.8
3313-20S MISSS MISS×3AceSouthern Miss.aced Libby Gee-Weiler+1.6
3413-21S MISSS MISS×3AceSouthern Miss.aced Mia Maloney+0.9
3514-21S MISSARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+0.3
3614-22ARK STS MISSKillAllie Hazelwoodset Morgen Durgens+0.6
3714-23S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.3
3815-23S MISSARK ST×6KillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+0.1
3916-23ARK STARK ST×6KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.1
4017-23ARK STARK ST×6Attack errSadie McAda+0.3
4118-23ARK STARK ST×6AceArkansas St.+0.5
4219-23ARK STARK ST×6AceArkansas St.aced Sadie McAda+0.9
4320-23ARK STARK ST×6AceArkansas St.+1.7
4420-24ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+2.6
4521-24S MISSARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.7
4621-25ARK STS MISSKillAllie Hazelwoodset Allie Hazelwood+0.9
Set 5
11-0S MISSARK STAttack errLillie Johnson+5.6
21-1ARK STS MISSAttack errAddison Collum+6.0
31-2S MISSS MISSBlockedAddison Collumblk Lillie Johnson, Diana Wells+8.8
42-2S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+6.3
53-2ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+8.2
63-3ARK STS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+6.5
73-4S MISSS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+9.7
84-4S MISSARK ST×4KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+6.8
95-4ARK STARK ST×4Attack errDiana Wells+9.0
106-4ARK STARK ST×4Attack errAubrey Judd+8.3
117-4ARK STARK ST×4Attack errDiana Wells+7.0
127-5ARK STS MISSKillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+4.7
138-5S MISSARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+5.4
149-5ARK STARK STAttack errElly Stewart+5.6
159-6ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+3.3
1610-6S MISSARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+4.2
1710-7ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Morgen Durgens+3.1
1810-8S MISSS MISSAttack errErin Madigan+6.4
1911-8S MISSARK ST×4Attack errAllie Hazelwood+6.2
2012-8ARK STARK ST×4BlockedSadie McAdablk Erin Madigan, Calea Bush+5.7
2113-8ARK STARK ST×4BlockedAllie Hazelwoodblk Devyn Lewis+3.0
2214-8ARK STARK ST×4Attack errSadie McAda+1.1
2314-9ARK STS MISS×4KillLillie Johnsonset Morgen Durgens+0.2
2414-10S MISSS MISS×4BlockedCalea Bushblk Sadie McAda, Lillie Johnson+0.6
2514-11S MISSS MISS×4KillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
2614-12S MISSS MISS×4KillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+3.7
2715-12S MISSARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+6.2

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).