FinalFri, Oct 23, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Arkansas St. def. Southern Miss. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Arkansas St. 80.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arkansas St. won at Southern Miss. 3-0 (25-15, 25-12, 25-17) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Arkansas St.'s Devyn Lewis led with 12 kills, and Kaitlin Whitlock added 15 digs.

Data through · final Oct 23

Set123Sets
ARK ST2525253
S MISS1512170

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Arkansas St. held Southern Miss. under 20 in every set.

The biggest single-rally swing was 2.0 points, and Southern Miss.'s high was 23% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Arkansas St. 81% before first serve.

Arkansas St.Southern Miss.
  • Break %+29.2 pts
    57.528.3

    On serve: 42/73 against 13/46 (Southern Miss. sideout 42.5%).

  • Hitting+.250
    .280.030

    42 kills, 14 errors vs 21 kills, 18 errors.

  • Longest run+6
    104

    Arkansas St. scored 10 straight in the second set to stretch a 14–11 lead to 24–11. That set ended 25–12.

Southern Miss. above 50Arkansas St. belowMax swing 2.0%

Arkansas St.Southern Miss.

Aces
Arkansas St. 8·Southern Miss. 0
Serve err
Arkansas St. 7·Southern Miss. 7
Blocks
Arkansas St. 5·Southern Miss. 52 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Arkansas St. 56·Southern Miss. 36

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern Miss. above 50 · Arkansas St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.0% S MISSrally 119 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Southern Miss. — set 1, ARK ST 2-4 S MISS. Kill by Emily Davis (set by Allie Hazelwood). S MISS win probability 21% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK ST 85.7%14.3% S MISS

Arkansas St. wins

3-0
38.0%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
16.3%

Southern Miss. wins

3-0
2.1%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
7.7%
ARK ST break %
47.0% vs this opp
S MISS break %
38.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Emily DavisKill+2.0%

    Kill by Emily Davis (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 1 · ARK ST 2-4 S MISS · S MISS 21% → 23%

  2. 02

    Kill by Addison Collum (set by Mia Maloney)

    Set 1 · ARK ST 4-4 S MISS · ARK ST 78% → 80%

  3. 03
    Devyn LewisAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Devyn Lewis

    Set 1 · ARK ST 1-2 S MISS · S MISS 19% → 21%

  4. 04
    Diana WellsAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Diana Wells

    Set 1 · ARK ST 5-4 S MISS · ARK ST 80% → 82%

  5. 05
    Emily DavisAttack error+1.6%

    Attack error by Emily Davis

    Set 1 · ARK ST 6-4 S MISS · ARK ST 82% → 83%

  6. 06
    Arkansas St.Ace+1.5%

    Arkansas St. ace on Sunni Sheppard

    Set 1 · ARK ST 8-5 S MISS · ARK ST 83% → 85%

  7. 07
    Diana WellsKill+1.5%

    Kill by Diana Wells (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 1 · ARK ST 2-3 S MISS · S MISS 20% → 21%

  8. 08
    Diana WellsAttack error+1.4%

    Attack error by Diana Wells

    Set 1 · ARK ST 3-4 S MISS · ARK ST 77% → 78%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312326.3460006010113
39422.2270103002111
36223.1740211500008
36210.400000101228
35211.27301240010.56.5
3418.375312290010.56.5
3000–122800002
3000–3001000000
Team totals4214100.280358756026575
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36528.036102130111.57.5
35116.250000000216
33111.18200000010.53.5
3139-.222000100212
3215.2001503200002
2000–001220000
33517-.11800020010.53.5
3000–101640000
21111.000000110001
2000–000410000
1013-.33300000010.50.5
1000–000100000
1000–000100000
1000–000300000
Team totals2118100.030170736818544

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Arkansas St. vs Southern Miss.

Season series · Arkansas St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 10 ARK ST · S MISS 4

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 6 ARK STS MISS 3

Set 2

25-12

Longest run 10 ARK STS MISS 4

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 5 ARK STS MISS 2

Bars above the line = Southern Miss. leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
78%7/9
58%7/12
2
78%7/9
70%16/23
3
50%5/10
50%5/10
4
100%5/5
44%4/9
5
71%5/7
38%3/8
6
67%4/6
64%7/11
All
72%33/46
58%42/73

Southern Miss.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
25%2/8
2
29%6/21
22%2/9
3
56%5/9
25%2/8
4
71%5/7
38%3/8
5
31%4/13
17%1/6
6
44%4/9
43%3/7
All
42%31/73
28%13/46

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

119 rallies

#ARK ST-S MISSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+1.2
21-1ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+1.3
31-2S MISSS MISSAttack errDevyn Lewis+1.8
42-2S MISSARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+1.3
52-3ARK STS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
62-4S MISSS MISSKillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+2.0
73-4S MISSARK ST×4Attack errDiana Wells+1.4
84-4ARK STARK ST×4KillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+1.9
95-4ARK STARK ST×4Attack errDiana Wells+1.8
106-4ARK STARK ST×4Attack errEmily Davis+1.6
116-5ARK STS MISSKillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
127-5S MISSARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+1.3
138-5ARK STARK STAceArkansas St.aced Sunni Sheppard+1.5
148-6ARK STS MISSAttack errAddison Collum+1.1
159-6S MISSARK ST×6KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+1.2
1610-6ARK STARK ST×6AceArkansas St.aced Kaylee Lowther+1.3
1711-6ARK STARK ST×6Attack errAllie Hazelwood+1.1
1812-6ARK STARK ST×6KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.8
1913-6ARK STARK ST×6KillErin Madiganset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
2014-6ARK STARK ST×6AceArkansas St.aced Sunni Sheppard+0.4
2114-7ARK STS MISS×3BlockedHaley Glunzblk Sadie McAda, Elly Stewart+0.2
2214-8S MISSS MISS×3BlockedHaley Glunzblk Sadie McAda+0.4
2314-9S MISSS MISS×3Attack errDevyn Lewis+0.6
2415-9S MISSARK ST×3KillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+0.6
2516-9ARK STARK ST×3Attack errSadie McAda+0.6
2617-9ARK STARK ST×3Attack errSadie McAda+0.4
2717-10ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+0.2
2818-10S MISSARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.2
2918-11ARK STS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.2
3018-12S MISSS MISSAttack errErin Madigan+0.3
3119-12S MISSARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.4
3220-12ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Aubrey Judd+0.3
3321-12ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Sunni Sheppard+0.1
3421-13ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.·
3522-13S MISSARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+0.1
3622-14ARK STS MISSKillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood·
3723-14S MISSARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan·
3823-15ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood·
3924-15S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.·
4025-15ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan·
Set 2
11-0ARK STARK STAttack errElly Stewart+1.2
22-0ARK STARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+1.1
32-1ARK STS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Sunni Sheppard+0.9
43-1S MISSARK ST×3KillErin Madigan+0.8
54-1ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Sunni Sheppard+1.0
65-1ARK STARK ST×3Attack errSadie McAda+0.9
75-2ARK STS MISSKillAllie Hazelwoodset Mia Maloney+0.6
86-2S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+0.7
97-2ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Libby Gee-Weiler+0.7
107-3ARK STS MISS×4BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Emily Davis, Lillie Johnson+0.5
117-4S MISSS MISS×4Attack errAddison Collum+0.9
127-5S MISSS MISS×4KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.1
137-6S MISSS MISS×4KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
148-6S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+1.0
159-6ARK STARK STBlockedAubrey Juddblk Addison Collum, Haley Glunz+1.2
169-7ARK STS MISSKillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+0.9
1710-7S MISSARK ST×3Serve errSouthern Miss.+0.9
1811-7ARK STARK ST×3KillErin Madiganset Allie Hazelwood+1.0
1912-7ARK STARK ST×3KillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+0.8
2012-8ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.5
2112-9S MISSS MISSAttack errAddison Collum+0.9
2213-9S MISSARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+0.8
2313-10ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+0.7
2414-10S MISSARK STAttack errSadie McAda+0.8
2514-11ARK STS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
2615-11S MISSARK ST×10KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.8
2716-11ARK STARK ST×10KillDevyn Lewis+0.8
2817-11ARK STARK ST×10KillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+0.6
2918-11ARK STARK ST×10KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.4
3019-11ARK STARK ST×10BlockedDiana Wellsblk Addison Collum, Calea Bush+0.2
3120-11ARK STARK ST×10AceArkansas St.aced Kaylee Lowther+0.1
3221-11ARK STARK ST×10KillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan·
3322-11ARK STARK ST×10BlockedLillie Johnsonblk Devyn Lewis·
3423-11ARK STARK ST×10Attack errLillie Johnson·
3524-11ARK STARK ST×10Attack errLillie Johnson·
3624-12ARK STS MISSAttack errCalea Bush·
3725-12S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.·
Set 3
10-1S MISSS MISSBlockedCalea Bushblk Sophie Sosa, Diana Wells+0.7
21-1S MISSARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.5
32-1ARK STARK STAttack errDiana Wells+0.6
42-2ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+0.5
53-2S MISSARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+0.5
63-3ARK STS MISSBad setErin Madigan+0.5
74-3S MISSARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.5
84-4ARK STS MISSBad setLibby Gee-Weiler+0.5
95-4S MISSARK STAttack errSadie McAda+0.5
105-5ARK STS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
115-6S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
126-6S MISSARK STServe errSouthern Miss.+0.6
136-7ARK STS MISSKillAllie Hazelwood+0.6
147-7S MISSARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+0.6
158-7ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.8
168-8ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+0.6
179-8S MISSARK ST×5KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.6
1810-8ARK STARK ST×5KillDevyn Lewis+0.7
1911-8ARK STARK ST×5KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.6
2012-8ARK STARK ST×5KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.5
2113-8ARK STARK ST×5BlockedSophie Sosablk Calea Bush+0.4
2213-9ARK STS MISSKillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+0.3
2314-9S MISSARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.3
2415-9ARK STARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.3
2516-9ARK STARK ST×3KillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+0.2
2616-10ARK STS MISSServe errArkansas St.+0.1
2716-11S MISSS MISSAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+0.2
2817-11S MISSARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.2
2917-12ARK STS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.2
3018-12S MISSARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.2
3118-13ARK STS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.2
3219-13S MISSARK STKillErin Madiganset Allie Hazelwood+0.2
3320-13ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.2
3420-14ARK STS MISSAttack errAddison Collum+0.1
3521-14S MISSARK ST×3KillDevyn Lewisset Mia Maloney+0.1
3622-14ARK STARK ST×3BlockedDiana Wellsblk Calea Bush, Erin Madigan+0.1
3723-14ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Lindsey Smith·
3823-15ARK STS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Sadie McAda·
3923-16S MISSS MISSBlockedDevyn Lewisblk Emily Davis, Lillie Johnson·
4024-16S MISSARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan·
4124-17ARK STS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood·
4225-17S MISSARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan·

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).