Final · 4 setsFri, Nov 6, 2026Watch on ESPN+

South Alabama def. Southern Miss. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: South Alabama 50.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 6, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

South Alabama won at Southern Miss. 3-1 (26-24, 26-24, 23-25, 25-22) on Fri, Nov 6, 2026. Sarah Gooch led South Alabama with 12 kills; Southern Miss.'s Sadie McAda had a match-high 13.

Data through · final Nov 6

Set1234Sets
S ALA262623253
S MISS242425221

Match story · written from the play-by-play

4 aces from Addison Hurst, and South Alabama needed each of them.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are South Alabama's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. South Alabama went in as RallyIQ's 50% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · South Alabama 20–22 Southern Miss.

    Down 20–22, South Alabama scored 3 straight to lead 23–22.

    South Alabama 58% → 76%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · South Alabama 23–23 Southern Miss.

    South Alabama closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–0.

    South Alabama 70% → 88%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · South Alabama 0–0 Southern Miss.

    South Alabama scored 6 straight to open the set 6–0.

    South Alabama 75% → 92%

Southern Miss. above 50South Alabama belowMax swing 9.9%

South AlabamaSouthern Miss.

Sideout %
South Alabama 54.2·Southern Miss. 51.5
Break %
South Alabama 48.5·Southern Miss. 45.8
Hitting
South Alabama .199·Southern Miss. .128
Longest run
South Alabama 6·Southern Miss. 5

Dalayla Blackwell
2 kills inside the turning points, 10 K and .172 for the match (13.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern Miss. above 50 · South Alabama below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.9% S MISSrally 195 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.9% to Southern Miss. — set 1, S ALA 24-24 S MISS. Kill by Elly Stewart (set by Allie Hazelwood). S MISS win probability 39% → 49%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S ALA 47.3%52.7% S MISS

South Alabama wins

3-0
11.4%
3-1
17.6%
3-2
18.3%

Southern Miss. wins

3-0
13.7%
3-1
19.9%
3-2
19.2%
S ALA break %
43.5% vs this opp
S MISS break %
44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Elly StewartKill+9.9%

    Kill by Elly Stewart (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 1 · S ALA 24-24 S MISS · S MISS 39% → 49%

  2. 02
    Cambria GaierKill+9.9%

    Kill by Cambria Gaier (set by Halle Norvell)

    Set 1 · S ALA 26-24 S MISS · S ALA 59% → 69%

  3. 03
    Aubrey JuddKill+9.9%

    Kill by Aubrey Judd (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 2 · S ALA 23-24 S MISS · S MISS 30% → 40%

  4. 04
    South AlabamaAce+9.9%

    South Alabama ace on Sunni Sheppard

    Set 2 · S ALA 25-24 S MISS · S ALA 68% → 78%

  5. 05

    Kill by Alexa Strandberg (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 2 · S ALA 26-24 S MISS · S ALA 78% → 88%

  6. 06

    Aubrey Judd stuffed by Dalayla Blackwell & Sarah Gooch

    Set 2 · S ALA 23-22 S MISS · S ALA 68% → 76%

  7. 07
    Sadie McAdaAttack error+7.7%

    Attack error by Sadie McAda

    Set 1 · S ALA 25-24 S MISS · S ALA 51% → 59%

  8. 08

    Kill by Dalayla Blackwell (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 2 · S ALA 24-24 S MISS · S ALA 60% → 68%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412448.16712113314317
410529.17200000073.513.5
49123.3481014002110
47635.0291021921018
46112.417001401228
4012-.50022111500001
48123.30400110132.510.5
4000–4452200004
41011.0002002700001
2103.333000000001
1000–000100000
1000–000100000
Team totals5419176.1994971487541813100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4131053.057020200010.515.5
411842.0710026010112
48420.20003420010.511.5
4227.0004301160010.52.5
4000–0011540000
2126-.16700000111.52.5
41011.0004012720001
35116.250100100005
27112.500000100007
24122.136000500004
2000–001400000
Team totals5229179.1284851097724495

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

South Alabama vs Southern Miss.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 S ALA · S MISS 5

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 S ALAS MISS 4

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 4 S ALAS MISS 5

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 6 S ALAS MISS 4

Set 4

25-22

Longest run 6 S ALAS MISS 4

Bars above the line = Southern Miss. leads, below = South Alabama leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
67%10/15
2
58%7/12
22%2/9
3
58%7/12
36%4/11
4
70%7/10
22%2/9
5
60%6/10
54%7/13
6
50%5/10
63%10/16
All
54%39/72
48%35/73

Southern Miss.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
39%7/18
63%12/19
2
78%7/9
50%7/14
3
64%7/11
42%5/12
4
50%6/12
30%3/10
5
38%6/16
45%5/11
6
71%5/7
17%1/6
All
52%38/73
46%33/72

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

195 rallies

#S ALA-S MISSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1S MISSS MISSAttack errCambria Gaier+2.4
20-2S MISSS MISSBlockedDalayla Blackwellblk Maggie Sewell+2.4
31-2S MISSS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Anabelle Cerny+1.8
41-3S ALAS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.9
52-3S MISSS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.9
63-3S ALAS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+2.5
73-4S ALAS MISS×4Serve errSouth Alabama+2.0
83-5S MISSS MISS×4Attack errElyse Heffner+2.6
93-6S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.5
103-7S MISSS MISS×4KillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
114-7S MISSS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.6
124-8S ALAS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
135-8S MISSS ALA×4KillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+1.6
146-8S ALAS ALA×4BlockedElly Stewartblk Cambria Gaier+2.4
157-8S ALAS ALA×4KillCambria Gaierset Sarah Gooch+2.7
168-8S ALAS ALA×4AceSouth Alabamaaced Kaylee Lowther+2.9
178-9S ALAS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
189-9S MISSS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+2.3
1910-9S ALAS ALAAttack errAubrey Judd+3.1
2010-10S ALAS MISSKillMaggie Sewellset Allie Hazelwood+2.4
2111-10S MISSS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Halle Norvell+2.5
2211-11S ALAS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.4
2311-12S MISSS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+3.3
2412-12S MISSS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.5
2513-12S ALAS ALABlockedAubrey Juddblk Dalayla Blackwell, Sarah Gooch+3.4
2613-13S ALAS MISSServe errSouth Alabama+2.6
2714-13S MISSS ALAServe errSouthern Miss.+2.8
2814-14S ALAS MISSServe errSouth Alabama+2.7
2915-14S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+2.9
3016-14S ALAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Halle Norvell+3.7
3116-15S ALAS MISSServe errSouth Alabama+2.6
3217-15S MISSS ALAKillSarah Goochset Halle Norvell+3.0
3317-16S ALAS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.8
3417-17S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+4.1
3518-17S MISSS ALABlockedAllie Hazelwoodblk Elyse Heffner+3.4
3618-18S ALAS MISSBlockedCambria Gaierblk Sadie McAda, Maggie Sewell+3.4
3719-18S MISSS ALAServe errSouthern Miss.+3.7
3819-19S ALAS MISSServe errSouth Alabama+3.6
3920-19S MISSS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+4.0
4021-19S ALAS ALABlockedEmily Davisblk Dalayla Blackwell, Eva Dittmar+5.1
4121-20S ALAS MISSAttack errAnabelle Cerny+3.3
4222-20S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Addison Hurst+4.4
4322-21S ALAS MISSKillEmily Davisset Sunni Sheppard+3.5
4422-22S MISSS MISSAttack errSarah Gooch+6.4
4523-22S MISSS ALAServe errSouthern Miss.+6.0
4624-22S ALAS ALABlockedElly Stewartblk Elyse Heffner, Sarah Gooch+7.5
4724-23S ALAS MISSServe errSouth Alabama+3.3
4824-24S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+9.9
4925-24S MISSS ALAAttack errSadie McAda+7.7
5026-24S ALAS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Halle Norvell+9.9
Set 2
11-0S ALAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+2.4
21-1S ALAS MISSAttack errCambria Gaier+1.9
32-1S MISSS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.9
43-1S ALAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Addison Hurst+2.5
53-2S ALAS MISS×3Serve errSouth Alabama+1.8
63-3S MISSS MISS×3KillEmily Davisset Sunni Sheppard+2.5
73-4S MISSS MISS×3Attack errEva Dittmar+2.6
84-4S MISSS ALAAttack errAubrey Judd+2.0
95-4S ALAS ALABlockedElly Stewartblk Alexa Strandberg+2.7
105-5S ALAS MISSServe errSouth Alabama+2.0
116-5S MISSS ALAServe errSouthern Miss.+2.1
126-6S ALAS MISSKillAllie Hazelwood+2.1
137-6S MISSS ALAServe errSouthern Miss.+2.2
147-7S ALAS MISS×5Serve errSouth Alabama+2.2
157-8S MISSS MISS×5AceSouthern Miss.aced Cambria Gaier+2.9
167-9S MISSS MISS×5AceSouthern Miss.aced Cambria Gaier+2.9
177-10S MISSS MISS×5KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.8
187-11S MISSS MISS×5KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.5
198-11S MISSS ALAServe errSouthern Miss.+1.7
209-11S ALAS ALAAttack errAllie Hazelwood+2.6
219-12S ALAS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+2.2
2210-12S MISSS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.0
2310-13S ALAS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
2411-13S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+2.1
2512-13S ALA
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+3.1
2612-14S ALAS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+2.6
2713-14S MISSS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.5
2814-14S ALAS ALAAttack errSadie McAda+3.5
2914-15S ALAS MISS×3KillEmily Davisset Allie Hazelwood+2.9
3014-16S MISSS MISS×3KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+3.7
3114-17S MISSS MISS×3BlockedSarah Goochblk Allie Hazelwood, Elly Stewart+3.4
3215-17S MISSS ALA×4KillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+2.2
3316-17S ALAS ALA×4KillCambria Gaierset Halle Norvell+3.6
3417-17S ALAS ALA×4Attack errElly Stewart+4.1
3518-17S ALAS ALA×4KillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+4.4
3618-18S ALAS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+3.4
3719-18S MISSS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Halle Norvell+3.7
3819-19S ALAS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+3.6
3919-20S MISSS MISS×3KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+5.2
4019-21S MISSS MISS×3Attack errDalayla Blackwell+5.1
4120-21S MISSS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Halle Norvell+3.3
4220-22S ALAS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+4.4
4321-22S MISSS ALA×3KillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+3.5
4422-22S ALAS ALA×3Attack errSadie McAda+6.4
4523-22S ALAS ALA×3BlockedAubrey Juddblk Dalayla Blackwell, Sarah Gooch+7.8
4623-23S ALAS MISSServe errSouth Alabama+5.8
4723-24S MISSS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+9.9
4824-24S MISSS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+7.6
4925-24S ALAS ALA×3AceSouth Alabamaaced Sunni Sheppard+9.9
5026-24S ALAS ALA×3KillAlexa Strandbergset Anabelle Cerny+9.9
Set 3
10-1S MISSS MISSAttack errCambria Gaier+1.6
20-2S MISSS MISSAceSouthern Miss.aced Sarah Gooch+1.6
31-2S MISSS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.2
41-3S ALAS MISS×4KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
51-4S MISSS MISS×4KillAubrey Juddset Cambria Gaier+1.6
61-5S MISSS MISS×4KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
71-6S MISSS MISS×4KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
82-6S MISSS ALAKillSarah Goochset Addison Hurst+0.9
92-7S ALAS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+1.1
103-7S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.9
113-8S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Sunni Sheppard+1.1
123-9S MISSS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.2
134-9S MISSS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+0.8
145-9S ALAS ALAAceSouth Alabamaaced Kaylee Lowther+1.2
155-10S ALAS MISSBad setAddison Hurst+1.1
166-10S MISSS ALA×4Serve errSouthern Miss.+0.9
177-10S ALAS ALA×4BlockedSadie McAdablk Dalayla Blackwell, Alexa Strandberg+1.5
188-10S ALAS ALA×4Attack errMaggie Sewell+1.7
199-10S ALAS ALA×4BlockedSadie McAdablk Dalayla Blackwell, Alexa Strandberg+1.9
209-11S ALAS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.6
2110-11S MISSS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Halle Norvell+1.5
2211-11S ALAS ALAAceSouth Alabamaaced Kaylee Lowther+2.1
2311-12S ALAS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
2411-13S MISSS MISS×4Attack errDalayla Blackwell+2.2
2511-14S MISSS MISS×4AceSouthern Miss.aced Sarah Gooch+2.1
2611-15S MISSS MISS×4Attack errCambria Gaier+1.9
2712-15S MISSS ALAAttack errMaggie Sewell+1.2
2812-16S ALAS MISSAttack errDalayla Blackwell+1.5
2912-17S MISSS MISSBad setAnabelle Cerny+1.5
3013-17S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.9
3114-17S ALAS ALABlockedAubrey Juddblk Sarah Gooch, Elyse Heffner+1.5
3214-18S ALAS MISSServe errAddison Hurst+1.5
3315-18S MISSS ALAServe errMorgen Durgens+1.2
3415-19S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
3516-19S MISSS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+1.1
3617-19S ALAS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Halle Norvell+2.0
3717-20S ALAS MISS×4KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.0
3817-21S MISSS MISS×4KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+2.1
3917-22S MISSS MISS×4KillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
4017-23S MISSS MISS×4AceSouthern Miss.aced Sarah Gooch+0.7
4118-23S MISSS ALA×6KillHalle Norvellset Halle Norvell+0.2
4219-23S ALAS ALA×6BlockedSadie McAdablk Dalayla Blackwell, Alexa Strandberg+0.5
4320-23S ALAS ALA×6KillDalayla Blackwellset Halle Norvell+0.9
4421-23S ALAS ALA×6KillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+1.8
4522-23S ALAS ALA×6Attack errSadie McAda+3.1
4623-23S ALAS ALA×6KillCambria Gaierset Halle Norvell+5.0
4723-24S ALAS MISSServe errElyse Heffner+5.2
4823-25S MISSS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Lillie Johnson+6.7
Set 4
11-0S ALAS ALA×6KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+3.2
22-0S ALAS ALA×6AceAddison Hurstaced Sunni Sheppard+3.2
33-0S ALAS ALA×6Attack errAubrey Judd+3.1
44-0S ALAS ALA×6KillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+2.9
55-0S ALAS ALA×6Attack errSadie McAda+2.7
66-0S ALAS ALA×6Attack errAubrey Judd+2.4
76-1S ALAS MISSServe errAddison Hurst+1.5
86-2S MISSS MISSBad setAnabelle Cerny+2.4
97-2S MISSS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+2.1
107-3S ALAS MISSKillSunni Sheppard+1.8
117-4S MISSS MISSAttack errSarah Gooch+2.8
128-4S MISSS ALAKillSarah Goochset Halle Norvell+2.4
138-5S ALAS MISSServe errSarah Gooch+2.2
149-5S MISSS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Halle Norvell+2.5
159-6S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.2
169-7S MISSS MISSBad setHalle Norvell+3.3
1710-7S MISSS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Halle Norvell+2.8
1810-8S ALAS MISSKillAllie Hazelwoodset Morgen Durgens+2.6
1911-8S MISSS ALAServe errElly Stewart+2.9
2012-8S ALAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Eva Dittmar+3.4
2112-9S ALAS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Sunni Sheppard+2.3
2212-10S MISSS MISS×4Attack errDalayla Blackwell+3.5
2312-11S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+4.0
2412-12S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+4.4
2513-12S MISSS ALA×4BlockedSadie McAdablk Dalayla Blackwell, Eva Dittmar+3.5
2614-12S ALAS ALA×4AceSouth Alabamaaced Kaylee Lowther+4.5
2715-12S ALAS ALA×4BlockedLillie Johnsonblk Sarah Gooch+4.2
2816-12S ALAS ALA×4KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+3.7
2916-13S ALAS MISS×3KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+2.3
3016-14S MISSS MISS×3Bad setAnabelle Cerny+3.8
3116-15S MISSS MISS×3BlockedSarah Goochblk Aubrey Judd+4.6
3217-15S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+4.0
3317-16S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.7
3418-16S MISSS ALA×3Attack errDiana Wells+4.2
3519-16S ALAS ALA×3KillSarah Goochset Cambria Gaier+5.0
3620-16S ALAS ALA×3Attack errAubrey Judd+4.0
3720-17S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.2
3820-18S MISSS MISSAttack errAlexa Strandberg+4.0
3921-18S MISSS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Addison Hurst+4.2
4021-19S ALAS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+3.1
4122-19S MISSS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Halle Norvell+4.4
4223-19S ALAS ALAAttack errSadie McAda+3.9
4323-20S ALAS MISSAttack errCambria Gaier+1.4
4424-20S MISSS ALAServe errElly Stewart+2.7
4524-21S ALAS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
4624-22S MISSS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+2.5
4725-22S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+4.4

Score shown after each rally, South Alabama first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).