FinalSat, Nov 7, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Southern Miss. def. South Alabama 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: South Alabama 51.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 7, 1:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Southern Miss. beat visiting South Alabama 3-0 (25-19, 25-23, 25-16) on Sat, Nov 7, 2026. Southern Miss.'s Sadie McAda led with 16 kills, and Sunni Sheppard added 19 digs.

Data through · final Nov 7

Set123Sets
S ALA1923160
S MISS2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

16 kills in 3 sets for Sadie Mcada. Southern Miss. swept South Alabama.

Win probability never moved more than 7.9 points on one rally; South Alabama topped out at 56% in Set 1. RallyIQ had South Alabama at 51% before first serve.

South AlabamaSouthern Miss.
  • Break %+14.0 pts
    36.750.7

    37 of 73 on serve vs 22 of 60, so South Alabama's sideout was 49.3%.

  • Longest run+3
    58

    8 straight Southern Miss. points in the first set turned a 3–5 deficit into an 11–5 lead. Final score of the set: 25–19.

Southern Miss. above 50South Alabama belowMax swing 7.9%

South AlabamaSouthern Miss.

Hitting
South Alabama .181·Southern Miss. .205
Aces
South Alabama 0·Southern Miss. 6
Serve err
South Alabama 6·Southern Miss. 2
Blocks
South Alabama 9·Southern Miss. 33 BS · 12 BA vs 3 BS · 0 BA
Digs
South Alabama 56·Southern Miss. 63

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Southern Miss. above 50 · South Alabama below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.9% S MISSrally 133 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.9% to Southern Miss. — set 2, S ALA 23-25 S MISS. Kill by Aubrey Judd (set by Allie Hazelwood). S MISS win probability 79% → 87%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S ALA 47.3%52.7% S MISS

South Alabama wins

3-0
11.4%
3-1
17.6%
3-2
18.3%

Southern Miss. wins

3-0
13.7%
3-1
19.9%
3-2
19.2%
S ALA break %
43.5% vs this opp
S MISS break %
44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Aubrey JuddKill+7.9%

    Kill by Aubrey Judd (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 2 · S ALA 23-25 S MISS · S MISS 79% → 87%

  2. 02

    Diana Wells stuffed by Anabelle Cerny & Alexa Strandberg

    Set 2 · S ALA 23-24 S MISS · S ALA 16% → 21%

  3. 03

    Kill by Lillie Johnson (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 2 · S ALA 21-24 S MISS · S MISS 81% → 85%

  4. 04
    Diana WellsKill+3.4%

    Kill by Diana Wells (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 2 · S ALA 19-22 S MISS · S MISS 79% → 82%

  5. 05
    Elly StewartAttack error+3.1%

    Attack error by Elly Stewart

    Set 2 · S ALA 19-21 S MISS · S ALA 18% → 21%

  6. 06
    Diana WellsKill+3.0%

    Kill by Diana Wells (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 2 · S ALA 19-23 S MISS · S MISS 82% → 85%

  7. 07
    Aubrey JuddKill+3.0%

    Kill by Aubrey Judd (set by Allie Hazelwood)

    Set 2 · S ALA 14-18 S MISS · S MISS 79% → 82%

  8. 08

    Sadie McAda stuffed by Alexa Strandberg

    Set 2 · S ALA 13-15 S MISS · S ALA 22% → 25%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37435.08610093111.58.5
34212.167001401437
36117.29400030010.56.5
35215.20000030010.55.5
3112.00023001000212
1123-.333000210001
37218.27800120132.59.5
31011.000001400001
3001.000000400000
3000–5021120000
23012.250000100003
2000–601300000
Team totals3514116.1813506566312958
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
316335.37120010010117
311628.1790001000011
36222.182020201019
3306.50037111000004
22021.000000000002
2000–000300000
36525.040100101017
33414-.071000000003
3000–0301900003
3000–1001000000
3000–001700000
Team totals4720132.205416263030375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

South Alabama vs Southern Miss.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 S ALA · S MISS 8

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 4 S ALAS MISS 8

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 5 S ALAS MISS 4

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 S ALAS MISS 6

Bars above the line = Southern Miss. leads, below = South Alabama leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%7/14
30%3/10
2
70%7/10
56%9/16
3
29%6/21
50%7/14
4
43%6/14
0%0/6
5
63%5/8
25%2/8
6
83%5/6
17%1/6
All
49%36/73
37%22/60

Southern Miss.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
50%6/12
2
50%7/14
36%4/11
3
60%6/10
25%2/8
4
100%6/6
74%17/23
5
75%6/8
45%5/11
6
71%5/7
38%3/8
All
63%38/60
51%37/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

133 rallies

#S ALA-S MISSSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0S ALAS ALABlockedDiana Wellsblk Eva Dittmar, Dalayla Blackwell+2.4
22-0S ALAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+2.4
32-1S ALAS MISSKillAllie Hazelwoodset Sadie McAda+1.8
43-1S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.9
53-2S ALAS MISSKillMaggie Sewellset Allie Hazelwood+1.9
63-3S MISSS MISSKillMaggie Sewell+2.5
74-3S MISSS ALAKillSarah Goochset Addison Hurst+2.0
85-3S ALAS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.6
95-4S ALAS MISS×8Serve errSouth Alabama+1.9
105-5S MISSS MISS×8KillSadie McAda+2.6
115-6S MISSS MISS×8Attack errSarah Gooch+2.7
125-7S MISSS MISS×8KillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.7
135-8S MISSS MISS×8Bad setCambria Gaier+2.6
145-9S MISSS MISS×8KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+2.4
155-10S MISSS MISS×8AceSunni Sheppardaced Cambria Gaier+2.2
165-11S MISSS MISS×8KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
176-11S MISSS ALAKillSarah Goochset Halle Norvell+1.2
186-12S ALAS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
196-13S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.5
206-14S MISSS MISS×4Attack errCambria Gaier+1.1
216-15S MISSS MISS×4Attack errAlexa Strandberg+0.8
227-15S MISSS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Halle Norvell+0.4
237-16S ALAS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.6
248-16S MISSS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+0.3
259-16S ALAS ALAKillCambria Gaierset Addison Hurst+0.7
269-17S ALAS MISSAttack errCambria Gaier+0.7
2710-17S MISSS ALAAttack errDiana Wells+0.5
2810-18S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
2911-18S MISSS ALA×4KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.4
3012-18S ALAS ALA×4BlockedAubrey Juddblk Elyse Heffner+0.8
3113-18S ALAS ALA×4Bad setAllie Hazelwood+1.2
3214-18S ALAS ALA×4Attack errLillie Johnson+1.7
3314-19S ALAS MISSServe errSouth Alabama+1.8
3415-19S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.2
3515-20S ALAS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.7
3615-21S MISSS MISS×3Attack errElyse Heffner+1.4
3715-22S MISSS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Aubrey Judd+0.8
3816-22S MISSS ALAKillDelaney Lawsonset Anabelle Cerny+0.3
3916-23S ALAS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.5
4017-23S MISSS ALA×3Serve errMorgen Durgens+0.1
4118-23S ALAS ALA×3Attack errSadie McAda+0.4
4219-23S ALAS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.7
4319-24S ALAS MISSKillAllie Hazelwoodset Kaylee Lowther+1.1
4419-25S MISSS MISSKillElly Stewart+0.4
Set 2
10-1S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.5
21-1S MISSS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.9
31-2S ALAS MISS×3Serve errSouth Alabama+2.0
41-3S MISSS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+2.5
51-4S MISSS MISS×3AceAllie Hazelwoodaced Sarah Gooch+2.4
62-4S MISSS ALA×3KillKathryn O'Tooleset Anabelle Cerny+1.8
73-4S ALAS ALA×3Attack errLillie Johnson+2.5
84-4S ALAS ALA×3BlockedDiana Wellsblk Alexa Strandberg, Elyse Heffner+2.6
94-5S ALAS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+2.1
105-5S MISSS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Anabelle Cerny+2.1
115-6S ALAS MISS×4KillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+2.2
125-7S MISSS MISS×4KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.8
135-8S MISSS MISS×4BlockedEva Dittmarblk Aubrey Judd+2.7
145-9S MISSS MISS×4AceSunni Sheppardaced Sarah Gooch+2.5
156-9S MISSS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Anabelle Cerny+1.7
166-10S ALAS MISSServe errSouth Alabama+2.0
177-10S MISSS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.7
187-11S ALAS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.0
198-11S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.7
208-12S ALAS MISS×4Serve errSouth Alabama+2.0
218-13S MISSS MISS×4AceElly Stewartaced Addison Hurst+2.3
228-14S MISSS MISS×4AceElly Stewartaced Addison Hurst+1.9
238-15S MISSS MISS×4Attack errSarah Gooch+1.4
249-15S MISSS ALA×5KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.8
2510-15S ALAS ALA×5Attack errLillie Johnson+1.4
2611-15S ALAS ALA×5KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.8
2712-15S ALAS ALA×5BlockedDiana Wellsblk Alexa Strandberg, Elyse Heffner+2.3
2813-15S ALAS ALA×5BlockedSadie McAdablk Alexa Strandberg+2.8
2913-16S ALAS MISSAttack errSarah Gooch+2.6
3014-16S MISSS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+2.3
3114-17S ALAS MISSServe errSouth Alabama+2.7
3214-18S MISSS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+3.0
3315-18S MISSS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Anabelle Cerny+1.8
3415-19S ALAS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.4
3516-19S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Addison Hurst+1.8
3616-20S ALAS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+2.4
3717-20S MISSS ALAAttack errElly Stewart+1.7
3817-21S ALAS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+2.4
3918-21S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Addison Hurst+1.6
4019-21S ALAS ALAAttack errElly Stewart+3.1
4119-22S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+3.4
4219-23S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Anabelle Cerny+3.0
4320-23S MISSS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.1
4421-23S ALAS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Anabelle Cerny+2.7
4521-24S ALAS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+3.7
4622-24S MISSS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+1.5
4723-24S ALAS ALABlockedDiana Wellsblk Anabelle Cerny, Alexa Strandberg+4.4
4823-25S ALAS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+7.9
Set 3
10-1S ALAS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
20-2S MISSS MISSAttack errDalayla Blackwell+1.7
31-2S MISSS ALAAttack errAubrey Judd+1.3
41-3S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.3
52-3S MISSS ALA×3Serve errAllie Hazelwood+1.3
63-3S ALAS ALA×3KillSarah Goochset Addison Hurst+1.7
74-3S ALAS ALA×3Attack errAubrey Judd+1.8
84-4S ALAS MISS×6KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.4
94-5S MISSS MISS×6AceSunni Sheppardaced Sarah Gooch+1.8
104-6S MISSS MISS×6Attack errElyse Heffner+1.8
114-7S MISSS MISS×6KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.8
124-8S MISSS MISS×6BlockedAlexa Strandbergblk Sadie McAda+1.7
134-9S MISSS MISS×6KillSadie McAda+1.5
145-9S MISSS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+1.0
155-10S ALAS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+1.2
166-10S MISSS ALAKillDelaney Lawsonset Halle Norvell+1.0
176-11S ALAS MISS×3KillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+1.2
186-12S MISSS MISS×3BlockedDalayla Blackwellblk Elly Stewart+1.3
196-13S MISSS MISS×3KillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+1.0
207-13S MISSS ALAKillAlexa Strandbergset Halle Norvell+0.6
217-14S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
228-14S MISSS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.6
238-15S ALAS MISSKillLillie Johnsonset Allie Hazelwood+0.8
248-16S MISSS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Sadie McAda+0.7
259-16S MISSS ALAAttack errDiana Wells+0.4
2610-16S ALAS ALAAttack errLillie Johnson+0.6
2710-17S ALAS MISSKillAubrey Juddset Allie Hazelwood+0.7
2811-17S MISSS ALABlockedAubrey Juddblk Elyse Heffner, Sarah Gooch+0.5
2912-17S ALAS ALABlockedAubrey Juddblk Sarah Gooch+0.9
3012-18S ALAS MISSKillSadie McAdaset Allie Hazelwood+0.9
3113-18S MISSS ALAKillElyse Heffnerset Anabelle Cerny+0.6
3213-19S ALAS MISS×3Attack errSarah Gooch+0.9
3313-20S MISSS MISS×3Attack errAnabelle Cerny+0.7
3413-21S MISSS MISS×3KillAllie Hazelwoodset Anabelle Cerny+0.4
3514-21S MISSS ALABlockedSadie McAdablk Elyse Heffner, Anabelle Cerny+0.1
3614-22S ALAS MISSKillElly Stewartset Allie Hazelwood+0.2
3715-22S MISSS ALAKillAnabelle Cernyset Sarah Gooch+0.1
3815-23S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood+0.2
3915-24S MISSS MISSBad setAnabelle Cerny+0.1
4016-24S MISSS ALAKillDelaney Lawsonset Anabelle Cerny·
4116-25S ALAS MISSKillDiana Wellsset Allie Hazelwood·

Score shown after each rally, South Alabama first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).