Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 17, 2026

Drake def. Valparaiso 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Drake 67.7% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 17, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Drake beat visiting Valparaiso 3-1 (23-25, 25-20, 25-14, 27-25) on Sat, Oct 17, 2026. Drake's Kamryn Behrns led with 18 kills, and Jasmine Dulan added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 17

Set1234Sets
VALPO252014251
DRAKE232525273

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Katie Quick had 55 assists, and Drake outlasted Valparaiso.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Drake's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. RallyIQ gave Drake 68% before first serve.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Valparaiso 22–23 Drake

    Valparaiso scored 3 straight to turn a 22–23 deficit into a 25–23 lead. The match swung to Valparaiso.

    Drake 72% → 47%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Valparaiso 16–12 Drake

    Drake scored 5 straight to turn a 12–16 deficit into a 17–16 lead.

    Drake 67% → 86%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Valparaiso 24–24 Drake

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Drake, enough to take the set 27–25 and win the match 3–1.

    Drake 79% → >99%

Drake above 50Valparaiso belowMax swing 10.7%

ValparaisoDrake

Sideout %
Valparaiso 48.5·Drake 57.6
Break %
Valparaiso 42.4·Drake 51.5
Hitting
Valparaiso .117·Drake .235
Longest run
Valparaiso 4·Drake 5

Isabelle Kremer
3 of her kills came in the stretches above. 12 K, .098, 14 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Drake above 50 · Valparaiso below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.7% DRAKErally 184 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.7% to Drake — set 4, VALPO 24-25 DRAKE. Attack error by Jessica Pickett. DRAKE win probability 79% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

VALPO 36.0%64.0% DRAKE

Valparaiso wins

3-0
7.5%
3-1
13.0%
3-2
15.6%

Drake wins

3-0
19.4%
3-1
24.5%
3-2
20.0%
VALPO break %
42.9% vs this opp
DRAKE break %
45.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Jessica PickettAttack error+10.7%

    Attack error by Jessica Pickett

    Set 4 · VALPO 24-25 DRAKE · DRAKE 79% → 90%

  2. 02
    ValparaisoAce+10.2%

    Valparaiso ace

    Set 1 · VALPO 25-23 DRAKE · VALPO 43% → 53%

  3. 03

    Ava Helming stuffed by Bliss Beck & Kamryn Behrns

    Set 4 · VALPO 25-27 DRAKE · DRAKE 90% → 100%

  4. 04
    Ava HelmingKill+9.4%

    Kill by Ava Helming (set by Mia McCall)

    Set 1 · VALPO 24-23 DRAKE · VALPO 33% → 43%

  5. 05
    Maggie UhwatKill+9.2%

    Kill by Maggie Uhwat (set by Mia McCall)

    Set 4 · VALPO 24-23 DRAKE · VALPO 21% → 30%

  6. 06
    Kamryn BehrnsKill+9.2%

    Kill by Kamryn Behrns (set by Katie Quick)

    Set 4 · VALPO 24-24 DRAKE · DRAKE 70% → 79%

  7. 07
    Jordyn GoveKill+8.5%

    Kill by Jordyn Gove (set by Olivia Wagner)

    Set 4 · VALPO 25-25 DRAKE · VALPO 10% → 18%

  8. 08
    Kamryn BehrnsKill+8.5%

    Kill by Kamryn Behrns (set by Katie Quick)

    Set 4 · VALPO 25-26 DRAKE · DRAKE 82% → 90%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
416539.282101121031.517.5
410847.043010100010.511.5
49524.167000300009
46723-.043002200217
4217.143000100424
4102.5001511500002
45318.111000001227
4000–2312900001
4000–4001700000
1012-.500000000000
1000–000000000
1000–200200000
Team totals4930162.1174536614112784
Drakehome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418543.30202416004222
417742.2380000002118
412841.0980001004214
46211.3640110018512
46110.500000100428
4005.0005501700211
4001.0001112110001
4000–0011400000
4000–001900000
1000–000000000
Team totals5923153.235564969312413100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Valparaiso vs Drake

Season series · Drake leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 VALPO · DRAKE 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 VALPODRAKE 4

Set 2

20-25

Longest run 3 VALPODRAKE 5

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 3 VALPODRAKE 5

Set 4

25-27

Longest run 4 VALPODRAKE 5

Bars above the line = Drake leads, below = Valparaiso leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Valparaiso

SlotSideout %Break %
1
59%10/17
44%7/16
2
32%8/25
47%8/17
3
57%8/14
20%2/10
4
40%8/20
53%9/17
5
64%7/11
33%4/12
6
58%7/12
46%6/13
All
48%48/99
42%36/85

Drake

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%10/18
40%6/15
2
60%9/15
61%14/23
3
57%8/14
60%12/20
4
50%8/16
53%9/17
5
88%7/8
53%8/15
6
50%7/14
22%2/9
All
58%49/85
52%51/99

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

184 rallies

#VALPO-DRAKESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0DRAKEVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Olivia Wagner+1.8
21-1VALPODRAKEServe errValparaiso+1.7
32-1DRAKEVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+1.8
43-1VALPOVALPOAttack errKamryn Behrns+2.4
53-2VALPODRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+1.8
64-2DRAKEVALPO×4KillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+2.0
75-2VALPOVALPO×4KillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+2.4
86-2VALPOVALPO×4KillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+2.4
97-2VALPOVALPO×4Attack errIsabelle Kremer+2.2
107-3VALPODRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.5
117-4DRAKEDRAKEAceKamryn Behrns+2.1
128-4DRAKEVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mia McCall+2.0
139-4VALPOVALPOBlockedIsabelle Kremerblk Kyla Bellich, Maggie Uhwat+2.3
149-5VALPODRAKE×3KillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+1.6
159-6DRAKEDRAKE×3BlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Katie Quick, Bliss Beck+2.2
169-7DRAKEDRAKE×3BlockedJordyn Goveblk Bliss Beck, Caroline Smith+2.4
1710-7DRAKEVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+2.2
1810-8VALPODRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.0
1911-8DRAKEVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+2.3
2011-9VALPODRAKE×3Serve errValparaiso+2.0
2111-10DRAKEDRAKE×3KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.7
2211-11DRAKEDRAKE×3Bad setOlivia Wagner+2.8
2312-11DRAKEVALPOAttack errCaroline Smith+2.5
2413-11VALPOVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+3.1
2513-12VALPODRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.3
2613-13DRAKEDRAKEBlockedJessica Pickettblk Aniyah Davis, Isabelle Kremer+3.1
2714-13DRAKEVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+2.7
2814-14VALPODRAKE×4Serve errValparaiso+2.6
2914-15DRAKEDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+3.2
3014-16DRAKEDRAKE×4BlockedSarah Pippinblk Bliss Beck, Isabelle Kremer+3.1
3114-17DRAKEDRAKE×4Attack errJordyn Gove+2.8
3215-17DRAKEVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+2.0
3315-18VALPODRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.3
3415-19DRAKEDRAKEAttack errMaggie Uhwat+2.3
3516-19DRAKEVALPO×3KillJordyn Goveset Keira Lucas+1.4
3617-19VALPOVALPO×3KillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+2.5
3718-19VALPOVALPO×3Attack errIsabelle Kremer+3.4
3818-20VALPODRAKEServe errValparaiso+3.2
3918-21DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+3.3
4019-21DRAKEVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+2.0
4120-21VALPOVALPOBlockedCaroline Smithblk Ava Helming, Kyla Bellich+3.7
4220-22VALPODRAKEAttack errMaggie Uhwat+3.8
4321-22DRAKEVALPOServe errBliss Beck+3.2
4422-22VALPOVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+5.7
4522-23VALPODRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+5.5
4623-23DRAKEVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+5.4
4724-23VALPOVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+9.4
4825-23VALPOVALPO×3AceValparaiso+10.2
Set 2
11-0VALPOVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+2.7
21-1VALPODRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.1
31-2DRAKEDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.6
41-3DRAKEDRAKE×4KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+2.5
51-4DRAKEDRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.3
62-4DRAKEVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+1.8
72-5VALPODRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+1.9
82-6DRAKEDRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Jordyn Gove+2.2
93-6DRAKEVALPOServe errJasmine Dulan+1.6
103-7VALPODRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.8
114-7DRAKEVALPO×3Serve errKamryn Behrns+1.7
125-7VALPOVALPO×3Attack errKamryn Behrns+2.4
136-7VALPOVALPO×3KillMaggie Uhwatset Olivia Wagner+2.7
146-8VALPODRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+2.3
156-9DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.6
167-9DRAKEVALPOServe errFinley Schelhaas+2.0
177-10VALPODRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+2.2
188-10DRAKEVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Ava Helming+2.1
199-10VALPOVALPO×3Attack errCaroline Smith+3.0
2010-10VALPOVALPO×3KillKyla Bellich+3.3
2110-11VALPODRAKEKillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+2.7
2211-11DRAKEVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Olivia Wagner+2.8
2311-12VALPODRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.8
2412-12DRAKEVALPOKillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+2.9
2512-13VALPODRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.9
2613-13DRAKEVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+3.0
2714-13VALPOVALPOAttack errIsabelle Kremer+4.1
2814-14VALPODRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+3.2
2915-14DRAKEVALPOServe errKamryn Behrns+3.5
3015-15VALPODRAKE×5KillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+3.3
3115-16DRAKEDRAKE×5BlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Bliss Beck, Katie Quick+4.2
3215-17DRAKEDRAKE×5Attack errJordyn Gove+4.0
3315-18DRAKEDRAKE×5KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+3.6
3415-19DRAKEDRAKE×5KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.9
3516-19DRAKEVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Keira Lucas+1.8
3616-20VALPODRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.3
3716-21DRAKEDRAKEAceBliss Beck+2.0
3817-21DRAKEVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+1.0
3917-22VALPODRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.5
4017-23DRAKEDRAKE×3BlockedSarah Pippinblk Aniyah Davis, Kamryn Behrns+0.9
4117-24DRAKEDRAKE×3KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+0.3
4218-24DRAKEVALPO×3KillSarah Pippinset Olivia Wagner+0.1
4319-24VALPOVALPO×3Attack errAniyah Davis+0.2
4420-24VALPOVALPO×3KillSarah Pippinset Mia McCall+0.4
4520-25VALPODRAKEAttack errSarah Pippin+0.6
Set 3
11-0DRAKEVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mara Thomas+2.5
21-1VALPODRAKE×5KillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.4
31-2DRAKEDRAKE×5KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+3.0
41-3DRAKEDRAKE×5KillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+2.8
51-4DRAKEDRAKE×5Attack errSarah Pippin+2.6
61-5DRAKEDRAKE×5KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.4
72-5DRAKEVALPOKillJessica Pickettset Mara Thomas+1.8
82-6VALPODRAKEAttack errAva Helming+1.9
93-6DRAKEVALPOAttack errBliss Beck+1.8
103-7VALPODRAKE×4KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+2.0
113-8DRAKEDRAKE×4KillBliss Beck+2.1
123-9DRAKEDRAKE×4KillIsabelle Kremerset Jasmine Dulan+1.8
133-10DRAKEDRAKE×4KillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+1.4
144-10DRAKEVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Mia McCall+0.9
154-11VALPODRAKEAttack errMaddie Steele+1.1
165-11DRAKEVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+0.9
175-12VALPODRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.1
185-13DRAKEDRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+1.0
196-13DRAKEVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+0.6
207-13VALPOVALPOAttack errCaroline Smith+1.1
217-14VALPODRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.1
228-14DRAKEVALPOServe errKatie Quick+0.8
238-15VALPODRAKE×5KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+1.1
248-16DRAKEDRAKE×5KillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+0.9
258-17DRAKEDRAKE×5Attack errJessica Pickett+0.6
268-18DRAKEDRAKE×5Attack errAva Helming+0.3
278-19DRAKEDRAKE×5Attack errAva Helming+0.2
289-19DRAKEVALPOBlockedIsabelle Kremerblk Jessica Pickett+0.1
299-20VALPODRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+0.1
309-21DRAKEDRAKEBlockedJordyn Goveblk Kamryn Behrns, Bliss Beck+0.1
3110-21DRAKEVALPO×3KillJessica Pickettset Olivia Wagner·
3211-21VALPOVALPO×3Attack errKamryn Behrns·
3312-21VALPOVALPO×3Attack errIsabelle Kremer+0.1
3412-22VALPODRAKE×3Attack errJordyn Gove+0.1
3512-23DRAKEDRAKE×3Attack errJordyn Gove·
3612-24DRAKEDRAKE×3AceKamryn Behrnsaced Ava Helming·
3713-24DRAKEVALPOServe errKamryn Behrns·
3814-24VALPOVALPOAttack errIsabelle Kremer·
3914-25VALPODRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick·
Set 4
10-1VALPODRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.0
21-1DRAKEVALPO×3Serve errBella Faria+2.1
32-1VALPOVALPO×3KillMaggie Uhwatset Keira Lucas+2.7
43-1VALPOVALPO×3AceValparaiso+2.8
53-2VALPODRAKE×3KillAniyah Davisset Katie Quick+2.2
63-3DRAKEDRAKE×3AceJasmine Dulan+2.7
73-4DRAKEDRAKE×3BlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Bliss Beck, Isabelle Kremer+2.7
84-4DRAKEVALPOKillAva Helmingset Keira Lucas+2.2
94-5VALPODRAKEKillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+2.2
104-6DRAKEDRAKEAttack errSarah Pippin+2.6
115-6DRAKEVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+2.1
125-7VALPODRAKEServe errValparaiso+2.2
136-7DRAKEVALPOKillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+2.2
146-8VALPODRAKEKillBliss Beckset Katie Quick+2.2
157-8DRAKEVALPO×3KillJordyn Goveset Ava Helming+2.2
168-8VALPOVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+3.1
179-8VALPOVALPO×3BlockedCaroline Smithblk Maggie Uhwat, Kyla Bellich+3.3
189-9VALPODRAKEBlockedJordyn Goveblk Aniyah Davis, Caroline Smith+2.6
199-10DRAKEDRAKEAttack errJordyn Gove+3.2
2010-10DRAKEVALPO×3KillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+2.6
2111-10VALPOVALPO×3Attack errKamryn Behrns+3.5
2212-10VALPOVALPO×3AceValparaisoaced Jasmine Dulan+3.7
2312-11VALPODRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+2.7
2412-12DRAKEDRAKEBlockedMaggie Uhwatblk Aniyah Davis, Kamryn Behrns+3.6
2513-12DRAKEVALPO×4KillOlivia Wagnerset Bella Faria+3.1
2614-12VALPOVALPO×4KillJessica Pickett+4.0
2715-12VALPOVALPO×4BlockedKamryn Behrnsblk Jessica Pickett, Ava Helming+3.9
2816-12VALPOVALPO×4BlockedIsabelle Kremerblk Jessica Pickett, Ava Helming+3.6
2916-13VALPODRAKE×5KillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+2.3
3016-14DRAKEDRAKE×5Attack errMaggie Uhwat+3.4
3116-15DRAKEDRAKE×5KillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+3.9
3216-16DRAKEDRAKE×5KillIsabelle Kremerset Katie Quick+4.3
3316-17DRAKEDRAKE×5KillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+4.4
3417-17DRAKEVALPOKillAva Helmingset Olivia Wagner+3.6
3517-18VALPODRAKEServe errValparaiso+3.7
3617-19DRAKEDRAKEBlockedAva Helmingblk Bliss Beck, Isabelle Kremer+4.4
3718-19DRAKEVALPO×3Serve errKamryn Behrns+3.3
3819-19VALPOVALPO×3Attack errBliss Beck+5.1
3920-19VALPOVALPO×3KillAva Helmingset Mia McCall+5.9
4020-20VALPODRAKEBlockedKyla Bellichblk Bliss Beck+4.5
4121-20DRAKEVALPOKillKyla Bellichset Mia McCall+5.3
4221-21VALPODRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+5.0
4322-21DRAKEVALPOAttack errCaroline Smith+6.0
4423-21VALPOVALPOBlockedCaroline Smithblk Jordyn Gove, Kyla Bellich+7.6
4523-22VALPODRAKEKillCaroline Smithset Katie Quick+4.5
4623-23DRAKEDRAKEKillAniyah Davis+8.5
4724-23DRAKEVALPOKillMaggie Uhwatset Mia McCall+9.2
4824-24VALPODRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+9.2
4924-25DRAKEDRAKEAttack errJessica Pickett+10.7
5025-25DRAKEVALPOKillJordyn Goveset Olivia Wagner+8.5
5125-26VALPODRAKEKillKamryn Behrnsset Katie Quick+8.5
5225-27DRAKEDRAKEBlockedAva Helmingblk Bliss Beck, Kamryn Behrns+9.9

Score shown after each rally, Valparaiso first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).