Middle Tenn. def. Northern Colo. 3–1
Middle Tenn. beat visiting Northern Colo. 3-1 (26-24, 10-25, 25-20, 25-22) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Sophia Henry and Gabrielle Clinkscale led Middle Tenn. with 10 kills each; Northern Colo.'s Gillian Walton had a match-high 15.
Data through · final Sep 11
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N COLO | 24 | 25 | 20 | 22 | 1 |
| MIDTEN | 26 | 10 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 9.7% to Middle Tenn. — set 4, N COLO 22-23 MIDTEN. Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Michaela Dlouhá). MIDTEN win probability 76% → 85%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Northern Colo. wins
Middle Tenn. wins
- N COLO break %
- 44.4% vs this opp
- MIDTEN break %
- 45.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Sophia HenryKill+9.7%
Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Michaela Dlouhá)
Set 4 · N COLO 22-23 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 76% → 85%
- 02Michaela DlouháKill+9.5%
Kill by Michaela Dlouhá (set by Caroline Macander)
Set 1 · N COLO 24-26 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 63% → 72%
- 03Caroline MacanderBlock+9.3%
Summer Snead stuffed by Caroline Macander
Set 4 · N COLO 22-24 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 85% → 95%
- 04Northern Colo.Service error+7.9%
Northern Colo. service error
Set 1 · N COLO 23-24 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 55% → 63%
- 05Kendall MignereyAttack error+7.9%
Attack error by Kendall Mignerey
Set 1 · N COLO 24-24 MIDTEN · N COLO 37% → 45%
- 06Gillian WaltonAttack error+7.9%
Attack error by Gillian Walton
Set 1 · N COLO 24-25 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 55% → 63%
- 07Gillian WaltonKill+6.8%
Kill by Gillian Walton (set by Nerea Alvarez-Jorge)
Set 4 · N COLO 22-21 MIDTEN · N COLO 24% → 31%
- 08Northern Colo.Service error+6.6%
Northern Colo. service error
Set 4 · N COLO 22-22 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 69% → 76%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 29 | .241 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 17.5 | |
| 4 | 14 | 4 | 36 | .278 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | |
| 4 | 8 | 1 | 14 | .500 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 15 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 22 | .182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | .188 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | .273 | 44 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 3.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 52 | 18 | 128 | .266 | 50 | 9 | 17 | 54 | 8 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 91 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 36 | .139 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 13.5 | |
| 4 | 10 | 4 | 27 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 16 | .188 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 9 | .667 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | |
| 4 | 7 | 1 | 17 | .353 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 7.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -.200 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 42 | 16 | 120 | .217 | 36 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 86 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
24-26
Set 2
25-10
Set 3
20-25
Set 4
22-25
Bars above the line = Middle Tenn. leads, below = Northern Colo. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Northern Colo.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 61%11/18 | 44%8/18 |
| 2 | 53%9/17 | 50%10/20 |
| 3 | 57%8/14 | 31%4/13 |
| 4 | 73%8/11 | 33%4/12 |
| 5 | 62%8/13 | 33%4/12 |
| 6 | 67%8/12 | 53%9/17 |
| All | 61%52/85 | 42%39/92 |
Middle Tenn.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 55%11/20 | 53%10/19 |
| 2 | 56%10/18 | 27%4/15 |
| 3 | 80%8/10 | 38%5/13 |
| 4 | 53%8/15 | 47%7/15 |
| 5 | 89%8/9 | 38%5/13 |
| 6 | 40%8/20 | 20%2/10 |
| All | 58%53/92 | 39%33/85 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
177 rallies
| # | N COLO-MIDTEN | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Blocked | Gillian Walton | blk Michaela Dlouhá, Danielle Lee | +2.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.9 |
| 3 | 1-2 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.9 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Leila Ballard | +2.4 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.5 |
| 7 | 3-4 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Sophia Henry | +2.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.0 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +2.1 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.1 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Danit Cohen | +2.1 |
| 12 | 6-6 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Blocked | Jaslyn Reed | blk Alayna Tessena, Maddie Rink | +2.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Danit Cohen | +2.2 |
| 14 | 7-7 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Leila Ballard | +2.2 |
| 15 | 8-7 | N COLO | N COLO | Blocked | Gabrielle Clinkscale | blk Gillian Walton, Summer Snead | +2.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +2.3 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.4 |
| 18 | 10-8 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.9 |
| 19 | 10-9 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Danielle Lee | set Caroline Macander | +2.3 |
| 20 | 11-9 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.5 |
| 21 | 11-10 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +2.3 |
| 22 | 12-10 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.5 |
| 23 | 12-11 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +2.4 |
| 24 | 12-12 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Kendall Mignerey | set Danit Cohen | +3.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.7 | |
| 26 | 13-13 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +2.7 |
| 27 | 13-14 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Marianne Garcia | +3.4 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Alayna Tessena | +2.8 |
| 29 | 14-15 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +2.9 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Blocked | Summer Snead | blk Gabrielle Clinkscale, Michaela Dlouhá | +3.5 |
| 31 | 15-16 | MIDTEN | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Sophia Henry | +2.7 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Blocked | Michaela Dlouhá | blk Summer Snead, Alayna Tessena | +3.8 |
| 33 | 17-16 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Bella LePore | +4.1 |
| 34 | 17-17 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Danit Cohen | +3.3 |
| 35 | 17-18 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +4.3 |
| 36 | 18-18 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.5 |
| 37 | 18-19 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +3.7 |
| 38 | 18-20 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +4.5 | |
| 39 | 19-20 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Gillian Walton | +3.2 |
| 40 | 20-20 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +5.0 |
| 41 | 20-21 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +4.5 |
| 42 | 21-21 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +4.5 |
| 43 | 21-22 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +5.1 |
| 44 | 22-22 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +5.1 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +6.1 | |
| 46 | 23-23 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +6.0 |
| 47 | 23-24 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +7.9 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Attack err | Kendall Mignerey | +7.9 | |
| 49 | 24-25 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +7.9 | |
| 50 | 24-26 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +9.5 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.8 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Marianne Garcia | +1.9 |
| 4 | 1-3 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | +2.3 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.8 |
| 6 | 2-4 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | +2.2 | |
| 8 | 3-5 | MIDTEN | N COLO×5 | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.7 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.3 |
| 10 | 5-5 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Maddie Rink | +2.5 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Blocked | Sophia Henry | blk Nerea Alvarez-Jorge, Maddie Rink | +2.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Sophia Henry | +2.6 |
| 13 | 7-6 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +2.0 | |
| 14 | 7-7 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | +2.6 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.2 |
| 16 | 9-7 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.7 |
| 17 | 9-8 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Marianne Garcia | +2.1 |
| 18 | 10-8 | MIDTEN | N COLO×5 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.3 |
| 19 | 11-8 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.7 |
| 20 | 12-8 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Bad set | Marianne Garcia | +2.5 | |
| 21 | 13-8 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Sophia Henry | +2.2 |
| 22 | 14-8 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Ace | Northern Colo. | +1.8 | |
| 23 | 14-9 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.1 | |
| 24 | 15-9 | MIDTEN | N COLO×6 | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.5 |
| 25 | 16-9 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.4 |
| 26 | 17-9 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Blocked | Michaela Dlouhá | blk Summer Snead, Gillian Walton | +1.0 |
| 27 | 18-9 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Blocked | Gabrielle Clinkscale | blk Summer Snead, Gillian Walton | +0.6 |
| 28 | 19-9 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Blocked | Gabrielle Clinkscale | blk Gillian Walton, Summer Snead | +0.4 |
| 29 | 20-9 | N COLO | N COLO×6 | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.2 |
| 30 | 20-10 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Ava Smith | set Caroline Macander | +0.1 |
| 31 | 21-10 | MIDTEN | N COLO×5 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.1 |
| 32 | 22-10 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Blocked | Michaela Dlouhá | blk Leila Ballard, Summer Snead | +0.1 |
| 33 | 23-10 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Attack err | Danielle Lee | · | |
| 34 | 24-10 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Ellie Watts | · |
| 35 | 25-10 | N COLO | N COLO×5 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Ellie Watts | · |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.6 |
| 2 | 2-0 | N COLO | N COLO | Attack err | Gabrielle Clinkscale | +3.2 | |
| 3 | 2-1 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +2.5 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +3.2 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.7 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +2.7 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Bella LePore | +3.4 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +2.8 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Alayna Tessena | +3.4 |
| 11 | 5-6 | MIDTEN | N COLO×3 | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Attack err | Sophia Henry | +3.5 | |
| 13 | 7-6 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Addison Burks | +3.7 |
| 14 | 7-7 | N COLO | MIDTEN×4 | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +3.0 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Leila Ballard | +3.7 |
| 16 | 7-9 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | +3.7 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Leila Ballard | +3.5 |
| 18 | 8-10 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.6 |
| 19 | 8-11 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Blocked | Alayna Tessena | blk Michaela Dlouhá, Caroline Macander | +2.9 |
| 20 | 9-11 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.7 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | N COLO | MIDTEN×4 | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +3.0 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +3.3 |
| 23 | 9-14 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +2.8 |
| 24 | 9-15 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Attack err | Summer Snead | +2.3 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.4 |
| 26 | 11-15 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.3 |
| 27 | 11-16 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Blocked | Gillian Walton | blk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed | +2.3 |
| 28 | 11-17 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +2.2 |
| 29 | 12-17 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.3 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Caroline Macander | +1.8 |
| 31 | 13-18 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.2 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +1.7 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.1 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.0 |
| 35 | 15-20 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +2.3 |
| 36 | 16-20 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.5 |
| 37 | 16-21 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +2.2 |
| 38 | 17-21 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Blocked | Sophia Henry | blk Maddie Rink | +1.3 |
| 39 | 17-22 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +2.1 | |
| 40 | 17-23 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +1.4 |
| 41 | 18-23 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.4 |
| 42 | 19-23 | N COLO | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.0 |
| 43 | 19-24 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Blocked | Summer Snead | blk Logan Carr | +1.5 |
| 44 | 20-24 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +0.4 |
| 45 | 20-25 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +0.9 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Bad set | Summer Snead | +2.5 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Summer Snead | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.5 |
| 3 | 1-2 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +2.5 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | N COLO | MIDTEN×5 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Addison Burks | +2.6 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Attack err | Maddie Rink | +3.1 | |
| 7 | 2-5 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Leila Ballard | +3.0 |
| 8 | 2-6 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Attack err | Gillian Walton | +2.8 | |
| 9 | 2-7 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×5 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Caroline Macander | +2.5 |
| 10 | 3-7 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.8 |
| 11 | 3-8 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Michaela Dlouhá | set Caroline Macander | +2.1 |
| 12 | 4-8 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +1.8 |
| 13 | 4-9 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +2.1 |
| 14 | 4-10 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Leila Ballard | +2.2 |
| 15 | 5-10 | MIDTEN | N COLO×4 | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +1.5 | |
| 16 | 6-10 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.2 |
| 17 | 7-10 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Kill | Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | set Leila Ballard | +2.7 |
| 18 | 8-10 | N COLO | N COLO×4 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Sophia Henry | +3.1 |
| 19 | 8-11 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Caroline Macander | +2.8 |
| 20 | 8-12 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN | Ace | Middle Tenn. | aced Leila Ballard | +3.1 |
| 21 | 9-12 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +2.2 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Attack err | Leila Ballard | +2.6 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | MIDTEN | N COLO×3 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +2.2 |
| 24 | 11-13 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +3.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Blocked | Sophia Henry | blk Gillian Walton, Summer Snead | +3.8 |
| 26 | 12-14 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Jaslyn Reed | set Caroline Macander | +3.4 |
| 27 | 13-14 | MIDTEN | N COLO×3 | Serve err | Middle Tenn. | +3.2 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +4.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Kill | Maddie Rink | +4.7 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +3.8 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Maddie Rink | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +4.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Gabrielle Clinkscale | set Caroline Macander | +4.0 |
| 33 | 17-16 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Leila Ballard | set Bella LePore | +4.3 |
| 34 | 17-17 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Kill | Logan Carr | set Caroline Macander | +4.2 |
| 35 | 18-17 | MIDTEN | N COLO×3 | Kill | Alayna Tessena | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +4.6 |
| 36 | 19-17 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Sophia Henry | +5.6 |
| 37 | 20-17 | N COLO | N COLO×3 | Ace | Northern Colo. | aced Jaslyn Reed | +5.1 |
| 38 | 20-18 | N COLO | MIDTEN×3 | Kill | Logan Carr | set Caroline Macander | +3.2 |
| 39 | 20-19 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +5.3 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×3 | Attack err | Alayna Tessena | +6.5 | |
| 41 | 21-20 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Attack err | Kendall Mignerey | +5.9 | |
| 42 | 21-21 | N COLO | MIDTEN | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +5.8 | |
| 43 | 22-21 | MIDTEN | N COLO | Kill | Gillian Walton | set Nerea Alvarez-Jorge | +6.8 |
| 44 | 22-22 | N COLO | MIDTEN×4 | Serve err | Northern Colo. | +6.6 | |
| 45 | 22-23 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Kill | Sophia Henry | set Michaela Dlouhá | +9.7 |
| 46 | 22-24 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Blocked | Summer Snead | blk Caroline Macander | +9.3 |
| 47 | 22-25 | MIDTEN | MIDTEN×4 | Blocked | Gillian Walton | blk Michaela Dlouhá, Sophia Henry | +5.4 |
Score shown after each rally, Northern Colo. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).