FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Middle Tenn. def. Delaware 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Middle Tenn. 84.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Middle Tenn. beat visiting Delaware 3-0 (25-17, 25-14, 25-19) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Middle Tenn.'s Sophia Henry led with 13 kills, and Marianne Garcia added 9 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
DEL1714190
MIDTEN2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Middle Tenn. held Delaware under 20 in every set.

Win probability never moved more than 2.0 points on one rally; Delaware topped out at 17% in Set 1. Middle Tenn. went in as RallyIQ's 84% pick.

DelawareMiddle Tenn.
  • Break %+23.3 pts
    29.452.7

    39 of 74 on serve vs 15 of 51, so Delaware's sideout was 47.3%.

  • Hitting+.197
    .133.330

    43 kills, 13 errors vs 29 kills, 17 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    Middle Tenn. scored 5 straight in the first set to go from 1–1 to a 6–1 lead. Final score of the set: 25–17.

Middle Tenn. above 50Delaware belowMax swing 2.0%

DelawareMiddle Tenn.

Aces
Delaware 2·Middle Tenn. 8
Serve err
Delaware 7·Middle Tenn. 6
Blocks
Delaware 3·Middle Tenn. 70 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 12 BA
Digs
Delaware 28·Middle Tenn. 37

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Middle Tenn. above 50 · Delaware below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.0% DELrally 125 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.0% to Delaware — set 1, DEL 15-16 MIDTEN. Michaela Dlouhá stuffed by Asia Murray & Thalia Yancey. MIDTEN win probability 87% → 85%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

DEL 9.5%90.5% MIDTEN

Delaware wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
2.9%
3-2
5.4%

Middle Tenn. wins

3-0
45.2%
3-1
31.5%
3-2
13.7%
DEL break %
39.6% vs this opp
MIDTEN break %
49.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Michaela Dlouhá stuffed by Asia Murray & Thalia Yancey

    Set 1 · DEL 15-16 MIDTEN · DEL 13% → 15%

  2. 02
    Gabrielle ClinkscaleAttack error+1.9%

    Attack error by Gabrielle Clinkscale

    Set 1 · DEL 10-10 MIDTEN · DEL 15% → 17%

  3. 03

    Jayda Redd stuffed by Michaela Dlouhá & Gabrielle Clinkscale

    Set 1 · DEL 15-18 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 87% → 88%

  4. 04
    Sophia HenryKill+1.7%

    Kill by Sophia Henry (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 1 · DEL 15-17 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 85% → 87%

  5. 05
    Anna Logan GillensAttack error+1.7%

    Attack error by Anna Logan Gillens

    Set 1 · DEL 10-12 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 85% → 86%

  6. 06
    DelawareAce+1.6%

    Delaware ace on Jaslyn Reed

    Set 1 · DEL 9-10 MIDTEN · DEL 13% → 15%

  7. 07

    Kill by Michaela Dlouhá (set by Caroline Macander)

    Set 1 · DEL 16-19 MIDTEN · MIDTEN 87% → 89%

  8. 08
    Jaslyn ReedAttack error+1.5%

    Attack error by Jaslyn Reed

    Set 1 · DEL 13-15 MIDTEN · DEL 12% → 13%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39423.21700010010.59.5
36524.04211141010.57.5
36413.154000200006
33214.07100000031.54.5
3219.111102220002
3113.0002612300002
3000–101500000
3000–001230000
3000–000000000
3000–000720000
2204.50000020010.52.5
Team totals291790.133292728806350
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313528.2860004000013
39112.6672322002113
3407.5713120600217
3305.600000101436
35416.06300011010.55.5
3001.000022710002
39321.28600030031.510.5
3000–312900001
3001.000200400000
Team totals431391.3303886372112775

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Delaware vs Middle Tenn.

Season series · Middle Tenn. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 DEL · MIDTEN 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 DELMIDTEN 5

Set 2

14-25

Longest run 2 DELMIDTEN 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 DELMIDTEN 4

Bars above the line = Middle Tenn. leads, below = Delaware leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Delaware

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%7/16
55%6/11
2
50%7/14
13%1/8
3
60%6/10
22%2/9
4
50%6/12
33%3/9
5
42%5/12
14%1/7
6
40%4/10
29%2/7
All
47%35/74
29%15/51

Middle Tenn.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%7/7
60%9/15
2
78%7/9
53%8/15
3
67%6/9
33%3/9
4
75%6/8
33%3/9
5
86%6/7
63%10/16
6
36%4/11
60%6/10
All
71%36/51
53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

125 rallies

#DEL-MIDTENSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MIDTENMIDTENAttack errMorgan Campbell+1.3
21-1MIDTENDELServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.2
31-2DELMIDTEN×5KillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+1.1
41-3MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errAnna Logan Gillens+1.3
51-4MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+1.1
61-5MIDTENMIDTEN×5KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.0
71-6MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errThalia Yancey+0.8
82-6MIDTENDELServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.6
92-7DELMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.7
103-7MIDTENDELKillJayda Reddset Kennedi Inman+0.6
114-7DELDELAttack errSophia Henry+1.0
124-8DELMIDTENServe errDelaware+0.8
135-8MIDTENDELKillAsia Murrayset Kennedi Inman+0.8
146-8DELDELKillMorgan Campbellset Kennedi Inman+1.2
156-9DELMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.0
167-9MIDTENDELServe errMiddle Tenn.+1.0
177-10DELMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.1
188-10MIDTENDEL×3KillMorgan Campbellset Kennedi Inman+1.1
199-10DELDEL×3AceDelawareaced Jaslyn Reed+1.6
2010-10DELDEL×3Attack errGabrielle Clinkscale+1.9
2110-11DELMIDTEN×4Serve errDelaware+1.5
2210-12MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errAnna Logan Gillens+1.7
2310-13MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+1.5
2410-14MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillLogan Carr+1.2
2511-14MIDTENDELKillMorgan Campbellset Kennedi Inman+0.9
2611-15DELMIDTENKillLogan Carrset Caroline Macander+1.0
2712-15MIDTENDELKillAsia Murrayset Kennedi Inman+0.9
2813-15DELDELAttack errJaslyn Reed+1.5
2913-16DELMIDTENServe errDelaware+1.3
3014-16MIDTENDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+1.2
3115-16DELDELBlockedMichaela Dlouháblk Asia Murray, Thalia Yancey+2.0
3215-17DELMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.7
3315-18MIDTENMIDTENBlockedJayda Reddblk Michaela Dlouhá, Gabrielle Clinkscale+1.8
3416-18MIDTENDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+1.3
3516-19DELMIDTEN×5KillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+1.5
3616-20MIDTENMIDTEN×5AceMiddle Tenn.aced Taylor Holly+1.4
3716-21MIDTENMIDTEN×5BlockedMorgan Campbellblk Caroline Macander, Logan Carr+0.9
3816-22MIDTENMIDTEN×5Attack errThalia Yancey+0.5
3916-23MIDTENMIDTEN×5AceMiddle Tenn.aced Jayda Gray+0.2
4017-23MIDTENDELServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.1
4117-24DELMIDTENServe errDelaware+0.1
4217-25MIDTENMIDTENBlockedMorgan Campbellblk Gabrielle Clinkscale, Logan Carr·
Set 2
10-1DELMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.8
20-2MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.9
31-2MIDTENDELAttack errSophia Henry+0.8
42-2DELDELBlockedJaslyn Reedblk Asia Murray, Anna Logan Gillens+1.1
52-3DELMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.8
63-3MIDTENDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+0.9
74-3DELDELAceDelawareaced Kendall Mignerey+1.2
84-4DELMIDTEN×3BlockedAnna Logan Gillensblk Caroline Macander, Michaela Dlouhá+0.9
94-5MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+1.1
104-6MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillCaroline Macander+1.0
115-6MIDTENDELKillJayda Reddset Kennedi Inman+0.8
126-6DELDELKillThalia Yanceyset Jayda Redd+1.2
136-7DELMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.9
146-8MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+1.1
156-9MIDTENMIDTEN×3KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Michaela Dlouhá+0.9
167-9MIDTENDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+0.8
177-10DELMIDTENKillCaroline Macanderset Addison Burks+0.8
187-11MIDTENMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Marianne Garcia+0.8
198-11MIDTENDELKillMorgan Campbellset Kennedi Inman+0.6
209-11DELDELAttack errJaslyn Reed+1.0
219-12DELMIDTEN×3Serve errDelaware+0.8
229-13MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Taylor Holly+0.9
239-14MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Jayda Gray+0.7
2410-14MIDTENDELKillMorgan Campbellset Kennedi Inman+0.5
2510-15DELMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.5
2610-16MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.5
2711-16MIDTENDELAttack errSophia Henry+0.3
2811-17DELMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.4
2911-18MIDTENMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.3
3012-18MIDTENDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+0.2
3112-19DELMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.2
3213-19MIDTENDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+0.2
3313-20DELMIDTEN×4KillCaroline Macander+0.2
3413-21MIDTENMIDTEN×4KillCaroline Macanderset Addison Burks+0.1
3513-22MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Jayda Gray+0.1
3613-23MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errAsia Murray·
3714-23MIDTENDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman·
3814-24DELMIDTENBlockedThalia Yanceyblk Logan Carr, Gabrielle Clinkscale·
3914-25MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander·
Set 3
10-1MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Marianne Garcia+0.5
20-2MIDTENMIDTENAttack errMorgan Campbell+0.4
31-2MIDTENDELServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.4
41-3DELMIDTEN×3KillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.4
51-4MIDTENMIDTEN×3Attack errThalia Yancey+0.4
61-5MIDTENMIDTEN×3AceMiddle Tenn.aced Jayda Redd+0.3
72-5MIDTENDELServe errMiddle Tenn.+0.3
82-6DELMIDTENServe errDelaware+0.3
93-6MIDTENDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+0.3
103-7DELMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.3
114-7MIDTENDELKillAsia Murrayset Kennedi Inman+0.3
124-8DELMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.3
135-8MIDTENDELKillCarolina Sayeg Blakset Kennedi Inman+0.3
146-8DELDELAttack errGabrielle Clinkscale+0.4
156-9DELMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.4
167-9MIDTENDELKillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+0.4
178-9DELDELKillKennedi Inmanset Thalia Yancey+0.6
188-10DELMIDTENBlockedKennedi Inmanblk Logan Carr+0.4
199-10MIDTENDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+0.5
209-11DELMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.5
2110-11MIDTENDELKillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+0.5
2210-12DELMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.5
2310-13MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henry+0.5
2411-13MIDTENDELAttack errSophia Henry+0.4
2511-14DELMIDTENKillMichaela Dlouháset Caroline Macander+0.4
2612-14MIDTENDELBlockedGabrielle Clinkscaleblk Asia Murray, Carolina Sayeg Blak+0.4
2712-15DELMIDTENServe errDelaware+0.5
2812-16MIDTENMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Michaela Dlouhá+0.5
2913-16MIDTENDELKillCarolina Sayeg Blakset Kennedi Inman+0.3
3013-17DELMIDTEN×4KillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.4
3113-18MIDTENMIDTEN×4Attack errThalia Yancey+0.3
3213-19MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Thalia Yancey+0.2
3313-20MIDTENMIDTEN×4AceMiddle Tenn.aced Jayda Redd+0.1
3414-20MIDTENDEL×4KillThalia Yanceyset Kennedi Inman+0.1
3515-20DELDEL×4KillAnna Logan Gillensset Kennedi Inman+0.1
3616-20DELDEL×4Attack errJaslyn Reed+0.2
3717-20DELDEL×4KillAnna Logan Gillensset Emily Zgonc+0.4
3817-21DELMIDTENKillGabrielle Clinkscaleset Caroline Macander+0.4
3917-22MIDTENMIDTENBlockedAnna Logan Gillensblk Logan Carr, Jaslyn Reed+0.3
4018-22MIDTENDELAttack errSophia Henry+0.1
4118-23DELMIDTENKillJaslyn Reedset Caroline Macander+0.2
4219-23MIDTENDELKillMorgan Campbellset Kennedi Inman+0.1
4319-24DELMIDTENAttack errAsia Murray+0.2
4419-25MIDTENMIDTENKillSophia Henryset Caroline Macander+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Delaware first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).