FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwaySOCON

0:3

HomeSEC

South Carolina def. UNC Greensboro 3–0

(25-8, 25-22, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UNC G	8	22	21	0
S CAR	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

S CAR above 50 · UNC G below

Biggest swing: 1.7% to UNC Greensboro — set 2, UNC G 21-22 S CAR. Kill by Kendall Lanclos (set by Izora Gragg). S CAR win probability 96% → 94%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UNC G 13.5%86.5% S CAR

UNC Greensboro wins

3-0

1.9%

3-1

4.3%

3-2

7.3%

South Carolina wins

3-0

39.1%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

15.9%

UNC G break %: 37.4% vs this opp
S CAR break %: 45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Kendall LanclosKill+1.7%
Kill by Kendall Lanclos (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 2 · UNC G 21-22 S CAR · UNC G 4% → 6%
02
Connore' Siler-NixonKill+1.7%
Kill by Connore' Siler-Nixon (set by Izora Gragg)
Set 2 · UNC G 16-16 S CAR · UNC G 6% → 8%
03
Kendall LanclosAttack error+1.7%
Attack error by Kendall Lanclos
Set 2 · UNC G 21-23 S CAR · S CAR 94% → 96%
04
Allie SweetAttack error+1.5%
Allie Sweet stuffed by Elise Marchal & Sydney Davis
Set 2 · UNC G 16-18 S CAR · S CAR 93% → 95%
05
Ava LeahyKill+1.5%
Kill by Ava Leahy
Set 2 · UNC G 21-24 S CAR · S CAR 96% → 97%
06
Hailey CliftonAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Hailey Clifton
Set 2 · UNC G 19-22 S CAR · S CAR 95% → 97%
07
Olivia BorgmanAttack error+1.4%
Olivia Borgman stuffed by Hailey Clifton & Akila Hardie
Set 1 · UNC G 3-3 S CAR · UNC G 12% → 13%
08
UNC G serverService error+1.3%
UNC Greensboro service error
Set 2 · UNC G 19-21 S CAR · S CAR 94% → 95%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UNC Greensboroaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Allie SweetOH	3	5	10	33	-.152	0	1	2	3	1	2	1	7
44Connore' Siler-NixonMB	3	6	2	10	.400	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	7
21Akila HardieMB	3	2	2	5	.000	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
3Izora GraggS	3	0	1	3	-.333	25	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
5Ella BurdL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	3	0	0	0
9Mia NicklasDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	0
18Kendall LanclosOH	3	8	3	19	.263	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	9
17Hailey CliftonOH	3	6	4	14	.143	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
10Chloe NussbaumL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	8	1	0	0	0
Team totals		27	22	84	.060	26	2	3	21	5	10	5	51

South Carolinahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
21Olivia BorgmanOH	3	13	3	27	.370	0	0	1	3	0	2	1	14
7Ava LeahyMB	3	9	2	13	.538	0	0	3	0	0	2	1	10
13Elise MarchalOPP	3	6	2	12	.333	0	0	0	1	0	5	2.5	8.5
5Sydney DavisMB	3	5	0	6	.833	0	0	0	0	0	5	2.5	7.5
10Madisyn CrnjacOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	4	1	3	0	0	0	4
20Kiana DinnS	3	0	0	0	–	20	1	1	5	0	0	0	1
1Ceci VanceOH	3	8	3	13	.385	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	8
2Ally CavanaughOH	3	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	3
32Jillian BohannonS	3	0	0	0	–	14	0	2	2	0	0	0	0
18Lilly GillespieL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	12	1	0	0	0
Team totals		44	11	79	.418	40	5	8	28	2	14	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 UNC G · S CAR 13

Set 1

8-25

Longest run 2 UNC GS CAR 13

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 4 UNC GS CAR 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 2 UNC GS CAR 4

Bars above the line = South Carolina leads, below = UNC Greensboro leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UNC Greensboro

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	32%8/25	14%1/7
2	44%7/16	20%2/10
3	67%6/9	36%4/11
4	83%5/6	0%0/6
5	50%5/10	55%6/11
6	63%5/8	29%2/7
All	49%36/74	29%15/52

South Carolina

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	70%16/23
2	70%7/10	50%7/14
3	86%6/7	45%5/11
4	86%6/7	14%1/7
5	45%5/11	38%3/8
6	71%5/7	55%6/11
All	71%37/52	51%38/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

126 rallies

Rally log

#	UNC G-S CAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Sydney Davis	set Kiana Dinn	+1.3
2	1-1	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+1.0
3	1-2	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Sydney Davis	set Kiana Dinn	+0.9
4	1-3	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Allie Sweet	+1.2
5	2-3	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+0.9
6	3-3	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Olivia Borgman	blk Hailey Clifton, Akila Hardie	+1.4
7	3-4	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+1.0
8	4-4	S CAR	UNC G	Serve err	S CAR server		+1.0
9	4-5	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Jillian Bohannon	+1.0
10	5-5	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.1
11	5-6	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Jillian Bohannon	+1.0
12	5-7	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos		+1.3
13	6-7	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.0
14	6-8	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.9
15	6-9	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+1.2
16	7-9	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+0.8
17	7-10	UNC G	S CAR×13	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Lilly Gillespie	+0.8
18	7-11	S CAR	S CAR×13	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Elise Marchal, Sydney Davis	+1.0
19	7-12	S CAR	S CAR×13	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Lilly Gillespie	+0.8
20	7-13	S CAR	S CAR×13	Ace	S CAR server	aced Ella Burd	+0.6
21	7-14	S CAR	S CAR×13	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal	+0.4
22	7-15	S CAR	S CAR×13	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.2
23	7-16	S CAR	S CAR×13	Attack err	Connore' Siler-Nixon		+0.1
24	7-17	S CAR	S CAR×13	Ace	S CAR server	aced Ella Burd	+0.1
25	7-18	S CAR	S CAR×13	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+0.0
26	7-19	S CAR	S CAR×13	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.0
27	7-20	S CAR	S CAR×13	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Elise Marchal, Sydney Davis	+0.0
28	7-21	S CAR	S CAR×13	Kill	Sydney Davis	set Kiana Dinn	+0.0
29	7-22	S CAR	S CAR×13	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.0
30	8-22	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+0.0
31	8-23	UNC G	S CAR×3	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.0
32	8-24	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Izora Gragg		+0.0
33	8-25	S CAR	S CAR×3	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Elise Marchal	set Kiana Dinn	+0.6
2	0-2	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Hailey Clifton	blk Ava Leahy, Olivia Borgman	+0.8
3	1-2	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+0.6
4	1-3	UNC G	S CAR×3	Bad set	Izora Gragg		+0.6
5	1-4	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Akila Hardie		+0.7
6	1-5	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+0.6
7	2-5	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+0.4
8	2-6	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.4
9	3-6	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+0.4
10	3-7	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.4
11	3-8	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+0.5
12	4-8	S CAR	UNC G×3	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.3
13	5-8	UNC G	UNC G×3	Ace	UNC G server	aced Ceci Vance	+0.6
14	6-8	UNC G	UNC G×3	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon		+0.8
15	6-9	UNC G	S CAR×3	Kill	Sydney Davis	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.6
16	6-10	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Connore' Siler-Nixon		+0.7
17	6-11	S CAR	S CAR×3	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Kiana Dinn	+0.5
18	7-11	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+0.3
19	8-11	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ceci Vance		+0.6
20	8-12	UNC G	S CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+0.5
21	9-12	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+0.5
22	9-13	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Madisyn Crnjac	+0.5
23	10-13	S CAR	UNC G	Attack err	Olivia Borgman		+0.5
24	10-14	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.5
25	11-14	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+0.5
26	11-15	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.5
27	12-15	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+0.5
28	12-16	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.6
29	13-16	S CAR	UNC G×4	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+0.5
30	14-16	UNC G	UNC G×4	Bad set	Ally Cavanaugh		+1.0
31	15-16	UNC G	UNC G×4	Attack err	Ally Cavanaugh	blk Allie Sweet, Connore' Siler-Nixon	+1.3
32	16-16	UNC G	UNC G×4	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+1.7
33	16-17	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Jillian Bohannon	+1.2
34	16-18	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Elise Marchal, Sydney Davis	+1.5
35	17-18	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+1.0
36	17-19	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Sydney Davis	set Kiana Dinn	+1.1
37	18-19	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Akila Hardie	set Izora Gragg	+1.1
38	18-20	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+1.2
39	19-20	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+1.1
40	19-21	UNC G	S CAR	Serve err	UNC G server		+1.3
41	19-22	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Hailey Clifton		+1.4
42	20-22	S CAR	UNC G	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.7
43	21-22	UNC G	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+1.7
44	21-23	UNC G	S CAR	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos		+1.7
45	21-24	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy		+1.5
46	22-24	S CAR	UNC G	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.4
47	22-25	UNC G	S CAR	Attack err	Kendall Lanclos		+0.9
Set 3
1	1-0	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Akila Hardie	set Izora Gragg	+0.4
2	2-0	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Elise Marchal		+0.5
3	2-1	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Madisyn Crnjac	+0.4
4	3-1	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+0.4
5	4-1	UNC G	UNC G	Bad set	Kiana Dinn		+0.6
6	4-2	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Kiana Dinn	+0.4
7	5-2	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Hailey Clifton	set Izora Gragg	+0.5
8	5-3	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.4
9	6-3	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Connore' Siler-Nixon	set Izora Gragg	+0.5
10	6-4	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.4
11	6-5	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Ceci Vance		+0.6
12	7-5	S CAR	UNC G	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.5
13	8-5	UNC G	UNC G	Bad set	Jillian Bohannon		+0.7
14	8-6	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.4
15	9-6	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Allie Sweet	set Izora Gragg	+0.5
16	10-6	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ceci Vance	blk Hailey Clifton, Akila Hardie	+0.7
17	10-7	UNC G	S CAR	Attack err	Allie Sweet		+0.4
18	11-7	S CAR	UNC G	Attack err	Elise Marchal	blk Akila Hardie, Allie Sweet	+0.5
19	11-8	UNC G	S CAR×3	Serve err	UNC G server		+0.4
20	11-9	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Akila Hardie		+0.7
21	11-10	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Hailey Clifton		+0.7
22	12-10	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Chloe Nussbaum	+0.6
23	12-11	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.5
24	12-12	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Lilly Gillespie	+0.7
25	13-12	S CAR	UNC G	Attack err	Olivia Borgman	blk Hailey Clifton, Connore' Siler-Nixon	+0.6
26	13-13	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ally Cavanaugh	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.5
27	14-13	S CAR	UNC G	Kill	Kendall Lanclos	set Izora Gragg	+0.6
28	15-13	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ceci Vance		+0.9
29	15-14	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Ava Leahy	set Allie Sweet	+0.5
30	16-14	S CAR	UNC G	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.7
31	16-15	UNC G	S CAR×3	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Jillian Bohannon	+0.6
32	16-16	S CAR	S CAR×3	Ace	S CAR server	aced Chloe Nussbaum	+0.9
33	16-17	S CAR	S CAR×3	Attack err	Allie Sweet	blk Sydney Davis, Elise Marchal	+0.8
34	17-17	S CAR	UNC G	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.6
35	17-18	UNC G	S CAR×4	Kill	Ceci Vance	set Kiana Dinn	+0.6
36	17-19	S CAR	S CAR×4	Ace	S CAR server	aced Ella Burd	+0.8
37	17-20	S CAR	S CAR×4	Ace	S CAR server	aced Allie Sweet	+0.6
38	17-21	S CAR	S CAR×4	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.4
39	18-21	S CAR	UNC G	Serve err	S CAR server		+0.2
40	19-21	UNC G	UNC G	Ace	UNC G server	aced Lilly Gillespie	+0.5
41	19-22	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.5
42	19-23	S CAR	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Lilly Gillespie	+0.4
43	20-23	S CAR	UNC G	Attack err	Ava Leahy		+0.1
44	21-23	UNC G	UNC G	Attack err	Ava Leahy		+0.4
45	21-24	UNC G	S CAR	Kill	Olivia Borgman	set Kiana Dinn	+0.5
46	21-25	S CAR	S CAR	Attack err	Hailey Clifton	blk Ava Leahy, Olivia Borgman	+0.2

Score shown after each rally, UNC Greensboro first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.