FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Cornell def. Princeton 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Princeton 58.1% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 3:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cornell won at Princeton 3-0 (25-22, 25-23, 27-25) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. Ava Bogan led Cornell with 11 kills; Princeton's Ava Harrington had a match-high 14.

Data through · final Oct 3

Set123Sets
CORN2525273
PRINCE2223250

Match story · from the official box score

3–0: Cornell past Princeton.

Told from the official box score only: NCAA’s play-by-play for this match doesn’t reproduce the official result, so there’s no win-probability story. Princeton went in at 58% by RallyIQ.

CornellPrinceton
  • Hitting+.125
    .340.215

    45 kills, 12 errors vs 44 kills, 21 errors.

CornellPrinceton

Hitting
Cornell .340·Princeton .215
Aces
Cornell 4·Princeton 9
Serve err
Cornell 3·Princeton 6
Blocks
Cornell 10·Princeton 53 BS · 14 BA vs 0 BS · 10 BA
Digs
Cornell 36·Princeton 33

Win probability

Princeton above 50 · Cornell below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+16.5% CORNrally 146 · set 3

Biggest swing: 16.5% to Cornell — set 3, CORN 26-25 PRINCE. Ashtyn Sims stuffed by Ava Bogan & Sydney Zanca. PRINCE win probability 16% → 0%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

CORN 59.2%40.8% PRINCE

Cornell wins

3-0
16.8%
3-1
22.6%
3-2
19.8%

Princeton wins

3-0
9.0%
3-1
14.9%
3-2
16.9%
CORN break %
42.5% vs this opp
PRINCE break %
40.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ashtyn Sims stuffed by Ava Bogan & Sydney Zanca

    Set 3 · CORN 26-25 PRINCE · CORN 84% → 100%

  2. 02

    Ashtyn Sims stuffed by Jaida Sione & Ava Bogan

    Set 2 · CORN 25-23 PRINCE · CORN 73% → 84%

  3. 03
    Ava BoganKill+11.0%

    Kill by Ava Bogan (set by Mary Wolcott)

    Set 2 · CORN 24-23 PRINCE · CORN 62% → 73%

  4. 04

    Ava Bogan stuffed by Shelby Burriss & Sydney Draper

    Set 3 · CORN 24-24 PRINCE · PRINCE 6% → 14%

  5. 05
    Ava HarringtonAttack error+8.1%

    Attack error by Ava Harrington

    Set 2 · CORN 23-23 PRINCE · CORN 54% → 62%

  6. 06
    Unlogged pointNCAA feed gap+7.9%

    Point Princeton (not logged in NCAA feed)

    Set 3 · CORN 24-25 PRINCE · PRINCE 14% → 22%

  7. 07
    Jaida SioneKill+7.8%

    Kill by Jaida Sione (set by Mary Wolcott)

    Set 1 · CORN 24-22 PRINCE · CORN 49% → 57%

  8. 08

    Jaida Sione stuffed by Shelby Burriss & Ava Harrington

    Set 1 · CORN 22-22 PRINCE · PRINCE 50% → 56%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311218.50000021153.514.5
310220.4000002012212
310328.25000010031.511.5
38419.21101143010.59.5
3418.3753501501226
3002.000000710000
32021.00000030010.52.5
3000–120510002
3000–611720001
Team totals451297.34042433693141077
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314629.27604250010.518.5
311526.2312316100014
310525.20010250010.510.5
34414.00001010031.56.5
3407.571310080031.55.5
3114.000000000212
3002.000711810001
2000–000000000
Team totals4421107.2154196334010570

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Cornell vs Princeton

Season series · Cornell leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 CORN · PRINCE 5

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 CORNPRINCE 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 4 CORNPRINCE 5

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 3 CORNPRINCE 4

Bars above the line = Princeton leads, below = Cornell leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Cornell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%5/10
56%5/9
2
63%5/8
38%3/8
3
44%4/9
60%6/10
4
67%4/6
33%2/6
5
44%4/9
43%3/7
6
100%4/4
56%5/9
All
57%26/46
49%24/49

Princeton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%5/12
50%5/10
2
44%4/9
29%2/7
3
80%4/5
20%1/5
4
67%4/6
64%7/11
5
44%4/9
0%0/4
6
50%4/8
56%5/9
All
51%25/49
43%20/46

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

146 rallies

#CORN-PRINCESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0PRINCECORNKillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+1.8
22-0CORNCORNKillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+2.5
32-1CORNPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.7
42-2PRINCEPRINCEBad setSarita Pomar+2.5
53-2PRINCECORN×3Attack errAva Harrington+1.9
64-2CORNCORN×3BlockedShelby Burrissblk Ava Bogan, Jaida Sione+2.7
75-2CORNCORN×3Attack errAshtyn Sims+2.6
85-3CORNPRINCEServe errCornell+1.7
96-3PRINCECORNServe errPrinceton+1.9
106-4CORNPRINCEKillSydney Draperset Sydney Bold+1.8
116-5PRINCEPRINCEAcePrincetonaced Sarita Pomar+2.6
127-5PRINCECORNKillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+2.1
137-6CORNPRINCEServe errCornell+1.9
148-6PRINCECORNKillKiran Rioset Mary Wolcott+2.1
158-7CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+2.0
169-7PRINCECORNAttack errAshtyn Sims+2.2
179-8CORNPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+2.0
189-9PRINCEPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+3.0
1910-9PRINCECORN×3KillJaida Sioneset Mary Wolcott+2.3
2011-9CORNCORN×3KillJaida Sioneset Mary Wolcott+3.2
2112-9CORNCORN×3KillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+3.1
2212-10CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+2.0
2313-10PRINCECORNKillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+2.3
2414-10CORNCORNAttack errErin McNair+2.9
2514-11CORNPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.7
2615-11PRINCECORNKillJaida Sioneset Sarita Pomar+2.1
2715-12CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.7
2815-13PRINCEPRINCEKillShelby Burriss+2.9
2916-13PRINCECORNAttack errAva Harrington+2.5
3016-14CORNPRINCEKillSydney Draperset Ashtyn Sims+2.1
3117-14PRINCECORN×3KillMackenzie Parsonsset Mary Wolcott+2.6
3218-14CORNCORN×3KillKiran Rioset Sarita Pomar+3.1
3319-14CORNCORN×3KillMary Wolcottset Sydney Draper+2.4
3419-15CORNPRINCEBad setKiran Rio+1.1
3520-15PRINCECORNKillKiran Rioset Mary Wolcott+1.7
3621-15CORNCORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Mary Wolcott+1.5
3721-16CORNPRINCE×5KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+0.5
3821-17PRINCEPRINCE×5KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.3
3921-18PRINCEPRINCE×5KillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+2.0
4021-19PRINCEPRINCE×5KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Bold+3.1
4121-20PRINCEPRINCE×5KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+4.4
4222-20PRINCECORNAttack errAshley Duckworth+4.3
4322-21CORNPRINCEKillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper+3.3
4422-22PRINCEPRINCEBlockedJaida Sioneblk Shelby Burriss, Ava Harrington+6.5
4523-22PRINCECORN×3KillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+5.8
4624-22CORNCORN×3KillJaida Sioneset Mary Wolcott+7.8
4725-22CORNCORN×3Attack errShelby Burriss+4.4
Set 2
11-0CORNCORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Mary Wolcott+2.7
21-1CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+1.9
32-1PRINCECORNServe errPrinceton+2.0
42-2CORNPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+2.0
52-3PRINCEPRINCEAcePrincetonaced Ava Bogan+2.8
63-3PRINCECORNKillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+2.0
74-3CORNCORNKillKiran Rioset Sarita Pomar+2.9
84-4CORNPRINCE×4KillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+2.1
94-5PRINCEPRINCE×4AcePrincetonaced Haley Clark+2.9
104-6PRINCEPRINCE×4BlockedKiran Rioblk Shelby Burriss, Sydney Draper+2.8
114-7PRINCEPRINCE×4Attack errAva Bogan+2.7
125-7PRINCECORNServe errPrinceton+1.8
136-7CORNCORNAttack errAva Harrington+2.8
146-8CORNPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+2.2
157-8PRINCECORNServe errPrinceton+2.1
167-9CORNPRINCEAttack errKiran Rio+2.2
177-10PRINCEPRINCEAcePrincetonaced Trinidy Tien+2.9
188-10PRINCECORN×4KillMary Wolcottset Shelby Burriss+1.9
199-10CORNCORN×4KillMackenzie Parsonsset Mary Wolcott+3.0
2010-10CORNCORN×4AceCornellaced Erin McNair+3.4
2111-10CORNCORN×4KillMackenzie Parsonsset Mary Wolcott+3.6
2211-11CORNPRINCEBlockedMackenzie Parsonsblk Ashtyn Sims, Ashley Duckworth+2.5
2312-11PRINCECORNBlockedAva Harringtonblk Jaida Sione, Mackenzie Parsons+2.7
2412-12CORNPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+2.6
2513-12PRINCECORNKillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+2.8
2613-13CORNPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Bold+2.7
2714-13PRINCECORNKillJaida Sioneset Mary Wolcott+2.9
2814-14CORNPRINCE×3KillAva Harringtonset Erin McNair+2.8
2914-15PRINCEPRINCE×3AcePrincetonaced Sarita Pomar+4.1
3014-16PRINCEPRINCE×3AcePrincetonaced Kiran Rio+4.0
3115-16PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Mary Wolcott+2.7
3216-16CORNCORNAceCornell+4.3
3316-17CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+3.3
3417-17PRINCECORN×4KillKiran Rioset Sarita Pomar+3.3
3518-17CORNCORN×4BlockedShelby Burrissblk Kiran Rio, Mackenzie Parsons+5.0
3619-17CORNCORN×4Attack errAva Harrington+5.0
3720-17CORNCORN×4KillMackenzie Parsonsset Mary Wolcott+4.5
3820-18CORNPRINCE×5KillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+2.5
3920-19PRINCEPRINCE×5BlockedKiran Rioblk Ashley Duckworth, Sydney Draper+4.6
4020-20PRINCEPRINCE×5KillSydney Draperset Erin McNair+5.7
4120-21PRINCEPRINCE×5Attack errMackenzie Parsons+6.3
4220-22PRINCEPRINCE×5Attack errMary Wolcott+6.0
4321-22PRINCECORNKillKiran Rioset Mary Wolcott+3.4
4421-23CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+4.9
4522-23PRINCECORN×4KillJaida Sioneset Mary Wolcott+3.5
4623-23CORNCORN×4Attack errAva Harrington+8.1
4724-23CORNCORN×4KillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+11.0
4825-23CORNCORN×4BlockedAshtyn Simsblk Jaida Sione, Ava Bogan+11.4
Set 3
10-1PRINCEPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+2.0
20-2PRINCEPRINCEAttack errJaida Sione+1.9
31-2PRINCECORN×3KillMackenzie Parsonsset Mary Wolcott+1.4
42-2CORNCORN×3BlockedErin McNairblk Ava Bogan, Mary Wolcott+2.0
53-2CORNCORN×3Bad setSydney Draper+2.1
63-3CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.5
73-4PRINCEPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Bold+2.1
84-4PRINCECORNKillMary Wolcottset Ava Harrington+1.5
94-5CORNPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+1.5
105-5CORN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+1.6
116-5CORNCORNAceCornell+2.3
126-6CORNPRINCEKillSydney Draperset Sydney Bold+1.6
137-6PRINCECORNKillKiran Rioset Mary Wolcott+1.7
147-7CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+1.6
158-7PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Mary Wolcott+1.7
168-8CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+1.7
179-8PRINCECORN×3Serve errPrinceton+1.8
1810-8CORNCORN×3BlockedErin McNairblk Mackenzie Parsons+2.5
1911-8CORNCORN×3KillMackenzie Parsonsset Mary Wolcott+2.4
2011-9CORNPRINCEServe errCornell+1.6
2111-10PRINCEPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Bold+2.4
2212-10PRINCECORN×3Serve errPrinceton+1.9
2313-10CORNCORN×3BlockedErin McNairblk Ava Bogan, Mary Wolcott+2.6
2414-10CORNCORN×3BlockedShelby Burrissblk Ava Bogan+2.3
2514-11CORNPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.4
2615-11PRINCECORNKillJaida Sioneset Mary Wolcott+1.7
2715-12CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Bold+1.4
2816-12PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Mary Wolcott+1.8
2917-12CORNCORNKillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+2.0
3017-13CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+1.0
3118-13PRINCECORNAttack errAshtyn Sims+1.4
3218-14CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.0
3318-15PRINCEPRINCEAttack errKiran Rio+1.9
3419-15PRINCECORNKillKiran Rioset Mary Wolcott+1.9
3519-16CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+1.3
3620-16PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Mary Wolcott+1.9
3720-17CORNPRINCE×3KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.3
3820-18PRINCEPRINCE×3Attack errJaida Sione+2.5
3920-19PRINCEPRINCE×3KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+3.4
4021-19PRINCECORNAttack errErin McNair+3.1
4122-19CORNCORNKillJaida Sioneset Mary Wolcott+3.7
4222-20CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.7
4322-21PRINCEPRINCEAcePrincetonaced Kiran Rio+3.7
4423-21PRINCECORNKillMary Wolcottset Sarita Pomar+3.9
4524-21CORNCORNKillJaida Sioneset Sarita Pomar+3.9
4624-22CORNPRINCE×4KillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+1.1
4724-23PRINCEPRINCE×4AcePrinceton+3.5
4824-24PRINCEPRINCE×4BlockedAva Boganblk Shelby Burriss, Sydney Draper+8.2
4924-25PRINCE
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+7.9
5025-25PRINCECORNKillAva Boganset Mary Wolcott+5.7
5126-25CORNCORNBlockedAshtyn Simsblk Ava Bogan, Sydney Zanca+16.5

Score shown after each rally, Cornell first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).