Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPNU

Cornell def. Princeton 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Cornell 65.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Cornell beat visiting Princeton 3-1 (25-21, 25-27, 25-19, 25-20) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Sydney Zanca and Mackenzie Parsons led Cornell with 14 kills each; Princeton's Erin McNair had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set1234Sets
PRINCE212719201
CORN252525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

.481 on 27 swings: Mackenzie Parsons and Cornell edged Princeton.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Cornell's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Cornell at 66%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Princeton 19–21 Cornell

    Princeton scored 4 straight to turn a 19–21 deficit into a 23–21 lead.

    Cornell 87% → 68%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Princeton 24–24 Cornell

    Princeton closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and level the match at 1–1.

    Cornell 77% → 62%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Princeton 11–11 Cornell

    6 straight Cornell points broke an 11–11 tie and made it 17–11.

    Cornell 82% → 98%

Cornell above 50Princeton belowMax swing 9.1%

PrincetonCornell

Sideout %
Princeton 54.5·Cornell 62.5
Break %
Princeton 37.5·Cornell 45.5
Hitting
Princeton .183·Cornell .301
Longest run
Princeton 4·Cornell 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Cornell above 50 · Princeton below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+9.1% PRINCErally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 9.1% to Princeton — set 2, PRINCE 27-25 CORN. Ace by Ava Harrington on Kiran Rio. CORN win probability 71% → 62%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PRINCE 27.1%72.9% CORN

Princeton wins

3-0
5.0%
3-1
9.4%
3-2
12.8%

Cornell wins

3-0
25.3%
3-1
27.9%
3-2
19.6%
PRINCE break %
39.3% vs this opp
CORN break %
43.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Ava Harrington on Kiran Rio

    Set 2 · PRINCE 27-25 CORN · PRINCE 29% → 38%

  2. 02
    Ashtyn SimsAttack error+6.4%

    Attack error by Ashtyn Sims

    Set 2 · PRINCE 23-23 CORN · CORN 71% → 77%

  3. 03
    Erin McNairKill+6.0%

    Kill by Erin McNair (set by Sydney Draper)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 24-23 CORN · PRINCE 23% → 29%

  4. 04
    Sydney ZancaKill+6.0%

    Kill by Sydney Zanca (set by Nevaeh Tien)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 24-24 CORN · CORN 71% → 77%

  5. 05
    Erin McNairKill+6.0%

    Kill by Erin McNair (set by Sydney Draper)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 25-24 CORN · PRINCE 23% → 29%

  6. 06

    Kill by Mackenzie Parsons (set by Nevaeh Tien)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 25-25 CORN · CORN 71% → 77%

  7. 07
    Erin McNairAttack error+6.0%

    Attack error by Erin McNair

    Set 2 · PRINCE 26-25 CORN · PRINCE 23% → 29%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ava Harrington (set by Sydney Draper)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 23-21 CORN · PRINCE 26% → 32%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418749.2241016000018
412422.3641001002113
43017.17641201300005
4216.167000001224
41113.000000800001
34619-.105113100216
49629.10300072010.59.5
4001.0003301400003
4001.000001700000
2607.85700000010.56.5
Team totals5525164.183476557418587
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414425.4001000014317
414127.48100270010.514.5
48118.3892000028614
47633.0300101220008
43010.30043021000214
4000–000310000
413138.31600011031.514.5
4103.3333301110004
4002.0002021300000
Team totals6013156.301514657631812100

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Princeton vs Cornell

Season series · Cornell leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 PRINCE · CORN 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 PRINCECORN 4

Set 2

27-25

Longest run 4 PRINCECORN 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 PRINCECORN 3

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 4 PRINCECORN 6

Bars above the line = Cornell leads, below = Princeton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Princeton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
38%5/13
2
53%8/15
47%8/17
3
47%7/15
30%3/10
4
78%7/9
0%0/7
5
50%6/12
13%1/8
6
50%6/12
50%6/12
All
58%43/74
34%23/67

Cornell

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
50%7/14
2
53%9/17
18%2/11
3
70%7/10
43%6/14
4
100%7/7
53%8/15
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
67%6/9
45%5/11
All
66%44/67
42%31/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#PRINCE-CORNSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0CORNPRINCEAttack errSydney Zanca+1.7
21-1PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+1.7
32-1CORNPRINCE×3Attack errErin McNair+1.8
43-1PRINCEPRINCE×3KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+2.5
54-1PRINCEPRINCE×3KillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+2.5
64-2PRINCECORNKillJaida Sioneset Nevaeh Tien+1.6
74-3CORNCORNAceCornell+2.5
85-3CORNPRINCEAttack errErin McNair+1.9
96-3PRINCEPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+2.7
106-4PRINCECORNServe errPrinceton+1.7
117-4CORNPRINCEServe errCornell+1.9
127-5PRINCECORN×4KillJaida Sioneset Nevaeh Tien+1.7
137-6CORNCORN×4KillJaida Sioneset Nevaeh Tien+2.6
147-7CORNCORN×4KillSydney Zancaset Ava Bogan+2.7
157-8CORNCORN×4BlockedAshtyn Simsblk Ava Bogan+2.7
168-8CORNPRINCE×3KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+2.0
179-8PRINCEPRINCE×3KillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Bold+2.9
1810-8PRINCEPRINCE×3BlockedJaida Sioneblk Ava Harrington, Ashley Duckworth+3.0
1910-9PRINCECORN×4KillAva Boganset Nevaeh Tien+2.0
2010-10CORNCORN×4BlockedAva Harringtonblk Sydney Zanca+3.0
2110-11CORNCORN×4BlockedAva Harringtonblk Ava Bogan, Sydney Zanca+3.0
2210-12CORNCORN×4KillKiran Rioset Nevaeh Tien+2.9
2311-12CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+2.0
2411-13PRINCECORN×3KillAva Boganset Sydney Zanca+2.1
2511-14CORNCORN×3KillMackenzie Parsons+2.7
2611-15CORN
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+2.3
2712-15CORNPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.3
2812-16PRINCECORNAttack errAva Harrington+1.6
2913-16CORNPRINCEServe errCornell+1.3
3014-16PRINCEPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+2.5
3114-17PRINCECORNServe errPrinceton+2.1
3214-18CORNCORNAttack errErin McNair+2.4
3315-18CORNPRINCEKillSydney Draper+1.3
3416-18PRINCEPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+2.6
3516-19PRINCECORN×4KillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+2.3
3616-20CORNCORN×4KillAva Boganset Trinidy Tien+2.4
3716-21CORNCORN×4Attack errAshtyn Sims+1.6
3816-22CORNCORN×4BlockedShelby Burrissblk Ava Bogan, Jaida Sione+0.9
3917-22CORNPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.3
4017-23PRINCECORNKillJaida Sioneset Nevaeh Tien+0.5
4117-24CORNCORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+0.2
4218-24CORNPRINCE×4Serve errCornell·
4319-24PRINCEPRINCE×4AceSydney Draperaced Jaida Sione+0.1
4420-24PRINCEPRINCE×4Bad setJaida Sione+0.2
4521-24PRINCEPRINCE×4AceSydney Draperaced Kiran Rio+0.6
4621-25PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+1.0
Set 2
11-0PRINCEPRINCEAttack errSydney Zanca+2.1
21-1PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+1.4
32-1CORNPRINCEAttack errKiran Rio+1.5
43-1PRINCEPRINCEBlockedKiran Rioblk Shelby Burriss, Ava Harrington+2.2
53-2PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+1.5
63-3CORNCORNKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+2.1
74-3CORNPRINCE×3KillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+1.6
85-3PRINCEPRINCE×3KillShelby Burrissset Trinidy Tien+2.3
96-3PRINCEPRINCE×3KillSydney Draperset Nevaeh Tien+2.3
106-4PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+1.5
117-4CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.7
127-5PRINCECORNKillAva Boganset Nevaeh Tien+1.5
138-5CORNPRINCEServe errCornell+1.7
148-6PRINCECORNKillNevaeh Tien+1.5
159-6CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.8
169-7PRINCECORN×4KillAva Boganset Ashley Duckworth+1.6
179-8CORNCORN×4AceCornellaced Ashtyn Sims+2.4
189-9CORNCORN×4AceCornellaced Ashtyn Sims+2.5
199-10CORNCORN×4KillKiran Rioset Nevaeh Tien+2.5
2010-10CORNPRINCE×3KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.8
2111-10PRINCEPRINCE×3Attack errSydney Zanca+2.7
2212-10PRINCEPRINCE×3Attack errSydney Draper+2.8
2312-11PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+1.8
2413-11CORNPRINCE×3KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+2.1
2514-11PRINCEPRINCE×3Attack errMackenzie Parsons+2.8
2615-11PRINCEPRINCE×3KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+2.6
2715-12PRINCECORN×5KillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+1.5
2815-13CORNCORN×5KillJaida Sioneset Sarita Pomar+2.5
2915-14CORNCORN×5KillJaida Sioneset Trinidy Tien+2.9
3015-15CORNCORN×5Attack errAva Harrington+3.1
3115-16CORNCORN×5KillJaida Sioneset Nevaeh Tien+3.2
3216-16CORNPRINCEAttack errErin McNair+2.3
3316-17PRINCECORN×3Serve errPrinceton+2.4
3416-18CORNCORN×3Attack errNatalie Surges+3.2
3516-19CORNCORN×3KillJaida Sioneset Ava Bogan+2.8
3617-19CORNPRINCEServe errCornell+1.6
3717-20PRINCECORNBad setAshtyn Sims+2.0
3818-20CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Shelby Burriss+1.6
3919-20PRINCEPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+3.2
4019-21PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+2.8
4120-21CORNPRINCE×4KillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+2.4
4221-21PRINCEPRINCE×4BlockedAva Boganblk Ashley Duckworth+4.6
4322-21PRINCEPRINCE×4KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+5.7
4423-21PRINCEPRINCE×4KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+5.7
4523-22PRINCECORNKillAva Boganset Nevaeh Tien+2.8
4623-23CORNCORNAttack errAshtyn Sims+6.4
4724-23CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+6.0
4824-24PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+6.0
4925-24CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+6.0
5025-25PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+6.0
5126-25CORNPRINCEAttack errErin McNair+6.0
5227-25PRINCEPRINCEAceAva Harringtonaced Kiran Rio+9.1
Set 3
11-0CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Ava Harrington+2.4
21-1PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+2.3
32-1CORNPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Erin McNair+2.4
42-2PRINCECORNServe errPrinceton+2.3
53-2CORNPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+2.5
63-3PRINCECORNBad setShelby Burriss+2.4
73-4CORNCORNBlockedShelby Burrissblk Ava Bogan, Jaida Sione+3.4
84-4CORNPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Ava Bogan+2.4
94-5PRINCECORNAttack errErin McNair+2.4
105-5CORNPRINCEKillSydney Draper+2.5
115-6PRINCECORNKillJaida Sioneset Nevaeh Tien+2.5
125-7CORNCORNAttack errAva Harrington+3.4
136-7CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+2.4
146-8PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+2.4
156-9CORNCORNAttack errErin McNair+3.2
167-9CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sarita Pomar+2.1
177-10PRINCECORNKillKiran Rioset Nevaeh Tien+2.3
188-10CORNPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+2.2
198-11PRINCECORNBad setErin McNair+2.4
209-11CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+2.2
219-12PRINCECORNKillJaida Sioneset Nevaeh Tien+2.4
2210-12CORNPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+2.3
2310-13PRINCECORNKillJaida Sioneset Nevaeh Tien+2.5
2410-14CORNCORNBlockedAshley Duckworthblk Ava Bogan+3.0
2511-14CORNPRINCE×4KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+1.8
2612-14PRINCEPRINCE×4KillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper+3.3
2713-14PRINCEPRINCE×4BlockedSydney Zancablk Ashley Duckworth, Ashtyn Sims+4.0
2814-14PRINCEPRINCE×4KillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Bold+4.7
2914-15PRINCECORNKillAva Boganset Nevaeh Tien+3.4
3015-15CORNPRINCEAttack errKiran Rio+3.5
3115-16PRINCECORNAttack errAva Harrington+3.6
3215-17CORNCORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+4.9
3316-17CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+3.2
3416-18PRINCECORN×3KillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+3.6
3516-19CORNCORN×3BlockedErin McNairblk Mackenzie Parsons, Nevaeh Tien+4.4
3616-20CORNCORN×3KillKiran Rioset Nevaeh Tien+3.4
3717-20CORNPRINCEServe errCornell+1.7
3817-21PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+2.4
3917-22CORNCORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+2.0
4018-22CORNPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Mackenzie Parsons+0.7
4118-23PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+1.2
4219-23CORNPRINCEBad setNevaeh Tien+0.5
4319-24PRINCECORNKillSarita Pomarset Trinidy Tien+1.0
4419-25CORNCORNBlockedAshtyn Simsblk Sydney Zanca, Ava Bogan+0.3
Set 4
11-0PRINCEPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Bold+2.9
21-1PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+2.0
32-1CORNPRINCEKillTaylor Clarkeset Sydney Draper+2.1
42-2PRINCECORNKillKiran Rioset Nevaeh Tien+2.1
53-2CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+2.2
63-3PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+2.1
74-3CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+2.2
84-4PRINCECORNKillAva Boganset Nevaeh Tien+2.2
95-4CORNPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+2.3
105-5PRINCECORN×4KillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+2.2
115-6CORNCORN×4BlockedAshtyn Simsblk Ava Bogan, Sydney Zanca+3.1
125-7CORNCORN×4Attack errErin McNair+3.0
135-8CORNCORN×4Attack errAshtyn Sims+2.8
146-8CORNPRINCEKillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper+1.8
156-9PRINCECORNBlockedNatalie Surgesblk Sydney Zanca, Ava Bogan+2.0
167-9CORNPRINCEAttack errKiran Rio+1.9
177-10PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+2.0
188-10CORNPRINCE×3KillTaylor Clarkeset Sydney Draper+1.9
199-10PRINCEPRINCE×3AceSydney Bold+3.1
2010-10PRINCEPRINCE×3AceSydney Boldaced Sarita Pomar+3.5
2110-11PRINCECORNKillKiran Rioset Nevaeh Tien+2.6
2211-11CORNPRINCEKillTaylor Clarkeset Sydney Draper+2.6
2311-12PRINCECORN×6Serve errPrinceton+2.7
2411-13CORNCORN×6Bad setErin McNair+3.6
2511-14CORNCORN×6Attack errJaida Sione+3.3
2611-15CORNCORN×6BlockedShelby Burrissblk Ava Bogan, Jaida Sione+2.7
2711-16CORNCORN×6BlockedErin McNairblk Nevaeh Tien, Ava Bogan+2.2
2811-17CORNCORN×6Attack errErin McNair+1.5
2912-17CORNPRINCEKillNatalie Surgesset Erin McNair+0.8
3012-18PRINCECORNKillJaida Sioneset Sarita Pomar+1.1
3112-19CORNCORNAttack errShelby Burriss+0.9
3213-19CORNPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.4
3313-20PRINCECORNKillJaida Sioneset Nevaeh Tien+0.6
3413-21CORNCORNKillSydney Zancaset Haley Clark+0.4
3514-21CORNPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.1
3614-22PRINCECORNKillKiran Rioset Nevaeh Tien+0.2
3714-23CORNCORNKillNevaeh Tienset Sarita Pomar+0.1
3815-23CORNPRINCEKillTaylor Clarkeset Sydney Draper·
3916-23PRINCEPRINCEAttack errKiran Rio+0.1
4016-24PRINCECORNKillSydney Zancaset Nevaeh Tien+0.1
4117-24CORNPRINCE×4KillTaylor Clarkeset Sydney Draper·
4218-24PRINCEPRINCE×4AceSydney Boldaced Haley Clark·
4319-24PRINCEPRINCE×4KillTaylor Clarkeset Sydney Draper+0.1
4420-24PRINCEPRINCE×4Attack errKiran Rio+0.3
4520-25PRINCECORNKillMackenzie Parsonsset Nevaeh Tien+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Princeton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).