FinalSat, Oct 31, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Columbia def. Princeton 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Princeton 86.9% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 31, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Columbia beat visiting Princeton 3-0 (25-21, 25-22, 25-17) on Sat, Oct 31, 2026. Alexia Cornea led Columbia with 10 kills; Princeton's Ava Harrington had a match-high 18.

Data through · final Oct 31

Set123Sets
PRINCE2122170
COLUMB2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Columbia beat Princeton from a 13% pre-match call.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are Columbia's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Princeton was RallyIQ's 87% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Princeton 1–0 Columbia

    The bottom for Columbia, then 25 of the next 45 rallies and the set, 25–21.

    Columbia 12% → 31%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Princeton 21–22 Columbia

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Columbia, enough to take the set 25–22 and lead 2–0. The match swung to Columbia.

    Columbia 43% → 63%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Princeton 0–0 Columbia

    Columbia scored 7 straight to open the set 7–0.

    Columbia 63% → 88%

Columbia above 50Princeton belowMax swing 10.9%

PrincetonColumbia

Sideout %
Princeton 56.8·Columbia 70.5
Break %
Princeton 29.5·Columbia 43.2
Hitting
Princeton .252·Columbia .293
Longest run
Princeton 3·Columbia 7

Elena Maynulet
6 of her kills came in the stretches above. 8 K, .304, 12.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Columbia above 50 · Princeton below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.9% COLUMBrally 135 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.9% to Columbia — set 2, PRINCE 22-24 COLUMB. Shelby Burriss stuffed by Charlotte Gravlee & Alexia Cornea. COLUMB win probability 45% → 56%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PRINCE 82.0%18.0% COLUMB

Princeton wins

3-0
33.6%
3-1
30.7%
3-2
17.7%

Columbia wins

3-0
2.8%
3-1
5.9%
3-2
9.3%
PRINCE break %
44.3% vs this opp
COLUMB break %
37.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Shelby Burriss stuffed by Charlotte Gravlee & Alexia Cornea

    Set 2 · PRINCE 22-24 COLUMB · COLUMB 45% → 56%

  2. 02
    Ashtyn SimsService error+7.1%

    Service error by Ashtyn Sims

    Set 2 · PRINCE 22-23 COLUMB · COLUMB 38% → 45%

  3. 03

    Kill by Charlotte Gravlee (set by Claire Mo)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 22-25 COLUMB · COLUMB 56% → 63%

  4. 04
    Sydney DraperBad set+6.5%

    Bad set by Sydney Draper

    Set 2 · PRINCE 19-20 COLUMB · COLUMB 34% → 41%

  5. 05

    Kill by Danica Nordlicht (set by Clara Yu)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 21-22 COLUMB · COLUMB 37% → 43%

  6. 06
    Charlotte GravleeAttack error+5.3%

    Attack error by Charlotte Gravlee

    Set 2 · PRINCE 22-22 COLUMB · PRINCE 57% → 62%

  7. 07

    Kill by Elena Maynulet (set by Clara Yu)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 20-21 COLUMB · COLUMB 37% → 42%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ava Harrington (set by Sydney Draper)

    Set 2 · PRINCE 17-17 COLUMB · PRINCE 60% → 65%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
318434.41200510010.518.5
310321.3330007210111
38116.438000000219
34823-.17400370010.54.5
3215.200100100002
3013-.33333001400211
3000–101110000
3000–5001230000
1305.600000000003
1000–500000000
Team totals4518107.252450943716460
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38123.30402020132.512.5
38012.66710000094.512.5
310120.45020010010.510.5
35313.154012101228
3059-.556200300633
3102.5001612900002
36019.31600010010.56.5
3000–020300002
31011.0001200700001
3000–4111000001
Team totals391099.29337753702221375

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Princeton vs Columbia

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 PRINCE · COLUMB 7

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 PRINCECOLUMB 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 PRINCECOLUMB 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 3 PRINCECOLUMB 7

Bars above the line = Columbia leads, below = Princeton leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Princeton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
40%8/20
22%2/9
2
50%8/16
27%3/11
3
80%8/10
20%2/10
4
67%6/9
33%4/12
5
60%6/10
33%3/9
6
67%6/9
40%4/10
All
57%42/74
30%18/61

Columbia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
61%11/18
2
100%8/8
43%6/14
3
67%8/12
43%6/14
4
58%7/12
13%1/8
5
75%6/8
50%6/12
6
67%6/9
25%2/8
All
70%43/61
43%32/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

135 rallies

#PRINCE-COLUMBSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0COLUMBPRINCEKillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper+0.9
21-1PRINCECOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+1.0
31-2COLUMBCOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+1.5
42-2COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.0
52-3PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+1.1
63-3COLUMBPRINCEAttack errAvery Jones+1.0
74-3PRINCEPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+1.4
84-4PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+1.0
94-5COLUMBCOLUMBBlockedSydney Draperblk Charlotte Gravlee+1.7
105-5COLUMBPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+1.1
115-6PRINCECOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+1.2
126-6COLUMBPRINCEKillNatalie Surgesset Sydney Draper+1.1
137-6PRINCEPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.5
147-7PRINCECOLUMB×3KillDahlia Robertsset Claire Mo+1.1
157-8COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillDahlia Robertsset Danica Nordlicht+1.8
167-9COLUMBCOLUMB×3AceColumbiaaced Sydney Bold+2.0
178-9COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Bold+1.3
189-9PRINCEPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.8
199-10PRINCECOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Delaney Seaman+1.4
209-11COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errAshtyn Sims+2.2
2110-11COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.4
2210-12PRINCECOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+1.7
2311-12COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.4
2411-13PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+1.7
2512-13COLUMBPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+1.5
2612-14PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+1.8
2713-14COLUMBPRINCE×3KillNatalie Surgesset Sydney Draper+1.5
2814-14PRINCEPRINCE×3Attack errCharlotte Gravlee+2.3
2915-14PRINCEPRINCE×3KillNatalie Surgesset Sydney Draper+2.2
3015-15PRINCECOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+1.6
3115-16COLUMBCOLUMBBlockedNatalie Surgesblk Dahlia Roberts, Charlotte Gravlee+2.7
3216-16COLUMBPRINCEKillNatalie Surgesset Ashley Duckworth+1.7
3316-17PRINCECOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Delaney Seaman+2.0
3417-17COLUMBPRINCEServe errCharlotte Gravlee+1.8
3517-18PRINCECOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Claire Mo+2.2
3618-18COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+2.0
3719-18PRINCEPRINCEAttack errAvery Jones+2.9
3819-19PRINCECOLUMB×4KillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+2.1
3919-20COLUMBCOLUMB×4BlockedAshtyn Simsblk Avery Jones, Danica Nordlicht+3.6
4019-21COLUMBCOLUMB×4AceColumbiaaced Sydney Bold+4.0
4119-22COLUMBCOLUMB×4KillAlexia Corneaset Delaney Seaman+3.7
4220-22COLUMBPRINCEBlockedAvery Jonesblk Sydney Draper, Shelby Burriss+1.6
4320-23PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+2.8
4420-24COLUMBCOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Avery Jones+2.5
4521-24COLUMBPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+0.5
4621-25PRINCECOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+1.3
Set 2
10-1PRINCECOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Danica Nordlicht+1.9
21-1COLUMBPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+1.7
31-2PRINCECOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+2.0
42-2COLUMBPRINCE×3KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.8
53-2PRINCEPRINCE×3Attack errAvery Jones+2.4
64-2PRINCEPRINCE×3KillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+2.2
74-3PRINCECOLUMBServe errAva Harrington+1.6
85-3COLUMBPRINCE×3KillNatalie Surgesset Sydney Draper+1.5
96-3PRINCEPRINCE×3BlockedAvery Jonesblk Natalie Surges+1.9
107-3PRINCEPRINCE×3KillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+1.6
117-4PRINCECOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Clara Yu+1.1
128-4COLUMBPRINCEKillNatalie Surgesset Sydney Draper+1.1
138-5PRINCECOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+1.1
149-5COLUMBPRINCEKillNatalie Surgesset Sydney Draper+1.2
159-6PRINCECOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+1.1
169-7COLUMBCOLUMBBlockedNatalie Surgesblk Elena Maynulet+2.0
1710-7COLUMBPRINCEKillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper+1.5
1811-7PRINCEPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Bold+1.8
1911-8PRINCECOLUMBBlockedAva Harringtonblk Elena Maynulet, Danica Nordlicht+1.2
2011-9COLUMBCOLUMBBlockedAshtyn Simsblk Danica Nordlicht, Avery Jones+2.1
2112-9COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+1.6
2212-10PRINCECOLUMB×5KillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+1.6
2312-11COLUMBCOLUMB×5BlockedAshtyn Simsblk Danica Nordlicht, Avery Jones+2.8
2412-12COLUMBCOLUMB×5AceElena Maynuletaced Natalie Surges+3.5
2512-13COLUMBCOLUMB×5KillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+4.1
2612-14COLUMBCOLUMB×5BlockedAshtyn Simsblk Avery Jones, Danica Nordlicht+4.5
2713-14COLUMBPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+2.7
2813-15PRINCECOLUMBServe errAva Harrington+3.4
2914-15COLUMBPRINCEServe errDelaney Seaman+2.9
3014-16PRINCECOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+3.6
3115-16COLUMBPRINCEAttack errCharlotte Gravlee+3.0
3215-17PRINCECOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Claire Mo+3.8
3316-17COLUMBPRINCE×3KillNatalie Surgesset Sydney Draper+3.1
3417-17PRINCEPRINCE×3KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+4.9
3518-17PRINCEPRINCE×3KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Bold+4.7
3618-18PRINCECOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+3.5
3719-18COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Bold+3.5
3819-19PRINCECOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Delaney Seaman+3.7
3919-20COLUMBCOLUMBBad setSydney Draper+6.5
4020-20COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+4.2
4120-21PRINCECOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+5.2
4221-21COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+4.7
4321-22PRINCECOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+6.0
4422-22COLUMBPRINCEAttack errCharlotte Gravlee+5.3
4522-23PRINCECOLUMB×3Serve errAshtyn Sims+7.1
4622-24COLUMBCOLUMB×3BlockedShelby Burrissblk Charlotte Gravlee, Alexia Cornea+10.9
4722-25COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+6.9
Set 3
10-1COLUMBCOLUMB×7KillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu+3.0
20-2COLUMBCOLUMB×7BlockedAshtyn Simsblk Avery Jones, Danica Nordlicht+3.4
30-3COLUMBCOLUMB×7KillElena Maynuletset Avery Jones+3.6
40-4COLUMBCOLUMB×7KillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+3.8
50-5COLUMBCOLUMB×7Attack errAshley Duckworth+3.8
60-6COLUMBCOLUMB×7BlockedAshtyn Simsblk Danica Nordlicht, Avery Jones+3.7
70-7COLUMBCOLUMB×7AceClara Yu+3.4
81-7COLUMBPRINCE×3Serve errClara Yu+1.8
92-7PRINCEPRINCE×3KillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+3.0
103-7PRINCEPRINCE×3BlockedElena Maynuletblk Shelby Burriss, Ava Harrington+3.3
113-8PRINCECOLUMBKillClara Yuset Alexia Cornea+2.9
124-8COLUMBPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+2.2
134-9PRINCECOLUMBAttack errAshtyn Sims+3.0
145-9COLUMBPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Lia Skufca+2.3
155-10PRINCECOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+3.0
166-10COLUMBPRINCEKillTaylor Clarkeset Lia Skufca+2.3
177-10PRINCEPRINCEKillTaylor Clarkeset Lia Skufca+3.7
187-11PRINCECOLUMB×3KillClaire Moset Alexia Cornea+3.3
197-12COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+4.3
207-13COLUMBCOLUMB×3AceMadison Hsiehaced Sydney Bold+3.9
218-13COLUMBPRINCEKillNatalie Surgesset Sydney Bold+1.9
229-13PRINCEPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+3.4
239-14PRINCECOLUMBKillDahlia Robertsset Claire Mo+3.2
2410-14COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+2.3
2510-15PRINCECOLUMB×3Bad setSydney Draper+3.3
2610-16COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+3.9
2710-17COLUMBCOLUMB×3BlockedAva Harringtonblk Elena Maynulet, Danica Nordlicht+3.0
2811-17COLUMBPRINCEServe errClara Yu+1.3
2911-18PRINCECOLUMBAttack errAva Harrington+2.1
3012-18COLUMBPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+1.1
3112-19PRINCECOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+1.9
3212-20COLUMBCOLUMBAceDelaney Seamanaced Natalie Surges+1.7
3313-20COLUMBPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Lia Skufca+0.5
3414-20PRINCEPRINCEAttack errAlexia Cornea+1.2
3514-21PRINCECOLUMBServe errOlivia Foye+1.5
3615-21COLUMBPRINCEKillTaylor Clarkeset Lia Skufca+0.6
3715-22PRINCECOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Claire Mo+1.3
3815-23COLUMBCOLUMBAceMadison Hsiehaced Olivia Foye+0.8
3916-23COLUMBPRINCEKillNatalie Surgesset Olivia Foye+0.1
4016-24PRINCECOLUMBAttack errNatalie Surges+0.3
4117-24COLUMBPRINCEServe errCharlotte Gravlee·
4217-25PRINCECOLUMBBlockedAva Harringtonblk Elena Maynulet, Danica Nordlicht+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Princeton first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).