FinalFri, Oct 2, 2026

Princeton def. Columbia 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Princeton 88.3% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 2, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Princeton beat visiting Columbia 3-0 (25-13, 25-13, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 2, 2026. Princeton's Shelby Burriss led with 10 kills, and Ashtyn Sims added 11 digs.

Data through · final Oct 2

Set123Sets
COLUMB1313210
PRINCE2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

6 aces from Erin Mcnair in a Princeton rout.

The biggest single-rally swing was 1.0 points, and Columbia's high was 11% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. RallyIQ gave Princeton 88% before first serve.

ColumbiaPrinceton
  • Break %+29.5 pts
    18.447.9

    Points won on own serve: 35 of 73 vs 9 of 49. Columbia sided out 52.1% of the time.

  • Hitting+.219
    .127.346

    37 kills, 9 errors vs 25 kills, 16 errors.

  • Longest run+4
    37

    7 straight Princeton points in the first set stretched a 4–1 lead to 11–1. That set ended 25–13.

Princeton above 50Columbia belowMax swing 1.0%

ColumbiaPrinceton

Aces
Columbia 2·Princeton 10
Serve err
Columbia 9·Princeton 11
Blocks
Columbia 5·Princeton 52 BS · 6 BA vs 1 BS · 8 BA
Digs
Columbia 30·Princeton 29

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Princeton above 50 · Columbia below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.0% PRINCErally 122 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.0% to Princeton — set 1, COLUMB 0-2 PRINCE. Avery Jones stuffed by Shelby Burriss & Erin McNair. PRINCE win probability 89% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COLUMB 9.8%90.2% PRINCE

Columbia wins

3-0
1.3%
3-1
3.0%
3-2
5.5%

Princeton wins

3-0
44.7%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
13.9%
COLUMB break %
36.0% vs this opp
PRINCE break %
45.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Avery Jones stuffed by Shelby Burriss & Erin McNair

    Set 1 · COLUMB 0-2 PRINCE · PRINCE 89% → 90%

  2. 02
    Alexia CorneaAttack error+0.9%

    Attack error by Alexia Cornea

    Set 1 · COLUMB 0-3 PRINCE · PRINCE 90% → 91%

  3. 03
    Erin McNairKill+0.9%

    Kill by Erin McNair (set by Sydney Draper)

    Set 2 · COLUMB 3-4 PRINCE · PRINCE 94% → 95%

  4. 04
    Alexia CorneaAttack error+0.8%

    Attack error by Alexia Cornea

    Set 1 · COLUMB 0-1 PRINCE · PRINCE 88% → 89%

  5. 05
    PrincetonAce+0.8%

    Princeton ace on Delaney Seaman

    Set 2 · COLUMB 4-6 PRINCE · PRINCE 95% → 95%

  6. 06
    Alexia CorneaAttack error+0.7%

    Attack error by Alexia Cornea

    Set 1 · COLUMB 0-4 PRINCE · PRINCE 91% → 92%

  7. 07

    Kill by Charlotte Gravlee (set by Clara Yu)

    Set 2 · COLUMB 3-2 PRINCE · COLUMB 6% → 7%

  8. 08

    Kill by Elise Hiemstra (set by Clara Yu)

    Set 2 · COLUMB 2-1 PRINCE · COLUMB 6% → 7%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
34212.16701263010.55.5
3518.50000200010.55.5
3215.200000001224
3000–901500000
2017-.143000200000
11512-.333000010001
3326.16700010010.53.5
31011.000801400001
3000–112300001
3000–701740000
29317.3530002110110
1013-.33300000010.50.5
Team totals251671.1272529301026547
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39426.19206320010.515.5
310117.5290010002111
35213.23113350031.59.5
37012.5831031110007
3409.444000001226
3213.3333210100003
3000–101810000
2000–000000000
1011-1.000000200000
Team totals37981.34635101129218575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Columbia vs Princeton

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 COLUMB · PRINCE 7

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 COLUMBPRINCE 7

Set 2

13-25

Longest run 1 COLUMBPRINCE 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 COLUMBPRINCE 4

Bars above the line = Princeton leads, below = Columbia leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Columbia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
57%8/14
42%5/12
2
37%7/19
0%0/8
3
70%7/10
22%2/9
4
43%6/14
13%1/8
5
45%5/11
14%1/7
6
100%5/5
0%0/5
All
52%38/73
18%9/49

Princeton

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
14%1/7
2
100%7/7
56%9/16
3
78%7/9
53%8/15
4
88%7/8
42%5/12
5
86%6/7
65%11/17
6
100%5/5
17%1/6
All
82%40/49
48%35/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

122 rallies

#COLUMB-PRINCESrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1COLUMBPRINCE×4Attack errAlexia Cornea+0.8
20-2PRINCEPRINCE×4BlockedAvery Jonesblk Shelby Burriss, Erin McNair+1.0
30-3PRINCEPRINCE×4Attack errAlexia Cornea+0.9
40-4PRINCEPRINCE×4Attack errAlexia Cornea+0.7
51-4PRINCECOLUMBKillAlexia Corneaset Clara Yu+0.5
61-5COLUMBPRINCE×7KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.5
71-6PRINCEPRINCE×7AcePrincetonaced Delaney Seaman+0.6
81-7PRINCEPRINCE×7KillSydney Draperset Ava Harrington+0.5
91-8PRINCEPRINCE×7KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.4
101-9PRINCEPRINCE×7AcePrincetonaced Delaney Seaman+0.3
111-10PRINCEPRINCE×7KillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.2
121-11PRINCEPRINCE×7AcePrinceton+0.1
132-11PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+0.1
142-12COLUMBPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.1
152-13PRINCEPRINCEAcePrincetonaced Alexia Cornea+0.1
163-13PRINCECOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Delaney Seaman·
173-14COLUMBPRINCEServe errColumbia·
184-14PRINCECOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo·
195-14COLUMBCOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Claire Mo+0.1
205-15COLUMBPRINCEServe errColumbia+0.1
216-15PRINCECOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Claire Mo·
226-16COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+0.1
237-16PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton·
248-16COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errErin McNair+0.1
258-17COLUMBPRINCE×3KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.1
268-18PRINCEPRINCE×3Attack errAlexia Cornea+0.1
278-19PRINCEPRINCE×3Attack errAlexia Cornea·
289-19PRINCECOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Clara Yu·
299-20COLUMBPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper·
309-21PRINCEPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper·
3110-21PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton·
3211-21COLUMBCOLUMBBlockedNatalie Surgesblk Josie Zynczak, Charlotte Gravlee·
3311-22COLUMBPRINCEServe errColumbia·
3412-22PRINCECOLUMBAttack errSydney Draper·
3513-22COLUMBCOLUMBAceColumbiaaced Ashtyn Sims·
3613-23COLUMBPRINCE×3Serve errColumbia·
3713-24PRINCEPRINCE×3KillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper·
3813-25PRINCEPRINCE×3KillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper·
Set 2
11-0PRINCECOLUMBBlockedErin McNairblk Danica Nordlicht+0.7
21-1COLUMBPRINCEServe errColumbia+0.6
32-1PRINCECOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+0.7
42-2COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+0.6
53-2PRINCECOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Clara Yu+0.7
63-3COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+0.7
73-4PRINCEPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.9
84-4PRINCECOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Delaney Seaman+0.7
94-5COLUMBPRINCE×5KillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.6
104-6PRINCEPRINCE×5AcePrincetonaced Delaney Seaman+0.8
114-7PRINCEPRINCE×5KillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+0.7
124-8PRINCEPRINCE×5AcePrincetonaced Delaney Seaman+0.6
134-9PRINCEPRINCE×5AcePrincetonaced Elena Maynulet+0.5
145-9PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+0.3
155-10COLUMBPRINCEAttack errJosie Zynczak+0.3
166-10PRINCECOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Delaney Seaman+0.3
176-11COLUMBPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+0.3
186-12PRINCEPRINCEBlockedElena Maynuletblk Ashley Duckworth, Ava Harrington+0.3
197-12PRINCECOLUMBKillDanica Nordlichtset Clara Yu+0.2
207-13COLUMBPRINCEKillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper+0.3
217-14PRINCEPRINCEAttack errElena Maynulet+0.2
228-14PRINCECOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+0.1
238-15COLUMBPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.2
249-15PRINCECOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+0.1
259-16COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+0.2
269-17PRINCEPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.1
2710-17PRINCECOLUMBBlockedShelby Burrissblk Elise Hiemstra+0.1
2810-18COLUMBPRINCEAttack errErin McNair+0.1
2910-19PRINCEPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+0.1
3011-19PRINCECOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo·
3111-20COLUMBPRINCEAttack errShelby Burriss·
3212-20PRINCECOLUMBKillJosie Zynczakset Claire Mo·
3312-21COLUMBPRINCEServe errColumbia·
3413-21PRINCECOLUMBBlockedAva Harringtonblk Danica Nordlicht, Elena Maynulet·
3513-22COLUMBPRINCE×4KillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper·
3613-23PRINCEPRINCE×4KillSydney Draperset Sydney Bold·
3713-24PRINCEPRINCE×4KillErin McNairset Ashtyn Sims·
3813-25PRINCEPRINCE×4BlockedElise Hiemstrablk Ava Harrington, Ashley Duckworth·
Set 3
11-0COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillElise Hiemstraset Delaney Seaman+0.4
22-0COLUMBCOLUMB×3AceColumbiaaced Sydney Bold+0.5
33-0COLUMBCOLUMB×3KillElise Hiemstraset Delaney Seaman+0.5
43-1COLUMBPRINCEKillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper+0.4
54-1PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+0.4
64-2COLUMBPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.4
74-3PRINCEPRINCEAttack errElise Hiemstra+0.5
85-3PRINCECOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Delaney Seaman+0.4
95-4COLUMBPRINCE×3KillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.4
105-5PRINCEPRINCE×3AcePrincetonaced Elena Maynulet+0.5
115-6PRINCEPRINCE×3AcePrincetonaced Elise Hiemstra+0.4
126-6PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+0.4
136-7COLUMBPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+0.3
146-8PRINCEPRINCEAttack errJosie Zynczak+0.4
157-8PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+0.3
167-9COLUMBPRINCEServe errColumbia+0.3
177-10PRINCEPRINCEAcePrincetonaced Elena Maynulet+0.4
188-10PRINCECOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Delaney Seaman+0.3
198-11COLUMBPRINCEAttack errKylee Eze+0.3
209-11PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+0.3
219-12COLUMBPRINCEServe errColumbia+0.3
2210-12PRINCECOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+0.3
2310-13COLUMBPRINCEServe errColumbia+0.3
2411-13PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+0.3
2512-13COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errErin McNair+0.5
2612-14COLUMBPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.4
2713-14PRINCECOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+0.4
2813-15COLUMBPRINCE×4KillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.4
2913-16PRINCEPRINCE×4Serve errPrinceton+0.5
3013-17PRINCEPRINCE×4KillAshley Duckworthset Sydney Draper+0.4
3113-18PRINCEPRINCE×4Attack errCharlotte Gravlee+0.3
3214-18PRINCECOLUMBKillElena Maynuletset Claire Mo+0.1
3314-19COLUMBPRINCEKillErin McNairset Sydney Draper+0.2
3415-19PRINCECOLUMBKillClaire Moset Evie Naumann+0.1
3515-20COLUMBPRINCEKillAva Harringtonset Sydney Draper+0.2
3616-20PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+0.1
3717-20COLUMBCOLUMBAttack errAva Harrington+0.3
3817-21COLUMBPRINCEBlockedDanica Nordlichtblk Ashley Duckworth+0.3
3918-21PRINCECOLUMBAttack errErin McNair+0.2
4018-22COLUMBPRINCEBlockedElise Hiemstrablk Shelby Burriss, Ava Harrington+0.3
4119-22PRINCECOLUMBKillElise Hiemstraset Clara Yu+0.2
4219-23COLUMBPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.3
4320-23PRINCECOLUMBServe errPrinceton+0.1
4420-24COLUMBPRINCEKillShelby Burrissset Sydney Draper+0.2
4521-24PRINCECOLUMBKillCharlotte Gravleeset Claire Mo+0.1
4621-25COLUMBPRINCEKillAshtyn Simsset Sydney Draper+0.2

Score shown after each rally, Columbia first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).